Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold market experienced significant volatility, with prices testing the $3400 level multiple times, ultimately reaching a high of $3409, the highest since July 24 [2] - Analysts and retail investors remain bullish on gold prices for the upcoming week, focusing on geopolitical events and economic indicators [2] - The support level at $3380 is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum, while resistance is noted at $3410 [5][6] Group 2: Oil Market Analysis - International oil prices have shown a notable downward trend, with Brent crude oil futures dropping to $66.40 per barrel and WTI crude oil futures at $63.82 per barrel, marking a weekly decline of over 4% and 5% respectively [6] - The decline in oil prices is attributed to trade concerns and shifts in OPEC+ policies, with expectations of limited short-term rebounds due to global economic slowdown [6] - Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend for oil, with MACD indicators showing increasing bearish momentum [7]

回顧在昨日的【中銀做客】專欄中，我們的嘉賓中銀國際董事Niki也有分析到：中芯國際即將公佈業績，近期指數窄幅波幅，而個股方面，來到業績公佈期，下周也 有科技股公佈，比如騰訊，大家可以關注一下。中芯國際方面，近期股價在50元樓上，處於高位整固的格局。今日有資金流入中芯好倉。其實在我們網站，每日都會 更新當日市場裏面的焦點板塊或個股。在我們的網站首頁都有篩選焦點給個股給大家參考。比如中芯國際的認購證16557，行使價58.05元，明年3月份到期，槓桿4 倍。如果認沽證，則參考13689，行使價42.5元。明年8月到期，槓桿3倍。 今日最新股價顯示，中芯國際(00981)持續走強，升1.81%，報53.6元。技術指標顯示多頭格局強勁，MACD維持買入信號且柱狀圖持續擴大，RSI攀升至71 進入超買區間，股價已突破所有關鍵均線，MA10(51.99元)、MA30(47.86元)和MA60(44.53元)呈多頭排列，保力加通道顯示股價沿上軌運行。不過隨機指標 和威廉指標均顯示超買狀態，動量指標出現頂背離，短線技術性調整風險正在累積。 | 14:00 | | 1201 | 14:00 | | --- | --- | -- ...

（文章来源：新华财经） 技术分析网站Economies.com最新观点认为，现货金价在4小时图上再度震荡走高，并突破3375美元的关键阻力位，这表明金价在EMA50均线支持下短期涨 势仍有望延续。另一方面，随着RSI指标脱离超买状态并显示出积极迹象，也为金价进一步走高提供了助力。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - Users are advised to perform their own research and consider their financial situation before making decisions [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - It encourages users to understand how these instruments work and the associated risks before investing [1].

Core Viewpoint - Alibaba's stock price is currently at a critical juncture, with intense competition between bulls and bears around the 115.7 HKD mark, reflecting a potential turning point in market sentiment [1]. Technical Analysis - The stock price is showing mixed signals, with the RSI at 52 indicating a neutral zone, while MACD and Bollinger Bands suggest a buy signal. However, the Williams indicator indicates a sell signal, highlighting a potential major shift in market direction [3]. - The 10-day moving average (MA10) is at 118.43 HKD and the 30-day moving average (MA30) is at 112.71 HKD, indicating a golden cross and a positive medium-term trend, but a short-term breakout above 118 HKD is needed to confirm an upward trend [3]. Support and Resistance Levels - Strong support is identified at 111.2 HKD, with a potential drop to 107.3 HKD if this level is breached. Resistance is noted at 120.1 HKD, with a breakthrough potentially leading to a challenge of 124.2 HKD [4]. - The stock price is approaching the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, suggesting a short-term consolidation phase. Notably, trading volume has increased by 12% compared to the average of the previous five days, indicating a potential warning sign for investors [4]. Derivative Products - For bullish investors, Société Générale's call option (16079) offers a leverage of 6.5 times with a strike price of 132.1 HKD, while HSBC's call option (16089) provides 6.8 times leverage with the same strike price [7]. - For bearish investors, Bank of China’s put option (17704) offers 4.1 times leverage with a strike price of 96.95 HKD, and Morgan Stanley's put option (14371) provides 5.3 times leverage with a strike price of 117.18 HKD [10].

第一，黄金周线级别：上周收报一根长下影反阳K，这是明显的企稳信号，且依然坚守中轨，那么本周会延续上涨，或反复去试探前期上行通道的下轨衍生 压力点，本周将上移3460-70范围； 对于中长期趋势继续保持看涨，且是看涨中的强势阶段； 第二，白银方面：早间出现探底拉升企稳K，则36.65直接跟随看涨，最终抵达37-37.2目标阻力减持； 第三，原油方面：上周五研报指出，短期存在回落下跌，因为多次压制69.5，且失守小时线66日均线支撑，一旦破位68.4则指向67，最终符合预判，刚好最 低抵达67； 今日行情分析解读： 第二，黄金日线级别：日线短趋势也是维持看涨不变，近期三个多月的盘整属于修正期，低点逐步上移，高点三次压制3450-30范围，那么第四次再上去， 会加大上破的概率；最终结果基本迟早都会上破，就是等待时间的长短罢了，而横盘越久，后期一旦上破，延续大牛市的力度也好，时间也好，都是相对不 错的，也值得期待，等待； 上周五底部饱满大阳K，站稳5均线，且重回前期收敛三角通道之内，那么今日就基本是延续去看涨，回踩确认收敛三角下轨支 撑大概是3345-48，也是10均线位置，今日白盘试探之后，的确有支撑表现，上轨关注 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses common challenges faced by retail investors in technical analysis, emphasizing the importance of understanding key indicators and market behavior [1][3] - It highlights that using only two indicators, moving averages and trading volume, can provide a clearer picture of market trends compared to relying on multiple complex indicators [3] - The article stresses the significance of identifying support and resistance levels based on historical trading volume rather than arbitrary price points [3][4] Group 2 - It addresses the common frustration of buying high and selling low, suggesting that true market movements can be confirmed by analyzing trading volume during breakouts or breakdowns [3][4] - The article advises against a one-size-fits-all approach to setting stop-loss and take-profit levels, recommending adjustments based on the investor's holding period and market volatility [4] - It concludes that technical analysis should adapt to market conditions, emphasizing the need for investors to understand the underlying market dynamics rather than relying solely on indicators [4]

Group 1 - The overall market sentiment is neutral, with a mixed outlook on buying and selling signals across different time frames [2][5] - The moving averages indicate a sell signal for short-term periods (MA5, MA10, MA20) while longer-term averages (MA50, MA100, MA200) suggest a buy signal [4][5] - Technical indicators show a sell signal from RSI and ADX, while MACD indicates a buy signal, reflecting volatility in the market [5][6] Group 2 - Support and resistance levels are identified, with classic pivot points at 24264.5 (S3) and 25223.0 (R3), indicating potential price movement boundaries [6] - The market is experiencing overbought conditions as indicated by the Stochastic oscillator, while the Williams %R suggests oversold conditions [5][6] - The average true range (ATR) indicates high volatility, which may impact trading strategies [5]

Group 1 - Foreign exchange investment is a significant investment method that attracts many investors, and mastering practical skills is crucial for seizing market opportunities and managing risks [1] - Macroeconomic data, such as economic growth, inflation, and interest rates, are key factors influencing foreign exchange rates, with strong economic growth typically leading to currency appreciation [1] - Political stability is also important, as it directly affects economic development and currency stability, necessitating close attention to economic data and political dynamics [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis is essential, with various tools and chart patterns available, such as trend lines and moving averages, which help investors identify market trends and generate buy/sell signals [2] - Setting stop-loss and take-profit levels is critical for controlling risks and locking in profits, with these levels needing to be determined based on market volatility and individual risk tolerance [2] - Investors should continuously learn and accumulate experience in the complex foreign exchange market, utilizing both fundamental and technical analysis methods [3] Group 3 - Diversification is a key principle in foreign exchange investment, as spreading investments across multiple currencies can reduce risks associated with single currency fluctuations [3] - Engaging in trading across different time periods can help balance risks and opportunities in varying market environments [3] - The foreign exchange market requires ongoing attention to domestic and international economic conditions and political developments to effectively achieve investment goals [3]

以上是中期，且不考虑重大消息影响情况下的技术分析。就当前短期而言，我们需要考虑的是止跌反弹以及 上影线回补。周三黄金大跌66美元，昨天黄金反弹46美元后下跌，很明显短线黄金多空出现了分歧。今天美 国非农数据，并且是8月第一天，特朗普关税截止日期，当下连续下跌后，稍微的利多都会引发多头强势反 攻。 中期看跌黄金，短线我们关注反弹为主。首先3280以上上涨，上方短期阻力3300大关也是短期强弱界，重点 是昨日高点3315区域，然后周三高点3330-35区域！下方3280区域如不能支撑多头反攻，那么关注测试3270- 65区域再反弹；今天美国非农数据，白盘不好跌，根据最近公布的美国数据来看非农数据利空概率大，美盘 则关注冲高回落走扫荡。 操作上，短线白盘3280以上逢低多，失败则3265-70以上逢低多；空等拉高分别以昨日高点和周三搞点压制 布局，如果周三高点意外突破一切空单停止操作！参考制定交易策略，盘中我们及时跟进。 国际黄金，黄金月线连续四根上影线，上影联排，天线宝宝四胞胎，泰山压顶之势；最近几个月我们反复强 调黄金月线，目前而言空头优势明显，如果没有重大消息数据等持续性利多支撑多头的情况下，接下来几个 月注 ...