2025年可以说是人形机器人的"破圈"之年，更是量产元年。机器人越来越能整活儿，资本也越来越为之 疯狂。有人从中看到了未来，有人看到了泡沫。 观察者网：胡总您好。 胡德波：王老师您好，欢迎您到访开普勒。给您介绍一下，这是开普勒最新一代人形机器人——K2大 黄蜂。 观察者网：哈喽，K2，你好。 当我们还在看一众机器人表演时，有位低调的"超级蓝领"，早就到上汽通用"搬砖"去了。连Figure（美 国人形机器人"明星"企业）的CEO都亲自给它点赞。它就是对标特斯拉擎天柱的开普勒K2大黄蜂。 近日，观察者网·未来方法论栏目来到上海张江人工智能岛，对话上海开普勒机器人有限公司CEO胡德 波。胡德波说，开普勒约80%的零部件为自研，得益于行星滚柱丝杠执行器等核心技术，大黄蜂可实现 30公斤负重和8小时续航。 他认为，目前在全球人形机器人行业当中，中国凭借强大的供应链、丰富的应用场景、惊人的迭代速度 等优势脱颖而出。中国、美国在第一梯队，欧洲一部分国家是第二梯队，传统的机器人大国日本反而掉 队了。 以下为对话实录： 【对话/胡德波&王慧 编辑/王恺雯、张菁娟】 0:00 胡德波：是的，已经在进行打工人的上岗训练。K2大黄蜂 ...

人形机器人正受到资本热捧，可以说是当前最热的风口之一。但热潮背后，也有人质疑：这一赛道究竟 会带来科技大变革，还是又一轮即将破灭的泡沫？ 对此，上海开普勒机器人有限公司CEO胡德波从他的个人经历谈起，表达了对人形机器人行业的看法。 "1999年我加入通讯行业的时候，互联网才刚刚开始萌芽，"胡德波对观察者网·未来方法论表示，"如果 你回看那个阶段，其实你砸多少钱去做互联网，去做基础设施、做平台，或者去做应用，都有很好的发 展空间。" 0:00 他认为，今天的人形机器人+具身智能的浪潮，可能会超过当年的互联网技术革命。 "如果我们相信这是一波大的技术浪潮，那么当前行业内的投资和热度其实就不存在泡沫化。就整个人 形行业的总投资量来看，其实可能还不如开发商的一个楼盘。"胡德波说。 他指出，人形机器人确实比较热，但说不上泡沫化，以人形机器人行业的现在估值和它未来的潜力，成 长空间依然可观。 不过他也提醒道，当前人形机器人赛道"玩家"众多，"哪一些企业比较靠谱？哪一些企业它的战略路径 可能风险会更大？这就看每个人自己的判断。" 本文系观察者网独家稿件，未经授权，不得转载。 ...

Group 1 - The company will actively participate in the upcoming World Robot Conference and is monitoring relevant information [2] - The company has planned to submit specific joint products to customers within the month [2] - The company is inquiring about the number of humanoid robot manufacturers it is currently collaborating with [2]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current convertible bond valuation is at a high level, but compared to the previous high in 2022, the current pure bond yield is lower, and the rigid demand for fixed - income + allocation gives some upward space for convertible bond valuation. In August, the equity market still has an environment for further upward movement, supported by domestic policies and international factors [1][13] - Specific investment directions to focus on include anti - involution (Jingneng Convertible Bond, Muyuan Convertible Bond, Wens Convertible Bond), innovative drugs (Huahai Convertible Bond, Chutian Convertible Bond), and humanoid robots (Keli Convertible Bond, Zhenghai Convertible Bond) [2][18] Summary by Directory 1. August Convertible Bond Outlook: Still Promising at High Levels - In July, the equity market rose, with the Wind All - A Index rising 4.7% monthly. The convertible bond market had a double - wheel drive of underlying stocks and valuation, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index rising 2.9%. By the end of July, the convertible bond price and valuation were still at high levels [9] - Although the Politburo meeting in late July was slightly below market expectations, anti - involution policies are ongoing, and supportive policies are being implemented. The less - than - expected US non - farm data increases the expectation of a Fed rate cut in September, which is beneficial for the equity market [13] 2. Market Review in July 2.1 Equity Market - The A - share market rose in July, with the Wind All - A Index rising 4.7% again. The market traded around three main lines: anti - involution, AI, and innovative drugs. The anti - involution policy, the start of the Yajiang Hydropower Project, and continuous positive news in AI and innovative drugs drove the market [19] - In terms of structure, small - cap stocks outperformed large - cap stocks, and growth stocks outperformed value stocks. Most industries in the equity market rose, with steel, building materials, medicine, and TMT sectors leading the gains, while defensive sectors such as banks, utilities, and transportation declined [24] 2.2 Convertible Bond Market - In July, the convertible bond market had a positive sentiment, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index rising 2.9%, relatively underperforming the equity market. The trading volume increased, with an average daily turnover of 728.9 billion yuan [30] - Among industries, 28 out of 29 convertible bond industry indices rose. Public utilities, electronics, medicine, building materials, and power equipment sectors performed well. Individual bonds such as Tianlu Convertible Bond, Saili Convertible Bond, and Borui Convertible Bond led the gains [34] 3. Convertible Bond Valuation - The convertible bond valuation continued to rise to a historical high in July. The end - of - month 100 - yuan parity premium rate was 29.3%, up 1.6pp from the end of June, at the 96.5% and 94.1% quantile levels since 2018 and 2021 respectively [35] - The median convertible bond price and parity also increased, while the median conversion premium rate decreased slightly, and the median pure bond premium rate increased [40] 4. Convertible Bond Supply and Demand 4.1 Convertible Bond Supply - In July 2025, 3 new convertible bonds were issued, with a total scale of 8.452 billion yuan. Three convertible bonds obtained CSRC registration approval, with a to - be - issued scale of 2.62 billion yuan, and 2 public convertible bond board plans were added, with a to - be - issued scale of 2.496 billion yuan [48][51][53] 4.2 Convertible Bond Demand - The share of the Convertible Bond ETF increased rapidly in July, with the share increasing by 572 million to 3.549 billion and the circulation scale increasing by 8.259 billion yuan to 45.183 billion yuan [54] 5. Clause Tracking 5.1 Redemption - As of July 31, 20 convertible bonds confirmed forced redemption, 10 might be subject to forced redemption, and 19 would not be forced to redeem [55] 5.2 Downward Revision - As of July 31, 8 convertible bonds confirmed downward revision, 6 proposed downward revision, and 43 temporarily did not revise downward [58]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the resilience of the robotics ETF (562500), which has shown a decline of 0.84% but managed to recover from a maximum intraday drop of 1.58%, indicating strong market interest and liquidity with a trading volume of 1.416 billion yuan [1] - DJI has launched its first generation of sweeping robot flagship product, the DJI ROMO series, which integrates drone-like environmental perception and intelligent path planning capabilities for home cleaning [1] - CITIC Securities emphasizes the importance of practical application scenarios and precision sensors for humanoid robots, noting that while current valuations reflect high shipment expectations, global shipment volumes are projected to be only 10,000 to 20,000 units by 2025 [1] Group 2 - The robotics ETF (562500) is the only robot-themed ETF in the market with a scale exceeding 10 billion yuan, covering various segments such as humanoid robots, industrial robots, and service robots, facilitating investors' access to the entire robotics industry chain [2]

Core Viewpoints - The mechanical industry is expected to outperform the market, focusing on growth sectors such as AI infrastructure and humanoid robots [5][15] - The report emphasizes the importance of structural growth opportunities in high-quality leading companies within the mechanical sector [15][20] Market Review & Key Data Tracking - In July, the mechanical industry index rose by 5.67%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.12 percentage points [35] - The TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the mechanical industry is approximately 33.79, and the price-to-book ratio is about 2.63, indicating a month-on-month increase in valuation levels [40] - The manufacturing PMI index for July is reported at 49.30%, reflecting a decrease of 0.4 percentage points month-on-month, influenced by seasonal production slowdowns and adverse weather conditions [35][12] Investment Strategy & Key Recommendations - The report recommends a focus on specific companies such as Huace Detection, Guodian Measurement, and Yizhiming, among others, as part of the investment strategy for August [24][31] - Key stocks for August include XCMG, Feirongda, Yizhiming, Yingliu, Dingyang Technology, and Ice Wheel Environment [24][31] Long-term Investment Themes - The report suggests focusing on emerging market growth and export acceleration, particularly in sectors like humanoid robots, AI infrastructure, and coal chemical equipment [25][26] - It highlights the importance of supply-side factors such as inventory updates and import substitution, recommending attention to industries benefiting from these trends [25][26] Sector-Specific Insights - Humanoid robots are identified as a key growth area, with specific attention to components like joint modules and sensors from companies such as Hengli Hydraulic and Huichuan Technology [26][28] - AI infrastructure is highlighted, with a focus on the gas turbine and refrigeration sectors, recommending companies like Yingliu and Ice Wheel Environment [28] - The engineering machinery sector is expected to stabilize and grow, with recommendations for companies like Hengli Hydraulic and Sany Heavy Industry [29] Valuation and Performance Metrics - The report provides detailed valuation metrics for recommended companies, including market capitalization and projected earnings per share for 2024, 2025, and 2026 [33][34] - It emphasizes the performance of hidden champions and growth-oriented companies, providing a comprehensive overview of their financial metrics [34]

个股的走牛，也让部分基金获益匪浅。以舒泰神为例，资料显示，该公司致力于研发、生产和销售临床需求未 被满足疾病的治疗性药物，主要包括蛋白类药物（含治疗性单克隆抗体药物）、化学药物等类别，治疗领域聚 焦在感染性疾病、自身免疫系统疾病及神经系统疾病治疗药物等领域。 上天天基金APP搜索【777】注册即可 领500元券包，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到先得！ 随着权益行情的持续演绎，截至8月5日收盘，年内A股已经诞生了236只翻倍股，概念覆盖了数字货币、创 新药、人形机器等多个热门板块，且多只被基金重仓持有，这给基金净值带来了不菲收益。 然而，受益于资金活跃流通性，年内的翻倍股多为容量有限的中小盘股，因此中小盘主题基金为了策略的延续 性，只能接连选择限购。唯有医药和科技两大板块的个股能够容纳主题基金的资金容量，从而批量造就"翻倍 基"。 236只股票翻倍 年内"翻倍股"中，上纬新材以超15倍的涨幅遥遥领先，成为仅有的一只"十倍股"，此外，舒泰神、*ST宇顺2只 个股涨超5倍，联合化学、胜宏科技等6只个股涨超3倍，北方长龙、恒立钻具等10余只个股涨幅超过2倍。 展望后市，银华基金马君认为，创新药制药公司作为创新药产 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced fluctuations in the morning session, with the three major indices showing mixed results. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.19 trillion, an increase of 130.7 billion compared to the previous trading day. Over 2900 stocks declined across the market [1]. Sector Performance - Chip stocks surged against the trend, with over 10 stocks, including Fuman Micro, hitting the daily limit. Medical device concept stocks also showed strength, with stocks like Lideman reaching the daily limit. The IP economy concept stocks rebounded, with Jin Hong Group hitting the daily limit. Conversely, innovative drug concept stocks faced adjustments, with Qianhong Pharmaceutical hitting the daily limit down [3]. - In terms of sector performance, PEEK materials, military industry, liquid cooling servers, and humanoid robots saw significant gains, while traditional Chinese medicine, Tibet-related stocks, innovative drugs, and film and television sectors experienced notable declines. By the end of the session, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.12%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.13%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 0.52% [3].

Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations with mixed performance across the three major indices, as the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.12%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.13% and 0.52% respectively [1][2] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.19 trillion yuan, an increase of 130.7 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1][2] Sector Performance - Chip stocks saw significant gains, with over ten stocks, including Fuman Microelectronics, hitting the daily limit [1][2] - Medical device concept stocks showed strong performance, with stocks like Lide Man also reaching the daily limit [1][2] - The IP economy concept stocks rebounded, highlighted by Jin Hong Group hitting the daily limit [1][2] - Conversely, innovative drug concept stocks faced adjustments, with Qianhong Pharmaceutical hitting the daily limit down [1][2] Top and Bottom Performing Sectors - Sectors with notable gains included PEEK materials, liquid cooling servers, and humanoid robots [1][2] - Sectors that experienced declines included traditional Chinese medicine, Tibet-related stocks, innovative drugs, and the film industry [1][2]

Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations with mixed performance among the three major indices. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.12% to 3638.40, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.13% to 11163.36, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.52% to 2346.59 [1][2] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.19 trillion yuan, an increase of 130.7 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1][5] Sector Performance - Chip stocks showed strong performance, with over ten stocks, including Fuman Micro, hitting the daily limit [2] - Medical device stocks also performed well, with companies like Lide Man reaching the daily limit [2] - The IP economy sector rebounded, with Jin Hong Group hitting the daily limit [2] - Conversely, innovative drug stocks faced adjustments, with Qianhong Pharmaceutical hitting the daily limit down [2][3] Market Sentiment - The overall market sentiment was mixed, with over 3100 stocks declining, while 2276 stocks increased and 225 remained unchanged [4] - The market heat index was recorded at 38, indicating a moderate level of activity [5] - The predicted trading volume for the day was estimated at 1.94 trillion yuan, an increase of 207 billion yuan [5]