Core Viewpoint - Dell's stock has underperformed since November due to market concerns about a slowdown in AI data center construction, but the company is positioned to benefit from the shift towards inference computing, suggesting potential upside for its stock price [1][10]. Group 1: Market Concerns and Opportunities - The market is worried about the efficiency of AI chips leading to a slowdown in GPU demand, which could impact sales growth expectations for companies like Dell [1]. - Despite concerns, key factors are shifting favorably for Dell, particularly in the inference computing space, which is expected to perform well [1][10]. - The transition from pre-training to inference computing is anticipated to happen faster than expected, with more cost-effective data centers supporting AI inference [3][10]. Group 2: Strategic Partnerships - Dell has partnered with AMD to integrate Ryzen AI PRO processors into new Dell Pro devices, marking a significant milestone in their strategic collaboration [4]. - AMD's CEO highlighted that the total cost of ownership (TCO) for AMD's inference computing solutions is significantly lower than Nvidia's, which could benefit Dell in both PC and server markets [4][9]. Group 3: Financial Performance Expectations - Dell is expected to report solid earnings and revenue growth in its upcoming Q4 financial results, with analysts predicting a 14.46% year-over-year increase in earnings per share (EPS) to $2.52 [5]. - Revenue forecasts for Q4 are set at $24.57 billion, indicating a 10.09% year-over-year growth, with a consensus among analysts on the earnings estimates [5][6]. Group 4: Valuation Metrics - Dell's non-GAAP expected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 14.50, significantly lower than the industry median of 23.87, indicating a 39.26% discount [9]. - The expected price-to-sales (P/S) ratio for Dell is 0.83, which is 73.43% lower than the industry median of 3.11, suggesting strong valuation metrics [9]. Group 5: Future Growth Catalysts - Dell is projected to benefit from a $5 billion deal with Elon Musk's xAI and an anticipated $4 billion increase in AI server shipments from FY 2024 to FY 2025 [8][9]. - The shift towards inference computing is expected to catalyze Dell's next growth phase, supported by recent strategic agreements [11].

作者：MD 出品：明亮公司 2月19日，微软宣布， 全球首款拓 扑 量子芯片Major ana 1发布， 据相关报道，该芯片由微软公司 历时近20年研发，有望于2030年之前上市。而微软的目标是未来在量子芯片上实现百万个 量子比特 的相 干操纵。 据第一财经报道，Majorana 1是基于全新的物质状态——"拓扑"构建而成的全球首款拓扑量子芯片， 采用了半导体砷化铟和超导体铝材料。 微软在2月19日发布的一篇博客中称，开发合适的材料来构建量子比特，并理解量子比特相关的物质 拓扑状态的难度极大，这也是大多数量子研究都集中在其他类型量子比特的原因。 同日，微软CEO萨提亚·纳德拉与主播Dwarkesh Patel的播客访谈也对此进行了讨论。在1小时17分钟 的访谈中，纳德拉分享了他对于微软在量子计算领域取得突破的感受、过程（" 这对我们来说是一个 30年的旅程。"） 和未来潜在的应用场景。此外，纳德拉还着重分享了他对于AI在法律和社会治理层 面的思考，以及AGI的认知，目前AI领域的技术突飞猛进，但 纳德拉认为AGI来临的真正标志是世 界经济增长10%。 关于DeepSeek带来的成本变化，此前纳德拉在X上提到的 ...