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实物白银供需失衡支撑 伦敦银试探63阻力位
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-15 06:27
Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the imbalance in the supply and demand of physical silver, which is a fundamental factor driving silver prices to new highs [2] - Global silver supply is projected to be approximately 26,850 tons by 2025, showing a slight year-on-year increase but still not returning to pre-2016 peak levels [2] - Major silver-producing countries like Mexico and Peru have seen significant declines in production due to strikes and environmental policies [2] Group 2 - The demand for silver has rapidly increased due to developments in photovoltaic technology, electric vehicles, artificial intelligence, and physical investment [2] - Since the supply-demand gap first appeared in 2021, it is expected to persist until 2025, with supply unable to meet demand [2] - The visible silver inventory globally is only sufficient to cover about 1-2 months of consumption, significantly below the safe boundary of 3-6 months [2] Group 3 - The potential interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan in December is seen as a significant concern for silver prices [3] - The Bank of Japan's governor indicated that discussions on the possibility of interest rate hikes would take place in the upcoming meeting, raising hopes for a return to monetary tightening this year [3] Group 4 - Silver prices have shown an upward trend in early trading, with indicators suggesting potential for further gains [4] - The price is currently trading above the 50-day EMA, indicating strong support, with potential resistance around $63.00 [4] - A sustained breakout above $64.00 could reaffirm a constructive outlook and allow bulls to challenge historical highs around $64.65 [4]
深水规院:目前公司已承接多个光伏项目
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-15 02:24
(文章来源:每日经济新闻) 每经AI快讯,有投资者在投资者互动平台提问:公司是否参与光伏电站的建设,设计或运营? 深水规院(301038.SZ)12月15日在投资者互动平台表示,目前,公司已承接多个光伏项目,包括盐源 县白乌镇500MW光伏基地的咨询、勘察、设计,以及龙华区第三批"光储充"项目和光明国际汽车城光 伏项目的EPC牵头服务等,现在积极谋划江西等地的光伏电站前期工作。 ...
罗博特科拟港股上市 中国证监会要求补充说明募集资金用途等
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 11:55
Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has issued supplementary material requirements for eight companies, including Robotech (300757.SZ), which is preparing for a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [1] Group 1: Company Operations and Business Scope - Robotech is involved in photovoltaic manufacturing, battery solutions, and the research, assembly, production, and sales of new energy equipment, as well as semiconductor-related production equipment [1][3] - The company focuses on providing high-precision assembly and testing equipment for silicon photonic devices and photovoltaic cell manufacturing solutions [4] Group 2: Fundraising and Legal Compliance - The CSRC has requested Robotech to clarify the use of raised funds and ensure consistency between the filing report and the prospectus regarding the maximum issuance quantity [2][3] - The company must verify the legality and compliance of its establishment and any changes in equity, providing conclusive opinions on these matters [2]
新股消息 | 罗博特科(300757.SZ)拟港股上市 中国证监会要求补充说明募集资金用途等
智通财经网· 2025-12-12 11:51
Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has issued supplementary material requirements for eight companies, including Robotech (300757.SZ), which is preparing for a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The CSRC has requested clarification on the use of raised funds and other operational details from Robotech [1][2]. Group 1: Company Operations and Business Scope - Robotech is involved in the manufacturing of photovoltaic equipment, battery solutions, and the research and development of semiconductor devices and related production equipment [1][3]. - The company focuses on providing high-precision assembly and testing equipment for silicon photonic devices and solutions for photovoltaic cell manufacturing [4]. Group 2: Fundraising and Legal Compliance - The CSRC has requested Robotech to ensure that the issuance quantity in its filing aligns with the prospectus, and any discrepancies must be addressed with updated documents [2]. - The company is required to verify the legality and compliance of its establishment and any changes in equity structure, providing conclusive opinions on these matters [2].
沪锡站上33万大关,再创年内新高,谁是背后的推手?
对冲研投· 2025-12-12 10:34
编辑 | 杨兰 审核 | 浦电路交易员 行情走势 01 12月12日,国内期货市场沪锡主力合约领涨,截至下午收盘报涨4.54%,盘中最高冲抵338800元/吨,刷新年内高点,收盘报333000元/ 吨。今年以来锡价数次快速上行,国内现货价格于11月底突破30万元大关,LME锡现货价格也于12月4日突破4万美元。 LME于最新公布的数据显示,其当日库存大幅增加605吨(日增幅19.8%)至3,655吨,为自3月底以来的新高。其中香港仓库库存变动最 大,增加了475吨。而上周五(12月5日)上期所公布的数据显示,当周锡库存环比增加506吨(8.0%),至6,865吨,为两个月新高。 中粮期货点评: 11月28日,刚果(金)一营地遭到袭击,造成22人死亡,市场传言M23武装阻断刚果(金)Bi s ie锡矿的运输路线使得该矿生产中断,然而 该消息并不符实,该座矿山生产并未中断,但武装冲突的升级使得市场担忧潜在供应风险,锡价随之大幅上涨。 12月5日,刚果(金)和卢旺达两国总统正式签署和平协议,以期结束长达30年的冲突,锡价随之小幅回调。然而截至目前,南基伍省多地 武装冲突仍在升级,这对本就紧缺的锡矿来说无疑是雪上加霜 ...
氧化铝、电解铝,冰火两重天!
12月10日,国内期货市场氧化铝期货主力合约2601跌破2500元/吨大关,成为当日跌幅最大的商品。作为电解铝核心材料,氧化铝市场当前价格已较 一年前5500元/吨的高点出现"腰斩"。与此同时,下游电解铝价格却在有色商品强势拉动下不断上行,突破近年高位,与氧化铝市场形成"冰火两重 天"局面。 价格上涨、成本下移双重助力下,当前电解铝企业盈利水平稳步上行,而部分氧化铝企业则面临亏损局面。行业人士分析,当前铝价强势主要受益 于宏观情绪影响,而氧化铝市场供需错配问题依然,二者背离的价格趋势或难短期改变。 铝产业链价格走势分化 "去年12月氧化铝价格突破5500元/吨,叠加枯水期供电紧缺影响,云南地区电解铝生产曾出现亏损。但现在,仅氧化铝每吨就减少了超过3000元成 本,铝价本身也比去年有所上涨,企业盈利自然可观。"国内一电解铝企业负责人给证券时报.e公司记者算了笔账,按照一般工艺,生产1吨电解铝需 要1.92吨氧化铝、0.46吨阳极、13500度电,三者整体在电解铝生产成本中占比达到90%。当前氧化铝价格较一年前高点时显著下行,为电解铝企业 打开了盈利空间。 12月11日,国内期货市场氧化铝期货主力合约2601价格 ...
白银新高后如何研判
2025-12-12 02:19
Summary of Silver Market Analysis Industry Overview - The silver market has experienced a significant annual increase of 105%, surpassing gold's performance, driven by factors such as a small market size, naked long positions, increased transportation costs due to U.S. tariff policies, and difficulties in short covering [1][2][4]. Key Points and Arguments - **Market Dynamics**: The silver market's small size has led to a situation where many naked long positions cannot be fulfilled during delivery months, resulting in a squeeze [2][4]. - **High Delivery Month Positions**: The high level of open interest in delivery month contracts indicates rising fulfillment costs [1]. - **Industrial Demand Growth**: The World Silver Association forecasts a compound annual growth rate of 3.4% for industrial silver demand from 2025 to 2031, driven by advancements in photovoltaic technology, autonomous vehicles, and electric vehicles [1][4][6]. - **Decoupling from Gold**: Silver's price movements have become increasingly independent from gold, attributed to tight supply-demand balance and optimistic industrial demand outlook [1][5]. - **Supply Shortage**: Despite a projected narrowing of the supply gap in 2025, a shortfall of 2,000 to 3,000 tons is still expected, supporting price levels [1][5]. - **Macroeconomic Factors**: The U.S. economy is showing signs of divergence, with manufacturing affected by tariffs while the service sector benefits from AI developments. Soft employment data and moderate inflation expectations may provide the Federal Reserve with room for interest rate cuts, albeit at a reduced magnitude [1][7]. Additional Important Insights - **Liquidity Issues**: Current silver price increases are primarily driven by liquidity constraints in the New York market, with a need to monitor COMEX warehouse inventories and domestic stock rebounds to gauge future trends [1][9]. - **Future Price Projections**: Wall Street investment banks predict a strong outlook for precious metals in 2026, with gold target prices between $4,800 and $5,000. If the gold-silver ratio remains around 60, silver prices could exceed $80 [3][11]. - **Technical Analysis**: The current upward trend in silver prices has surpassed initial resistance levels, with potential targets around $62. However, caution is advised due to unfavorable risk-reward ratios [12]. Conclusion - The silver market is characterized by a unique set of dynamics that differentiate it from gold, with strong industrial demand and macroeconomic factors influencing its trajectory. Investors should remain vigilant regarding liquidity conditions and macroeconomic developments while considering potential price movements and technical indicators.
氧化铝探底 电解铝冲高 产业链收益格局“冰火两重天”
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-12 01:17
12月11日,国内期货市场氧化铝期货主力合约2601价格最低已探底至2462元/吨,而此前在2024年12月5 日,该主力合约报价为5540元/吨。 卓创资讯富宝氧化铝分析师许海滨表示,2025年国内氧化铝现货价格整体呈现震荡下行态势。因高利润 空间推升企业开工积极性,加上新增产能落地,现货供应逐步宽松,今年1月至4月,国内氧化铝现货价 格高位下跌,跌幅近50%。此后虽然在5月至7月间价格一度小幅回涨,但随着企业利润空间修复,部分 检修产线复工增多,8月开始氧化铝市场现货供应再度宽松,加之下半年印尼、越南等地的进口氧化铝 流入国内市场,加大了国内市场竞争压力,市场延续低迷格局。 与此同时,今年电解铝价格上演了一轮超预期的上涨行情,其中,12月5日沪铝创下2022年4月以来新 高,远月合约突破2.25万元/吨,而LME(伦敦金属交易所)三个月铝价突破2900美元/吨年内高点。 (原标题:氧化铝探底 电解铝冲高 产业链收益格局"冰火两重天") 12月10日,国内期货市场氧化铝期货主力合约2601跌破2500元/吨大关,成为当日跌幅最大的商品。作 为电解铝核心材料,氧化铝市场当前价格已较一年前5500元/吨的高点出 ...
白银三连跳突破62美元 年内大涨近120%
白银成为今年"领涨先锋",年内累计涨幅逼近120%,特别是从下半年开始呈现加速上涨态势。 截至12月11日16:20,现货白银价格突破62美元/盎司,盘中最高至62.884美元/盎司,再度刷新历史纪 录。与此同时,COMEX白银盘中突破63美元/盎司,一度摸高63.25美元/盎司;上海期货交易所的白银 主力合约价格最高涨至14655元/千克,涨幅超过5%,上述两个品种价格也创下历史新高。至此,白银 也成为今年顶流投资品之一。 年度涨幅近120% 最新消息显示,美联储决定将基准利率下调25个基点至3.50%—3.75%区间,为年内连续第三次降息, 年内累计已下调75基点。美联储主席鲍威尔在会后的新闻发布会上表示,美联储将 "观望" 后再采取进 一步行动,但基本排除加息可能。 白银通常与黄金同向波动,但由于其市场规模更小,对美元的变化更为敏感,波动性也更强。由于白银 的价格远低于黄金,吸引了寻求更低成本避险资产的投资者,同时在工业领域的应用也十分广泛。 嘉盛集团(Gain Capital)旗下外汇交易平台市场分析师Fawad Razaqzada表示:"市场预期未来数年白银 的工业需求将保持强劲,这也是银价被不断推 ...
白银突破62美元又创新高,年内大涨近120%
21世纪经济报道· 2025-12-11 11:56
作者丨叶麦穗 最新消息显示,美联储决定将基准利率下调25个基点至3.50%—3.75%区间,为年内连续第三次降息,年内累计已下调75基点。美联储主席鲍 威尔在会后的新闻发布会上表示,美联储将 "观望" 后再采取进一步行动,但基本排除加息可能。 白银通常与黄金同向波动,但由于其市场规模更小,对美元的变化更为敏感,波动性也更强。由于白银的价格远低于黄金,吸引了寻求更低 成本避险资产的投资者,同时在工业领域的应用也十分广泛。 编辑丨包芳鸣 白银成为今年"领涨先锋",年内累计涨幅逼近120%,特别是从下半年开始呈现加速上涨态势。 截至12月11日16:20, 现货白银价格突破62美元/盎司,盘中最高至62.884美元/盎司,再度刷新历史新高。 与此同时,COMEX白银盘中突 破63美元/盎司,一度摸高63.25美元/盎司;上海期货交易所的白银主力合约价格最高涨至14655元/千克,涨幅超过5%,上述两个品种价格也 刷新历史新高 。 至此,白银也成为今年顶流投资品之一。 截至北京时间11日19:25左右,现货白银报62.386 美元/盎司。 年度涨幅近1 2 0% 嘉盛集团(Gain Capital)旗下外汇交易平台市 ...