智通财经APP获悉， 比特币上涨至自美国总统唐纳德·特朗普在所谓的"解放日"宣布对等关税以来的 最高水平 ，与此同时，由于市场再次对 特朗普试图罢免美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔 的行动感到担忧， 美元暴跌。比特币周一上涨了约3%，达到87600美元，收复了自4月2日特朗普宣布对等关税以来的大 部分跌幅。 比特币达到4月2日关税公告以来的最高水平 点击蓝字，关注我们 比特币此次反弹正值美元和美国股指期货周一下跌之际，此前特朗普对美联储的批评引发了人们对该 机构独立性的担忧。美国国家经济委员会主任凯文·哈塞特上周五表示， 特朗普仍在研究解雇美联储 主席鲍威尔的方法，随后美元指数跌至2024年1月以来的最低点。 值得注意的是，黄金价格周一再次飙升至新高，进一步凸显了投资者对避险资产和通胀对冲资产的需 求。 数字资产大宗经纪公司FalconX亚太区衍生品交易主管Sean McNulty表示：" 美元疲软推动了加密货币 的上涨。 "但他补充道，加密货币市场"假日流动性不足"导致"涨势被夸大"。 内容来源于智通财经APP 贝塔投资智库 为投资交易提供更有价值的服务 ...

洛阳钼业（603993）涨幅扩大至5.06%，工业有色ETF(560860)持有该股票7.93%，当前跌幅为0.25%， 成交额749.42万元，较昨日此时放量37.40%，近1月份额减少26.29%，减少1.72亿份。 涨疯了！黄金行情爆发中 一键布局买入避险资产>>> ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in international gold prices, reaching a historic high of $3,442 per ounce, has led to significant increases in the prices of gold jewelry and a strong performance in the A-share gold sector, driven by heightened investor demand for gold as a safe-haven asset amid global economic uncertainties [2][3][6]. Gold Price Surge - As of April 21, COMEX gold futures prices have increased by 30% year-to-date, positively impacting the profit margins of gold mining companies [3]. - Shandong Gold expects a net profit of 950 million to 1.13 billion yuan for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 35.74% to 61.45% [3]. - Zijin Mining reported a revenue of 78.928 billion yuan for Q1 2025, up 5.55% year-on-year, with a net profit of 10.167 billion yuan, marking a 62.39% increase [3]. - Hunan Gold anticipates a net profit of 325 million to 374 million yuan for Q1 2025, a growth of 100% to 130% compared to the previous year [3]. Market Dynamics - The rising gold prices are expected to create a positive feedback loop of performance realization and valuation enhancement in the gold sector [4]. - Increased gold prices are likely to concentrate resources among leading companies, which can leverage technological upgrades to reduce mining costs and enhance profit elasticity [5]. Impact on Retail Sector - The rise in gold prices may negatively affect gold retail companies, as higher procurement costs could lead to inventory buildup and cash flow difficulties [5]. - Consumers are shifting towards lower-cost gold bars and ETFs, sidelining high-premium gold jewelry [5]. Dollar Index and Economic Factors - The dollar index has fallen to a three-year low, which supports gold prices as investors seek alternatives amid declining confidence in U.S. assets [6][8]. - Factors contributing to the dollar's weakness include rising inflation expectations and potential economic recession, prompting investors to allocate more funds to gold [7][8]. Long-term Outlook - Analysts maintain a bullish outlook on gold prices, citing ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties as key drivers [9][10]. - The market anticipates that the Federal Reserve may not raise interest rates in the near term, with expectations of potential rate cuts later in the year, further supporting gold demand [9][11].

1 、 《 金价，继续狂飙 》摘要 ■ 在初期因流动性紧张导致黄金短线被动回调后，市场回归"避险逻辑"，推动金价再度上涨。 潜力的真实压力测试 。 4 、 《 黄金价格再创历史新高 》摘要 ■ 以"超硬材料"为例， 2024年9月、12月、2025年2月 三次政策发布即为明显波段上涨窗口。 ■ ■ 宇树科技表示并未参与此次比赛，视频中的G1机器人由 第三方客户购买后自主参赛 ，算法控制等 均由用户自行开发。 ■ 熊友军（北京具身中心）指出："中国已处于全球第一梯队"，但距离规模商业化仍有5~10年。 ■ 4月21日早盘， 黄金价格再度大涨，刷新历史新高 ，显示全球市场在高通胀、美元信用风险和地缘 冲突背景下对避险资产的强烈需求。 ■ 黄金已不再只是防御型资产，而成为主流资金布局的重要方向之一 ，尤其是亚洲央行和全球机构持 续加仓，推动金价节节攀升。 5、《 "出口管制"板块集体攀升 》摘要 ■ 中国在" 关键战略资源与高端材料领域 "逐步强化出口管制策略，以应对中美科技对抗的背景，并 催生出若干产业与资本市场的结构性机会 ，尤其是在"超硬材料、培育钻石、高纯石英、石墨"这四 大细分赛道。 ■ 2024年至今， ...

长按即可参与 A股三大指数今日延续反弹态势，截止收盘，沪指涨0.45%，深证成指涨1.27%，创业板指涨1.59%。沪深两市成交额超一万亿，较上周五放量逾 千亿。 盘面上，随着黄金价格一路走高，A股黄金板块掀涨停潮，带动小金属集体走高，此外消费、跨境电商概念涨幅居前，银行板块领跌两市。 一起来看今天的热点。 01 黄金期货突破800元/克， 创造历史记录！ 今日，上期所黄金期货主力合约突破800元/克关口，再创历史新高。 COMEX黄金也拿下重要整数关口3400美元/盎司。 A股黄金板块也持续攀升，赤峰黄金、 晓程科技、莱绅通灵、潮宏基、鹏欣资源强势涨停。 | | 贵金属 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2170.13 (+191.40 +9.67%) | | | | 讨论 板块分析 | 成分股 | 相关ETF | 资讯 | | 全部(12) 连板 | 关注度 | 主力资金 | 北向净流 | | 名称 | 最新价 ◆ | 涨跌幅 ◆ | 市盈率 ◆ | | 晓程科技 | 21.20 | +19.98% | 124.77 | | SZ300139 | | | | | 赤峰 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The sustainability of the rebound remains to be confirmed, and it is advisable to embrace gold. The current primary contradiction is not employment and inflation but tariff policies. After a significant valuation correction, the PE has become reasonable but not undervalued. Whether corporate earnings expectations will be adjusted due to tariffs depends on the ongoing Q1 earnings reports, and whether there will be an earnings correction in the future requires further confirmation. Although the 90 - day delay in tariff implementation has provided some relief to the market, uncertainties still persist. Therefore, a defensive approach is the main strategy, and it is recommended to invest in gold, which has a hedging property [2][3]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Macro Data - As of the week ending April 5, the number of initial jobless claims was 223,000, in line with the forecast, and the four - week moving average remained unchanged, indicating overall stability in the employment market. In March, the CPI was 2.4% year - on - year, better than the expected 2.5%; month - on - month, it was - 0.1%, better than the expected 0.1%. The core CPI was 2.8% year - on - year, better than the expected 3%; month - on - month, it was 0.1%, better than the expected 0.3%. In April, the preliminary reading of the 1 - year inflation expectation in the University of Michigan survey soared to 6.7%, a new high since 1981, higher than the expected 5.2% and the previous value of 5%; the preliminary reading of the 5 - year inflation expectation was 4.4%, higher than the expected 4.3% and the previous value of 4.1%. The preliminary reading of the consumer confidence index was 50.8, significantly lower than the expected 53.5 and the previous value of 57 [3][8][9]. Market Sentiment - The US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (EPU) reached 678.44 points, with a weekly moving average of 676.57 points, a new high since 2018, mainly due to the inconsistent tariff policies of the Trump administration, which disrupted market expectations and caused significant market fluctuations. The retail sentiment indicator compiled by the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) showed that 58.9% of US retail investors were bearish on the stock market, while 28.5% were bullish, with a bull - to - bear ratio of 0.48, an improvement from the previous value (0.35), but pessimism still prevailed. The Fear and Greed Index remained in the 'Extreme Fear' zone for three consecutive weeks, closing at 13 points; among its seven sub - indicators, only 'Junk Bond Demand' showed 'Fear', while the other six showed 'Extreme Fear' [3][16][17]. Global Market - The global equity market rose 3.4% last week, with developed markets (4.4%) outperforming emerging markets (- 3.9%), and the US stock market led the global market. Gold continued its upward trend, rising 7.2% last week, and it has been rising across all observed time frames. Bitcoin was weak, with a weekly increase of - 0.3% [3][22]. Industry Performance - Among the 36 secondary industries in the US stock market, 31 rose and 5 fell. Industries such as national defense and military, non - ferrous metals, and semiconductors had relatively large increases. The absolute values of the top three gainers were much larger than those of the bottom three. Eleven secondary industries outperformed the S&P 500 index (5.7%) [24]. S&P 500 Component Stocks - Among the S&P 500 component stocks, 372 stocks rose last week, accounting for 74%, and the number of rising stocks increased significantly compared to the previous week. The top - ranked stocks in terms of gains were NEWMONT, BROADCOM, CONSTELLATION ENERGY, PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES, GE VERNOVA, etc. Among the 20 core component stocks, Broadcom led with a weekly increase of 24.4%, while ExxonMobil performed the worst with a weekly decrease of - 1.2% [26][28]. Volume and Price Indicators - The strong secondary industries were semiconductors, software services, medical equipment and services, etc. The estimated average daily capital intensity of the semiconductor industry last week was approximately $325.4 billion, ranking first. Last week, the estimated capital inflows were relatively concentrated in stocks such as NVIDIA, TESLA, and PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES [30][32]. Market Valuation - In the past week, the static PE of the S&P 500 was 24.3 times, the Bloomberg Forward PE rose slightly from 19 times to 19.8 times, an increase of 4.3%; the Bloomberg - predicted EPS decreased slightly from $268 to $266, a decrease of 0.5% [34]. Gold Industry - As of April 10, 2025, the price of the gold industry was in the range of 10.7x P/E to 19.3x P/E, at a relatively low level; the P/E in Q2 2025 is expected to rebound significantly, and the earnings per share (EPS) in Q2 2025 is expected to rebound significantly. In the short term, the gold price has shown obvious fluctuations due to tariff policies. In the long term, factors such as the expectation of more severe stagflation in the US after the tariff increase, global economic and political uncertainties, and the gold - buying demand of emerging market central banks may support the gold price [37][41].

贵金属周报 2025 年 4 月 14 日 避险情绪助推，金价再创新高 核心观点及策略 投资咨询业务资格 沪证监许可【2015】84 号 李婷 021-68555105 li.t@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F0297587 投资咨询号：Z0011509 黄蕾 huang.lei@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F0307990 投资咨询号：Z0011692 高慧 gao.h@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F03099478 投资咨询号：Z0017785 zhao.kx@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F03112296 投资咨询号：Z0021040 敬请参阅最后一页免责声明 1 / 10 ⚫ 上周贵金属价格继续维持强势运行，国际金价站上3250美 元/盎司，再创历史新高，银价在大幅下挫后上周也强势 反弹站上32美元/盎司上方。上周四特朗普对于超过175个 国家暂缓90天征收对等关税政策，但市场对全球贸易量萎 缩的担忧加剧。美元指数持续大幅下挫，提振贵金属价格 走势。 ⚫ 最新公布的美国3月CPI、PPI数据都低于市场预期，显示 短期通胀压力缓解。但市场预计关税政策可能在未来推高 通胀， ...

当市场中的避险情绪上升，比如当美国总统特朗普忽然宣布对全球大部分国家征收关税时，股市整体都会下跌，绝大部分股票都会受其影响而被抛售。哪怕 一个公司的业绩和进出口贸易无关，其价格也会被大盘带动而下跌回撤。在这个时候，有些投资者会觉得他需要一些"避险资产"，或者"投资保险"，来保 护他的投资组合，维持他的理智，帮助他在价格暴跌时不至于被迫出售那些长期看好的股票。 那么问题来了：哪些资产可以帮助投资者达到"保险"的功能呢？ 第一个选项是 政府国债 。 这里的国债，主要指那些信用评级比较高的发达国家政府国债，比如美国、英国、澳大利亚、德国等。由于发行这些国债的国家政府信用评级比较高，市场 对他们比较信任，几乎不用担心他们像阿根廷政府那样违约，因此这些国家的政府国债是很多投资机构最青睐的"保险资产"之一。 前摩根士丹利策略师 Stephen Jen 曾提出过一个金融理论，叫做 美元微笑曲线 ，来解释美元在不同经济环境下为何能表现强势的现象。在全球风险上 升、经济衰退或金融市场动荡时，投资者寻求 " 避险资产 " 。美元因其全球储备货币地位以及美国国债市场的深度和流动性，被认为是最安全的资产。此 时，资本流入美国，美元升 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the importance of safe-haven assets during times of market volatility, highlighting government bonds, gold, and the US dollar as key options for investors seeking to protect their portfolios from downturns [1][2][6]. Group 1: Government Bonds - Government bonds, particularly from high-credit-rated developed countries like the US, UK, Australia, and Germany, are favored as safe-haven assets due to their reliability and low default risk [2][3]. - In economic downturns, central banks typically lower interest rates, which increases bond prices and provides investors with a protective function [2][3]. - The current yield on US 10-year government bonds is approximately 4.3%, offering decent returns while maintaining their role as a safe asset during market turmoil [3]. Group 2: Gold - Gold is highlighted as another significant safe-haven asset, especially during crises, as it is perceived to resist inflation due to its finite supply [4][5]. - Over the past year, gold prices have increased by around 50%, indicating its appeal during uncertain times [5]. - However, gold's price volatility poses risks, as it can spike during crises but may also decline sharply once the crisis subsides, necessitating careful timing by investors [5]. Group 3: US Dollar - The US dollar is recognized as a classic safe-haven asset, benefiting from its status as the global reserve currency and the depth of the US Treasury market [6][7]. - The "dollar smile" theory explains that the dollar appreciates during both economic downturns and periods of strong US economic performance, making it a reliable asset in various conditions [6][7]. - Concerns about the dollar's status as a safe-haven asset arise from geopolitical tensions and potential shifts in global economic dynamics, which could undermine its reserve currency status [7]. Group 4: Diversification Strategy - The article emphasizes that no single asset can guarantee protection against losses, advocating for a diversified investment approach to mitigate risks and achieve smoother returns [8]. - Investors are encouraged to maintain a long-term perspective and avoid being overly influenced by short-term market fluctuations [9].

Core Viewpoint - Gold stocks are gaining traction as a hedge against market volatility caused by ongoing tariff disputes, with significant price increases observed in several gold mining companies [1][3][4]. Gold Market Performance - Gold prices increased by over 3% as investors sought safe-haven assets amid stock market sell-offs triggered by tariffs [3][4]. - Gold stocks, particularly those of companies with strong operational performances, have rallied due to the direct impact of rising gold prices on their financials [5]. Company Highlights - Newmont Corporation, the world's second-largest gold company, saw its shares rise by 8.8% with a market capitalization of $52.2 billion [2]. - Harmony Gold reported a 19% increase in revenue and a 33% surge in net income, despite a 4% drop in production, with cash flow from operations increasing by 46% year-over-year [6]. - AngloGold Ashanti's revenue jumped 26% in 2024, leading to a net profit of $1 billion compared to a net loss of $222 million in 2023, with a dividend yield of 4.1% [7]. - Iamgold Corp experienced a 43% increase in gold production and a 65% rise in revenue to $1.6 billion in 2024, projecting further growth in 2025 [10]. - Newmont Mining reported a net income of $3.4 billion in 2024, recovering from a net loss of $2.5 billion in 2023, and generated $6.3 billion in cash flow from operations [11]. Future Outlook - The year 2025 is anticipated to be significant for gold mining companies, with expectations of continued growth driven by rising gold prices amid ongoing trade tensions [12].