国补政策

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家电市场洗牌速度今年远超预期
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-02 19:05
前所未有!今年以来,一线家电市场的洗牌力度,大大超出过去40年中的任何一年。对于不少家电厂商来说,面对的就是"开局 即终局":不少工厂至今都没有正常生产,还有一些工厂阶段性放假,甚至放长假。 宁言 撰写 其次,要敢闯和敢干。面对没有胜算的一线市场正面抢夺,众多厂商尽量避免参与内卷式竞争乱战,要有实力、有胆识跳出拼 低价泥潭,敢闯敢干去寻找新出路。实在不行,就留存实力,保存精力,等待产业拐点的到来。 再者,要果断和高效。今年以来的家电市场竞争,节奏快、变数多、变化快,对于很多厂商而言,一旦市场经营慢半拍,就会 出现步步慢的尴尬局面。所以,善于打仗的关键,是高效、快速的决策和反馈,从而避免市场竞争机会的错失。 声明:家电圈原创文章,未经授权一律严禁转载 无论是海尔、美的、长虹、海信、TCL,或是方太、老板,以及九阳,还是京东、天猫、拼多多、苏宁易购,从去年四季度到 今年一季度以来,成为家电"国补"政策的最大赢家。不只是在下行的市场通道中收获增长的业绩,同时在市场占有率、品牌影 响力和渠道话语权、用户认知度等多个维度,都出现了明显提升,话语权和地位显著提高。 与之对应,则是不少家电厂商的生意出现恶化。一些家电工厂从 ...
老板电器:国补拉动行业增长,分红比例创新高-20250501
Southwest Securities· 2025-05-01 10:23
| [Table_MainProfit] 指标/年度 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 11212.65 | 11821.85 | 12476.16 | 13204.77 | | 增长率 | 0.10% | 5.43% | 5.53% | 5.84% | | 归属母公司净利润(百万元) | 1577.40 | 1637.52 | 1732.72 | 1850.45 | | 增长率 | -8.97% | 3.81% | 5.81% | 6.79% | | 每股收益 EPS(元) | 1.67 | 1.73 | 1.83 | 1.96 | | 净资产收益率 ROE | 13.81% | 13.32%13.21% | | 13.21% | | PE | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | | PB | 1.65 | 1.53 | 1.44 | 1.34 | [ T able_StockInfo] 2025 年 04 月 30 日 证券研究报告•2024年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 老 ...
厨电三巨头业绩“冰火两重天”:万和海外突围,老板、华帝被精装修市场“绊倒”
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-04-30 13:59
同为国内厨电行业头部企业,老板电器、华帝股份和万和电气却呈现明显业绩分化。4月28日,老板电 器和华帝股份公布财报,2024年的业绩增幅明显不及2023年,2025年一季度甚至都出现了营收和归母净 利润双双下滑的情况,万和电气却相反,不仅2024年业绩增幅高过2023年,2025年一季度还延续了增长 态势。 本报记者对比财报及行业数据发现,业绩分化与其各自的产品规划和市场渠道密切相关:一方面,房地 产市场的持续低迷对厨电行业形成显著压制,老板电器和华帝股份恰恰与精装修市场"深度绑定";另一 方面,在国内市场承压的时候,万和电气积极出海,2024年出口额增幅超过40%。行业专家预计,今年 厨电市场将保持稳定,"国补"就是托底的砝码。 两大巨头业绩齐齐下滑 2024年,老板电器实现营收112.13亿元,同比微增0.1%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润为15.77亿元, 同比下滑8.97%。华帝股份的增长情况稍好一些,实现营收63.72亿元,同比增长2.23%;归属于上市公 司股东的净利润为4.85亿元,同比增长8.39%。 尽管2024年两家企业业绩表面平稳,但对比2023年,增速已显著放缓。2023年,老板电器营收 ...
老板电器(002508):国补拉动行业增长,分红比例创新高
Southwest Securities· 2025-04-30 13:03
[ T able_StockInfo] 2025 年 04 月 30 日 证券研究报告•2024年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 老板电器(002508)家用电器 目标价:——元(6 个月) 买入(维持) 当前价:19.65 元 国补拉动行业增长,分红比例创新高 | [Table_MainProfit] 指标/年度 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 11212.65 | 11821.85 | 12476.16 | 13204.77 | | 增长率 | 0.10% | 5.43% | 5.53% | 5.84% | | 归属母公司净利润(百万元) | 1577.40 | 1637.52 | 1732.72 | 1850.45 | | 增长率 | -8.97% | 3.81% | 5.81% | 6.79% | | 每股收益 EPS(元) | 1.67 | 1.73 | 1.83 | 1.96 | | 净资产收益率 ROE | 13.81% | 13.32% | 13.21% | 13.2 ...
"国补+创新"双轮驱动,迪信通全面发力惠民生
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-04-30 05:50
五一消费热潮将至,迪信通正在谋定快动抢占市场先机。作为国内移动通讯连锁行业的领军者,迪信通 凭借股东华发集团科技、城市、金融三大产业集群的强大资源,将国补政策红利转化为市场爆发力。 数据显示,近期迪信通手机零售销量实现大幅跃升,成为行业政策落地的标杆案例,正引领新一轮市场 增长浪潮。 商务部最新数据表明,自《手机、平板、智能手表(手环)购新补贴实施方案》落地以来,消费者申请 数码产品购新补贴已达6486.6万件,政策效应持续显现。手机、平板等产品作为消费电子领域的"主力 军",今年首次被纳入国补范畴。 1月20日起,迪信通全国超600家门店同步启动手机、平板、智能手表等多品类补贴服务,并充分发挥行 业头部企业的资源整合优势,联动国家补贴、手机厂商、运营商及金融机构,形成"四维让利"叠加效 应。一套"组合拳"下来,既确保国补政策"铺得开",更推动惠民举措"落得实",真正实现"政策发布即 落地、标准出台即执行",助力消费者满足消费换新需求。 迪信通在国补政策中的示范作用,获得了国家部委与地方政府的高度认可。春节前夕,商务部选定北京 迪信通西单大悦城店开展3C国补走访调研,并组织多家渠道商在此举行座谈会议。调研组现 ...
瑞尔特(002790):2025Q1下降主因补贴节奏扰动 国补正带动需求修复
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 10:40
事件描述 公司2024 年实现营收/归母净利润/扣非净利润23.58/1.81/1.60 亿元,同比+8%/-17%/-20%;其中2024Q4 实现营收/归母净利润/扣非净利润6.48/0.55/0.47 亿元,同比+2%/+28%/+26%。 2025Q1 实现营收/归母净利润/扣非净利润4.12/0.21/0.18 亿元,同比-21%/-63%/-67%。 事件评论 收入端:25Q1 下降主因补贴节奏扰动,估计1-2 月受补贴节奏扰动较大,3 月销售实现回暖。2024 年 公司营收同增8%,其中2024Q4 营收同增2%,2025Q1 营收同比-21%,2025Q1 收入承压主因贸易政策 变动及各地促消费政策实施节奏不一致影响,导致订单减少。整体来看,公司表现优于行业整体表现, 根据奥维云网,2024 年我国线上智能坐便器零售额规模为56 亿元,同比下滑18.6%;零售量为252 万 台,同比下滑18.0%。拆分业务结构看,2024 年公司水箱及配件/智能座便器及盖板/同层排水系统产品 分别同比+2.93%/+13.37%/-13.54%;分地区看,2024 年境内/境外分别同比+2.26%/+25.5 ...
慕思股份:前瞻布局智能床垫赛道,期待国补政策催化-20250429
Southwest Securities· 2025-04-29 05:55
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Hold" [1][6]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the upcoming national subsidy policies, which are anticipated to stimulate consumer demand and support sales growth in the smart mattress sector [5][6]. - The company has established a strong product matrix centered around smart mattresses, indicating a positive growth outlook in this segment [5][6]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 5.60 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 770 million yuan, a decrease of 4.4% year-on-year [5]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.12 billion yuan, down 6.7% year-on-year, and a net profit of 120 million yuan, down 16.4% year-on-year [5]. - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 50.1%, with a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [5]. Product and Sales Channel Analysis - The company’s main product categories, including mattresses, bed frames, and sofas, showed stable sales growth, with mattress sales increasing by 5.1% year-on-year [5]. - The company is focusing on upgrading offline stores and expanding online channels, with significant growth in e-commerce sales [5]. - The company has established a diversified sales network covering both domestic and international markets, with a notable increase in overseas sales [5]. Earnings Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are projected to be 1.99 yuan, 2.10 yuan, and 2.27 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 15, 14, and 13 [7][8]. - The company is expected to maintain a stable growth trajectory, driven by its strong brand and product capabilities, alongside the anticipated recovery in downstream demand due to national subsidy policies [6][8].
科沃斯(603486):国补拉动销售效果明显 利润率持续修复
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:40
事件:公司发布2024 年年报和2025 年一季报。24 年实现营业收入165.4亿元,同比+6.7%;实现归母净 利润8.1 亿元,同比+31.7%。24Q4 单季营业收入为63.2 亿元,同比+27.1%;归母净利润为1.9 亿元,同 比+2178.0%。25Q1 实现营业收入38.6 亿元,同比+11.1%;实现归母净利润4.7 亿元,同比+59.4%,实 现扣非归母净利润+3.6 亿元,同比+24.2%。 国补拉动下,24Q4 产品出货增速亮眼。分业务收入拆分:24 年科沃斯品牌服务机器人、添可品牌智能 生活电器、清洁电器OEM/ODM、其他业务收入分别为80.8 亿元、80.6 亿元、2.6 亿元、1.4 亿元,同比 +5.2%、+10.9%、-34.0%、+43.4%。受益于国补政策实施,科沃斯及添可品牌24Q4 出货量分别同比 +47.5%、+32.7%。分区域拆分:24 年公司国内、国外收入分别为94.3 亿元、71.1 亿元,同比+5.0%、 +9.1%。分销售模式拆分:24 年公司线上、线下收入分别为111.0 亿元、54.4 亿元,同比 +14.7%、-6.6%。 盈利水平持续提升。24 ...
德尔玛20250428
2025-04-28 15:33
Summary of Delmar's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Delmar - **Industry**: Home Appliances, Water Health, Personal Care Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - In 2024, Delmar benefited from national subsidy policies, achieving nearly 30% revenue growth and doubling net profit, setting a new quarterly record [2][3] - Revenue for 2024 surpassed 3.5 billion yuan, with a net profit increase exceeding 30% [3] - The first quarter of 2025 continued the growth trend, driven by strategic market insights and effective execution [3] Business Segments - **Water Health**: - Achieved double-digit growth in 2024 and Q1 2025, with flagship countertop water purifiers solidifying market leadership [2][7] - The new product "New Ice Fun" added ice-making features, enhancing its appeal [2][7] - **Personal Care**: - Experienced mid-to-high-speed growth in 2024, but faced a decline in Q1 2025 due to adjustments in e-commerce channels [2][8] - OEM business saw double-digit growth in 2024 and rapid growth in Q1 2025, benefiting from brand popularity and deepened partnerships [2][9] Regional Performance - Domestic business grew approximately 10% in 2024, with the cleaning segment under pressure but other segments showing growth [4] - International business accounted for nearly 20% of revenue in 2024, with a 20% year-on-year increase [5] - Q1 2025 saw a slight decline in international business, but water health and massage products continued to grow [5] Product Strategy and Market Position - The cleaning business faced challenges, prompting a strategic review and new product planning for 2025, focusing on enhancing product value and consumer trust [6][23] - Delmar maintains a leading market share despite competition, driven by continuous product iteration and effective channel promotion [14] - The company plans to enhance its product line in the under-sink category, which has significant market potential [15] Market Trends and Challenges - The small appliance industry is seeing improved competition, but cost reductions are not solely due to this; they are also linked to product strength and effective marketing [12] - The water purification industry is attracting many brands, necessitating strong product capabilities to maintain market position [22] Future Outlook - Domestic market demand for cleaning appliances and water health products is expected to grow due to national subsidy policies [19] - The company is cautious about the impact of U.S. tariffs on its North American market strategy, focusing instead on strengthening its presence in Europe and Southeast Asia [20][21] - Delmar aims to optimize its overseas channel structure while enhancing resource allocation for better market penetration [21] Innovation and Technology - Delmar emphasizes user insights and experience in product development, aiming for a competitive edge through innovation [13] - The company plans to transition the production of its flagship product "New Ice Fun" to an in-house supply chain in the future [18] Conclusion - Delmar's strategic focus on innovation, market expansion, and effective resource allocation positions it well for continued growth in the competitive home appliance market [27]
国补新周期,如何看小家电投资机会
2025-04-28 15:33
• 2025 年 2-3 月,国补政策显著修复小家电行业,多数品类恢复增长。电 饭煲、电磁炉等年初至今增速达 12%,电蒸锅 19%,养生壶高达 37%, 豆浆机、榨汁机等长尾品类亦有 17-18%的增长,整体呈现可观增长态势。 • 刚需品类中,电饭煲、电压力锅、微波炉受益于 2025 年 Q1 纳入国补范 围,增长主要依赖价格拉动;养生壶、榨汁机、豆浆机等动力型小家电量 价齐升,市场表现尤为突出。 • 2025 年 Q1,苏泊尔收入从 2024 年 Q4 的下滑恢复至正增长,增幅约 4- 5%。摩飞、九阳、小熊等公司也显现修复迹象,内销预期普遍高于去年 Q4,国补政策带动行业整体趋势向上。 • 偏刚需品类占比高且顺应消费升级的企业受益最明显,尤其享受京东自营 平台最高 20%补贴力度的企业。中高端价格带企业亦受益于国 VI 标准下 刚需品类价格升级趋势。 • 美的和苏泊尔在饭煲、电压力锅及微波炉领域市占率领先,一季度合计达 51%。美的、苏泊尔小家电线上销售中相关产品占比分别达到 25%和 30%,凭借市场领导地位和较高定价策略优势显著。 Q&A 天猫和淘宝在补贴政策方面有何变化? 天猫和淘宝的补贴政策与去 ...