国产替代
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北水成交净买入34.49亿 北水全年净买入港股逾1.4万亿港元 创历史纪录新高
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-31 14:22
Group 1: Market Overview - On December 31, the Hong Kong stock market saw a net inflow of 34.49 billion HKD from northbound funds, with 30.97 billion HKD from the Shanghai Stock Connect and 3.51 billion HKD from the Shenzhen Stock Connect. This marks a record high net inflow of 1.41 trillion HKD for the year, significantly up from approximately 807.9 billion HKD in 2024 [2]. Group 2: Key Stocks - The most net bought stocks by northbound funds included China Merchants Bank (招商银行) with 7.24 billion HKD, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (工商银行) with 5.88 billion HKD, and China Construction Bank (建设银行) with 5.61 billion HKD [6]. - The most net sold stocks were Zijin Mining (紫金矿业) with a net outflow of 6.82 billion HKD and Tencent (腾讯) with a net outflow of 6.46 billion HKD [7]. Group 3: Sector Performance - The banking sector is expected to benefit from a stable macro-financial environment, with projections indicating that bank interest margins may have bottomed out and risks in the real sector are easing. This is anticipated to lead to income and profit recovery in the banking industry [6]. - Semiconductor stocks, particularly SMIC (中芯国际), received significant net buying, with 3.91 billion HKD, driven by price increases in the 8-inch BCD process platform by approximately 10% [6]. Group 4: Specific Company Insights - Jiangxi Copper (江西铜业) saw a net inflow of 1.58 billion HKD, while Zijin Mining faced a net outflow of 6.82 billion HKD. The National Development and Reform Commission emphasized the need for optimizing the management of the copper smelting industry, which may impact future production levels [7]. - Xiaomi Group (小米集团) received a net inflow of 2.37 billion HKD, supported by government policies promoting consumer electronics [7].
操作:不等了!调仓,大调仓!减仓2个方向,抄底3个基金
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-31 13:31
来啦宝子们,今天市场有所盘整,昨天小欧也是趁拉升减法了一些,那么跌下来小欧打算也是分批接回,不 过节前小欧操作不会很多,分批慢慢来。小欧今天加仓稀有金属、优质混合、半导体。 【重点,重点!】支付宝加入叮,可第一时间收到小欧第一手操作! 接下来说下我的个人操作(点蓝色字体或产品卡可直达): 1.我加仓$广发稀有金属主题ETF联接C$5000元(点蓝色字体或产品卡可直达)。继昨天强势收复5日均线,今 天稀有金属又涨了!强者恒强,小欧看好加仓一笔。看好它,一方面供给端趋于刚性,价格获得支撑。当前 关键资源国的政策限制扰动供应链;国内对稀土等关键矿产的出口管制措施也趋于常态化。这使得供给端弹 性减弱,对价格形成长期支撑。 它的确定性来源于政策持续扶持、行业需求长期向好,以及在中美科技博弈背景下国产替代进程的加速推 进;而弹性则体现在AI算力、数字经济等新兴需求持续爆发,带动全产业链景气度不断攀升。作为科技发展 的核心基石,半导体行业的成长逻辑清晰,我看好后市潜力,继续追加3000。 3.重磅加仓!我大幅加仓 $中泰开阳价值优选灵活配置混合A$5000元(点蓝色字体或产品卡可直达)。中泰开 阳价值近两天有所震荡,小欧正 ...
博时基金肖瑞瑾:2026年AI算力仍是投资主线,应用层爆发需待场景深度融合
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-31 13:06
【编者按】2025年,A股市场迎来里程碑式发展:总市值站上100万亿元的高峰,上证指数涨破4000点 创下近十年新高。站在"十五五"规划的开局之年,2026年A股市场又将如何演绎?哪些行业将孕育新的 投资机遇? 搜狐财经《基金佳问》栏目特别推出"基遇2026"专题系列报道,复盘A股市场细分领域年内行情,展望 及预测2026年各热门赛道的投资机遇,把握后市资产配置的主逻辑,寻找具有投资潜力的基金产品。 针对过去一年火热的AI板块,肖瑞瑾分析了其驱动逻辑。他指出,行情主要由两条主线构成:一是受 益于海外云巨头资本开支的算力基础设施环节;二是围绕国产替代的国产算力产业链。 对于2026年,他依然看好算力领域的投资机会。尽管海外资本开支增速可能放缓,但绝对增长依然确 定;而国产芯片在关键制程上的突破将是国内产业链的核心看点。他强调,随着大模型从训练转向推理 阶段,推理侧的需求将呈现非线性增长,持续拉动算力需求。 关于市场热议的"AI泡沫论",肖瑞瑾认为当前并不存在实质性泡沫。无论是美股龙头公司的估值水平, 还是资本开支的远期回报潜力,都尚在合理范围内。尤其对于中国,AI资本支出相比美国仍有巨大差 距,"历史欠账"意味 ...
欧陆通接待53家机构调研,包括睿远基金、天风证券、国华兴益保险资管、国信证券等
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-31 13:03
2025年12月31日,欧陆通披露接待调研公告,公司于12月29日至12月31日接待睿远基金、天风证券、国 华兴益保险资管、国信证券、招商证券自营、华福证券等53家机构调研。 欧陆通(300870)股价报221.00元,较前一交易日收盘价上涨2.04元,涨幅为0.93%,总市值242.79亿 元。从行业市盈率来看,欧陆通所处的电源设备行业滚动市盈率平均100.08倍,行业中值58.69倍,欧陆 通72.90倍排名第16位。 天眼查资料显示,深圳欧陆通电子股份有限公司成立于 1996年05月29日,是一家以从事计算机、通信 和其他电子设备制造业为主的企业。截至2025年09月30日,欧陆通股东户数21551户,较上次增加4376 户,户均持股市值112.66万元,户均持股数量0.51万股。招商银行股份有限公司-睿远成长价值混合型证 券投资基金为欧陆通前十大股东。 参与此次调研的睿远基金是一家以价值投资、研究驱动和长期投资风格为主的长期价值投资机构,聚焦 于权益投资和固定收益投资领域。截至目前,管理基金数量5只,其中睿远成长价值混合A最新单位净 值为1.9685,近一年增长64.70%。 声明:市场有风险,投资需 ...
“钨涨刀贵”成主旋律 2026年行业整体盈利水平或进一步提升|2025年终大盘点
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-31 13:01
Core Viewpoint - The tungsten price increase has led to higher costs for hard alloy tools, prompting manufacturers to raise prices, with expectations for growth in the industry, particularly in high-end sectors due to domestic substitution opportunities [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The hard alloy tool industry is experiencing a recovery after a period of consolidation, with increased growth expectations for the coming year, especially in high-end manufacturing sectors such as AI, humanoid robots, and semiconductor equipment [1]. - The demand for tools in emerging industries is rising, driven by technological breakthroughs, which is expected to boost sales of high-value-added products [1][4]. - The precision tool industry has a high user stickiness, with tool costs representing only 1%-4% of manufacturing costs, but their quality significantly impacts processing precision and product quality [4]. Group 2: Price Adjustments and Financial Performance - Tool manufacturers, including Zhongtung High-tech, have implemented multiple price increases in 2025 to address rising raw material costs, with adjustments varying by product type based on cost structure and market conditions [2][3]. - In Q3, leading tool companies reported significant profit increases, with Huari Precision's net profit rising by 915.62% year-on-year, attributed to improved downstream demand and enhanced product performance [3]. - Other companies like Okoyi and Zhongtung High-tech also reported substantial profit growth in Q3, with net profits increasing by 69.31% and 36.53% respectively [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The domestic tool industry is expected to move away from previous low performance, showing signs of recovery, particularly in high-end manufacturing sectors [3]. - The demand for tungsten remains strong, with expectations for prices to stay high, allowing companies to effectively transfer costs to downstream customers through price adjustments [5]. - The trend of domestic substitution in the high-end hard alloy tool market is gaining momentum, with emerging industry demand seen as a key opportunity for domestic companies to penetrate the high-end market by 2026 [5].
安集科技(688019):国内 CMP 抛光液领军企业,布局拓展第二成长曲线
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-31 12:26
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a rating of "Buy" for the company [9]. Core Insights - The company is a leading domestic CMP polishing liquid enterprise, continuously expanding its second growth curve through diversification [2][9]. - The semiconductor industry is entering a prosperous cycle, with significant capacity expansion from wafer fabs, benefiting material suppliers [52][56]. - The company maintains a strong focus on R&D and innovation, with a "3+1" technology platform that covers a full range of products including polishing liquids, functional wet chemicals, and electroplating liquids [8][19]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - For 2024, the company expects total revenue of 1,835 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 48.2% [6]. - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 811 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 52.1% [6]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to stabilize around 56.8% for 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 24.2% [6][30]. Market Position and Growth Strategy - The company has achieved a global market share of approximately 11% in CMP polishing liquids by 2024, with significant growth in functional wet chemicals and electroplating liquids [8][19]. - The company is strategically positioned in the largest semiconductor material markets, namely Taiwan and mainland China, and aims to enhance its international presence [44][56]. - The company’s product offerings are expanding, with a focus on high-end functional wet chemicals that are expected to see substantial growth in the coming years [10][19]. Industry Trends - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a "super cycle," driven by increased demand for storage and logic chips, particularly due to AI applications [52][56]. - The report highlights that the domestic semiconductor manufacturing sector is expected to see significant capital investment, with major players like SMIC and Changjiang Storage planning large-scale capacity expansions [56][57]. - The report notes that the demand for CMP polishing liquids is expected to rise as the complexity of semiconductor manufacturing processes increases [10][52].
募资295亿元!长鑫科技闯关科创板,夹缝中挑战DRAM三巨头
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-12-31 12:14
本报(chinatimes.net.cn)记者卢晓 北京报道 身处行业"超级周期",国内最大的DRAM(动态随机存取存储器)厂商长鑫科技开启了自己的上市征 程。 12月30日,长鑫科技集团股份有限公司(下称"长鑫科技")正式向上海证券交易所递交招股书,拟募资 295亿元在科创板挂牌上市,保荐机构为中金公司和中信建投。 长鑫科技的营收规模近年来一直在扩大,特别是在眼下的"超级周期"中。招股书显示,今年前三季度, 长鑫科技营收约320亿元,相比去年同期近乎翻倍。但它目前还未能实现盈利,今年前三季度,它的归 母净利润为亏损52.8亿元,相比去年收窄了1.79%。 行业周期波动导致DRAM价格下跌,是长鑫科技报告期内亏损的原因之一。招股书就披露,2023年虽然 公司产销量实现大幅增长,但产品单价下滑使其收入增速受到较大影响;此外,单价下滑也导致公司存 货减值损失计提增加,对公司利润产生冲击。 DRAM行业的规模导向属性导致固定资产折旧金额较大,以及研发投入持续增加这两个原因,也被长鑫 科技在招股书中提及。据招股书披露,2022年至2025年上半年,长鑫科技累计研发投入为188.67亿元, 占累计营业收入的33.11% ...
合肥将跑出A股存储芯片第一股
AI研究所· 2025-12-31 12:05
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant milestone of Changxin Technology Group's IPO application on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, marking the entry of China's first vertically integrated memory chip manufacturer into the A-share market, amidst a global semiconductor industry restructuring and accelerated domestic substitution [1][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Changxin Technology has progressed from technology catch-up and capacity expansion to market breakthrough within nine years, aiming to raise 29.5 billion yuan for upgrading memory wafer manufacturing technology and advancing DRAM research and development [3][20]. - The company operates under the IDM (Integrated Device Manufacturer) model, managing the entire process from chip design to production, which enhances efficiency and reduces reliance on external suppliers [6][12]. Group 2: Competitive Advantages - The IDM model allows for seamless collaboration between design and manufacturing, enabling rapid technological iterations and the introduction of advanced products like DDR5 and LPDDR5X, which have significantly improved performance metrics [8][9]. - Changxin has improved its production yield from 85% in 2022 to over 94% by 2025, demonstrating effective cost control and quality management, with a product sales rate nearing 90% in early 2025 [9][13]. Group 3: Market Position and Financial Performance - By 2025 Q3, Changxin has become the fourth largest DRAM manufacturer globally, capturing an 8% market share, while its revenue is projected to reach between 55 billion to 58 billion yuan for the year, reflecting a nearly threefold increase from 2022 to 2024 [13][20]. - The company is expected to achieve a gross margin exceeding 30% and a net profit between 2 billion to 3.5 billion yuan in 2025, with a potential turning point to profitability anticipated in 2026 or 2027 [13][20]. Group 4: Funding and Support - Changxin's growth has been supported by substantial capital investments from various sources, including state-owned enterprises and private equity, with significant funding milestones achieved since its establishment in 2016 [15][16]. - The company has attracted investments from major players like Xiaomi, Alibaba, and Tencent, alongside state-backed funds, which have bolstered its valuation to over 150 billion yuan following a 10.8 billion yuan financing round in 2024 [15][16]. Group 5: Implications for the Semiconductor Industry - The IPO of Changxin is seen as a pivotal moment for the domestic semiconductor industry, indicating a shift towards scale and capitalization, with expectations for increased production capacity and market share in the coming years [20]. - The success of Changxin is anticipated to catalyze further development in China's semiconductor sector, moving from reliance on imports to achieving a competitive stance in the global market [20].
骄成超声2025年度市值管理与投资者关系报告
Quan Jing Wang· 2025-12-31 11:52
2025年,骄成超声凭借半导体设备突破与新能源业务复苏,实现市值与业绩双爆发。2025年全年股价涨 幅为176.90%,年末总市值为129.85亿元;前三季度归母净利润同比激增359.81%,半导体先进封装设备 打破海外垄断,成为第二增长曲线。投资者关系管理方面,全年接待机构调研22次,覆盖超400家机 构,信息披露考评维持B级。 一、市值管理与投资者关系核心成效 1.1 市值表现:股价翻倍,市值近130亿元 骄成超声(688392.SH)2025年全年股价涨幅为176.90%,年末总市值为129.85亿元,全年成交额为 502.38亿元,换手率达785.72%。 公司2025年业绩表现强劲,前三季度实现营业收入5.21亿元,同比增长27.53%;归母净利润9403万元, 同比增长359.81%。受益于动力电池设备需求回暖、半导体先进封装设备突破及高毛利配件业务持续放 量,市场对公司成长性预期显著提升,推动股价与交易活跃度同步走高。 1.2 投资者关系管理:高频调研+透明沟通 ●机构交流:全年发布投资者接待纪要22次,覆盖458家次机构(单次最高118家,10月29日),重点沟 通半导体设备进展、固态电池布局 ...
【深交所IPO】自主创新铸就行业龙头,新广益登陆资本市场开启新征程
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-31 11:51
Core Viewpoint - Xinguangyi Electronic Co., Ltd. has successfully listed on the ChiNext board, marking a significant milestone in its growth as a leading high-tech enterprise specializing in high-performance specialty functional materials [2][3]. Company Overview - Xinguangyi focuses on the research, production, and sales of specialty functional materials, particularly anti-bleed adhesive films and high-resistance specialty films, which are critical in high-end manufacturing sectors like flexible printed circuits (FPC) [7]. - Established in 2004, the company has transitioned from a follower to a leader in the industry, breaking the technological monopoly of foreign giants and achieving the highest market share in its segment [7][9]. Technological Advancements - The company has successfully developed key technologies in anti-bleed adhesive films, overcoming the previous dominance of Japanese firms like Mitsui Chemicals and Sumitomo Chemical [9]. - Xinguangyi has also made significant strides in high-resistance specialty films, which are essential for extreme environments, further establishing its competitive edge in the market [10]. Market Position and Growth - Xinguangyi has established partnerships with several top global FPC manufacturers, solidifying its position as a leading supplier in the anti-bleed adhesive film sector [9]. - The company has expanded into new areas, such as acoustic films for high-end headphones, achieving breakthroughs that allow it to compete with established international players [12]. Financial Performance - From 2022 to 2024, the company's revenue is projected to grow from 455.26 million yuan to 657.17 million yuan, with net profit increasing from 81.51 million yuan to 115.70 million yuan [14]. - In the first half of 2025, Xinguangyi reported revenue of 313.39 million yuan and a net profit of 59.21 million yuan, indicating a strong growth trajectory [14]. Strategic Alignment - The company's focus on high-performance specialty functional materials aligns with China's "14th Five-Year Plan," which emphasizes the importance of new materials and core technology innovation [16]. - Looking ahead to the "15th Five-Year Plan" (2026-2030), the emphasis on technological self-reliance and high-end manufacturing presents significant opportunities for Xinguangyi in the functional film materials sector [16].