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本月开始在产蛋鸡存栏量将开启下降态势 预计明年12月达到明显低点
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 08:12
(作者:赵星,卓创资讯分析师) (文章来源:新华财经) 回顾2025年下半年,鸡蛋价格持续在3.00元/斤上下徘徊,截至11月13日,主产区鸡蛋均价3.08元/ 斤,而单斤鸡蛋饲料成本却达到了3.00元,养殖端盈利状况持续欠佳。并且截至11月13日,下半年单斤 鸡蛋的平均利润为-0.12元,而进入11月以后,亏损进一步加重,单斤鸡蛋利润降至-0.20元,较10月平 均水平减少0.03元。利润的持续下滑,导致企业现金流与生存空间持续挤压,四季度迎来了老母鸡淘汰 加速的基本面现状。 根据目前市场的情况来看,卓创资讯预计这种淘汰加速的情况或将有所维持。老母鸡出栏量的持续增 加,将直接导致在产蛋鸡存栏量的逐步下降。根据前期补栏数据及当前老母鸡淘汰现状预计,从2025年 11月开始,在产蛋鸡存栏量将呈现持续下降态势,并于2026年12月份达到明显的最低点,预计在12.10 亿只左右。当供给端收缩到一定程度,而消费需求保持相对稳定时,市场供需关系将发生根本性扭转。 届时,目前蛋价和老母鸡价格的弱势态势将得到缓解。 综合来看,后市鸡蛋及老母鸡价格或将经历"延续低位运行"后,进入"小幅反弹"的通道,根据鸡蛋需求 的季节性波动 ...
周报:风险偏好回升,钢价低位震荡运行-20251111
Zhong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-11-11 05:05
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report - Macroscopically, the expected end of the US government "shutdown" has led to a recovery in market risk appetite, providing some support for commodity prices. Industrially, the de - stocking of the five major steel products continued, but the slowdown in the decline of rebar inventory and the increase in hot - rolled coil inventory, along with the continuous decline in hot metal, have put pressure on steel prices. Currently, steel prices are near previous lows, and it is expected that the downward space is limited, with short - term low - level fluctuations. Medium - term, pay attention to new macro - driving factors from mid - November to December [3]. Summary According to the Directory 1. Market Review - Last week, overseas markets focused on liquidity risks, with a phased increase in risk - aversion sentiment. The high - level US dollar index pressured commodities. Industrially, the de - stocking of the five major steel products slowed down, with rebar slightly reducing inventory and hot - rolled coil inventory increasing. Steel prices fluctuated weakly under pressure [9]. 2. Steel Supply and Demand Analysis - **Production**: Rebar and hot - rolled coil production both decreased slightly. National rebar weekly production was 208.54 tons (down 1.91% week - on - week and 10.77% year - on - year), and national hot - rolled coil weekly production was 318.16 tons (down 1.67% week - on - week and up 2.13% year - on - year). Rebar production from both electric furnaces and blast furnaces decreased [13][15]. - **Operating Rate**: The blast furnace operating rate increased, while the electric furnace operating rate decreased. The national blast furnace operating rate was 83.13% (up 1.69% week - on - week and 0.84% year - on - year), and the electric furnace operating rate was 67.03% (down 2.62% week - on - week and 4.37% year - on - year) [22][26]. - **Profit**: The profits of rebar and hot - rolled coil improved slightly. Rebar profit was - 39 yuan/ton (up 18 yuan/ton week - on - week and down 188 yuan/ton year - on - year), and hot - rolled coil profit was - 80 yuan/ton (up 34 yuan/ton week - on - week and down 141 yuan/ton year - on - year) [27][30]. - **Demand**: The demand for rebar and hot - rolled coil both declined. Rebar apparent consumption was 218.52 tons (down 5.89% week - on - week and 5.34% year - on - year), the 5 - day average of national building materials transactions was 9.64 tons (down 7.81% week - on - week and 23.09% year - on - year), and hot - rolled coil apparent consumption was 314.3 tons (down 5.30% week - on - week and 1.48% year - on - year) [31][35]. - **Inventory**: Rebar de - stocking slowed down, with both factory and social inventories slightly decreasing. Hot - rolled coil inventory increased, with social inventory rising and factory inventory slightly decreasing [36][40]. - **Downstream**: In the real estate sector, the transactions of commercial housing and land both decreased month - on - month. In the automotive sector, in September 2025, automobile production and sales continued to rise both month - on - month and year - on - year [45][50]. 3. Iron Ore Supply and Demand Analysis - **Supply**: The arrivals from Australia and Brazil decreased periodically. The iron ore price index was 104.13 (down 2.23% week - on - week and up 2.96% year - on - year), the iron ore shipments from Australia and Brazil were 2683.5 tons (down 5.66% week - on - week and up 0.39% year - on - year), and the arrivals at 45 ports were 2741.2 tons (down 14.83% week - on - week and up 17.80% year - on - year) [53][58]. - **Demand**: The daily output of hot metal decreased month - on - month, while the port clearance volume increased slightly. The daily output of hot metal was 234.22 tons (down 2.14 tons week - on - week and up 0.16 tons year - on - year), the port clearance volume at 45 ports was 320.93 tons (up 0.24% week - on - week and 2.08% year - on - year), and the inventory - to - sales ratio of 247 steel enterprises was 31.21 days (up 2.83% week - on - week and down 0.89% year - on - year) [59][63]. - **Inventory**: Iron ore port inventory continued to rise, and steel enterprises' iron ore inventory increased slightly. The inventory at 45 ports was 14898.83 tons (up 2.45% week - on - week and down 2.50% year - on - year), the imported iron ore inventory of 247 steel enterprises was 9009.94 tons (up 1.81% week - on - week and down 1.32% year - on - year), and the average available days of iron ore for 114 steel enterprises was 24.25 days (up 3.85% week - on - week and 12.74% year - on - year) [64][68]. 4. Coking Coal and Coke Supply and Demand Analysis - **Supply**: The operating rate of domestic coking mines continued to decline, while Mongolian coal customs clearance was at a high level. The operating rate of coking mines was 83.76% (down 1.20% week - on - week and 6.71% year - on - year), the capacity utilization rate of coal washing plants was 37.61% (up 3.15% week - on - week and down 11.96% year - on - year), and the average daily Mongolian coal customs clearance volume was 16.55 tons (up 52.78% week - on - week and 3.73% year - on - year) [70][74]. - **Demand**: The transaction rate of coking coal auctions decreased slightly. The daily transaction rate of coking coal auctions was 61.25% (down 37.74% week - on - week and 34.35% year - on - year), and the weekly transaction rate was 88.42% (down 5.00% week - on - week and up 3.11% year - on - year) [75][77]. - **Coking Enterprises**: The profit of independent coking enterprises increased slightly, and the capacity utilization rate decreased slightly. The profit per ton of coke for independent coking enterprises was - 22 yuan/ton (up 10 yuan/ton week - on - week and down 58 yuan/ton year - on - year), the capacity utilization rate of independent coking enterprises was 72.31% (down 1.54% week - on - week and 1.61% year - on - year), and the capacity utilization rate of steel mills' coke was 84.99% (down 0.26% week - on - week and 1.87% year - on - year) [79][83]. - **Inventory**: Coking coal port inventory continued to rise, and coking plant inventory continued to increase. Coke port inventory decreased, and coking plant inventory remained at a low level [84][90]. - **Spot Price**: The fourth round of coke price increase started, and the game between steel and coking enterprises continued. The price of low - sulfur coking coal in Shanxi was 1660 yuan/ton (up 60 yuan/ton week - on - week and 10 yuan/ton year - on - year), and the ex - factory price of quasi - first - grade metallurgical coke in Handan was 1490 yuan/ton (up 50 yuan/ton week - on - week and down 270 yuan/ton year - on - year) [96][100]. 5. Spread Analysis - The basis of rebar widened, and the 1 - 5 spread of rebar narrowed. The spread between hot - rolled coil and rebar slightly widened, and the 1 - 5 spread of coking coal and coke widened [102][108].
跌幅60%!300万没了,广州一网红盘彻底跌落神坛,炒房客疯狂抛售
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 21:08
Core Viewpoint - The property market in Guangzhou is experiencing significant price declines, particularly in previously popular developments like Lanting Shenghui, which has seen a nearly 60% drop in price per square meter, leading to substantial losses for investors [1][4][5]. Group 1: Price Decline in Lanting Shenghui - Lanting Shenghui's price per square meter fell from 84,000 yuan to 37,000 yuan, representing a decrease of nearly 60% [1]. - In 2022, a 64-square-meter unit sold for 5.48 million yuan, with a price per square meter of 84,000 yuan, while recent transactions show similar units selling for only 256,000 yuan, or 37,446 yuan per square meter, indicating a loss of nearly 3 million yuan in value [4][5]. Group 2: Overall Market Trends in Guangzhou - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that in September, Guangzhou's new home prices fell by 4.1% year-on-year and 0.6% month-on-month, while second-hand home prices dropped by 6% year-on-year and 0.8% month-on-month, indicating a widening decline in the second-hand market [6][8]. - During the National Day holiday, new home transactions in Guangzhou increased by 26.4% year-on-year, but the overall market showed signs of cooling, with a significant drop in second-hand home transactions [13][14]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Buyer Sentiment - The decline in buyer confidence is attributed to previous policy relaxations and current market conditions, leading to a cautious approach among potential buyers [14][19]. - Areas experiencing the most significant price drops include peripheral and suburban regions, where supply has outpaced demand due to slow infrastructure development [15][19]. Group 4: Characteristics of Affected Properties - Properties facing severe price corrections often have inherent issues such as poor location, inadequate amenities, and outdated designs, which are becoming more pronounced in a buyer's market [19]. - The market is witnessing a shift in buyer preferences, with younger buyers favoring newer properties with better access to transportation over older, less desirable units [17][19].
生猪、玉米周报:生猪行情持续下行,玉米关注下方支撑-20251013
Cai Da Qi Huo· 2025-10-13 05:10
Group 1: Report Overview - Report Name: "Caida Futures | Weekly Report on Live Pigs and Corn" [1][2] - Report Date: October 13, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Tian Jinlian [3] Group 2: Live Pig Market Market Performance - Futures: The LH2601 contract of live pig futures closed at 12,140 yuan/ton, down 4.78% from the previous week's settlement price [4] - Spot: The national average price of external ternary live pigs was 11.48 yuan/kg, down 1.03 yuan/kg week-on-week [4] - Profit: As of October 10, the breeding profit of self - breeding and self - raising live pigs was - 152.15 yuan/head, down 78.04 yuan/head week - on - week; the breeding profit of purchasing piglets was - 301.04 yuan/head, down 64.47 yuan/head week - on - week; the pig - grain ratio was 5.26, down 0.18 week - on - week [4] Market Analysis - Supply: Group farms continued to increase supply, and although some retail farmers had the psychology of delaying sales, the overall market supply did not decrease [4] - Demand: After the holiday, demand declined, and market transactions were weak [4] - Outlook: In the short term, the supply - demand imbalance is difficult to reverse, and the live pig market is expected to remain weak. Attention should be paid to the slaughter rhythm of farmers and the performance of secondary fattening [4] Group 3: Corn Market Market Performance - Futures: The C2511 contract of corn futures closed at 2,125 yuan/ton, down 1.02% from the previous week's settlement price; the C2601 contract closed at 2,125 yuan/ton, down 0.14% [5] - Spot: The national average price of corn was 2,308.43 yuan/ton, down 60.2 yuan/ton week - on - week [5] - Port: Prices at major ports such as Jinzhou Port, Bayuquan Port, and Guangdong Shekou Port all declined [5] Industrial Consumption - Deep - processing: From October 2 to October 8, 149 major corn deep - processing enterprises consumed 1.1927 million tons of corn, an increase of 31,700 tons week - on - week [6] - Starch: The processing volume of corn starch enterprises was 544,500 tons, an increase of 17,800 tons; the weekly output was 268,000 tons, an increase of 12,200 tons; the weekly operating rate was 51.81%, up from the previous week [6] - Alcohol: The operating rate of the DDGS industry was 54.96%, up 3.49 percentage points; the weekly production was 111,840 tons, an increase of 7,100 tons, or 6.78% [6] Inventory - Processing Enterprises: As of October 8, the total corn inventory of 96 major corn processing enterprises in 12 regions was 2.334 million tons, an increase of 14.64% [6] - Ports: As of October 10, the total corn inventory of four northern ports was about 700,000 tons, and the corn inventory in Guangdong Port was 320,000 tons [6] Market Analysis - Supply: New corn is gradually being listed, and the arrival volume of deep - processing enterprises has increased [7] - Demand: The operating rate of the industry is gradually increasing, and there is still an expectation of further improvement [7] - Outlook: In the short term, corn prices are still under pressure, and attention should be paid to the support level of 2,100 yuan/ton on the futures market [7]
贵金属有色金属产业日报-20250930
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-09-30 10:36
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The Fed's expected rate cut is driving up gold prices, with the market pricing in an 88% probability of a rate cut in October. Global central banks' strong gold - buying trend and geopolitical risks also support gold prices [3]. - Copper prices soared last week due to the unexpected halt at Grasberg Copper Mine, and there is a short - term over - increase [18]. - Aluminum prices are in a short - term tug - of - war due to mixed demand signals. Alumina is in an oversupply situation, while casting aluminum alloy is trading based on fundamentals with a mixed outlook. All three may show short - term positive sentiment [38][39][40]. - Zinc supply is in surplus, and the market shows a pattern of strong external and weak internal prices in terms of inventory. It is expected to fluctuate in the short term [64]. - The nickel industry is affected by various factors such as government sanctions, cost increases, and supply - demand dynamics in different segments. Prices in different parts of the chain show different trends [80]. - Tin prices are likely to fluctuate due to the short - term supply - tight situation and weak demand [95]. - Carbonate lithium futures prices are expected to fluctuate before the National Day holiday, supported by potential downstream demand growth [110]. - The industrial silicon market will maintain a "strong expectation, weak reality" pattern, and polysilicon prices are volatile [122]. Summaries Based on Related Catalogs Precious Metals - **Price Influencing Factors**: Fed rate - cut expectations, global central bank gold purchases, and geopolitical risks support gold prices. The market anticipates an 88% chance of a rate cut in October, and 2025 central bank gold purchases may exceed 900 tons [3]. Copper - **Price Movement**: Copper prices rose significantly last week because of the unexpected halt at Grasberg Copper Mine, and there is short - term over - increase. The recovery time of the mine is longer than previously expected [18]. - **Market Data**: The latest prices of Shanghai copper futures and spot copper show different degrees of change, and inventory data also change [19][24]. Aluminum - **Aluminum**: Short - term price movements are affected by demand changes and potential positive sentiment from industry policies. The inventory decreased by 21,000 tons on Thursday [38]. - **Alumina**: It is in an oversupply situation, but short - term downward profit space may be limited due to factors such as cost and industry policies [39]. - **Casting Aluminum Alloy**: It is trading based on fundamentals, with mixed supply - demand factors leading to short - term price stability [40]. Zinc - **Supply - Demand Situation**: Supply is in surplus, with domestic mines having a price advantage and overseas mines increasing production. Demand shows a pattern of strong external and weak internal prices in terms of inventory [64]. - **Market Data**: Zinc futures and spot prices change, and inventory data also show different trends [65][73]. Nickel - **Industry Situation**: The nickel industry is affected by government sanctions, cost increases, and supply - demand dynamics in different segments. Nickel iron prices are falling, and stainless steel inventory is accumulating [80]. - **Market Data**: The prices of nickel and stainless steel futures and spot show different degrees of change, and inventory data also change [81]. Tin - **Price Outlook**: Tin prices are likely to fluctuate due to short - term supply - tightness and weak demand, and the impact of macro factors has decreased [95]. - **Market Data**: Tin futures and spot prices change, and inventory data also show different trends [96][101]. Carbonate Lithium - **Price Forecast**: Carbonate lithium futures prices are expected to fluctuate before the National Day holiday, supported by potential downstream demand growth [110]. - **Market Data**: Futures and spot prices of carbonate lithium change, and inventory data also show different trends [111][116]. Industrial Silicon - **Market Outlook**: The industrial silicon market will maintain a "strong expectation, weak reality" pattern, and polysilicon prices are volatile. Attention should be paid to production cuts in the southwest and policy implementation [122]. - **Market Data**: Industrial silicon futures and spot prices change, and inventory data also show different trends [122].
专家分享:钾肥、磷肥行业中长期趋势分享
2025-09-28 14:57
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the potassium and phosphorus fertilizer industry trends, focusing on global supply and demand dynamics for 2024 and 2025 [1][2][3]. Key Insights on Potassium Fertilizer - **Global Supply and Demand**: - In 2024, global potassium fertilizer supply is expected to reach a historical high, primarily due to recovery in production from Canada, Russia, and former Soviet Union countries, although not fully back to 2021 levels [1]. - Global demand for potassium fertilizer is driven by price declines, government support, and increased soybean demand from South America [1][3]. - China's resource-type potassium fertilizer production is projected to grow slightly by 1.65% in 2024, with a significant increase of 15.6% in sulfate of potash (SOP) production [2]. - **Cost Trends**: - The global on-site cost for potassium fertilizer in 2024 is estimated at $128 per ton, a decrease of 5.8% year-on-year, with a slight increase to $131 per ton expected in 2025 [10]. - **Future Supply Projections**: - Global potassium fertilizer supply in 2025 is expected to remain stable or slightly lower than in 2024, with potential increases from Russia and Belarus [5][7]. - New potassium fertilizer capacity of 14.7 million tons is anticipated from 2025 to 2029, with approximately 40% of the investment coming from China [7]. - **Market Dynamics**: - High contract prices for 2025 are attributed to low inventory levels in overseas markets and operational impacts from major suppliers [11]. Key Insights on Phosphorus Fertilizer - **Demand Factors**: - The demand for phosphorus fertilizer is influenced by declining inventory levels and increased consumption in the renewable energy sector [3][12]. - Phosphate rock production is expected to grow significantly in the first half of 2025, with Hubei and Yunnan provinces contributing over 60% of the total production [13]. - **Supply and Capacity**: - New phosphorus rock capacity is projected to be close to 65 million tons from 2025 to 2029, but only about 30% of this is expected to be realized [14]. - Domestic self-sufficiency in phosphorus rock is around 98%, with imports becoming increasingly necessary due to production shortfalls [15]. - **Price Trends**: - Phosphate rock prices have surged since 2020, with high-grade resources nearing 1,000 RMB, driven by supply constraints and geopolitical factors [19]. - Future prices are expected to stabilize between 800 to 1,000 RMB if new capacity does not meet expectations [21]. Additional Important Insights - **Environmental and Operational Challenges**: - Tailings pond backfilling is crucial for reducing subsidence risks, which can impact long-term potassium fertilizer production [6]. - The BHP Jansen Lake project has faced delays, pushing its production timeline from 2026 to mid-2027 due to budget overruns and extended timelines [9]. - **Market Outlook**: - The overall market for phosphorus and potassium fertilizers is expected to remain stable, with traditional demand patterns continuing, while renewable energy sector demand is anticipated to grow significantly [22]. - **Production Calculations**: - Phosphate rock production is calculated based on a standard ore content of 30%, with discrepancies noted between reported and actual production levels due to utilization rates [23][24]. This summary encapsulates the critical points discussed in the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the potassium and phosphorus fertilizer industries, their current status, and future outlooks.
预计四季度国内双胶纸供应将延续宽松状态
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 07:09
Core Insights - The dual-coated paper industry is experiencing a divergence in capacity and output, with an increase of 1 million tons in new capacity in the first eight months of 2025, while production has decreased by 11.59% year-on-year [1] - The industry is still in a development phase, with large paper mills continuing to expand, leading to an enhanced supply capability [1] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The domestic dual-coated paper market has shown weaker-than-expected demand in 2023, influenced by cultural education policies and macroeconomic conditions, resulting in delayed downstream publishing tenders and a persistent weak demand environment [2] - The average market price for 70g wood pulp high-white dual-coated paper is 4,788 yuan/ton, and for 70g wood pulp natural white dual-coated paper is 4,483 yuan/ton, reflecting declines of 11.14% and 10.75% respectively compared to the end of last year [2] - Monthly industry operating rates for dual-coated paper have remained between 48% and 53% from January to August, showing a significant decline compared to the same period last year [4] Future Outlook - There remains 1.25 million tons of new capacity expected to be released in the fourth quarter, which, along with the resumption of previously halted production lines, is anticipated to increase market supply [6] - The recovery of production lines in Shandong, with an annual capacity of around 1 million tons, is expected to further boost industry operating rates [7] - The dual-coated paper market is projected to maintain a loose supply state in the fourth quarter, with an expected increase in production of 180,000 tons, representing an 8% growth [7]
锂电行业交流
2025-09-07 16:19
Summary of Lithium Battery Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the lithium battery industry, particularly the energy storage sector, discussing market dynamics, pricing trends, and production capacities [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments Pricing Trends - Energy storage cell prices have increased primarily due to market supply and demand dynamics rather than fluctuations in lithium carbonate prices [2][4]. - New orders are executed at increased prices, while previously signed contracts remain unaffected by the price hikes [5]. - The price of energy storage cells rose from approximately 0.24 CNY per watt-hour at the beginning of the year to a current range of 0.29 to 0.33 CNY per watt-hour [4]. Production Capacity and Utilization - The overall capacity utilization rate in the energy storage sector is high, especially among second and third-tier manufacturers, with large capacity 314 model production lines operating at full capacity [2][6]. - There are over 20 model enterprises with a total annual capacity of 850 GWh, with an effective utilization rate of about 50% [15]. - Monthly production of energy storage cells in August was approximately 53-54 GWh, with a projected 5% increase in September [19]. Market Dynamics - The demand for energy storage in China is growing faster than in overseas markets, influenced significantly by regional subsidy policies [13]. - The market is becoming more competitive, with opportunities becoming more equal due to market-based bidding processes [14][28]. - The industry is witnessing a shift from oligopoly to increased competition, with second-tier manufacturers gaining market share [28][29]. Future Outlook - Anticipated increases in large cell deliveries in 2026 and 2027 may lead to a decrease in production costs, although rising market enthusiasm could create supply-side pressures [2][8]. - New energy storage capacity is expected to be released gradually in 2026, but a ramp-up period of 1-3 months will be necessary [12][22]. - The effective capacity increase in 2026 is projected to be around 50%, aligning with industry growth rates [22]. Challenges and Risks - System manufacturers are under pressure as the price of energy storage cells has risen, but they are struggling to pass these costs onto downstream customers [30]. - The transition from smaller to larger battery models (e.g., from 314 to 587 models) presents challenges, including the need for new production lines and potential impacts on yield rates [31]. Competitive Landscape - Major players in the large energy storage cell market maintain strong relationships with downstream manufacturers, enhancing their market recognition [29]. - The pricing mechanism between large customers and battery manufacturers is complex, with different agreements affecting delivery structures [25][26]. Conclusion - The lithium battery industry, particularly in energy storage, is experiencing significant changes in pricing, production capacity, and competitive dynamics. The outlook remains positive, with expected growth in demand and production, although challenges related to cost pressures and market competition persist [2][8][28].
油料日报:政策调控稳定豆一,花生供给受天气影响-20250902
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-09-02 07:51
Report Industry Investment Rating - Soybean strategy: Neutral [3] - Peanut strategy: Neutral [3] Core Viewpoints - The soybean futures stopped falling and rebounded, with a divergence between the domestic and imported soybean markets. Policy - driven reserve soybean sales keep the supply abundant, and the demand is stable. The market focuses on international economic and trade relations and policy signals [2]. - The peanut futures fluctuated strongly. With the end of the spring peanut supply peak and less old - crop inventory, rain has affected peanut supply, and some oil mills' trial purchases sent positive signals [3]. Market Analysis - Soybean Futures - The closing price of the Douyi 2511 contract was 3965.00 yuan/ton, up 20.00 yuan/ton or +0.51% from the previous day [1]. Spot - The edible bean spot basis was A11 + 255, down 40 with a 32.14% change from the previous day. The prices in Northeast China were stable but trading was quiet. New bean prices were not optimistic due to continuous state - reserve auctions [1]. Market Situation - Policy promotes reserve soybean sales, keeping supply abundant. Demand runs stably. The market is tracking international economic and trade negotiations, and policy is the key factor affecting the market [2]. Market Analysis - Peanut Futures - The closing price of the peanut 2510 contract was 7830.00 yuan/ton, up 46.00 yuan/ton or +0.59% from the previous day [3]. Spot - The average peanut spot price was 8450.00 yuan/ton, up 40.00 yuan/ton or +0.48% month - on - month. The spot basis was PK10 + 270.00, down 46.00 with a - 14.56% change. The national average price of common peanuts was stable at 4.21 yuan/jin, and prices in some areas rose due to rain [3]. Market Situation - The spring peanut supply peak is over, and old - crop inventory is low. Rain affects peanut supply, and farmers are more reluctant to sell. Some oil mills' trial purchases sent positive signals, but the overall trading atmosphere is still dull [3].
中西部最大战略调峰储气库正式投运;本周多晶硅整体成交均价小幅上涨|新能源早参
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-13 23:05
Group 1: Polysilicon Market - The overall transaction price of polysilicon has slightly increased this week, despite a slight decrease in transaction volume [1] - The number of signing companies has risen to six, with some maintaining prices while others have increased prices by 1 yuan/kg [1] - The price increase is attributed to significant signing volumes from leading companies and a notable reduction in inventory levels [1] Group 2: Natural Gas Storage - The YU37 gas storage facility in Yulin, Shaanxi, has officially commenced operations, marking the largest strategic gas storage in Central and Western China [2] - The facility has a total design capacity of 9.72 billion cubic meters and can inject up to 17 million cubic meters of gas daily during off-peak seasons [2] - This project is crucial for ensuring natural gas supply in the region, particularly for the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei area and 60 million households in Shaanxi [2] Group 3: Jiangte Electric - Jiangte Electric has announced that it holds multiple mining and exploration rights in the Yichun area, with lithium resources exceeding 100 million tons [3] - The Qikeng lithium mine is the most significant, with a reported resource reserve of 72.93 million tons at an average Li2O grade of 0.44% [3] - The company's resource advantages in the lithium battery sector are expected to positively impact its long-term development [3]