A股黄金、有色金属板块因此掀起涨停潮，白银有色（维权）七连板，中国黄金四连板，四川黄金、湖南黄金等纷纷涨停。 每经记者｜王砚丹 每经编辑｜彭水萍 1月28日，A股三大指数涨跌不一，截至收盘，沪指涨0.27%，收报4151.24点；深证成指涨0.09%，收报14342.89点；创业板指跌0.57%，收报3323.56点。 沪深京三市成交额达到29926亿元，较昨日放量709亿元。 个股方面，上涨股票数量超过1700只，逾80只股票涨停。贵金属、珠宝首饰、采掘行业、有色金属、小金属、煤炭行业涨幅居前，光伏设备、医疗器械、 医疗服务、生物制品、航天航空板块跌幅居前。 今日收盘后，2026年A股1月行情仅剩两个交易日。最近半个月以来，对很多投资者来说，其实赚钱并没有那么容易。 沪指虽然一直在4100点左右横盘，但个股分化明显。就像今日盘中，A股整体还是延续涨少跌多态势，超60%个股飘绿。如果没有踩中热点，投资体验并 不好。 这种情况和去年8月有些相似。当时轮动的是寒武纪、宁德时代等高价股。而从最近的盘面来看，热点一直围绕有色、存储等板块。它们上涨的核心逻辑 都绕不开"产品涨价"这一关键词，这也让两大板块成为1月A股市 ...

1月28日，A股三大指数涨跌不一，截至收盘，沪指涨0.27%，收报4151.24点；深证成指涨0.09%，收报14342.89点；创业板指跌0.57%，收报3323.56点。 沪深京三市成交额达到29926亿元，较昨日放量709亿元。 个股方面，上涨股票数量超过1700只，逾80只股票涨停。贵金属、珠宝首饰、采掘行业、有色金属、小金属、煤炭行业涨幅居前，光伏设备、医疗器械、 医疗服务、生物制品、航天航空板块跌幅居前。 今日收盘后，2026年A股1月行情仅剩两个交易日。最近半个月以来，对很多投资者来说，其实赚钱并没有那么容易。 沪指虽然一直在4100点左右横盘，但个股分化明显。就像今日盘中，A股整体还是延续涨少跌多态势，超60%个股飘绿。如果没有踩中热点，投资体验并 不好。 有色方面以黄金为代表。1月国际金价也涨势惊人，今日现货黄金盘中一度突破5200美元，再创历史新高。2025年最后一个交易日，现货黄金报收4310.89 美元，也就是说，2026年开年不到一个月时间，现货黄金已大涨超过900美元。 A股黄金、有色金属板块因此掀起涨停潮，白银有色七连板，中国黄金四连板，四川黄金、湖南黄金等纷纷涨停。 另外，国际 ...

1月28日，恒生指数走势强劲，盘中创4年多新高，截至港股收盘，恒生指数涨2.58%，报27826.91点， 创4年多新高，恒生科技指数涨2.53%，报5900.16点，有色金属、石油、半导体板块领涨。中国石化油 服涨约15%，赤峰黄金涨约11%，山东黄金涨约9%，中铝国际涨约8%，泡泡玛特涨约7%。鸣鸣很忙上 市首日收涨69.06%。 半导体板块上涨，华虹半导体涨超7%，中芯国际涨超3%。继存储芯片大幅涨价后，已有模拟芯片公司 开始对部分产品进行涨价。公开资料显示，从2025年底起，德州仪器、ADI等国际模拟公司开始对部分 产品陆续启动涨价，涨价品类对应的下游应用领域主要为AI服务器、汽车电子等。值得一提的是，德 州仪器最新给出的强劲展望，凸显模拟芯片订单回升。 券商观点： 国金策略：跨市场比较来看，港股红利依旧具备性价比 国金策略认为在AI投资宏观风险较低、降息周期下全球制造业景气度向上的背景下，会有更多行业的 景气度出现改善，投资者可能还是会更加关注增长率而非股息率。因此在红利策略内部，行业选择上可 以更多地向基本面要弹性。跨市场比较来看，港股红利依旧具备性价比，但对于个人投资者而言考虑到 红利税之后可能 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a significant increase in the CSI 500 Free Cash Flow Index, which rose over 3.2%, with specific stocks like Silver Nonferrous and Zhejiang Longsheng hitting the daily limit [1] - The CSI 500 Free Cash Flow ETF (560120) has seen a rise of over 3.7%, marking an 8-day consecutive increase, and has attracted a net inflow of over 79.9 million yuan in the past 10 days [1] - The index employs a quarterly adjustment mechanism to dynamically update its sample based on the latest financial data, effectively removing companies with negative or declining cash flow quality, thus enhancing its "metabolic" capability and reducing long-term holding risks [1] Group 2 - Western Securities notes that during the Kondratiev wave downturn, increased geopolitical uncertainty has led to a natural preference for gold or stable cash flow "safe assets," which has re-evaluated the dividend strategy in the A-share market [2] - The cash flow strategy has outperformed dividends in the current market, as the "anti-involution + capital repatriation" trend is restoring corporate free cash flow [2] - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI 500 Free Cash Flow Index include CIMC, Shougang, Silver Nonferrous, and Zhejiang Longsheng, collectively accounting for 44.11% of the index [2]

Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing a recovery, particularly in the dividend sector, with specific ETFs reaching historical highs, indicating a shift towards high-quality, high-certainty investment strategies in a volatile market environment [1][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 28, the low-fee China Securities Dividend Quality ETF (159209) and the 800 Cash Flow ETF (159119) rose by 1.87% and 2.29% respectively, with intraday peaks of 2.10% and 2.47%, both approaching historical highs [1]. - The trading volume for the China Securities Dividend Quality ETF reached 446,100 units, with a market price of ¥1.308 and a net asset value of ¥10.65 billion [1]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - In a market characterized by a lack of clear direction and declining risk appetite, there is a consensus among some investors to pursue high-quality, high-certainty investment strategies, which are seen as a "safe haven" [5]. - The core driver of this shift is a profound change in market pricing logic, emphasizing companies that can generate stable free cash flow and maintain high profitability quality [5]. - The 800 Cash Flow ETF focuses on the real cash-generating ability of companies, serving as a core strategy to withstand economic cycle fluctuations, while the China Securities Dividend Quality ETF combines dividend returns with stringent criteria for company growth and sustainable profitability [5]. Group 3: New Fund Launch - The first China Securities Dividend Quality ETF linked fund (fund code: 026671) is set to officially launch, with the offering period from February 2 to February 6, 2026, managed by China Merchants Fund [5].

【报告导读】在AI投资宏观风险较低、降息周期下全球制造业景气度向上的背景下，会有更多行业的景气度出现改善，投资者可能还是会更加关注增长 率而非股息率。因此在红利策略内部，行业选择上可以更多地向基本面要弹性。跨市场比较来看，港股红利依旧具备性价比，但对于个人投资者而言考虑 到红利税之后可能就没那么明显。 Summary 摘要 1一问红利：2026年是否会有超额？ 2025年红利策略大幅跑输市场，最核心的原因在于市场找到了新的能够突破宏观趋势的成长性：以AI产业投资为代表，以及景气度也开始逐步扩散到与 AI强相关的"泛AI"领域。所以市场的定价驱动力从2022年至2024年上半年的股息率d逐步开始重新转向增长率g。展望2026年，红利策略是否会有相较于全 A的超额收益，核心判断还是在于市场是否依旧以基本面的边际变化作为核心驱动力？基于我们年度策略《世界的中国》对于2026年的基本面展望，在AI 投资宏观风险较低、降息周期下全球制造业景气度向上的背景下，2026年中国的企业盈利修复可能是股票市场的核心驱动力，会有更多的行业景气度出现 改善。在这种宏观背景下，我们认为投资者可能还是会更加关注基本面的边际变化（增长率） ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the strong performance of the dividend sector in the stock market, particularly the 800 Cash Flow ETF (159119), which is noted for its unique low fee rate of 0.2% per year [1][3] - The 800 Cash Flow ETF selects companies with strong cash-generating capabilities, referred to as "cash cows," from the top 800 companies in the market, with leading industries including automotive, petrochemicals, and home appliances [3] - The investment strategy represented by the ETF signifies a shift from traditional high dividend yields to a focus on sustainable free cash flow and company growth potential, indicating a deeper transition in investment philosophy towards value-based investing [3] Group 2 - The current macroeconomic environment is leading to a re-evaluation of the value of high-quality companies that can consistently generate stable free cash flow, highlighting their scarcity in the market [3] - This investment approach serves as a stabilizing force against economic fluctuations and aligns with the evolving trend from "high dividend" to "high quality" dividend investments [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the emergence of the China Securities Dividend Quality ETF (159209) as a "third path" in investment strategy, combining dividend safety with strong offensive elasticity, distinguishing it from traditional defensive dividend stocks and growth stocks [1]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - Traditional dividend strategies are often linked to defensive sectors like banking, coal, and utilities, which tend to underperform in a bull market [3]. - The China Securities Dividend Quality Index incorporates quality factors (high ROE, stable growth, excellent cash flow) to transform traditional dividend stocks, resulting in a selection of companies that not only pay dividends but also have the capacity for endogenous growth through high-quality operations [3]. Group 2: Sector Performance - The leading sectors in the China Securities Dividend Quality Index include non-ferrous metals, media, and basic chemicals, which align perfectly with the current market trends of economic recovery and industrial prosperity [3][4]. - Non-ferrous metals serve as a core vehicle for inflation trades and global manufacturing recovery, with price elasticity directly translating into profit surges for leading companies [4]. - The media sector, particularly gaming and film, benefits from AI-driven cost reductions and consumer recovery, presenting significant profit recovery and valuation enhancement opportunities [4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The interconnected rise of these three sectors is not merely a beta market trend but a result of the "high quality" selection criteria, ensuring the index captures high-dividend, cyclical growth stocks during economic upturns [6]. - The China Securities Dividend Quality ETF (159209) evolves from being a defensive tool to an offensive strategy, allowing investors to embrace bull markets without sacrificing dividend income for volatility control [6].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is expected to perform strongly in 2026, with various Hong Kong Stock Connect ETFs becoming key instruments for investors to engage in this bullish trend. Analysts predict a long-term bull market driven by technology as the main theme [1][28]. Group 1: Market Performance and Trends - The Hong Kong stock market had disappointing performance in Q4 2025, which may set the stage for a better performance in 2026. A potential influx of 10% of A-shares' funds into Hong Kong could double its trading activity [28]. - As of January 27, 2026, the trading volume of Hong Kong stocks was less than 300 billion HKD, while A-shares reached 30 trillion HKD, indicating a significant disparity in market activity [28]. - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange achieved a record IPO financing total of 274.6 billion HKD in 2025, ranking first globally, with domestic tech companies being the main contributors [48]. Group 2: ETF Growth and Features - Huabao Fund's equity ETF management scale surpassed 140 billion HKD, reaching 140.48 billion HKD as of January 27, 2026, marking a 71.78% increase from the end of 2024 [1][30]. - The Hong Kong Stock Connect ETFs support T+0 trading, enhancing investment efficiency and liquidity, with a diverse range of industry themes and unique products [33][47]. - Notable ETFs include the Hong Kong Information Technology ETF (159131), which focuses on the chip industry and is the first to track the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Information Technology Index [33][39]. Group 3: Sector-Specific ETFs - The Hong Kong Internet ETF (513770) has a significant focus on leading internet companies and had a fund size of 14.5 billion HKD as of January 27, 2026, with an average daily trading volume exceeding 600 million HKD [33][39]. - The Hong Kong Automotive ETF (520780) targets scarce leading automotive companies, while the Hong Kong Medical ETF (159137) covers four major medical sectors, including CXO and biopharmaceuticals [33][40]. - The Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (159220) has shown strong performance since 2021, outperforming the CSI 300 Index, highlighting its defensive and growth potential in volatile markets [41][43]. Group 4: Investment Strategies and Future Outlook - The focus on technology and high dividend strategies is forming a robust product line for Huabao Fund, with a comprehensive "high dividend ETF family" across A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [41][46]. - The influx of southbound funds into the Hong Kong market reached a record net inflow of 1.404 trillion HKD in 2025, with continued interest into 2026, indicating a growing demand for Hong Kong investments [49]. - The market is expected to see more high-quality Chinese tech companies listed, providing effective tools for investors to capture beta returns through various Hong Kong ETFs [49].

Group 1: Dividend Strategy Outlook for 2026 - The dividend strategy in 2025 significantly underperformed the market, primarily due to the emergence of new growth sectors like AI, which shifted market focus from dividend yield (d) to growth rate (g) from 2022 to mid-2024[2] - For 2026, the core judgment on whether dividend strategies can achieve excess returns hinges on whether the market continues to prioritize marginal changes in fundamentals[2] - With a low macro risk environment for AI investments and a recovery in corporate earnings expected, the focus may remain on growth rates rather than dividend yields, making excess returns from dividend strategies unlikely[2] Group 2: A-Shares vs. Hong Kong Stocks - Since April 2024, Hong Kong's low-volatility dividend index has outperformed A-shares by 49%, driven mainly by the industrial, financial, and energy sectors[3] - Despite the higher dividend yield of Hong Kong stocks, the PE valuation levels are now comparable to A-shares, indicating limited room for further convergence[3] - The relative performance of Hong Kong stocks is attributed more to stock selection rather than industry allocation, with financials, energy, and industrials contributing the most to excess returns[3] Group 3: Constructing the 2026 Dividend Portfolio - The 2026 dividend strategy should focus on sectors benefiting from AI investment, manufacturing recovery, and domestic consumption recovery, with traditional manufacturing and resource sectors expected to have the broadest benefits[3] - A scoring system combining payout ratios and stability with profitability metrics (ROE) is proposed to optimize sector allocation for dividends[3] - Recommended sectors for increased allocation include insurance, textile manufacturing, and logistics, while sectors with high potential but lower success rates, like banks and construction, should be considered for long-term investment[3]