Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in gold prices has sparked intense discussions about future price movements, with predictions ranging from a rise of 2000 RMB per gram to a drop of 500 RMB per gram [1] Group 1: International Gold Market Trends - The long-term trend of international gold prices has been upward, driven by global economic uncertainties that make gold a preferred safe-haven asset [3] - Central banks have been significant players in the gold market, with record-high purchases aimed at enhancing financial stability and responding to global economic conditions [3][5] Group 2: Domestic Gold Price Predictions - Some analysts predict that by early 2026, gold prices could reach 4500 USD per ounce, translating to approximately 2500 RMB per gram in the domestic market [5][9] - Current domestic gold prices hover around 1000 RMB per gram, indicating a substantial gap from the predicted target of 2000 RMB per gram [5][11] Group 3: Market Sensitivity and Influencing Factors - Short-term fluctuations in gold prices are highly sensitive to market sentiment and policy changes, which can lead to significant price volatility [7] - The ongoing geopolitical tensions and uncertain U.S. economic policies continue to bolster gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [7][9] Group 4: Long-term Price Stability - Predictions suggest that by 2026, domestic gold prices will likely stabilize around 1500 RMB per gram, reflecting moderate adjustments in line with international gold prices [11] - The trend of de-dollarization and sustained central bank demand for gold are expected to support long-term price stability [9][11]

Group 1: Market Overview - The global financial market is undergoing profound changes, with gold's value as a safe-haven asset becoming increasingly prominent [1] - A bullish trend in the gold market is expected to surge in 2025, attracting significant investor interest [1] - Geopolitical tensions, high inflation, and uncertainties in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy are reigniting gold's status as the "king of safe-haven assets" [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Recent U.S. non-farm payroll data exceeded expectations, adding 177,000 jobs, which briefly boosted the dollar but raised concerns about economic overheating and policy lag [3] - The volatility in non-farm data adds complexity and opportunities to the gold market [3] - The Federal Reserve's meetings serve as a "weather vane" for the gold market, with fluctuating interest rate expectations driving gold's demand [3] Group 3: Geopolitical Factors - Geopolitical events such as the Israel-Palestine conflict and tensions between India and Pakistan amplify gold's price volatility [4] - Major financial institutions like Goldman Sachs have raised their 2025 gold price target to $3,700, with extreme scenarios suggesting it could reach $4,500 [4] - The strategic value of gold in a stagflation environment is emphasized by firms like UBS and Morgan Stanley [4] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Investors are encouraged to choose professional platforms to capitalize on the multi-dimensional opportunities in the gold market [6] - Wanzo Gold's promotional offerings, including a $30,000 bonus for new customers, enhance leverage and trading flexibility [6] - The company provides a low-cost trading environment with spreads as low as $20 per contract and a zero-commission policy [6] Group 5: Risk Management and Support - Wanzo Gold offers a reliable negative balance protection mechanism to safeguard investors' accounts during extreme market fluctuations [7] - The platform provides 24/7 online support to assist investors with account and trading inquiries [7] Group 6: Strategic Positioning - The current gold market is characterized by "high volatility and high opportunity," creating rich trading prospects for investors [10] - Wanzo Gold's comprehensive trading platform supports flexible operations regardless of market direction, utilizing the MT5 international trading system [9] - The company emphasizes a dual protection system for fund security and service experience, ensuring client funds are managed separately from operational funds [9]

金十数据5月8日讯，市场分析师表示，市场正在发生变化。但问题在于，引发这种波动的可能更多是特 朗普有关贸易政策的言论，而不是美联储的任何动作。部分原因可能是由于股市下跌，投资者重新将美 债视为避险资产，推动国债价格上涨。 分析师：特朗普才是此时市场震荡的背后推手 ...

2025年第一季度黄金价格上涨至前所未见的水平，短暂突破每盎司3,500美元。这一惊人的涨势主要受 到贸易紧张局势升级的推动，特别是美中贸易冲突加剧，以及对美国财政政策和贸易政策的不确定性日 益增加。随着对美国国债等传统避险资产的信心减弱，投资者将资金转向黄金，作为应对波动和系统性 风险的可靠避险工具。 在这波激烈的涨势后，黄金近期经历了一次技术性的牛市回调，回调幅度约为7%，主要由于获利了结 和短期情绪的转变，属于健康牛市的合理回调范围。而从中长期来看，黄金的前景仍然强劲看涨，预计 将延续至2025年第二季度。 黄金基本面支撑点—有全球央行护底？ 尽管短期波动可能提供交易者一些技术性的短线卖空机会，但黄金整体趋势仍然支持上行，并主要受到 以下几个基本面因素的支撑： · 贸易不确定性，尤其是美中关税紧张局势，持续的风险回避情绪。 值得注意的是，2024年前三季购买了712吨黄金，第四季又新增了333吨，显示出持续且广泛的兴趣。中 央银行的稳定积累为黄金价格未来提供了强有力的基本面支撑，同时也是技术面支撑的重点。 黄金日图走势；图表来源：Ultima Market MT5 回顾2024年第四季度，黄金的交易区间 ...

2025年，黄金的涨幅竟然超越了比特币。 从技术面来看，黄金短期内可能会经历一些调整。例如，某些图表形态显示可能出现回调，甚至有较大幅度的回落风险。但众多分析指出这并不意味着黄金 牛市结束，相反，这只是上涨过程中的"中场休息"。 多家机构依然坚定看好黄金的未来表现。比如高盛就重申了对黄金的看涨立场，预测到2025年底，金价可能达到每盎司3700美元，而到了2026年中期，甚至 有望冲击4000美元的历史新高。 一连串的"突飞猛进"之下，无论涨跌都成为了大家的焦点。黄金的波动背后是什么因素？还能再创高点吗？普通人如何操作？谁是黄金的推手？ 搜狐号财经黄金专题活动现已完结，看看@听风解局、@金市大鲤、@郑重看股、@3分天下、@九月金银、@分析师张尧浠、@锐眼财经、@金投网、@闫 瑞祥、@期货小褚怎么看待后市走向。 | 搜狐号 三分 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄金狂飙是什么讯号? | | | | | 投向预言家 ▶ | 搜狐号财经 | | | | 上海民日 | | | | | 《中国手握2.5万吨黄金?布局全 | 听风解信 | 球金融新秩序,撼动美元霸权》 | | | ...

周三（北京时间5月7日），现货黄金交投于3391美元附近，周二金价上涨近3%，重回3400美元附近， 升至两周高点。ETO外汇分析这一上涨主要受到假期后市场购买和对美国可能对进口药品征收关税的担 忧支撑，同时投资者也在等待美联储政策会议的结果。现货黄金上涨2.4%，至每盎司3413.29美元，为4 月22日创下每盎司3500.05美元的历史新高以来的最高水平。美国黄金期货结算价上涨3%，至3422.8美 元。 关税政策的不确定性 美国总统特朗普周一表示，他计划在未来两周内宣布对药品征收新关税。此前，周日早些时候，他还宣 布对海外制作的电影征收100%的关税。这些关税政策的不确定性增加了市场的避险情绪，推动了黄金 价格的上涨。投资者担心，关税政策可能会引发贸易摩擦，进而影响全球经济的稳定。 除了黄金，其他贵金属也表现出不同程度的上涨。现货白银上涨1.9%，至每盎司33.1美元；铂金上涨约 2.4%，至982.52美元；钯金上涨3.1%，至971.27美元。这些贵金属的上涨反映了市场对避险资产的整体 需求增加。 黄金市场的未来展望 黄金价格的上涨反映了市场对关税政策不确定性和美联储政策预期的双重推动。投资者在当前 ...

Group 1 - The central bank's interest rate cut leads to lower loan and deposit rates, making borrowing cheaper but reducing interest income for savers [3][4] - Lower deposit rates may drive individuals to invest in gold as a means of preserving value, as the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases [5][6] - A potential depreciation of the RMB due to interest rate cuts could make gold more expensive in local currency terms, further driving up demand and prices [10] Group 2 - The increase in liquidity from lower interest rates may lead to higher demand for gold as a safe-haven asset during economic uncertainty [5][10] - External factors such as international tensions and conflicts can also contribute to rising gold prices, as gold is viewed as a hedge against instability [2][10] - While gold may serve as a protective investment, it is important for individuals to diversify their investments and not overly concentrate in gold [7][10] Group 3 - The current market conditions suggest that individuals holding gold may see appreciation in value, while those considering gold purchases should be aware of potential price increases due to currency depreciation [10][11] - The historical context indicates that during economic downturns, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, gold prices tend to rise significantly as investors seek safety [10] - The importance of considering the broader economic landscape, including the strength of the US dollar and geopolitical events, is crucial for understanding gold price movements [2][10]

金融分析由Exness金融内容负责人Michael Stark、高级交易内容专家Stanislav Bernukhov和交易内容策略 师Antreas Themistokleous提供。 每个交易者都应了解的全球市场变化。 2025年第2季度，资本剧烈轮动、政治风险增加和市场日益细分如乌云般盘旋在金融市场上空，拉开了 金融市场的序幕。 美股和加密货币在第一季度表现不佳，而作为避险资产的欧洲股票、黄金和日元则 涨势可观。 目前，交易者面临着日益复杂的全球市场环境，比如美国经济增长放缓、欧洲信心飙升、 货币政策方向持续不明朗。 第一季度回顾：战略轮动期 第一季度，美国和加密货币市场出现了激进的去杠杆化现象，部分原因是唐纳德·特朗普总统出人意料 地对加拿大、墨西哥、欧盟和中国征收关税。 资金从美国股市流向海外资产，特别是欧洲和亚洲。 纳斯达克和标普500指数大幅下跌，其原因不仅是受到政策波动的影响，还有特定板块发展的影响，如 英伟达股价在中国推出人工智能引擎后下跌。 目前，科技股占主导地位的纳斯达克指数显示出悲观广 度和低交易量的迹象，这表明市场笼罩着层层迷雾。 然而，美国的痛苦却让其他国家受益匪浅：德国DAX指数 ...

Group 1: Gold Market Dynamics - The gold market is experiencing a dual pressure from "policy suppression" and "central bank purchases," with international gold prices dropping from $3,500 per ounce to $3,240 per ounce [2] - China's central bank increased its gold reserves by 12.8 tons in Q1 2025, reaching a total of 2,292 tons, marking a historical high in the proportion of gold to foreign exchange reserves [2] - Goldman Sachs raised its gold price forecast for the end of 2025 to $3,300 per ounce, despite a 21% year-on-year decrease in global central bank net gold purchases in Q1 2025 [2] Group 2: Swiss Franc as a Safe Haven - The Swiss franc has shown resilience as a "safe-haven currency," with a stable exchange rate against the Chinese yuan at 8.78 and a year-to-date increase of over 2% [3] - The Swiss National Bank maintains a negative interest rate policy, attracting funds due to its political neutrality and financial stability [3] - Historical data indicates that the Swiss franc performed well during the 2008 financial crisis and recent trade wars, attributed to its strict banking secrecy and low inflation environment [3] Group 3: Bitcoin's Breakthrough - Bitcoin reached a historic milestone, stabilizing above $95,000, with institutional funds flowing into ETFs, resulting in a single-day net inflow of 7,000 BTC [4] - Analysts predict Bitcoin may challenge the $100,000 resistance level, driven by large-scale institutional investments, halving cycle effects, and macroeconomic risk aversion [4] - The week of April 20-26 saw a record net inflow of $3.1 billion into Bitcoin spot ETFs, with BlackRock's IBIT fund surpassing its gold ETF in size [4] Group 4: High Dividend Stocks as Safe Haven - High dividend stocks have emerged as a "safe haven" in volatile markets, with the Shanghai-Shenzhen 300 index dividend yield rising to 3.5% [5] - Traditional industries like coal and electricity have shown stable cash flows, demonstrating resilience during market corrections [5] - In the U.S. market, companies like Western Midstream and Dow Chemical offer high dividend yields of 9.40% and 9.15%, respectively, providing bond-like returns to investors [5] Group 5: Investment Strategy Insights - The current market conditions suggest a redefinition of safe-haven assets, advocating for a diversified "golden portfolio" rather than chasing single assets [6] - Investors are encouraged to balance their portfolios across U.S. Treasuries, U.S. stocks, and A-shares while diversifying risks with gold, Swiss francs, and cryptocurrencies [6]

Fundamental Analysis - Silver prices experienced fluctuations, with a rebound following gold prices, amid concerns over new U.S. policies on drug imports and tariffs, which have heightened demand for safe-haven assets [1] - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates at 4.25%-4.50%, which poses long-term pressure on non-yielding assets like silver [2] - The current silver price is testing a key resistance level of $33.500, with potential upward movement if this level is breached [2] Market Sentiment - Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with geopolitical tensions potentially driving silver prices above $33.500 towards the psychological level of $35.000 [3] - Institutional positioning shows a slight increase in long and short ratios, indicating a balanced market without extreme sentiment [3] Technical Analysis - The Bollinger Bands indicate that silver is currently in an upward channel, with the upper band at $34.715 and the lower band at $29.966 [2] - Key support levels for silver are identified at $32.800 and $32.400, with a potential drop to $31.182 if these levels are breached [3] Trading Strategy - A trading strategy suggests entering long positions around $31.88 with a stop loss at $31.50 and a take profit target between $33.68 and $33.90 [7]