宏观政策发力，投资品如何布局？20250512 摘要 • 红利策略在经济下行背景下凸显重要性，叠加公募基金高质量发展行动方 案的推动，红利资产配置需求增加，成为跑赢基准的趋势。关注分红比例 提高的公司，将其作为底仓配置。 • AI 应用领域虽催化剂众多，但兑现需时，预期偏高。经济压力可能导致二 次调整，但幅度有限。AI 应用仍是主线，关注长期发展潜力。 • 油价下跌是城市燃气降本的主要逻辑，2024 年进口 LNG 价格中枢下降。 若 LNG 价格进一步下跌，国内现货具备赚取价差空间，看好降本带来的盈 利能力改善。 • 黄金价格受地缘冲突和美国经济韧性驱动，高位震荡。利润框架向信用框 架切换是长期上涨背景，短期调整是买入机会。板块估值仍偏低，关注龙 头公司业绩。 • 有色金属板块中，铜、铝等品种估值偏低。中国加码逆周期政策降低关税 影响，回调风险可控。关注长期景气高位且具备分红属性的品种，以及受 政策驱动的小金属。 Q&A 当前宏观政策持续发力，资本市场在国家政策中的定位如何变化？对投资策略 有何影响？ 公用事业行业一季度表现如何？各子领域有哪些差异？ 一季度能源需求较弱，无论是天然气还是电力需求增速均有所下 ...

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·建筑材料 建筑材料行业跟踪周报 服务消费再贷款落地 2025 年 05 月 12 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 ◼ 周观点：（1）央行落实此前刺激政策，创设 5000 亿服务消费和养老再 贷款，激励引导金融机构加大对住宿餐饮、文体娱乐、教育等服务消费 重点领域和养老产业的金融支持。4 月 CPI 相对平稳，PPI 下行压力加 大，但 4 月房企拿地情况有所好转，整体而言，地产链复苏的方向不变。 在以旧换新补贴和服务消费刺激政策的推动下，我们期待 25 年 Q3 家 装产业链也会迎来明显加速。地产链出清已近尾声，供给格局大幅改善， 25 年需求平稳且企业增长预期较低，板块具备较高的胜率。首选低估值 的消费龙头和扩张型公司，例如北新建材、三棵树、兔宝宝、奥普科技、 欧普照明、伟星新材、欧派家居、箭牌家居等。其次，如果外部需求快 速回落，中西部基建很有可能成为救急的方向，关注华新水泥、四川路 桥、海螺水泥、中国交建、坚朗五金、东方雨虹等。最后，在 25 年流 动性充裕的背景下，科技属性强的公司仍有较高关注度，例如上海港湾、 鸿路钢构、 ...

Market Overview - The recent US-China talks exceeded market expectations, leading to a significant surge in the Hang Seng Index by 2.98% with trading volume reaching 322.4 billion [1] - The ceasefire agreement between India and Pakistan has positively impacted both countries' stock markets, with Pakistan's KSE-30 index soaring by 9.2%, marking its largest increase since 2008 [1] US-China Trade Relations - The US announced a suspension of a 24% tariff set to take effect on April 2, 2025, while maintaining a 10% tariff, effectively reducing the overall tariff on Chinese goods from 145% to 30% [2] - This significant concession from the US is attributed to several factors, including the need to replenish dwindling inventories and the urgency to achieve results ahead of the upcoming elections [3] Sector Performance - The consumer electronics sector, particularly companies within Apple's supply chain, benefited the most from the tariff reductions, with stocks like Highway Electronics and AAC Technologies rising over 13% [4] - Automotive parts suppliers with significant North American business exposure, such as Minth Group and Quanfeng Holdings, saw stock increases of nearly 10% [4] Financial Sector Response - Major financial institutions, including Hongye Futures and CITIC Securities, experienced stock price increases of over 6%, reflecting positive market sentiment following the trade talks [5] Individual Company Highlights - Midea Group reported a record revenue of 128.4 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a 20.61% year-on-year increase, and plans to enhance its overseas presence through strategic partnerships [10] - The company is also making strides in the commercial air conditioning sector and aims to expand its robotics division with new product testing scheduled for May [11] International Relations and Infrastructure - Brazilian President Lula's visit to China aims to strengthen bilateral relations and discuss infrastructure projects, including a railway connecting Brazil to China, which could reshape international trade logistics [8]

证券代码：300792 证券简称：壹网壹创 杭州壹网壹创科技股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-001 | | □特定对象调研 □ 分析师会议 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 投资者关系活动 | 业绩说明会 □ 媒体采访 √ | | | 类别 | □ 新闻发布会 □ 路演活动 | | | | □ 现场参观 | | | | □ 其他 （请文字说明其他活动内容） | | | 参与单位名称及 | 投资者网上提问 | | | 人员姓名 | | | | 时间 | 2025 年 5 月 12 日 (周一) 下午 15:00~17:00 | | | 地点 | 公司通过全景网"投资者关系互动平台"（https://ir.p5w.net） | | | | | 采用网络远程的方式召开业绩说明会 | | 上市公司接待人 | 1、董事长、总经理林振宇 | | | | 2、副总经理、董事会秘书高凡 | | | 员姓名 | 3、财务负责人周维 | | | | 4、独立董事胡正广 | | | | 5、保荐代表人胡伊萍 投资者提出的问题及公司回复情况 | | | | 公司就投资者在本次说明会中提出的问题进 ...

Group 1 - The company will hold its shareholders' meeting on May 20, 2025, at 14:30 in Hefei [1] - The agenda includes signing in, announcing the meeting's start, reading meeting rules, and voting on various proposals [1][2] - The meeting will feature both cumulative and non-cumulative voting proposals [1][4] Group 2 - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 436.15 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.81% [4] - The operating costs for the same period were 314.46 million yuan, up 10.45% year-on-year [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders, excluding non-recurring gains, was 11.36 million yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 78.99% [4][5] Group 3 - As of December 31, 2024, the company's total assets amounted to 874.01 million yuan, a 1.90% increase year-on-year [5] - The net assets attributable to shareholders were 702.88 million yuan, up 2.03% year-on-year [5] - The basic earnings per share decreased by 73.08% to 0.07 yuan [5] Group 4 - The company plans to maintain stable operations in traditional businesses while actively promoting its computing power business [5][8] - The board of directors held five meetings in 2024, reviewing 22 proposals [6] - The company emphasizes equal treatment of all shareholders and has improved participation convenience for minority shareholders through online voting [6] Group 5 - The company reported a cash inflow from operating activities of 22.99 million yuan, a decrease of 16.74 million yuan year-on-year [20] - Investment activities resulted in a cash outflow of 82.39 million yuan, primarily due to infrastructure and fixed asset investments [20] - Financing activities led to a cash outflow of 0.0127 million yuan, significantly less than the previous year's outflow of 30.18 million yuan [20] Group 6 - The company proposed a cash dividend of 0.50 yuan per share for 2024, totaling approximately 10.06 million yuan [15] - The company will not implement stock bonuses or capital increases this year [15] - The profit distribution plan aims to balance immediate and long-term shareholder interests [15] Group 7 - The company plans to apply for a total credit limit of up to 176 million yuan from financial institutions for operational needs in 2025 [21] - The credit will include various forms such as loans and bank guarantees [21] - The company will ensure that the actual credit amount aligns with operational requirements [21] Group 8 - The company intends to purchase liability insurance for its directors, supervisors, and senior management to mitigate operational risks [32] - The board seeks authorization from the shareholders' meeting to manage the insurance purchase process [32] - This initiative is in line with regulatory requirements to protect the interests of the company and its stakeholders [32]

金 融 期 货 研 究 2025 年 5 月 12 日 期指：短期偏强，关注实质性内容 【期指期现数据跟踪】 期指数据 | | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅% | 基 差 | 成交额-亿 | 成交量 | 变 动 | 持仓量 | 变 动 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪深300 | 3846.16 | ↓0.17 | | 2167 | | | | | | IF2505 | 3840.2 | ↓0.15 | -5.96 | 259.6 | 22554 | ↓8860 | 40133 | ↓6040 | | IF2506 | 3808.6 | ↓0.19 | -37.56 | 455.9 | 39940 | ↓19045 | 138820 | ↓7201 | | IF2509 | 3743.6 | ↓0.32 | -102.56 | 99.5 | 8861 | ↓4222 | 58536 | ↓984 | | IF2512 | 3706.8 | ↓0.42 | -139.36 | 24.6 | 2208 | ↓928 | 9288 | ...

受国际环境等利好提振，今日（5.12）港股飘红，恒生科技ETF基金（513260）涨超2%，开盘30分钟左右成交额已超3亿元。资金面上，恒生科技ETF基金 （513260）盘中溢价率走高达0.15%，近60日净流入超29亿元，最新基金规模突破43亿元！ 华泰证券认为，港股或仍具相对收益，关注进口替代方向。1）产业上，港股板块中，关税敏感性较高的出口链及中游制造企业市值占比较低；2）政策环境 改善有助于风险偏好提振；3）估值相对较低且受政策支持的港股科技和消费板块仍具吸引力；4）美国经济硬数据转弱或提升全球资金再配置需求。 【恒生科技受到哪些利好？】 华泰证券表示，风险情绪改善支撑上周港股小幅收涨1.6%。5月7日，高层召开介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况的新闻发布会。本次发布会 对资本市场政策态度积极，重点支持科技、消费领域，对港股市场形成积极影响。5月8日凌晨，5月FOMC会议上美继续按兵不动，强调不确定性以及滞胀 风险上升，不急于调整货币政策，基本符合市场预期。周末，经贸高层会谈开展，贸易摩擦或有降级空间，有助于改善市场情绪。配置上，建议继续关注受 政策支持的港股特色板块科技及内需消费，以及 ...

Group 1 - The China Securities Big Data Industry Index has seen a strong increase of 1.09% as of May 12, with notable gains in constituent stocks such as Aerospace Hongtu (up 5.33%), Zhongke Xingtong (up 3.49%), and Shiji Information (up 3.40%) [1] - The Data ETF (516000) rose by 0.96%, with the latest price reported at 0.94 yuan. Over the past week, the Data ETF has accumulated a rise of 0.76%, leading its peers [1] - The trading volume for the Data ETF reached 5.0882 million yuan, with a turnover rate of 1.21%. The average daily trading volume over the past week was 23.8212 million yuan [1] Group 2 - Tianfeng Securities' research report anticipates that the core logic for Q2 and the second half of the year will revolve around "Alibaba Chain Ecosystem + Domestic Substitution + AI Application Expansion" [1] - The Alibaba Chain ecosystem is expected to leverage its strong foundation in traffic entry, model capabilities, cloud, and self-owned hardware, along with Tongyi Qianwen's layout in vertical ecosystems in finance and government sectors, potentially becoming the "chain master" for B-end agents in China [1] - The domestic computing power and Xinchuang sector are expected to benefit from policy support for self-control and technological iteration, with a sustained upward trend in prosperity anticipated [1] Group 3 - The Data ETF (516000) and its linked funds closely track the China Securities Big Data Industry Index, focusing on popular concept sectors such as DeepSeek, AI computing power, and the Hongmeng industrial chain, covering well-known stocks like iFlytek, Zhongke Shuguang, Inspur Information, and Hengsheng Electronics [2]

重要的消息有哪些何立峰：中美达成重要共识会谈取得实质性进展 中美经贸高层会谈5月10日至11日在瑞士日内瓦举行。中美经贸中方牵头人、国务院副总理何立峰当地 时间11日晚在出席中方代表团举行的新闻发布会时表示，此次中美经贸高层会谈坦诚、深入、具有建设 性，达成重要共识，并取得实质性进展。双方一致同意建立中美经贸磋商机制。中美双方将尽快敲定相 关细节，并将于5月12日发布会谈达成的联合声明。 央行本周将降准 中国人民银行5月7日宣布，自5月15日起，下调金融机构存款准备金率0.5个百分点（不含已执行5%存 款准备金率的金融机构），下调汽车金融公司和金融租赁公司存款准备金率5个百分点。 央行：加强债市建设 中国人民银行（下称"央行"）5月9日发布《2025年第一季度中国货币政策执行报告》（下称《报 告》）。本次《报告》有多篇专栏从不同角度体现出宏观政策思路的转变，明确指出提振消费是当前扩 内需稳增长的关键点；对比中美日政府债务情况，中国政府债务扩张仍有可持续性；促进物价合理回 升，需要推动经济供需平衡，关键在于扩大有效需求。《报告》还在专栏中指出要加强债券市场建设。 在下一阶段政策取向上，《报告》提出，积极落地5月 ...

行业研究 传媒 2025 年 05 月 12 日 证 券 研 究 报 告 传媒行业周观察（20250505-20250509） 夸克升级"深度搜索"功能，AI 应用方向催 推荐（维持） 化丰富；关注影视、游戏景气度回暖 【市场观点】 【投资建议】 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：刘欣 电话：010-63214660 邮箱：liuxin3@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360521010001 证券分析师：赵海楠 邮箱：zhaohainan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524070016 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 140 | 0.02 | | 总市值(亿元) | 15,612.09 | 1.58 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 14,165.64 | 1.80 | 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | 9.4% | 3.0% | 18.2% | | 相对表现 | 5.1% | 9.3% | 13.2% | -18% 1% 19% 38% ...