Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [9]. Core Insights - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of $198 million, a year-on-year increase of 5.4%, and a net profit of $12 million, benefiting from a decrease in foreign exchange losses, thus turning from a loss to a profit [2][6]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the international Chinese dining market, leveraging its unique service model, strong brand power, and rapid localization capabilities [2][6]. - The company is expected to achieve net profits of $44.06 million, $55.15 million, and $63.41 million from 2025 to 2027, indicating strong growth potential in the hot pot industry internationally [2][6]. Revenue and Profitability - The company's revenue from its main business segments in Q1 2025 showed steady growth: Haidilao restaurant operations increased by 4.5%, takeaway business by 37.9%, and other businesses by 22.7% [6]. - The average daily sales per restaurant reached $17,800, a year-on-year increase of 1.71%, while same-store sales grew by 0.34% [6]. - The overall customer spending per visit decreased by 2.8% to $24.20, attributed to the company's pricing adjustments and menu changes [6]. Store Expansion and Network - The company opened 4 new Haidilao restaurants in Q1 2025, while closing 3 underperforming locations, bringing the total number of stores to 123 [6]. - The company continues to expand its presence in Southeast Asia, East Asia, North America, and other regions, with a net increase of 1 store in each of these areas compared to the same period in 2024 [6].

Core Insights - The company is optimizing its operational model through a multi-dimensional approach, focusing on product, scene, and management improvements [1] - The "Red Pomegranate" plan is showing positive results, with significant brand incubation and expansion efforts [1][2] Group 1: Operational Model Optimization - The company employs a bottom-up site selection mechanism and strictly controls franchisee entry standards, optimizing its operational model across three dimensions: product, scene, and management [1] - In the product dimension, the company plans to focus on fresh-cut meat and seasonal series by 2025 [1] - The scene dimension will see an emphasis on expanding themed stores and corporate park locations [1] - Management improvements include implementing a dual management store model and a dedicated customer manager system [1] Group 2: Franchise Development - The company will launch its franchise program in March 2024, with a rigorous selection mechanism that includes qualification reviews, operational capability assessments, and long-term development compatibility evaluations [1] - As of the end of 2024, 13 franchise stores have been established, with a strong management model to ensure service quality and standardization [1] Group 3: Brand Incubation and Growth - The "Red Pomegranate" plan, initiated in 2024, encourages the incubation of new brands, resulting in the establishment of 11 restaurant brands and 74 stores by the end of 2024 [1] - This initiative is expected to create a second growth curve for the company [1] Group 4: Digital and Supply Chain Enhancements - The company is leveraging big data and AI technology to enhance customer satisfaction and reduce churn rates through an AI-driven post-meal evaluation system [2] - The self-developed "HiHi System" app has achieved over 20,000 monthly clicks, and the deployment of over 50 AI robots is improving efficiency across customer service and supply chain operations [2] Group 5: Financial Projections - The company anticipates net profits for 2025-2027 to be 4.87 billion, 5.03 billion, and 5.27 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 3.44%, 3.27%, and 4.77% respectively [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.87, 0.90, and 0.95 yuan for the same period, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 15.90x, 15.40x, and 14.70x [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Haidilao (06862.HK) [1] Core Views - The company is focusing on steady progress and active advancement, with expectations for revenue growth and profit improvement through various strategic initiatives [8] - The "Red Pomegranate" plan has shown positive results, with the company successfully incubating new brands and expanding its store network [8] - The company is enhancing its operational model through a bottom-up site selection mechanism and strict control over franchisee standards [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from 41,622 million RMB in 2023 to 47,244 million RMB by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.62% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 4,499 million RMB in 2023 to 5,269 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 4.77% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.81 RMB in 2023 to 0.95 RMB in 2027 [1] Operational Strategies - The company is implementing a dual management model and exclusive customer manager system to optimize its management practices [8] - A strict selection mechanism for franchisees is in place, ensuring quality and operational capability [8] - Digital upgrades and supply chain optimization are being pursued through the use of big data and AI technologies [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Haidilao (06862.HK) [1] Core Views - The company is focusing on steady progress and active advancement, with expectations for revenue and profit growth driven by operational optimizations and new brand incubations [8] - The "Red Pomegranate" plan has shown positive results, with 11 new restaurant brands and 74 new stores established by the end of 2024, indicating a potential second growth curve for the company [8] - The company is implementing a strict selection mechanism for franchisees to ensure quality and service standards, with 13 franchise stores already operational by the end of 2024 [8] - Digital upgrades and supply chain optimizations are being pursued through AI technology and data analysis, enhancing customer satisfaction and operational efficiency [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from 41,622 million RMB in 2023 to 47,244 million RMB by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.62% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 4,499 million RMB in 2023 to 5,269 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 4.77% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.81 RMB in 2023 to 0.95 RMB in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios decreasing from 17.21 to 14.70 over the same period [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is focusing on steady progress and active advancement, with a strong emphasis on optimizing its operational model and expanding its store network [8] - The "Red Pomegranate" plan has shown positive results, with the company successfully incubating new brands and expanding its market presence [8] - The company is leveraging digital upgrades and supply chain optimization to enhance customer satisfaction and operational efficiency [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from 41,622 million in 2023 to 47,244 million by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.62% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 4,499 million in 2023 to 5,269 million by 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 4.77% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.81 in 2023 to 0.95 by 2027, indicating a steady growth trajectory [1] Operational Strategy - The company is implementing a bottom-up site selection mechanism and strict standards for franchisee entry, focusing on product, scene, and management optimization [8] - The company has initiated a franchise model with a rigorous selection process, ensuring quality and standardization across its outlets [8] - The company has launched multiple new restaurant brands under the "Red Pomegranate" initiative, aiming to create a second growth curve [8] Digital and Supply Chain Enhancements - The company is utilizing big data and AI technologies to improve customer feedback processing and enhance service quality [8] - The proprietary "HiHi System" app has achieved over 20,000 monthly clicks, indicating strong user engagement [8] - The deployment of over 50 AI robots across various operational areas is aimed at improving efficiency and customer service [8]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a positive financial performance for Q1 2025, with a revenue increase and a significant turnaround from losses to profits [1][2] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q1 2025 reached $19.8 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.4% [1] - Shareholders' profit amounted to $11.938 million, a recovery from a loss of $4.457 million in the same period last year [1] - Basic earnings per share were $0.02 [1] Operational Adjustments - The company opened 4 new Haidilao restaurants while closing 3 underperforming ones, resulting in a total of 123 restaurants as of March 31, 2025 [1] - The overall average table turnover rate was 3.9 times per day, with same-store turnover at 4.0 times per day, both unchanged from the previous year [1] - Total customer traffic exceeded 7.8 million, a 6.8% increase compared to 7.3 million in the same period last year [1] Strategic Focus - The CEO emphasized a proactive adjustment of business strategies, including better pricing, more affordable portions, and enhanced dining experiences to increase customer loyalty [2] - The company is committed to long-term investments in employee welfare and team building, despite short-term pressures on operating margins [2] - Future plans include further enhancing the "different Haidilao" experience through product, decor, and operational upgrades, as well as advancing the "Pomegranate Plan" to diversify product offerings and expand market share [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the strategic expansion of Haidilao into the bakery sector through its new brand "拾㧚耍· SCHWASUA," highlighting the challenges and opportunities in the retail landscape, particularly in the context of the company's "Red Pomegranate Plan" aimed at overcoming growth bottlenecks in its core hotpot business [4][7][18]. Group 1: Market Context and Brand Launch - During the May Day holiday, Haidilao launched its bakery brand "拾㧚耍· SCHWASUA" in a prime location in Hangzhou, offering high-quality products at competitive prices, which quickly attracted consumer attention [4][6]. - The bakery's pricing strategy features over 60% of products priced below 10 yuan, with the most expensive item not exceeding 30 yuan, significantly lower than similar brands [6][8]. Group 2: Strategic Rationale for Expansion - The Chinese baking market is projected to grow from 561.4 billion yuan in 2023 to over 850 billion yuan by 2029, with an annual growth rate exceeding 9%, making it an attractive sector for Haidilao's diversification [7]. - The "Red Pomegranate Plan" is seen as a strategic extension to address the declining table turnover rate and falling customer spending in Haidilao's core business, allowing the company to reach a broader customer base through multiple brands [7][11]. Group 3: Competitive Advantages - Haidilao's strong supply chain integration allows for cost optimization across the entire production process, ensuring high-quality products at lower prices compared to traditional bakeries [8][12]. - The company leverages its existing customer base and membership system to drive traffic to its new bakery brand, enhancing customer retention and engagement [7][11]. Group 4: Performance and Challenges - Since the launch of the "Red Pomegranate Plan," Haidilao has opened 74 stores across various food categories, generating a total revenue of 4.83 billion yuan, indicating a mix of successes and challenges in brand performance [11][12]. - Despite some brands achieving market recognition, the rapid expansion poses risks of resource dilution and management challenges, particularly as some sub-brands struggle to achieve profitability [14][18]. Group 5: Industry Trends and Future Outlook - The multi-brand strategy is becoming a key approach for leading companies in the restaurant industry to overcome growth challenges, with Haidilao's efforts reflecting broader trends in the sector [16][18]. - The future competition among restaurant giants will focus not only on the number of outlets but also on supply chain resilience, organizational vitality, and strategic consistency [18].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a recent incident involving a customer at Haidilao who reported an electric shock while dining, leading to ongoing medical treatment and a claim for compensation. The company has responded by emphasizing its commitment to safety and ongoing checks of its equipment, while also indicating that the incident may not be solely their responsibility. Group 1: Incident Response - Haidilao took the incident seriously, arranging for the customer to receive medical attention immediately after the report of the electric shock [1][2] - The restaurant conducted multiple safety checks on the equipment involved, including the use of electrical testing tools, and found no abnormalities [1][2] - A specialized service team has been set up to communicate with the customer, and local authorities have been involved in mediation efforts [1][2] Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, Haidilao reported revenue of 42.75 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 3.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.70 billion RMB, up 4.7% [5][8] - The company experienced a decline in revenue in the second half of 2024, with a 5.8% year-on-year drop, although net profit increased by 19.3% [8][9] Group 3: Business Strategy - Haidilao is adopting a more cautious approach to expansion, focusing on the quality of new stores rather than the quantity, with plans to open fewer but higher-quality locations [9][10] - The company closed 70 underperforming stores in 2024 while opening 59 new self-operated locations [9] - Haidilao is exploring new brand opportunities through its "Red Pomegranate Plan," which aims to incubate new restaurant concepts [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Maintain Buy" [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 42.755 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.1%, and a net profit of 4.708 billion yuan, up 4.6% year-on-year, with core operating profit rising by 18.7% to 6.230 billion yuan [1] - The company is focusing on shareholder returns, increasing the dividend payout ratio from 90% in 2023 to 95% in 2024 [9] - The company has initiated the "Pomegranate Plan" and is steadily advancing its franchise business, which is expected to open up growth opportunities [4][9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 62.1%, an increase of 3.0 percentage points year-on-year, with a significant rise in gross margin to 63.2% in H2 2024 [3] - The net profit for 2024 was 4.708 billion yuan, with a net profit margin of 11.0%, reflecting a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [3] Business Expansion - As of the end of 2024, the company operated 1,355 direct stores, with a net reduction of 19 stores throughout the year, but began a steady expansion in H2 2024 [2] - The company has completed the review and establishment of 13 franchise stores, indicating a commitment to expanding its franchise network [9] Sales and Customer Metrics - The overall average customer spending was 97.5 yuan in 2024, with a slight decrease compared to the previous year, but showing a recovery in H2 2024 [2] - The overall table turnover rate was 4.1 times per day, with a year-on-year increase of 0.3 times, although it showed a slight decline compared to H1 2024 [2] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 44.146 billion yuan, 46.880 billion yuan, and 49.751 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 4.843 billion yuan, 5.568 billion yuan, and 6.218 billion yuan [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Maintain Buy" [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 42.755 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.1%, and a net profit of 4.708 billion yuan, up 4.6% year-on-year, with core operating profit rising by 18.7% to 6.230 billion yuan [1] - The company is focusing on shareholder returns, increasing the dividend payout ratio from 90% in 2023 to 95% in 2024 [9] - The company has initiated the "Pomegranate Plan" and is steadily advancing its franchise business, which is expected to open new growth avenues [4][9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 62.1%, an increase of 3.0 percentage points year-on-year, with the second half of 2024 showing a gross margin of 63.2%, up 4.2 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The net profit for 2024 was 4.708 billion yuan, with a net profit margin of 11.0%, reflecting a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [3] Business Expansion - As of the end of 2024, the company operated 1,355 direct stores, with a net reduction of 19 stores throughout the year, but began a steady expansion in the second half of 2024 [2] - The company has completed the review and establishment of 13 franchise stores, indicating a commitment to expanding its franchise network [9] Sales and Customer Metrics - The overall average customer spending in 2024 was 97.5 yuan, with a slight decrease compared to the previous year, but showing a recovery in the second half of 2024 [2] - The overall table turnover rate was 4.1 times per day, with a year-on-year increase of 0.3 times per day, although it showed a slight decline compared to the first half of 2024 [2] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 44.146 billion yuan, 46.880 billion yuan, and 49.751 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 4.843 billion yuan, 5.568 billion yuan, and 6.218 billion yuan [10]