Group 1 - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the interest rate at a range of 4.25% to 4.5%, indicating a stable economic activity and employment market, but highlighting uncertainties regarding economic outlook and tariffs [1][2] - HSBC announced that its prime rate remains unchanged at 5.25%, with potential adjustments depending on the U.S. interest rate trends and local business strategies [1][2] - The recent consumer price index (CPI) for March reported at 2.4%, with core CPI at 2.8%, both figures showing a decline and falling below market expectations, suggesting a possible interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve later in the year if inflation continues to decrease or unemployment rises [2] Group 2 - The Hong Kong banking system's surplus has increased to HKD 174 billion, driven by a surge in demand for Hong Kong dollars due to a vibrant stock market and significant IPO activities [2] - The one-month HIBOR has dropped to 2.09%, the lowest level since September 2022, indicating a positive impact on mortgage interest expenses for homeowners despite the prime rate remaining unchanged [2]

【环球网财经综合报道】北京时间5月8日，美联储货币政策委员会FOMC会后宣布，将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在4.25% - 4.5%，符合市场预期，这也是 美联储连续第三次货币政策会议决定暂停行动，此次利率决议得到FOMC成员一致同意。资产负债表方面，委员会维持缩表节奏不变，美国国债每月赎回上 限为50亿美元、机构债务和MBS每月赎回上限为350亿美元。美联储声明指出，经济前景不确定性"进一步"增加，强调通胀和失业风险双双上升，新增语 句"失业率上升和通胀上升的风险已增加"，同时重申最近指标显示经济活动仍稳健扩张，指出净出口波动已影响数据。 美联储主席鲍威尔在会后表示，高关税可能导致通胀和失业率上升，目前判断通胀和失业的风险哪种更严重为时过早；当前货币政策有适度限制性，潜在的 通胀前景良好，观望是很明确的决定；无法先发制人，因为不知道如何应对，直到看到更多数据为止；关税冲击尚未到来，政策对通胀影响可能短暂也可能 更持久；至少未来一年，美联储的通胀和就业目标不会取得进展；谈判可能实质性改变贸易局势，也可能不会。 东方金诚研究发展部高级副总监白雪认为，该次会议正式明确了关税冲击下，滞涨压力是美联储面临的关键挑战，后 ...

此次利率决议符合市场预期，黄金市场反应平淡，金价维持高位震荡。但从大方向看，黄金多头格局未变，仍处于相对强势阶段。 周线级别上，黄金价格在 3070 区域获得支撑；日线级别，本周一价格突破阻力位，当前支撑在 3337 区域。今日早间黄金开盘后快 速拉升至 3414 美元，突破昨日3400-3405 美元，若回落确认支撑，有望继续上攻。当前多空分界点在 3360 美元下方，鉴于黄金当前 涨势罕见，传统 K 线组合、双顶信号等判断方式或已失效。目前上方阻力在3397-3411，下方支撑在3363-3355，操作上徐老师建议 回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅。 操作策略1：建议反弹3394-3400空，损3406，目标看3370-3355。 凌晨的美联储利率决议尘埃落定，维持利率不变。美联储表示通胀与失业率上升风险加剧，在应对特朗普关税政策影响的背景下， 经济前景不确定性进一步增大。美联储鲍威尔指出的不确定性，已对个人和企业情绪产生影响，不过经济基本面仍较为健康。若后 续经济数据支持，降息存在可能性，但在形势更明朗前，不会贸然改变政策。通胀和失业率风险增加等支撑金价，同时需关注英国 央行利率决议等消息以及俄乌、中东局势。 ...

Macroeconomic Overview - The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate target range at 4.25%-4.50% for the third consecutive time, citing stable unemployment and a solid labor market, but high inflation and increased economic uncertainty [1] - Fed Chairman Powell highlighted the uncertainty surrounding the impact of tariffs from the Trump administration, noting that the effects have not yet appeared in economic data, while consumer concerns about rising prices persist [1] - Future Fed policy direction will depend on the intensification of employment and inflation risks, with a potential 50 basis point rate cut expected later this year [1] - The Fed's decision positively influenced the U.S. stock market, leading to a decline in Treasury yields and an increase in the dollar [1] Dollar Index - The dollar index showed an upward trend, reaching a high of 99.95 and a low of 99.197, closing at 99.876 [2] - From a multi-timeframe analysis, the weekly resistance is at 103.30, while the daily level indicates a bullish bias as long as it remains above 99.40 [2] - Short-term analysis suggests a bullish outlook, with support at 99.50 and potential upward movement towards the 100-100.40 range [2] Gold Market - Gold prices experienced an overall increase, peaking at 3434.67 and closing at 3430.31, following a period of volatility [4] - Monthly analysis indicates a four-month upward trend with a recent correction, while weekly support is noted at 3070 [4] - Daily analysis shows that as long as prices remain above the support level of 3337, a bullish stance is maintained, with short-term caution advised if prices break below recent lows [4][6] Euro/USD Market - The Euro/USD pair showed a downward trend, with a low of 1.1291 and a close at 1.1296 [6] - Monthly support is identified at 1.0800, suggesting a long-term bullish outlook, while weekly support is at 1.0900 [6] - Short-term analysis indicates a bearish bias until the price breaks above daily resistance levels, with current support at 1.1330-1.1340 [6]

美国总统特朗普的关税公告及贸易伙伴的反应让市场感到震惊。企业在这个财报季节中一直在准备应急 计划并撤回指导，等待进一步的解决方案。市场在模糊的关税谈判中寻找稳定的立足点。与此同时，经 济已开始放缓。4 月底发布的第一季度国内生产总值（GDP）显示美国经济萎缩。调查数据和高频数据 （如集装箱运输）亦指向同一发展方向。关税不仅抑制增长，还可能引发通胀，这为美联储创造了一个 复杂的环境，主席鲍威尔上个月在声明中亦简略地承认了这一点。 智通财经APP获悉，尚渤投资管理投资组合经理 Ali Hassan 表示，市场预期美联储不会有任何行动，而 当局也没有让人失望。此次决议和声明并无新进展，联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）将联邦基金利率维 持在 4.25% - 4.50% 的区间内。声明平淡且措辞圆滑，并承认了不确定性。唯一值得注意的是，当局强 调了潜在的高失业率与高通胀之间的两难局面，而不仅仅是通胀。此次会议没有安排更新经济预测摘 要，因此，新闻发布会是关键。 关税政策波动中，美联储的反应机制备受争议，包括反应的时间及深度。许多观察者，甚至是美联储理 事沃勒（Christopher Waller）认为关税对通胀有一次性的 ...

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-05-08 美联储维持利率不变 市场要闻与重要数据 今日凌晨，美联储议息会议连续第三次维持利率不变，声明中强调通胀和失业率上升的风险走高。鲍威尔高呼不 确定性因素以及继续观望等待的成本很低，表示不急于降息。鲍威尔还称无意主动与特朗普会晤，后者的降息呼 吁无碍美联储的工作。美元有所走强，黄金则是出现冲高回落的情况。地缘方面，印度将在拉贾斯坦邦靠近国际 边界的地区开展大规模空战演习，此外印度方面还表示，如果巴基斯坦对袭击做出回应，印度也将做出回应。乌 克兰方面，乌克兰央行行长正在开始审议是否应该把欧元而不是美元作为参考货币。 期货行情与成交量： 2025-05-07，沪金主力合约开于 802.00元/克，收于 803.50元/克，较前一交易日收盘 1.09%。当日成交量为 413639手，持仓量为 188308手。昨日夜盘沪金主力合约开于 803.10 元/克，收于 802.68 元/克，较昨日午后收盘 上涨0.07%。 2025-05-07，沪银主力合约开于 8240元/千克，收于 8252元/千克，较前一交易日收盘-1.31%。当日成交量为 537686手，持仓量 2303 ...

Core Points - The Federal Reserve announced on May 7 to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% to 4.50%, marking the third consecutive meeting without a rate change since January and March [1] - The Fed's statement indicated an increase in uncertainty regarding the economic outlook, with stable unemployment rates but persistent inflation concerns [1] - Fed Chairman Powell noted that the impact of tariffs on the economy remains uncertain, with potential risks of rising inflation, slowing economic growth, and increasing unemployment if tariffs are sustained [2] Interest Rates and Bond Yields - The 2-year Treasury yield fell by 0.83 basis points to 3.7744%, the 3-year yield decreased by 0.84 basis points to 3.7472%, the 5-year yield dropped by 2.97 basis points to 3.8626%, the 10-year yield declined by 2.32 basis points to 4.2694%, and the 30-year yield fell by 2.62 basis points to 4.7718% [1] - Following the Fed's decision, the 10-year Treasury yield further decreased, reaching a daily low of 4.2577% [2]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve decided to pause interest rate cuts, indicating a cautious approach amid rising inflation and unemployment risks [1][2] - There is a growing uncertainty for the Fed, as premature rate cuts could lead to uncontrolled inflation expectations, while delaying action may result in an economic recession [1] - Concerns were raised by experts about the potential need for larger rate cuts in the future if the Fed waits too long to act [1] Group 2 - Fed Chair Powell emphasized a "wait and see" approach, using the phrase 11 times during a recent press conference, indicating patience in policy decisions [2] - Following the Fed's rate decision, market expectations for a June rate cut have decreased, with a general consensus that cuts may occur in the second half of the year [2] - Former Fed advisor William English suggested that the Fed should remain inactive for the time being, highlighting the difficult position they are in [3]

联邦公开市场委员会一直致力于在长期内实现充分就业，并将通货膨胀率维持在2%的目标水平。 美联储表示，更高通胀与更高失业的双重风险正在上升。这种表态也揭示了美联储在应对当前经济局势 中的两难处境。 当地时间5月7日，美联储公布了最新决议，基准利率连续第三次维持在4.25%-4.50%区间不变。 不过，目前美国失业与通胀同时面临上升风险，经济不确定性也在加剧。 在此之前，美国总统特朗普一直对美联储施压，希望能够降息来以提振美国经济。特朗普甚至还威胁解 雇鲍威尔，尽管后来他又对记者说："我无意解雇他"。 美联储再拒降息 当地时间7日，美国联邦储备委员会结束了为期两天的货币政策会议，宣布维持基准利率不变，将联邦 基金利率目标区间保持在4.25%至4.50%之间。这也是自今年1月以来，美联储连续第三次维持基准利率 不变。 美联储在声明中指出，尽管净出口的波动影响了相关数据，但近期指标显示，美国经济活动持续稳健扩 张。近几个月来，失业率稳定在较低水平，劳动力市场状况依旧稳固，不过通货膨胀率仍处于略高状 态。 为实现上述目标，委员会决定将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在4.25%至4.50%。在考虑对联邦基金利率 目标区间进行进 ...

当地时间5月7日，美国联邦储备委员会结束为期两天的货币政策会议。在当天下午美联储主席鲍威尔的 新闻发布会上，"关税"一词被提及超过20次。鲍威尔在被问及关税的实际影响时表示，委员会注意到消 费者情绪方面的变化，人们对关税带来的冲击感到担忧，担心价格可能上升。但他补充说，这种冲击尚 未真正显现在经济数据上。 鲍威尔表示，特朗普政府的新政策仍在不断演变中，其对经济的影响仍然"高度不确定"。如果已宣布的 大幅提升关税持续实施，可能会导致通胀上升、经济增长放缓以及失业率上升。他表示，通胀的影响可 能是短暂的，但也可能会"更加持久"。 ...