Group 1: Manufacturing Sector - November manufacturing PMI increased to 49.2%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, but still below the seasonal average of 50.0%[14] - PMI for production rose by 0.3 percentage points to 50.0%; new orders improved by 0.4 percentage points to 49.2%[14] - Industrial raw material prices rebounded, with PMI purchase prices at 53.6% and factory prices at 48.2%, both up from previous values[22] Group 2: Non-Manufacturing Sector - November non-manufacturing PMI fell to 49.5%, down 0.7 percentage points, marking the first time this year below the expansion threshold[32] - Construction PMI improved slightly to 49.6%, with new orders index rising by 0.2 percentage points[24] - Policy-driven financial tools are less effective than in 2022, impacting service sector performance negatively[24] Group 3: Economic Indicators - Special bond issuance progress reached approximately 91.0% by the end of November, a significant increase of 10.1 percentage points from October[24] - Small enterprises showed a notable recovery in PMI, increasing by 2.0 percentage points, benefiting from improved US-China trade relations[22] - PPI is expected to narrow its year-on-year decline to around -2.0% in November, with a month-on-month increase of approximately 0.2%[22]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content. Report's Core View - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of various sectors in the futures market, including financial derivatives, precious metals, base metals, black metals, and agricultural products. It offers insights into market trends, supply - demand dynamics, and provides operation suggestions for each sector. Summary by Directory Financial Derivatives Financial Futures - **Stock Index Futures**: A - share markets had mixed performance with some indices rising and others falling. The four major index futures contracts declined, and the basis discount was repaired. It is recommended to wait for the market to stabilize and suggest a wait - and - see approach, with a possible light - position short - put option strategy [2][3][4]. - **Treasury Futures**: Treasury futures mostly declined. The market sentiment is weak in the short - term, but there may be a rebound if the central bank's bond - buying scale exceeds expectations. It is recommended to wait and see, and pay attention to the 2603 contract cash - and - carry strategy [5][8]. Precious Metals - Gold, silver, platinum, and palladium are analyzed. The long - term bull market in precious metals is expected to continue due to factors such as central bank purchases and increased allocation of financial - attribute commodities. Short - term price fluctuations may be intensified by factors like Fed officials' divergence and economic data. Specific strategies are provided for each metal, such as holding silver long - positions and a long - platinum short - palladium hedge [9][11][12]. Commodity Futures Base Metals - **Copper**: The price is expected to be volatile and upward - biased in the short - term, with 12 - month interest rate cut expectations and improving downstream demand. The mid - to - long - term supply - demand contradiction supports a rising price bottom [13][16]. - **Alumina**: The market is in a bottom - range oscillation. The supply shows signs of contraction, and the inventory accumulation rate is slowing down. The price is expected to remain in the 2700 - 2850 yuan/ton range [17][19]. - **Aluminum**: The price is expected to remain in a high - level oscillation, with a strong - expectation and weak - reality situation. The overseas supply risk and domestic weak demand are in a stand - off [20][21]. - **Aluminum Alloy**: The price is expected to be in a wide - range oscillation. The cost is supportive, and the demand shows resilience, but high prices still suppress overall procurement [22][23]. - **Zinc**: The price is expected to oscillate. The supply pressure eases, and the demand shows structural improvement. The LME inventory starts to accumulate, and the squeeze risk eases slightly [24][27]. - **Tin**: The price is expected to be strong and oscillating. The supply is tight, and the demand in the South China region shows resilience [28][31]. - **Nickel**: The price is expected to oscillate in a range. The low - valuation and production cuts drive a small - scale recovery, but the overall upward drive is limited [32][34]. - **Stainless Steel**: The price is expected to oscillate. The cost support weakens, and the supply pressure remains high, with weak demand in the off - season [35][37]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The price is expected to have a wide - range oscillation. The market may have increased divergence, with a current situation of strong supply and demand and social inventory reduction [38][41]. - **Polysilicon**: The price is expected to oscillate in a high - level range. The spot price stabilizes, while the silicon wafer and cell prices continue to fall [41][43]. - **Industrial Silicon**: The price is expected to oscillate in a low - level range. The supply decreases, and the demand is not optimistic, with inventory accumulation pressure [44][45]. Black Metals - **Steel**: The price is expected to have a central - downward movement in a range. It is recommended to pay attention to the long - rebar short - iron ore arbitrage [47][49]. - **Iron Ore**: The price is expected to run weakly in the short - term. The supply and demand situation is complex, and it is difficult to have an independent unilateral market without new macro - drivers [50][52]. - **Coking Coal**: The price is expected to be oscillating and bearish. The supply is relatively loose, and the demand for replenishment weakens [53][57]. - **Coke**: The price is expected to be oscillating and bearish. The supply increases, the demand weakens, and the inventory is moderately increasing [58][59]. Agricultural Products - **Meal**: The soybean meal market is in a loose pattern, and the price is expected to oscillate. There is a risk of a decline after short - term chasing [60][62]. - **Pig**: The supply pressure remains, and it is necessary to pay attention to the logic of production capacity reduction [63].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - On November 27, 2025, equity index futures declined while CGB Futures traded sideways; precious metals performed strongly, and the energy and chemical sectors remained weak [2][9][11] - Gold and silver prices are likely to hit the upper limit of the range again if a December rate cut is confirmed and the expectation of Hassett as Fed chair is further consolidated, with silver showing higher elasticity. Short - term, maintain a range - bound bullish bias [16][17] - The resilience of tin's supply - demand fundamentals is pushing the central level of tin prices higher [23][24] 3. Summaries by Directory 3.1 China Futures 3.1.1 Overview - Financial futures: IH fell by 0.11%, IM fell by 0.11%, TL fell by 0.01% [9] - Commodity futures: The top three gainers are Platinum (up 6.2%), Silver (up 3.4% with open interest increasing by 11.1% MoM), and Tin (up 2.1% with open interest increasing by 22.6% MoM). The top three decliners are Lithium Carbonate (down 1.7% with open interest increasing by 6.2% MoM), Bitumen (down 1.4% with open interest increasing by 1.4% MoM), and Polyester Staple Fiber (down 1.2% with open interest decreasing by 3.4% MoM) [10][11][12] 3.1.2 Daily Raise - **Gold & Silver**: On November 27, Gold rose 0.1% to 947.16 yuan/g, Silver rose 3.4% to 12525 yuan/kg. Gold's rise was driven by a weaker USD, rising odds of a December 25bp rate cut, and forward pricing of the "Hassett Fed" framework. Year - to - date, gold/silver surged over 55%/nearly 80% [15][16][17] - **Tin**: On November 27, Tin rose 2.1% to 302200 yuan/ton. Supply remains tight due to slow resumption in Wa State, reduced exports from Indonesia, and unstable production in Africa. Demand is growing due to the rate - cut cycle in the US and Europe, growth in the semiconductor industry, and inventory restocking [22][23][24] 3.2 China News 3.2.1 Macro News - The US will extend the exemptions from tariffs imposed over issues related to technology transfer and intellectual property rights with China until November 10, 2026 [27] - The NDRC held a symposium on unordered price competition cost identification on Nov 24 to formulate cost identification standards and curb such practices [27] 3.2.2 Industry News - GFE launched Platinum and Palladium Futures/Options on Nov 27, with a combined turnover of 42.28 billion CNY (Platinum: 29.231 billion CNY; Palladium: 13.049 billion CNY) [28]

Group 1 - The report outlines the key points from four phone calls between Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Trump, emphasizing the importance of maintaining stable and cooperative U.S.-China relations [5][4]. - In the first call on January 17, 2025, President Xi congratulated Trump on his re-election and highlighted the broad common interests and cooperation potential between the two countries [5]. - The second call on June 5, 2025, focused on correcting the course of U.S.-China relations and emphasized the importance of dialogue and cooperation in resolving trade issues [5]. Group 2 - The third call on September 19, 2025, recalled the historical alliance during World War II and urged the U.S. to avoid unilateral trade restrictions that could undermine previous negotiations [5]. - The fourth call on November 24, 2025, discussed the positive outcomes of the recent meeting in Busan and reiterated the mutual benefits of cooperation, while also addressing the Taiwan issue as a critical aspect of China's sovereignty [5][4]. - Throughout the calls, both leaders expressed a desire for continued dialogue and cooperation to address global challenges, including the Ukraine crisis [5].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the reports. 2. Report Core Views Aluminum - The alumina market is expected to maintain a bottom - oscillating trend, with the main contract operating in the range of 2700 - 2850 yuan/ton. The electrolytic aluminum market will likely maintain high - level oscillations, with the SHFE main contract in the range of 21,100 - 21,700 yuan/ton [1]. Aluminum Alloy - The ADC12 price is expected to maintain an oscillating pattern in the short term, with the main contract operating in the range of 20300 - 20900 yuan/ton [2]. Tin - In the short term, although macro fluctuations are large, considering the limited supply recovery this year and the strong fundamentals, a bullish stance on tin price corrections is maintained. The focus is on macro changes and the supply recovery in Myanmar [4]. Zinc - The zinc market is likely to oscillate. The price has limited downward space in the short term, but the fundamentals also provide limited impetus for continuous upward movement. The main contract reference range is 22200 - 22800 [6]. Copper - In the medium - to - long - term, the supply - demand contradiction supports the gradual upward shift of the copper price bottom. The main contract reference range is 85000 - 87800, with attention on overseas interest - rate cut expectations and other macro drivers [8]. Nickel - The nickel market is expected to operate weakly in the short term, with the main contract reference range of 113000 - 118000. Attention should be paid to macro expectations and Indonesian industrial policy news [11]. Stainless Steel - The stainless - steel market is expected to operate weakly in the short term, with the main contract operating in the range of 12200 - 12600. The focus is on steel - mill production cuts and ferronickel prices [13]. Lithium Carbonate - The lithium - carbonate market may first decline and then oscillate in the short term, with the main contract reference range of 83,000 - 88,000 yuan/ton [15]. Industrial Silicon - The industrial - silicon market is expected to have low - level oscillations, with the main price fluctuation range likely between 8500 - 9500 yuan/ton [17]. Polysilicon - The polysilicon market is expected to oscillate in a high - level range. For trading strategies, try to go long around 50,000 on the futures side; hold/sell put options on the options side, and consider buying straddles if volatility decreases [18]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Aluminum Price and Spread - SMM A00 aluminum price dropped to 21380 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.88%. The import loss was 1798 yuan/ton, and the SHFE - LME ratio was 7.63 [1]. Fundamental Data - In October, alumina production was 778.53 million tons, a 2.39% increase; electrolytic aluminum production was 374.21 million tons, a 3.52% increase [1]. Aluminum Alloy Price and Spread - SMM aluminum alloy ADC12 price dropped to 21350 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.47%. The refined - scrap price difference of Foshan crushed primary aluminum decreased by 4.48% [2]. Fundamental Data - In October, the production of recycled aluminum alloy ingots was 64.50 million tons, a 2.42% decrease; the production of primary aluminum alloy ingots was 28.60 million tons, a 1.06% increase [2]. Tin Price and Spread - SMM 1 tin price dropped to 291300 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.07%. The import loss was 16328.60 yuan/ton [4]. Fundamental Data - In September, tin ore imports were 8714 tons, a 15.13% decrease. In October, SMM refined tin production was 16090 tons, a 53.09% increase [4]. Zinc Price and Spread - SMM 0 zinc ingot price rose to 22440 yuan/ton, an increase of 0.04%. The import loss was 4165 yuan/ton [6]. Fundamental Data - In October, refined zinc production was 61.72 million tons, a 2.85% increase; imports were 1.88 million tons, a 16.94% decrease [6]. Copper Price and Spread - SMM 1 electrolytic copper price dropped to 82872 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.72%. The refined - scrap price difference was 2675 yuan/ton, a 12.75% decrease [8]. Fundamental Data - In October, electrolytic copper production was 109.16 million tons, a 2.62% decrease; imports were 28.21 million tons, a 15.61% decrease [8]. Nickel Price and Spread - SMM 1 electrolytic nickel price dropped to 116700 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1.27%. The 8 - 12% high - nickel pig iron price dropped to 891 yuan/nickel point, a 0.39% decrease [11]. Fundamental Data - China's refined nickel production was 35900 tons, a 0.84% increase; imports were 38164 tons, a 124.36% increase [11]. Stainless Steel Price and Spread - The price of 304/2B (Wuxi Hongwang 2.0 coil) rose to 12700 yuan/ton, an increase of 0.40%. The 8 - 12% high - nickel pig iron ex - factory average price dropped to 891 yuan/nickel point, a 0.39% decrease [13]. Fundamental Data - China's 300 - series stainless - steel crude steel production (43 companies) was 182.17 million tons, a 0.38% increase; exports were 35.81 million tons, a 14.43% decrease [13]. Lithium Carbonate Price and Spread - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate average price rose to 92300 yuan/ton, an increase of 1.10%. The lithium spodumene concentrate CIF average price dropped to 6807 dollars/ton, a 2.51% decrease [15]. Fundamental Data - In October, lithium carbonate production was 92260 tons, a 5.73% increase; demand was 126961 tons, an 8.70% increase [15]. Industrial Silicon Price and Spread - The price of East China oxygen - containing SI5530 industrial silicon remained at 9550 yuan/ton. The 2512 - 2601 monthly spread increased by 200% [17]. Fundamental Data - National industrial silicon production was 45.22 million tons, a 7.46% increase; exports were 4.51 million tons, a 35.82% decrease [17]. Polysilicon Price and Spread - The N - type re - feedstock average price remained at 52300 yuan/ton. The main contract price rose to 53360 yuan/ton, an increase of 1.73% [18]. Fundamental Data - Weekly polysilicon production was 2.71 million tons, a 1.12% increase; monthly production was 13.40 million tons, a 3.08% increase [18].

Core Insights - The urgency of the U.S. regarding rare earth exports from China has increased, with Treasury Secretary expressing hope for a supply agreement before Thanksgiving [1][3] - The U.S. believes that China should restore rare earth supply to the free flow status prior to April 4, but this may not be realistic without a comprehensive trade agreement [5][9] Group 1: U.S. Position and Actions - U.S. Treasury Secretary Becerra stated the desire to secure a rare earth supply agreement with China by the end of November [3] - Becerra warned of various retaliatory measures if China reneges on any agreement [3] - The U.S. has taken significant steps towards self-sufficiency in rare earths, but challenges remain in mining and refining capabilities [9] Group 2: China's Response and Market Dynamics - China is considering reopening rare earth exports under certain conditions, potentially limiting access to companies linked to the U.S. military [5] - China has recently resumed normal flow of rare earths by suspending export controls on key minerals [9] - Despite verbal concessions regarding U.S. soybean purchases, actual actions show ongoing discrepancies between the two nations [9] Group 3: Market Control and Dependency - China controls approximately 70% of global rare earth extraction and over 90% of processing capabilities, making it difficult for the U.S. to change this dependency in the short term [10] - The U.S. relied on imports for about 80% of its rare earth needs last year, with critical minerals like dysprosium and terbium almost entirely refined by China [10]

Market Overview - Major indices in the US experienced declines, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down by 386.51 points (-0.84%) to 45752.26, and the Nasdaq down by 486.18 points (-2.15%) to 22078.05 [2] - European markets showed mixed results, with the Euro Stoxx 50 up by 27.87 points (0.50%) to 5569.92, while the German DAX rose by 115.93 points (0.50%) to 23278.85 [2] - Asian markets also had varied performances, with the Taiwan Weighted Index increasing by 846.24 points (3.18%) to 27426.36, while the South Korean KOSPI fell by 95.27 points (-2.38%) to 3909.58 [2] US-China Trade Relations - The Chinese Minister of Commerce Wang Wentao met with the US Ambassador to China, focusing on the implementation of outcomes from US-China economic and trade consultations [3] - Concerns were raised regarding US unilateral tariffs, export controls, and investment restrictions, emphasizing the importance of supply chain stability [4] Employment and Economic Indicators - In September, the US non-farm payroll added 119,000 jobs, exceeding the market expectation of 50,000, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.4%, the highest since October 2021 [4] - Average hourly earnings increased by 0.2% month-on-month and 3.8% year-on-year, slightly above expectations [4] Federal Reserve Insights - Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester warned against further interest rate cuts, citing persistent inflation above the 2% target and the potential for increased financial risk [4] Geopolitical Developments - Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky agreed to collaborate with the US on a peace plan regarding the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with discussions expected to take place soon [4] Market Predictions - Goldman Sachs projected a potential $39 billion sell-off in global equities next week, triggered by the S&P 500 breaking a key support level [5] - The report indicated that if the downward trend continues, total sell-off could reach $65 billion [5] EU Pension Reforms - The EU announced reforms to the Pan-European Personal Pension Product (PEPP) to address pension pressures from an aging population, including the removal of mandatory consultation requirements [6] Corporate Developments - Wentech Technology responded to the Netherlands' suspension of an administrative order regarding Nexperia, urging for the permanent withdrawal of related regulations [7] - OpenAI and Foxconn have partnered to design and develop data center hardware, with OpenAI holding priority evaluation rights [8] - SoftBank plans to invest up to $3 billion to retrofit an Ohio factory for OpenAI's modular data center equipment [8] - Google launched a new image generation and editing model, Nano Banana Pro, which supports high-resolution outputs and advanced editing features [8] Personal Developments in Business - Trina Solar confirmed the marriage registration of its co-chairman Gao Haichun and the founder of Bawang Tea, Zhang Junjie, with no current business ties between their companies [9]

Core Viewpoint - The meeting between China's Minister of Commerce Wang Wentao and U.S. Ambassador to China Nicholas Burns focused on deepening discussions regarding U.S.-China economic and trade relations, emphasizing the need for cooperation and stability in these areas [1][3]. Group 1: U.S.-China Economic Relations - Wang Wentao highlighted the importance of the economic relationship as a stabilizing force, suggesting that trade should act as a "ballast" rather than a source of conflict [3]. - The Chinese side expressed a willingness to work with the U.S. to implement the important consensus reached by the two heads of state, aiming to manage uncertainties and instabilities in economic relations [3]. Group 2: Policy and Strategic Outlook - The recent Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China approved the "14th Five-Year Plan," outlining a new blueprint for China's socio-economic development over the next five years, indicating a focus on stability and continuity in policy [3]. - China aims to concentrate on its internal affairs while sharing development opportunities with the world, promoting common prosperity for all its people [3]. Group 3: Concerns and Issues Raised - Wang Wentao raised concerns regarding U.S. unilateral tariffs, export controls, investment restrictions, visa reviews, and restrictive clauses in U.S. agreements with third parties, indicating the complexities in the trade relationship [5]. - The discussion included clarifications on issues such as semiconductor regulations and the implementation of outcomes from previous economic negotiations [5].

Core Points - The meeting between Wang Wentao, the Chinese Minister of Commerce, and the U.S. Ambassador to China, Nicholas Burns, focused on U.S.-China economic and trade relations, emphasizing the need for cooperation and stability in these areas [1] - Wang highlighted the importance of the economic relationship as a stabilizing force for both countries, suggesting that trade should be a source of mutual benefit rather than conflict [1] - The Chinese government is committed to its "14th Five-Year Plan," which aims to promote economic development and share opportunities with the world [1] Group 1 - Wang Wentao expressed that the economic relationship between China and the U.S. should act as a stabilizing force, not a source of conflict [1] - The Chinese government is focused on maintaining a stable and continuous policy framework to support economic growth and shared prosperity [1] - Concerns were raised regarding U.S. unilateral tariffs, export controls, and investment restrictions, indicating potential areas of contention in the bilateral relationship [1] Group 2 - The meeting followed a summit between the two countries' leaders, where mutual prosperity and cooperation were emphasized [1] - Wang reiterated the importance of managing uncertainties and instabilities in the economic relationship to foster a more predictable environment for both nations [1] - The Chinese side is keen on implementing the outcomes of previous economic discussions with the U.S. to enhance cooperation [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of economic cooperation between China and the United States, suggesting that trade should act as a stabilizing force rather than a source of conflict [4] - The Chinese side expresses a willingness to work with the U.S. to implement the important consensus reached by the leaders of both countries, aiming to manage uncertainties and instabilities in economic relations [4][5] - Concerns were raised regarding U.S. unilateral tariffs, export controls, and investment restrictions, indicating a need for dialogue on these issues [7] Group 2 - The recent Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China approved the "14th Five-Year Plan," outlining a new blueprint for China's socio-economic development over the next five years [5] - The Chinese government aims to focus on domestic development while sharing growth opportunities with the world, highlighting the stability and continuity of its policies [5]