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美“零和”思维挡不住中国创新药
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-07-14 02:21
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. is facing increasing competition in the biopharmaceutical sector, particularly in innovative drugs, leading to proposed high tariffs on imported drugs and copper, with drug tariffs potentially reaching 200% [1] Group 1: U.S. Policy and Competition - The U.S. National Security Council has reported that China is systematically challenging U.S. biotechnology dominance, particularly in antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs), where Chinese companies dominate nearly half of the global research [1][2] - The U.S. decision to impose tariffs is driven by a sense of crisis and insecurity regarding the competitive landscape in biopharmaceuticals [1][3] Group 2: China's Rise in Biopharmaceuticals - Prior to 2010, Chinese pharmaceutical companies were largely invisible in the global innovative drug market, relying heavily on generics, but significant reforms since 2015 have led to a rapid development of an independent innovation system [2][3] - The number of innovative drugs launched in China has surged from 9 in 2018 to an expected 48 by 2024, aided by expedited approval processes [2] Group 3: Collaborative Dynamics and Market Trends - Despite U.S. efforts to limit collaboration with Chinese firms, American pharmaceutical giants are increasingly entering into licensing agreements with Chinese companies, with significant transaction values reported [4][5] - The cost of developing innovative drugs in China is only 20-30% of that in the U.S., with a faster development cycle, highlighting China's competitive edge in the biopharmaceutical sector [4][5] Group 4: Future Outlook and Strategic Implications - The ongoing political tensions are unlikely to disrupt the deepening collaboration between U.S. and Chinese pharmaceutical industries, as mutual dependencies in research and clinical trials persist [5] - The future of innovative drug development may hinge on the ability to create an open and collaborative ecosystem rather than maintaining technological hegemony, suggesting that the U.S. may miss out on future advancements if it continues to pursue isolationist policies [5]
《货币战争》系列丛书编著宋鸿兵:美力推稳定币,难延长“美元霸权寿命”
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-07-13 22:54
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. government is focusing on stablecoins, particularly through the proposed "Genius Act," which aims to regulate and promote stablecoin usage, reflecting a strategic move to enhance the dollar's influence globally [1][6]. Group 1: Stablecoin Development and Market Dynamics - Stablecoins, such as Tether, emerged to address the volatility of traditional cryptocurrencies, with their development being influenced by both crypto enthusiasts and Wall Street [3][4]. - Wall Street's resistance to stablecoins stems from its monopoly over the banking system, fearing competition from the crypto sector [3][4]. - The U.S. political landscape, particularly Trump's shift towards supporting stablecoins, indicates a strategic pivot to position the U.S. as a leader in the cryptocurrency space [3][4]. Group 2: Potential Applications of Stablecoins - Stablecoins can significantly enhance cross-border payments by reducing costs and transaction times compared to traditional banking systems [4][5]. - They provide financial services to underbanked regions, allowing users to receive remittances via digital wallets without needing a bank [5]. - In countries with high inflation, stablecoins serve as a means to preserve purchasing power by allowing users to convert them into more stable currencies [5]. Group 3: Implications for the Dollar and Financial System - The proposed "Genius Act" could theoretically increase demand for U.S. Treasury bonds by requiring stablecoins to be backed by low-risk assets, including short-term U.S. debt [6][7]. - However, the relationship between stablecoins and the banking system is complex, as stablecoins may not create new demand but rather shift existing demand, potentially leading to a contraction in traditional banking [7]. - The competition for market share in developing regions, particularly in Africa and Latin America, highlights the strategic importance of stablecoins in the global financial landscape [8]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities and Risks - The stock market related to stablecoins is experiencing interest, providing traditional investment avenues [9]. - Direct investment in stablecoins is unlikely to yield appreciation, as they are pegged to underlying assets [9]. - Opportunities for innovation and entrepreneurship around stablecoins exist, particularly in project financing and investment [9].
中美经贸关系稳下来、好起来,有利于两国和世界|专家热评
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-07-10 06:36
Group 1 - The core development in US-China economic relations is the transition from a "tariff truce" in Geneva to the establishment and implementation of the "London Framework," indicating a significant adjustment in posture between the two nations [1][2] - The "London Framework" includes key agreements such as China's approval of export licenses for controlled items and the US's cancellation of a series of restrictive measures against China [1][2] - As of July 4, US companies have been notified by the Department of Commerce that exports of EDA software, ethane, and certain aircraft engine components to China have been restored, while China is expediting the approval of export licenses for strategic resources like rare earths [1][2] Group 2 - Despite progress, structural challenges remain in US-China economic relations, particularly in areas like AI chips and quantum computing, where US restrictions are still in place [3] - The implementation of "reciprocal tariffs" by the US has not yielded benefits and has led to market turmoil, highlighting the need for continued dialogue and cooperation [3] - The US is encouraged to expand the scope of lifted restrictions and seek broader cooperation, moving beyond a zero-sum mindset to view China as an equal partner [3][4] Group 3 - The ideal future state of US-China economic relations should shift from friction and conflict to cooperation and mutual benefit, emphasizing the importance of managing competition while expanding collaboration [4] - Mechanized dialogue is essential to transform the "measures framework" into a "results list," achieving breakthroughs in tariff reductions, technological cooperation, and rule restructuring [4] - The Geneva-London negotiations mark the beginning of this transition, but further progress requires mutual actions and the accumulation of political and economic trust [4]
欧洲对华提要求,让中方理解欧盟贸易壁垒,话音刚落中国对欧征税
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-08 07:02
Group 1 - The article highlights the double standards in trade practices, where Western countries advocate for free trade when exporting to China but impose trade barriers against Chinese products entering their markets [1][4] - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced anti-dumping duties on brandy from the EU starting July 5, which has been met with claims of unfairness from the affected countries [1][4] - The U.S. has led efforts to restrict the use of Chinese 5G technology in Europe, reflecting a broader narrative of a "technology cold war" driven by geopolitical considerations [3][4] Group 2 - The EU has decided to impose anti-subsidy tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles in 2024, aiming to weaken China's competitiveness in the global renewable energy sector [4][7] - Historical cooperation between China and Europe in manufacturing has been significant, with European firms providing technology transfer that helped China develop its industrial framework [6][7] - European countries are now adopting a defensive stance in their economic relations with China, using tariffs and technical standards to limit market access for Chinese products [7][9] Group 3 - There is a contradiction in Europe's approach, as it seeks to maintain its industrial advantages while simultaneously requesting increased Chinese investment and job creation [9][11] - The article criticizes the notion that cooperation with China is a form of economic aid, arguing that China's manufacturing success is a result of its own efforts rather than external assistance [11] - It calls for a reevaluation of how countries can promote their own development while ensuring a fair competitive environment, rather than resorting to protectionism for short-term gains [11]
美国的“兴奋剂” 全球的危险品
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-07-07 22:15
"大而美"法案的支持者声称,法案将通过企业回流与投资增长重塑美国经济竞争力。不过,当减税红利 被关税成本抵消,企业实际承担的合规成本与供应链中断损失,可能远超税收优惠。更关键的是,以邻 为壑的政策必然引发反制——欧盟已酝酿针对性关税,新兴市场则在加速"去美元化"布局。这种对抗性 循环一旦形成,全球经济增长的整体蛋糕将持续萎缩,最终反噬美国企业的海外利润根基。 本届美国政府就职以来推出的种种争议政策,反映出美国国内经济治理失序的困境。这种政策变动正对 世界经济带来多重冲击。 首先,多边贸易体系遭遇信任危机。当美国以国内法案为由单方面调整关税,其行为违背了世界贸易组 织(WTO)框架下的互惠原则。欧盟、日本等传统盟友被迫重新评估与美国的贸易关系,新兴经济体 则加速推进区域自贸协定以规避系统性风险。全球供应链从效率优先转向安全优先的重构进程,因美国 政策不可预测性而显著提速。 其次,美元信用基础面临持续侵蚀。法案再度提升债务上限,虽然暂时避免债务违约,却让美国国债规 模突破40万亿美元。当财政纪律让位于政治周期,各国央行对美元资产的长期信心必然受损。历史表 明,主权货币的全球地位不仅依赖市场,更需要货币发行国的财政 ...
与王毅谈完后,美国收到冯德莱恩回复,只有短短“不可能”三个字
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-07 14:23
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the shift in the EU's stance towards the US, particularly in response to Trump's tariff threats, with EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen stating that a final agreement before the July 9 deadline is "impossible" [1][3][5] - Wang Yi's visit to Europe has been pivotal in changing the EU's approach, emphasizing that there are no fundamental conflicts between China and Europe, which has resonated positively with the EU amid US pressure [3][5][9] - The EU is preparing a retaliatory tariff list worth €21 billion and holds a "tariff bomb" list valued at €95 billion, indicating a strong response to US tariffs [5][9][12] Group 2 - The article discusses the growing discontent among traditional US allies, such as Japan and South Korea, towards US trade policies, suggesting a potential shift in alliances [7][9] - The EU is adopting a strategy of "waiting for change" in negotiations with the US, indicating a tactical approach to leverage its position [9][12] - The evolving dynamics between China and the EU suggest a potential for deeper cooperation in areas like digital economy and green energy, contrasting with the US's "America First" policy, which is pushing allies away [11][12]
美国税改72小时倒计时,中方亮出关键棋子!72岁崔天凯重出江湖
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-05 13:29
Group 1 - The U.S. Senate has passed the largest tax reform bill in 30 years with a narrow margin, reflecting deep internal divisions and strategic intentions to attract overseas capital, reshape U.S. manufacturing, and create a "tax haven" to draw global industry capital [1] - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce has issued strong statements in response, indicating a commitment to defend national interests and development rights, signaling the start of a significant economic confrontation [3] - The return of veteran diplomat Cui Tiankai to the diplomatic front represents China's strategic response to the evolving economic landscape, emphasizing the need for both a firm stance and strategic intelligence in negotiations [5] Group 2 - China has initiated a tax countermeasure strategy, including a reduction of corporate income tax to 15% in Hainan Free Trade Port and increased R&D expense deductions for specialized enterprises, aiming to attract global high-end resources [7] - The ongoing economic conflict is characterized by a combination of tax policies, industrial strategies, and technological restrictions, with the Biden administration's initiatives posing significant challenges to China's new energy sector [5] - The future of this economic battle hinges not on the extent of tax cuts but on which country can create a more sustainable value ecosystem for global enterprises, with China positioning itself as a provider of fertile ground for global innovators [9]
刘建超:所谓“以实力促和平”是霸权思维的新化身
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-07-04 01:10
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes that the U.S. notion of "promoting peace through strength" is a manifestation of hegemonic thinking, aiming for military action rather than dialogue [1] - Liu Jianchao highlights that under such a mindset, the "Thucydides Trap" becomes an inevitable fate for great powers, with smaller nations often forced to choose sides and become victims of great power rivalries [1] - The article discusses the fundamental changes in the nature of warfare today, warning that an obsession with zero-sum games and absolute security, including the use of AI in warfare, could lead to catastrophic consequences for humanity [1] Group 2 - Liu Jianchao asserts that the peace and stability in Asia over the past 80 years is attributed to the region's countries having their own values and methods for problem-solving, emphasizing a preference for dialogue and negotiation over military solutions [2] - The article notes that military solutions are seen as temporary fixes, while negotiated solutions are viewed as long-term resolutions [2]
所谓赚钱,就是借力、借智、借势
洞见· 2025-06-30 09:31
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of leveraging external resources, wisdom, and timing to achieve financial success, rather than relying solely on individual effort [6][72]. Group 1: Leveraging Resources - The story of Fan Li illustrates how leveraging the resources of others can lead to mutual benefits, as he partnered with a merchant to transport horses safely and profitably [8][19]. - The concept of "zero-sum game" is discussed, highlighting that unlike strict competition, wealth creation can be a win-win situation where all parties benefit [22][26]. - The article suggests that sharing opportunities and collaborating can yield greater returns than competing alone, as exemplified by the analogy of mining gold with partners [27][29]. Group 2: Borrowing Wisdom - The transformation of a character named Abao from a street vendor to a successful businessman is attributed to his mentorship from an experienced financial expert [33][38]. - The narrative emphasizes that learning from successful individuals can significantly enhance one's financial acumen and opportunities [44][46]. - The article posits that understanding the underlying logic of wealth creation and industry dynamics is crucial for success [43]. Group 3: Timing and Opportunity - The importance of timing in business decisions is illustrated through the example of two brothers in the clothing industry, where one capitalized on the e-commerce trend while the other hesitated [56][60]. - The article stresses that recognizing and acting upon favorable conditions can lead to significant advantages in business [61][70]. - Historical references highlight that successful individuals often align their actions with the prevailing trends and opportunities in their environment [66][72].
国防部:美方不要欺骗误导美国民众和国际社会
news flash· 2025-06-26 08:08
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese Ministry of Defense emphasizes that China's development does not pose a threat to any country and advocates for peaceful coexistence between China and the United States, rejecting the notion of zero-sum games in international relations [1] Summary by Relevant Sections - **U.S. Military Spending and Strategy** - The U.S. plans to allocate $12 billion for the "Pacific Deterrence Initiative" to enhance military readiness in the Indo-Pacific region and strengthen Taiwan's defense capabilities [1] - **China's Position on Defense and Peace** - The Chinese military is portrayed as a steadfast force for maintaining world peace, contrasting with the U.S. approach of deterrence and coercion [1] - **Taiwan Issue** - The Taiwan issue is framed as an internal matter for China, with a strong rejection of foreign interference, particularly from the U.S. [1]