《提振消费专项行动方案》要点梳理如下： 昨天，发生了哪些财经大事？ 提振消费！国家出台重磅方案 近日，中共中央办公厅、国务院办公厅印发《提振消费专项行动方案》，并发出通知，要求各地 区各部门结合实际认真贯彻落实。 城乡居民增收促进行动 促进工资性收入合理增长。实施重点领域、重点行业、城乡基层和中小微企业就业支持计划。延 续实施失业保险稳岗返还政策。健全最低工资标准调整机制，科学合理提高最低工资标准。加大 重点工程项目和中小型农业农村基础设施建设领域以工代赈实施力度，扩大劳务报酬发放规模。 拓宽财产性收入渠道。多措并举稳住股市，加强战略性力量储备和稳市机制建设，加快打通商业 保险资金、全国社会保障基金、基本养老保险基金、企（职）业年金基金等中长期资金入市堵 点，强化央企国企控股上市公司市值管理，依法严厉打击资本市场财务造假和上市公司股东违规 减持等行为。多措并举促进农民增收。健全种粮农民收益保障机制和土地增值收益分配机制，探 索通过出租、入股、合作等方式盘活利用农户合法拥有的住房。培育新型农业经营主体，因地制 宜发展庭院经济、林下经济、民宿经济，落实农机报废更新补贴政策，强化产业联农带农。扎实 解决拖欠账款问题 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government has issued a "Special Action Plan to Boost Consumption," aiming to create a safe consumption environment and enhance consumer confidence [1] Group 1: Policy Initiatives - The plan includes a three-year action to optimize the consumption environment, focusing on improving quality standards, credit constraints, comprehensive governance, and consumer rights protection [1] - It emphasizes the establishment of a standard system for consumer goods and services, as well as the construction of a credit system in the consumption sector [1] Group 2: Consumer Protection Measures - The initiative aims to enhance mechanisms for resolving consumer disputes and promote more effective consumer rights protection methods [1] - It seeks to regulate unreasonable business practices in online sales and live-streaming, such as "lowest price across the internet," and advocates for quality and fair pricing [1] - The plan includes strict legal measures against the sale of counterfeit and inferior products and aims to strengthen the supervision of defective product recalls [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need for the government to act as an executor of the Central Committee's decisions, highlighting the importance of being proactive and results-oriented in governance [1][2] - The government has outlined specific tasks for economic and social development, including actions to boost consumption, promote a unified national market, and advance the "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative [2] - There is a focus on enhancing high-level opening up, stabilizing foreign trade and investment, and effectively responding to external shocks [2] Group 2 - The meeting involved key officials from various ministries, including the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security, indicating a collaborative approach to policy implementation [3][4] - The government aims to deepen reforms and improve the legal and credit environment to stimulate the initiative of various business entities [2] - The emphasis is placed on achieving higher standards in development, particularly in areas such as domestic circulation, green transformation, and improving people's livelihoods [2]

基于两会中提出促进科技创新、提振消费，以及支持民营经济发展等政策重心，汇丰环球私人银行及财富 管理中国首席投资总监匡正日前与媒体分享有关中国投资市场的观点。 匡正指出，市场密切关注的政策规模与发力重点在两会期间进一步明晰。两会强调促进科技创新、提振消费， 以及支持民营经济发展等，聚焦增强内需，发掘新的增长引擎。 "我们认为，两会政策重心有望延续科技引领下的中国资产重估的动能，支持我们近期从资产配置角度调升中 国相关资产的观点。"匡正表示。 三大政策重心 在最新的报告中，匡正总结了三大政策重心，即科技创新、提振消费和支持民营经济。 "政策支持范围还有望从消费品扩大至健康、养老、托幼、家政等多种服务。此外，政策强调改善民生，表示 将多渠道促进居民收入增长，推动中低收入群体增收减负，并且适当提高退休人员基本养老金、发放育儿补贴 等措施，通过社会福利改革提升居民消费信心。"匡正表示。 另外，2月17日召开的民营经济座谈会，释放了促进民营经济健康发展、高质量发展的重要信号。《民营经济 促进法》或加速推出，依法保护民营企业和企业家的合法权益。 中国资产重估有望延续 匡正也谈到，近期，DeepSeek的横空出世触发了对中国 ...

Group 1 - The State Council Information Office will hold a press conference on March 17, 2025, to discuss measures to boost consumption [1] - Key officials from the National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security, Ministry of Commerce, People's Bank of China, and State Administration for Market Regulation will be present [1]

专题研究 专题研究|两会解读 两会解读 大公国际：两会解读：全方位提振消费，做强做优国 内大循环 文/工商部 刘佳聪 摘要 做强做优国内大循环的重要环节之一即为提振消费、扩大内需。2025 年 3 月 5 日， 国务院总理李强在政府工作报告中介绍今年政府工作任务时提出，大力提振消费、提高 投资效益，全方位扩大国内需求。本文以提振消费为出发点，探索其与国内大循环的关 系、现阶段特点及实施有利外部条件，政策协同发力与深化改革开放共同推进经济实现 高质量发展。 正文 2025 年 3 月 5 日，国务院总理李强在政府工作报告中介绍今年政府工作任务时提 出，大力提振消费、提高投资效益，全方位扩大国内需求。促进消费和投资更好结合， 加快补上内需特别是消费短板，使内需成为拉动经济增长的主动力和稳定锚。在 2024 年 12 月中央经济工作会议中便提到 2025 年首要重点任务为大力提振消费、提高投资效益。 2025 年 2 月召开的国务院常务会议，围绕提升消费能力、深挖消费潜力、营造放心消费 环境等多方面作出部署。 （一）提振消费与国内大循环的良性互动 2020 年 4 月，在中央财经委员会第七次会议上，习近平总书记强调 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of "investing in people" as a crucial strategy for China's long-term development, addressing both the quantity and quality of the population [1][3][5]. Group 1: Investment in Human Capital - The government aims to increase fixed asset investment to 52 trillion yuan in 2024, with a focus on enhancing human capital rather than just physical assets [2][3]. - The concept of "investing in people" has gained attention, highlighting the need for more resources directed towards education, health, and social services to improve the quality of the population [2][3][5]. Group 2: Economic Development and Consumption - Increasing income for the middle and low-income groups is identified as the most direct and effective measure to boost consumption [6]. - The article discusses the importance of addressing consumption bottlenecks in the economy, with a focus on enhancing domestic demand through various fiscal policies [6]. Group 3: Social Insurance and Welfare Reforms - There is a call for deepening social insurance reforms, including improving the national coordination of basic pension insurance and expanding medical insurance coverage [7]. - The article suggests that addressing the needs of vulnerable populations, such as rural residents and the elderly, is essential for fostering a more inclusive economy [7]. Group 4: Policy Recommendations - The article advocates for the integration of "investing in people" into the 14th Five-Year Plan, emphasizing the need for financial resources to support high-quality population development and urban-rural integration [5][6]. - It also recommends optimizing immigration policies to attract global talent, which can enhance the workforce and contribute to economic growth [5].

中金公司 周期半月谈——两会政策背景下周期板块的逻辑 演绎 20250310 摘要 Q&A 两会期间财政政策和货币政策对经济的影响有哪些？ 两会期间，财政政策总体符合市场预期，特别国债从去年（2024 年）的 1 万亿 提升到 1.3 万亿，专项地方债从 3.9 万亿提到 4.4 万亿。这些措施在国债和地 方债层面都有所扩展，对经济有一定刺激作用。预算内的赤字率为 4%，加上特 别国债和专项地方债后的广义赤字率接近 8%，这一水平在中国历史上较高，仅 次于 2020 年疫情爆发时的高位。 财政政策从积极转向更加积极，特别国债重 点支持"两重两轻"，即企业端设备以新换旧和居民端消费品以旧换新，如家 • 中国财政政策转向更加积极，广义赤字率接近 8%，为历史较高水平，重点 支持企业设备更新和居民消费品以旧换新，利好汽车、家电等化工下游行 业，有望推动化工品需求增长。 • 货币政策适度宽松但受汇率约束，未来可能择机降准降息以应对出口下行 和物价风险。居民就业和收入偏弱导致储蓄增加，需进一步提振经济。 • 化工行业资本开支已开始下降，预计 2025 年下半年快速扩张产能步入尾声， 有助于行业景气度回升。能源成本下降缓 ...

一、羊城晚报记者:2024年，我国经济社会运行"'稳'的态势巩固延续，'进'的步伐坚实有力"，这 些在金融领域主要有哪些体现？另外，去年，金融监管总局牵头建立了房地产和小微企业两项 融资协调机制，取得了明显成效，请问今年将如何推进？ 3月5日，十四届全国人大三次会议首场"部长通道"在人民大会堂举行，国家金融监督管理总局 局长李云泽接受记者采访。 李云泽:谢谢您的提问。首先，借此机会，衷心感谢广大媒体朋友一直以来对金融监管工作的关 心和支持！刚刚李强总理所作的《政府工作报告》，充分彰显了迎难而上的信心、锐意进取的 决心和扎实推进高质量发展的战略定力，我们深受鼓舞、倍感振奋。去年是金融监管总局全面 履职的第一个完整年度，我们统筹推进防风险、强监管、促发展，"稳"的态势和"进"的步伐都 更加明显。 第二，支持科技创新。新质生产力的核心要素是科技创新。我国融资结构长期以间接融资为 主，这就需要我们积极稳妥引导银行保险资金投早、投小、投长期、投硬科技。当前，重点是 型。抓紧研究制定配套融资制度，支持构建房地产发展新模式，促进房地产市场持续健康发 展。 小微企业方面，我们去年指导区县设立专班，深入开展"千企万户大走访"活 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the stable monetary policy direction and the supportive environment for banks, highlighting the potential for improved credit risk and new business opportunities in the technology and consumption sectors due to recent policy initiatives [1][10]. Monetary Policy - The monetary policy is described as supportive, with expectations of possible structural adjustments in interest rates and reserve requirements throughout 2025, although the timing will depend on various economic factors [3]. - The anticipated decline in interest margins for banks is projected to be within a controlled range of 10-15 basis points [3]. Debt Management - Significant progress has been made in managing local government debt, with a total of 2.96 trillion yuan in debt replacement bonds issued as of March 5, 2025, leading to a reduction in interest expenses by over 200 billion yuan [4][5]. - The number of financing platforms has decreased significantly, with about 40% exiting the market by the end of 2024, aided by debt replacement efforts [5]. Financial Support for Innovation - The introduction of a "Technology Board" in the bond market aims to encourage banks to increase credit support for technology innovation, expanding funding sources for commercial banks [6]. - The re-loan policy for technology innovation is set to be optimized, with plans to increase the scale from 500 billion yuan to between 800 billion and 1 trillion yuan, alongside reduced interest rates [6]. Consumer Policy Initiatives - Various measures to boost consumption have been proposed, including expanding the scope of trade-in programs and enhancing financial support for personal and enterprise loans in sectors closely related to daily life [7]. - Fiscal subsidies for personal consumption loans and targeted support for businesses in the service sector are expected to stimulate demand and improve the banking sector's retail loan performance [7]. Investment Strategy - The article suggests that the effective risk mitigation measures will lead to promising absolute returns for bank stocks, with a focus on companies with stable performance and dividend yields [9][10]. - The expectation of a revaluation of business models in 2025 is anticipated to enhance bank valuations, with a recommendation to select stocks with high return on equity and low current valuation premiums [10].