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【光大研究每日速递】20251225
光大证券研究· 2025-12-24 23:03
点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 今 日 聚 焦 【宏观】关税扰动边际消退,美国经济增速回升——2025年三季度美国经济数据点评 您可点击今日推送内容的第1条查看 【高端制造】同比高基数效应消退及海外季节性补库需求旺盛带动十一月出口同比改善—— 高端制造 行业海 关总署出口月报(十八) 2025年11月,同比高基数效应消退及海外季节性补库需求旺盛带动十一月机械消费品和资本品出口同比改善。 从中期维度看,中美达成新的经贸协议,贸易不确定性下降,对美出口有望边际回暖,建议关注泉峰控股等; 我国对非洲、拉丁美洲等新兴地区的出口金额增长较快。 (黄帅斌/庄晓波/陈奇凡)2025-12-24 您可点击今日推送内容的第2条查看 【电新】六氟博弈长单涨价,看好锂电材料反弹 ——碳中和 ...
精进,以新质生产力之名
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-12-24 19:15
Core Insights - The concept of "new quality productivity" is deeply embedded in the economic structure, driving industrial transformation and innovation in listed companies [2][9] - Over 2,200 A-share companies have included "new quality productivity" in their 2024 annual reports, indicating a widespread commitment to optimizing traditional industries and fostering emerging sectors [2][9] Traditional Industry Transformation - Companies are not starting from scratch but are innovating existing industries through new technologies and paradigms, addressing challenges like capacity overflow and homogenized competition [2][4] - Examples include Jack Technology's shift towards AI sewing machines and humanoid robots, and Hengsheng Energy's entry into the diamond production sector through its subsidiary [3][4] Emerging Industry Ecosystem - Under the dual drive of policy and market forces, listed companies in strategic emerging industries like new energy and materials are moving from single-point innovations to systemic capabilities [5] - Sunshine Power's 7.8GWh project in Saudi Arabia set an industry record by completing production and delivery in just 58 days, showcasing the rapid advancement in the energy sector [5] Future Industry Strategic Positioning - Companies are investing in advanced fields such as quantum technology, biomanufacturing, and 6G to secure technological leadership [7][9] - For instance, Chuangyuan Xinke is actively involved in 6G core technology development, while Kexai Biotech is focusing on bio-based materials to replace traditional fossil-based products [7][8] Overall Industry Trends - The transformation narrative of listed companies is characterized by three clear paths: traditional industries innovating through engineering advantages, emerging industries building cluster ecosystems, and future industries positioning themselves through advanced R&D [9][10] - The valuation paradigm in capital markets is shifting, with company value increasingly defined by technological barriers, industry ecosystem positioning, and future potential rather than just current profits [9][10]
卡姆丹克太阳能(00712.HK):推进山西浮山150兆瓦飞轮储能项目
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-24 15:03
Core Viewpoint - The company is strategically investing in energy projects in Shanxi, China, focusing on hybrid energy storage systems, which presents significant growth opportunities in the green energy sector driven by national carbon neutrality goals [1] Group 1: Investment Projects - The company has announced a minority stake investment in the Shanxi Flywheel Project, which specializes in flywheel-lithium iron phosphate battery hybrid energy storage systems [1] - Following the successful investment in the Shanxi Flywheel Project, the company is exploring a new energy storage project in Fushan, Shanxi, with a total capacity of 150 megawatts, initially set at 120 megawatts, including 20 megawatts of flywheel storage and 100 megawatts of lithium battery storage [1] - The feasibility study for the Fushan Project has been completed, and the project is currently in the fundraising stage, with the board approving its continuation and authorizing the management to establish a dedicated project team [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - The company believes that continued investment in green energy projects in China will yield substantial growth opportunities, supported by national goals for carbon neutrality and peak carbon emissions [1] - The favorable policy environment and increasing demand for clean energy are expected to create significant business opportunities for the company's solar and energy storage investments [1]
北美CSP大厂开始投电力?HRSG涨价跟踪
傅里叶的猫· 2025-12-24 15:01
谷歌为什么要收购Intersect ? 1、按照谷歌自己的说法,此次收购旨在加速谷歌数据中心容量扩张、能源开发与创新,特别是支持谷歌云和AI需求增长。同时,推动先进能源技术商 业化(如先进地热、长时储能、带碳捕获的天然气发电),利用AI优化电网连接,并提升能源效率,而不将成本转嫁给电网用户。 2、这是美国的CSP们都面临的一个问题,AI数据中心的电力需求预计到2026年将翻倍,而美国电网面临35吉瓦的电力缺口。收购Intersect允许谷歌控制 能源供应链,确保稳定供电和成本控制,而不是依赖第三方公用事业公司。这被视为AI竞争力的关键, 因为电力已成为稀缺资源,而非GPU芯片。 3、美国的政策原因:特朗普政府(包括川普、能源部长Chris Wright和商务部长Howard Lutnick等)多次公开鼓励、推动和政策支持 hyperscalers为数据 中心自建或共址发电设施(如天然气、核能或微电网),以避免过度依赖老化电网、防止电价上涨转嫁给普通居民,并加速AI基础设施建设。 4、其他CSP们在电力合作上的行动: 亚马逊通过核能主导其数据中心电力策略,与Talen Energy签署长期电力购买协议(PPA) ...
卡姆丹克太阳能(00712) - 自愿性公佈有关能源业务之业务最新消息
2025-12-24 14:53
香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公佈的內容概不負責, 對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明,並明確表示,概不對因本公佈全部或任 何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 – 1 – 本集團相信,持續於中國投資綠色能源項目帶來龐大增長機會。受實現「碳中和」 及「碳達峰」的國家目標所推動,加上政府政策積極支持可再生能源發展,中國綠 色儲能項目市場預期經歷持續增長。該有利政策環境及對清潔能源的需求日益增 加預期為本集團的太陽能及儲能投資創造重大商機。 本公佈由卡姆丹克太陽能系統集團有限公司(「本公司」,連同其附屬公司統稱「本 集團」)自願刊發,旨在向本公司股東(「股東」)及潛在投資者提供本集團能源業 務之最新業務發展消息。 茲提述本集團於二零二五年五月二日刊發截至二零二四年十二月三十一日止年 度的年報(「二零二四年年報」)、本公司於二零二五年九月三十日刊發截至二零 二五年六月三十日止六個月的中期報告(「二零二五年中期報告」)以及本公司日 期為二零二五年五月二十八日的公佈(「第一季度最新消息公佈」)及日期為二零 二五年十一月二十五日的公佈(「第三季度最新消息公佈」),兩份公佈內 ...
碳中和领域动态追踪(一百六十六):六氟博弈长单涨价,看好锂电材料反弹
EBSCN· 2025-12-24 12:42
2025 年 12 月 24 日 行业研究 六氟博弈长单涨价,看好锂电材料反弹 ——碳中和领域动态追踪(一百六十六) 要点 从周期角度来看,价格与盈利仍处于向上阶段。临近材料厂与下游电池厂谈定 26Q1 长协的关键时期,长协定价从较长周期变化为月度谈价或者 M-1 价格联动 机制,反映上游供需紧张程度与上下游议价能力差异的矛盾,材料环节当前的投 资回收期仍较长,难以刺激扩产以匹配下游需求增速。复盘 6F 公司历史 PB, 相关公司股价仍有向上弹性。 需求向好预期下,锂电材料各环节均有供需改善趋势。锂电投资逻辑主要博弈长 单价格和国内储能 2026 年排产需求预期,考量供需缺口的变化趋势,只要需求 趋势仍在,供需缺口就难以弥合,锂电供需好转、震荡向上趋势确立。供给端, 关注供给变数较大的锂矿及盈利尚不支持扩产隔膜、铜铝箔的投资机会,推荐排 序:碳酸锂>6F>铝箔>隔膜>铜箔>负极,6F/VC 供需关系取决于龙头扩产节奏与 挺价博弈,但由于较高的辨识度使其仍成为锂电涨价首选配置方向。 投资建议:后续需关注锂电材料谈价落地情况、锂电排产、26Q1 需求的持续性。 建议关注锂电及储能龙头、供需改善带来涨价弹性更大的材 ...
禾元生物:公司水稻胚乳细胞生物反应器属于植物制造,具有绿色环保的特点
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-24 12:13
Group 1 - The company emphasizes the importance of technological innovation and sustainable development in its operations [2] - In drug development, the company plans to utilize AI technology to enhance research and innovation based on actual circumstances [2] - The company's rice endosperm cell bioreactor is characterized by its green and environmentally friendly features, aligning with sustainable practices [2]
黄志达:数字化将重构建筑“碳中和”未来
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-12-24 11:45
在全球建筑行业贡献近40%碳排放的背景下,中国室内设计与建筑行业正经历一场深刻的范式变革。传统"开盲盒"式的高耗能、 高浪费作业模式难以为继,而"绿色"与"数字化"的融合,被视作通向可持续发展的核心引擎。 "科技智能和绿色、健康的绝佳融合,将成为未来的主流家居生活方式。"近日,知名设计师、RWD(Ricky Wong Designers Ltd.)创始人、世界绿色设计组织(WGDO)副总干事黄志达接受《21世纪经济报道》专访时表示。 他呼吁建立"跨领域绿色设计开放平台",推动材料数据、"碳中和"案例库等行业资源的共享,打通从材料研发、绿色生产到设 计应用、金融支持的全链路。他认为,唯有构建协同创新的生态圈,才能将可持续性从约束转化为价值创造的源泉。 AI与数字化:从"开盲盒"到"五维设计" 《21世纪》:2025年城镇新建建筑全面执行绿色建筑标准。AI和数字化技术将如何助力建筑降低能耗? 从设计从业人员角度看,绿色设计要求每一步都前置考虑,因为设计是源头,从设计环节就要全盘部署,包括绿色材料的使 用、如何设计更能降低能耗等,这对从业者的综合能力提出了更高要求。 比如,我们想开放数字化设计的绿色通道,但算力可能 ...
电力、电气行业2026年度信用风险展望
Lian He Zi Xin· 2025-12-24 11:29
Investment Rating - The credit risk outlook for the power and electrical equipment manufacturing industry in 2026 is overall controllable, with structural differentiation continuing, highlighting the stability of leading enterprises while remaining cautious about the operational and debt pressures faced by small and medium-sized enterprises [8][50]. Core Insights - The power and electrical equipment manufacturing industry is a crucial part of the national economy, closely linked to macroeconomic growth and electricity investment demand. Since 2024, electricity consumption has steadily increased, and the industry is accelerating the construction of a new energy system and power grid [8][9]. - In 2025, industry policies focus on growth stabilization, market reform, industrial integration, and rural electricity support, with attention needed on the execution of growth targets and the participation of private capital [8][11]. - The industry is characterized by a pyramid structure, with a large number of small and medium-sized enterprises facing intense competition. The ability to negotiate with upstream and downstream partners is weak, and there is significant capital occupation from accounts receivable and inventory [8][21]. - Profitability in the industry is under pressure from upstream and downstream factors, but there was a slight recovery in operating profit in the first half of 2025, with overall profitability remaining stable compared to the previous year [8][27]. - The industry maintains a good credit status, with no new defaults reported in 2025, although there is a need to monitor potential concentrated repayment pressures in the future [8][39]. Industry Fundamentals - The power and electrical equipment manufacturing industry is significantly influenced by national economic growth and electricity investment demand. In 2024, the total electricity consumption in China reached 9.85 trillion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 6.8% [10]. - The investment in power generation and grid construction has seen substantial growth, with a focus on renewable energy installations becoming the mainstay [19][18]. Industry Policies and Regulatory Environment - Numerous policies have been introduced to support the power and electrical equipment industry, emphasizing growth targets, market reforms, and rural electrification [11][13]. - Key policies include the "Power Equipment Industry Growth Stabilization Work Plan (2025-2026)" which sets revenue growth targets for traditional power equipment at around 6% annually [13][15]. Industry Operating Conditions - In the first three quarters of 2025, investment growth in power generation and grid construction continued, with a notable increase in the construction of new energy systems [17]. - The total installed power generation capacity reached 3.72 billion kW by the end of September 2025, a year-on-year increase of 17.5% [18]. Industry Competitive Landscape - The industry exhibits a pyramid-shaped competitive structure, with a high degree of marketization and significant pressure on capital occupation. The number of enterprises in the power and electrical equipment manufacturing sector exceeds ten thousand, with small and medium-sized enterprises making up a large proportion [21][22]. - The competition is particularly fierce in the low and medium voltage cable sectors, while high voltage and ultra-high voltage cable production is dominated by a few key players due to high technical barriers [21]. Industry Financial Status - The profitability of the industry is affected by the dual pressures of upstream raw material costs and downstream customer pricing. In the first half of 2025, sample enterprises saw a slight increase in operating profit, with overall revenue growth of 1.07% [27][28]. - The financial leverage of sample enterprises decreased slightly by mid-2025, remaining at a moderate level, with an average asset-liability ratio of around 58% [33][36]. Industry Bond Market Performance - The credit status of the power and electrical equipment industry remains stable, with no defaults reported in 2025. The majority of bonds issued are short-term financing bonds and general corporate bonds [39][40]. - As of the first nine months of 2025, 37 bonds were issued, primarily by local state-owned enterprises with AAA ratings, indicating a preference for short-term flexible financing [41][43].
新能源板块集体上行,关注储能电池ETF(159566)、新能源ETF易方达(516090)等投资价值
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 11:22
Group 1 - The renewable energy sector experienced a collective rise, with the Guozheng New Energy Battery Index increasing by 1.7%, the Zhongzheng Photovoltaic Industry Index by 1.4%, the Zhongzheng New Energy Index by 0.8%, and the Zhongzheng Shanghai Carbon Neutrality Index by 0.5% [1] - The Storage Battery ETF (159566) saw a net subscription of nearly 20 million units throughout the day, with a net inflow exceeding 500 million yuan in the month [1] - CITIC Securities reports that by 2026, long-term electricity contracts will require time-segmented and curve-based signing, linking user-side time-based electricity prices to spot prices, indicating further deepening of electricity market reforms [1] Group 2 - The index focuses on the energy storage sector, comprising 50 companies involved in battery manufacturing, energy storage battery inverters, energy storage system integration, and battery temperature control and fire safety, which are expected to benefit from future energy development opportunities [4] - The photovoltaic ETF managed by E Fund tracks the Zhongzheng Photovoltaic Industry Index, which represents a strong future energy source, consisting of 50 representative companies across the upstream, midstream, and downstream of the industry chain [6]