Group 1: Industry Events - The 2025 High-Performance Sodium Battery Industry Summit is scheduled for June 9, 2025, at the Shangri-La Hotel in Suzhou [2] - The 2025 High-Performance Solid-State Battery Technology and Application Summit will take place on June 10, 2025, at the same venue [3] Group 2: Company Developments - Guansheng Co. revealed that its semi-solid lithium iron phosphate battery is primarily aimed at energy storage customers, showing significant safety improvements with no combustion or explosion during puncture, extrusion, and collision tests. The battery has achieved a cycle life of 12,000 times, surpassing traditional liquid batteries. The company's factory in Wenzhou is expected to partially commence production by the end of this year, with full production anticipated by mid-2026 [3] - CATL has established two new energy companies, Changsha Runshi New Energy Co., Ltd. and Chongren County Runshi New Energy Co., Ltd., with registered capital of 580,000 yuan and 3.81 million yuan, respectively. These companies will engage in power generation, transmission, distribution, electrical installation services, energy management contracts, battery sales, and IoT technology services [5] Group 3: Market Analysis - CITIC Securities reported that lithium prices have slowed their decline in Q1 2025, leading to a slight recovery in overseas lithium ore prices and improved operations for salt lake enterprises. However, the supply side is clearing slowly, with lithium prices dropping to 60,000 yuan/ton in Q2, significantly increasing the industry's loss rate. Expectations for mine production cuts and price stabilization are rising, but the reduction in production is less than anticipated. The forecast for lithium prices in H2 2025 is adjusted to a range of 60,000 to 70,000 yuan/ton, with a recommendation to focus on low-cost stocks that may benefit from a rebound in lithium prices [7] Group 4: New Projects - Zhongke Electric signed a contract for a 200,000-ton lithium battery material base project in Oman, with a total investment not exceeding 8 billion yuan. The project will be constructed in two phases, each with a planned capacity of 100,000 tons per year, and is expected to take 36 months for each phase [13] - Ruipu Lanjun has signed a strategic cooperation memorandum with Indonesia's Bakrie & Brothers Group to deliver over 3,000 electric buses and trucks' power batteries by 2025, focusing on "green transportation, made in Indonesia" [15]

Core Viewpoint - The lithium price decline has slowed down in Q1 2025, leading to a slight recovery in overseas lithium mine prices and improved operations for salt lake companies, but the industry is facing significant losses as prices drop to 60,000 yuan/ton [1] Group 1: Lithium Market Dynamics - In Q1 2025, overseas lithium mine production decreased, with a total output of 1.01 million tons, a decline of over 10% quarter-on-quarter [2] - Major lithium mines saw a slight price recovery in Q1 2025, with average prices rising above $800/ton, driven by strong demand in the Chinese market [2] - The price of lithium concentrate has entered a new downward trend since Q2 2025, dropping below $650/ton by the end of May, leading to increased operational pressure and losses for overseas lithium miners [3] Group 2: South American Salt Lake Operations - In Q1 2025, lithium sales for ALB, SQM, and LAAC/Ganfeng Lithium were 44,000 tons, 55,000 tons, and 7,200 tons respectively, with year-on-year growth of 6%, 26%, and 60% [4] - ALB and SQM showed improved operational performance in Q1 2025 due to reduced price declines and increased contributions from other business segments [4] - South American salt lake lithium companies are continuing their expansion plans, with LAR and Ganfeng Lithium aiming to increase their lithium production capacity in Argentina to over 200,000 tons [4] Group 3: Supply and Price Outlook - As of the end of May 2025, domestic lithium carbonate prices fell to 60,000 yuan/ton, further expanding industry losses and strengthening expectations for mine production cuts and price rebounds [5] - The company expects lithium prices to stabilize and rebound at current levels, but long-term prices are anticipated to remain at the bottom due to oversupply and cost-cutting efforts by lithium resource companies [5] - The adjusted forecast for lithium prices in the second half of 2025 is set at 60,000 to 70,000 yuan/ton [5]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Fundamentally, the cost side has stopped falling and stabilized, with some third - party quotes rising. The pre - scheduled production of cathode material factories has been reduced, downstream sentiment is cautious, market transactions are sluggish, and there is no obvious improvement on the demand side. The upstream resumption of production is slow, and production cuts are increasing, resulting in a weak fundamental situation [4]. - In terms of cost, during the reporting period, the price of spodumene rebounded, while the mica price continued to decline [4]. - On the trading floor, after the signing of the Sino - US economic and trade agreement, there was a short - term rally due to short - sellers leaving the market, but the rebound was limited, and the trading volume increased significantly. The short - selling trend continued, and the price hit a new low on Friday [4]. - In the later stage, there is no expectation of fundamental improvement, the short - selling sentiment is strong, and the price may break through the previous low. Although the lithium ore price has stabilized and miners are willing to support the price, the lithium ore resources are not scarce, and the bargaining power of the mining end is limited. The supply - side resumption of production is slow, and production cuts are limited. The salt lake is still in the production - increasing stage, and there is an inventory expectation at the import end. The demand side has weak growth, and the lithium price may remain weak [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Data - The price of imported lithium raw ore (1.3% - 2.2%) remained unchanged at 115 dollars/ton; the price of imported lithium concentrate (5.5% - 6%) increased by 1.13% to 715 dollars/ton; the price of domestic lithium concentrate (5.5% - 6%) decreased by 1.70% to 695 dollars/ton [6]. - The battery - grade lithium carbonate spot price decreased by 1.59% to 6.30 million yuan/ton; the industrial - grade lithium carbonate spot price dropped to 0, a 100% decrease [6]. - The total lithium carbonate inventory increased by 0.34% to 92,073 tons [6]. Market Analysis and Outlook Last Week's Market Analysis - As of May 16, 2025, the warehouse receipt scale of the Guangzhou Futures Exchange was 36,624 tons, and the latest matching transaction price was 62,580 yuan/ton. The position of the main contract 2507 was 328,700 lots [8]. - On the supply side, as of May 16, the weekly output of lithium carbonate was 15,843 tons, a decrease of 205 tons from the previous period. Although smelters had production cuts, the salt lake was in the production - increasing stage, so the supply - side contraction was limited [8]. - In March, the import volume of lithium carbonate was about 18,100 tons, a 47% month - on - month increase and a 4.8% year - on - year decrease. The import from Chile and Argentina changed, and the increase in imports from Chile in March may push up the domestic supply in May [8]. - In March, the import of lithium ore was about 534,500 tons, a 5.8% month - on - month decrease. The imports from different countries had different changes, and overall, lithium ore resources were not scarce [9][10]. - In terms of demand, for cathode materials, the production and prices of some products decreased, and the overall cathode material market was in an oversupply situation, with most prices still falling. Some cathode material factories reduced their production plans in May, and there was no obvious increase in lithium demand expected [11]. - In the new energy vehicle market, from May 1 - 11, the retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles were 294,000, a 32% year - on - year increase and a 29% month - on - month increase. The new energy market retail penetration rate was 51.3%. New energy vehicle consumption still had resilience, and new policies were introduced [12]. - In terms of inventory, as of May 16, the total lithium carbonate inventory was 92,073 tons, an increase of 311 tons from the previous period. The factory inventory increased, while the market inventory decreased, showing a differentiated trend [13]. This Week's Outlook - The short - selling sentiment continues, and the lithium price may hit a new low. There is no expectation of fundamental improvement, the short - selling sentiment on the trading floor is strong, and the price may break through. Although the lithium ore price has stabilized, the supply - side resumption of production is slow, and the demand side has weak growth [14]. Industry News - During the "May Day" holiday in 2025, the national consumer market was prosperous. The subsidy application volume for automobile trade - ins exceeded 3 million, and the sales of various consumer goods increased [15]. - On May 7, the Guangdong Provincial People's Government Office issued a notice to encourage Guangzhou and Shenzhen to further relax vehicle purchase restrictions [15]. Relevant Charts - The report provides multiple charts showing the price trends, production, supply structure, and import volume of lithium carbonate, lithium hydroxide, cathode materials, and related battery products from 2022 - 2025 [17][19][22][28]

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-05-09 库存小幅去化，碳酸锂盘面下跌后小幅反弹 市场分析 2025年5月8日，碳酸锂主力合约2507开于63960元/吨，收于64280元/吨，当日收盘价较昨日结算价收跌0.43%。当 日成交量为309284手，持仓量为267396手，较前一交易日减少9504手，根据SMM现货报价，目前期货贴水电碳970 元/吨。所有合约总持仓433977手，较前一交易日减少3011手。当日合约总成交量较前一交易日增加123069手，成 交量增加，整体投机度为0.88 。当日碳酸锂仓单36241手，较上个交易日减少3手。盘面：当日碳酸锂开盘偏弱， 空头短暂主导，尾盘拉升但缺乏持续性，最终收跌0.43%。 碳酸锂现货：根据SMM数据，2025年5月8日电池级碳酸锂报价6.35-6.7万元/吨，较前一交易日下跌0.14万元/吨， 工业级碳酸锂报价6.31-6.41万元/吨，较前一交易日下跌0.14万元/吨。周度产量增长至1.83万吨，环比增加3866吨， 周度库存小幅减少464吨至13.16万吨。碳酸锂现货成交价格重心持续大幅下移。在头部电芯厂客供比例进一步拉高 的情况下，下游材料厂采购意 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The lithium carbonate futures 2507 contract dropped 1.99% to 64,160 yuan/ton yesterday. Spot prices of various lithium products also declined, and the warehouse receipt inventory increased by 1,008 tons to 36,244 tons [3]. - On the supply side, under low - price pressure, upstream producers have started to cut production. The weekly output is 14,483 tons, a 3 - ton decrease compared to the previous 7 - day period. The overall supply in May is expected to decline month - on - month, but there are still projects in the ramping - up and commissioning process, and the costs of mines/integrated projects have decreased significantly. On the demand side, the expected output of lithium iron phosphate in May will increase by 4.5% to 276,150 tons, and the output of ternary materials will increase by 3% to 63,745 tons. The daily consumption of lithium carbonate has increased by 1% month - on - month. Downstream players have some actions of replenishing inventory at low prices, but the actual purchasing power will be limited due to the continuously increasing inventory levels. The overall social inventory is still accumulating, and whether the inventory inflection point has arrived remains to be observed [3]. - With lithium prices continuously falling to the lowest levels in recent years and a weak supply - demand pattern, if there is no large - scale production cut, the outlook for prices is still pessimistic [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Daily Data Monitoring - Futures: The closing price of the main contract decreased by 1,100 yuan/ton to 64,160 yuan/ton, and the closing price of the continuous contract decreased by 980 yuan/ton to 64,120 yuan/ton. The price of lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) dropped by 17 US dollars/ton to 750 US dollars/ton, and the prices of various lithium ores and lithium salts also showed different degrees of decline [5]. - Price differences: The price difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and industrial - grade lithium carbonate decreased by 50 yuan/ton to 1,650 yuan/ton, while the price difference between battery - grade lithium hydroxide and battery - grade lithium carbonate increased by 150 yuan/ton to 410 yuan/ton [5]. - Other products: The prices of some products such as ternary precursors and lithium hexafluorophosphate also changed. For example, the price of lithium hexafluorophosphate decreased by 550 yuan/ton to 54,950 yuan/ton [5]. 3.2 Chart Analysis - Ore prices: Charts show the price trends of lithium spodumene concentrate, lithium mica, and other ores from 2024 to 2025 [6][7][8]. - Lithium and lithium salt prices: Charts display the price trends of metal lithium, battery - grade lithium carbonate, industrial - grade lithium carbonate, and other lithium products during the same period [9][10][11]. - Price differences: Charts present the price differences between different lithium products, such as the difference between battery - grade lithium hydroxide and battery - grade lithium carbonate, and the difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and industrial - grade lithium carbonate [16][17]. - Precursor & cathode materials: Charts show the price trends of ternary precursors, ternary materials, lithium iron phosphate, manganese acid lithium, and cobalt acid lithium [21][22][24]. - Lithium battery prices: Charts display the price trends of 523 square ternary cells, square lithium iron phosphate cells, cobalt acid lithium cells, and square lithium iron phosphate batteries [30][31][32]. - Inventory: Charts show the inventory trends of downstream, smelters, and other links from September 2024 to April 2025 [35][36][37]. - Production costs: Charts present the production profit trends of lithium carbonate from different raw materials, such as外购三元极片黑粉, 外购磷酸铁锂极片黑粉, 外购锂云母精矿, and 外购锂辉石精矿 [39][40].

碳酸锂日报 碳酸锂日报（2025 年 5 月 7 日） 一、研究观点 点 评 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 EVERBRIGHT FUTURES 1 1. 昨日碳酸锂期货 2507 合约跌 1.51%至 65260 元/吨。现货价格方面，电池级碳酸锂平均价跌 850 元/ 吨至 67100 元/吨，工业级碳酸锂跌 850 元/吨至 65400 元/吨，电池级氢氧化锂（粗颗粒）下跌 250 元/吨至 67360 元/吨，电池级氢氧化锂（微粉）下跌 250 元/吨至 72505 元/吨。仓单方面，昨日仓 单库存增加 1759 吨至 35236 吨。 2. 供应端，前期价格连续下挫，低价压力下， 上游陆续有停减产动作，周度产量 14483 吨，折 7 天环 比减少 3 吨，5 月预计整体供应量环比下降，但是需要注意仍然有项目在爬坡和投产过程中，且矿 山/一体化项目成本有降幅明显。需求端， 5 月磷酸铁锂预计产量环比增加 4.5%至 276150 吨，三元 材料环比增长 1.4%至 64615 吨，日均消耗碳酸锂环比增长 1%。下游有一定逢低补库动作，下游库 存水平持续增高，实际采购力度也将有限。库存端，整体社会 ...

3月17日晚，赣锋锂业披露股东大会股东交流记录表。当被问及对于锂价的看法和判断时， 赣锋锂业回应称，公司认为目前的锂价已经处于相 对底部区域的概率较大。 1、 比克电池发布全极耳30D新品 2、 宁德时代40GWh项目落地东营 3、 20GWh锂电池项目落地江苏盐城 4、 云南将新增5万吨磷酸铁锂产能 STARTING POINT 在世景朝电 市 暨钠电行业50强排行榜发布会 技术成套服 市场爆发元年 2025年3月28日 深圳宝安登喜路国际酒店2楼国际厅 赣锋锂业表示，这一判断主要基于 近期锂价感受到较强的成本端支撑、行业库存处于历史相对低位，以及近期需求有显著改善。 未来锂价是 否能上涨，取决于供给侧是否有明显出清，以及是否存在需求持续超预期的可能性等。 谈及固态电池业务情况，赣锋锂业介绍，公司目前专注于氧化物和硫化物体系的固态电池技术路线的研发投入，其中氧化物体系的混合固液电 池已经初步形成商业化产品，硫化物体系的固态电池还在开发阶段。公司将积极推进固态电池在低空经济、机器人、高端乘用车等领域的应 用。 此外，赣锋锂业透露，目前公司拥有锂资源合计权益总资源量已经接近4000万吨-5000万吨LCE，已经 ...

Group 1: Business Development and Strategy - Ganfeng Lithium focuses on lithium business and is developing the Congo Bougouma potassium salt project, which has an estimated KCl resource of approximately 1.01 billion tons, making it one of the highest quality potassium projects globally [1] - The company is investing in solid-state battery technology, with oxide-based mixed solid-liquid batteries already forming commercial products, while sulfide-based solid-state batteries are still in development [1] - Ganfeng Lithium plans to achieve an annual lithium product supply capacity of no less than 600,000 tons LCE by 2030, supported by resource acquisition and new capacity plans [2] Group 2: Financial Health and Market Position - The company has a diversified funding source, including substantial cash reserves, cash flow from operations, ample bank credit, and bond financing channels, ensuring financial stability [2] - Ganfeng Lithium's battery recycling business, particularly for lithium iron phosphate batteries, is currently leading in the industry [2] - The company believes that current lithium prices are at a relatively low point, supported by strong cost-side support and low historical inventory levels [3] Group 3: Resource Management - Ganfeng Lithium currently holds lithium resources totaling approximately 40-50 million tons LCE, which is sufficient for future development [3] - The company prioritizes the development of low-cost, high-quality lithium mines and will consider projects that are synergistic with existing mines or have high returns [3]