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北交所新消费产业研究系列(五):情绪为核+消费新生,中国情绪经济有望重塑万亿消费生态
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2026-01-19 14:02
Group 1: Emotional Economy - The emotional economy in China is projected to exceed 20 trillion yuan by 2024, with a significant growth trajectory expected to continue, reaching approximately 45 trillion yuan by 2029 [2][23][26] - Emotional consumption is characterized by a willingness to pay for emotional value, with over 60% of consumers viewing it as an effective way to relieve stress, and nearly half recognizing it as a means to alleviate emotions [8][20][23] - The emotional economy encompasses various sectors, including trendy toys, pets, emotional health, cultural entertainment, stress relief products, and fragrances, indicating a multi-faceted development landscape [2][24] Group 2: Trendy Toy Economy - The trendy toy market is shifting from functional to emotional consumption, with a projected CAGR of 21% from 2025 to 2030 [2][31] - The retail sales of trendy toys in China are expected to grow from 20.7 billion yuan in 2019 to 58.7 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 23.2% [2][37] - The growth of the trendy toy industry is driven by increasing emotional consumption, with these products becoming vehicles for personal identity and cultural belonging [2][37] Group 3: Pet Economy - The pet economy in China is anticipated to surpass 1 trillion yuan by 2027, driven by emotional attachment and companionship needs [2][56] - The pet industry is experiencing steady growth, with the market size expected to reach 701.3 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting an 18.3% year-on-year increase [2][64] - Pet food remains the dominant segment, accounting for 52.8% of the pet consumption market in 2024, with a notable increase in the average spending per pet owner expected in the coming years [2][64][68] Group 4: Fragrance Economy - The fragrance market in China is projected to grow at a CAGR of 15% from 2018 to 2024, with the market size expected to reach approximately 32.9 billion yuan by 2025 [2][81][86] - Emotional benefits are prioritized over functional needs in fragrance consumption, with 59.7% of consumers purchasing fragrances to enhance their emotional experience [2][81][92] - The fragrance market is characterized by a blend of online and offline channels, with online sales expected to grow significantly, reflecting a shift in consumer purchasing behavior [2][88]
这年头,情绪竟成“大买卖”
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2026-01-16 03:36
Core Insights - The rise of "emotional consumption" among the younger generation is driven by the need for emotional healing and stress relief, with a significant market potential projected to grow from 16.3 trillion yuan in 2022 to 23.1 trillion yuan in 2024, and expected to reach 27.2 trillion yuan by 2025 and exceed 45 trillion yuan by 2029 [1][2] Group 1: Emotional Consumption Trends - Emotional consumption is characterized by young consumers seeking products and services that provide immediate emotional satisfaction and companionship, such as blind boxes, emotional toys, and creative cultural products [1][3] - Over 90% of young people recognize the value of emotional consumption, with nearly 60% willing to pay for it, indicating a strong market demand [2][7] - The emotional consumption market is evolving, with physical products and experiential services becoming mainstream, as over 50% of respondents spend between 100-300 yuan monthly on physical goods [7][9] Group 2: Psychological Drivers - The core motivation for the rise in emotional consumption among youth is linked to the need for emotional management and the fulfillment of psychological needs in a high-pressure environment [3][9] - Traditional emotional support systems have weakened, leading young people to seek external products and services for emotional compensation [3][9] - The demand for emotional products is not just about material satisfaction but also about emotional expression, identity construction, and social connection [7][9] Group 3: Market Opportunities - The growth of digital and virtual emotional consumption is notable, with AI-driven products and services gaining traction, such as virtual gifts and emotional chatbots [8][9] - The market for AI toys is projected to see a significant increase, with sales expected to rise by 394.9% in 2025, highlighting the shift towards emotional companionship through technology [9][10] - Companies are encouraged to explore untapped emotional needs and expand consumption scenarios across various sectors, including health, education, and workplace environments [10]
金社平:推动高质量、可持续的发展
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2026-01-16 03:02
Core Viewpoint - The emphasis on "high-quality and sustainable development" is a guiding principle for China's economic and social development during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, especially as the country faces increasing external challenges and domestic supply-demand imbalances [1]. Group 1: High-Quality Development - Promoting high-quality and sustainable development requires a comprehensive implementation of the new development philosophy, focusing on qualitative improvements and reasonable quantitative growth [2]. - Innovation is highlighted as the primary driving force for development, with significant advancements in technology such as humanoid robots and AI applications driving economic growth [3]. - The green development aspect is crucial, with China leading in renewable energy systems and aiming for a transition to a low-carbon economy to ensure sustainable development [4]. Group 2: Economic Potential and Domestic Demand - China's economy is likened to a vast ocean, with significant resilience and potential to address various risks and challenges, particularly through domestic demand [5]. - The domestic consumption market shows substantial potential, with the share of household consumption in GDP being significantly lower than the global average, indicating room for growth [7]. - The shift from goods consumption to a balanced focus on both goods and service consumption is noted, with a projected growth in the emotional economy market [9][10]. Group 3: Correct Performance View and Local Adaptation - Establishing a correct performance view is essential for achieving high-quality development, emphasizing practical and sustainable growth rather than superficial metrics [14]. - Local adaptation in economic work is necessary, ensuring that strategies are tailored to specific regional strengths while contributing to national goals [18]. - The importance of balancing immediate results with long-term achievements is stressed, advocating for persistent efforts in economic development [19].
推动高质量、可持续的发展
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2026-01-15 22:16
Group 1 - The core principle for economic and social development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period is to adhere to high-quality development, emphasizing sustainable growth amidst changing external environments and domestic supply-demand imbalances [1][4] - President Xi Jinping highlighted the importance of innovation, coordination, green development, openness, and sharing as essential elements for measuring and promoting development [1][2] - The current economic landscape in China requires a shift towards quality transformation, efficiency transformation, and power transformation to balance quality enhancement with overall growth [1][2] Group 2 - The innovation-driven approach is crucial for high-quality development, with significant advancements in artificial intelligence and robotics leading to a rapid growth rate of over 50% in the embodied intelligence industry [2] - Data shows that the manufacturing value added of smart unmanned aerial vehicles increased by 49.3%, and industrial robot production rose by 20.6% in 2025, indicating a strong link between innovation and economic growth [2] Group 3 - China has established the world's largest renewable energy system, contributing to significant green development, with 1 out of every 3 kilowatt-hours of electricity being green energy [3] - The country is also the largest contributor to global afforestation, with approximately 25% of new greening area, highlighting its commitment to sustainable practices [3] Group 4 - Domestic consumption potential is a key area for economic growth, with the central economic work conference emphasizing the need to address the imbalance between strong supply and weak demand [4][5] - In 2025, new energy vehicles accounted for over 50% of total new car sales for the first time, indicating a shift in consumer preferences towards sustainable options [6] Group 5 - China's consumer market remains underdeveloped compared to global standards, with household consumption accounting for only about 40% of GDP, significantly lower than the global average of 56% [8] - The focus on expanding service consumption is crucial, as the market is transitioning from goods-centric to a balanced approach between goods and services [10][11] Group 6 - The potential for economic growth in China is multifaceted, with projections indicating that the scale of intelligent computing power will double by 2026 [12] - Investment needs for achieving carbon neutrality are expected to exceed 2% of GDP, creating substantial investment opportunities [12] Group 7 - International institutions have raised their economic growth forecasts for China, reflecting global confidence in the country's economic prospects [13] - The CEO of Estée Lauder emphasized that the future of growth still lies in China, reinforcing the country's strategic importance in the global market [14] Group 8 - The foundation for China's economic resilience and potential remains strong, with a focus on transforming the market from "super large" to "super strong" [15] - The correct performance evaluation and development perspective are essential for achieving sustainable growth, as highlighted by President Xi Jinping [16][20]
“哭哭马”意外走红,一只缝错嘴的小马如何搅动万亿情绪经济
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-15 03:58
Core Insights - The phenomenon of the "crying horse" toy highlights a significant shift in consumer behavior towards emotional value over traditional functional value in products [2][4][6] - The emotional economy in China is projected to reach 2.3 trillion yuan in 2024, with expectations to exceed 4.5 trillion yuan by 2029, indicating a growing market for products that resonate emotionally with consumers [4] Group 1: Product and Market Dynamics - The "crying horse" toy, initially a production error, became a viral sensation due to its relatable emotional expression, contrasting with the traditional cheerful designs [1][2] - The success of the "crying horse" reflects a broader trend where consumers, particularly the younger generation, are increasingly willing to pay for products that provide emotional comfort and resonance [4][5] Group 2: Marketing and Consumer Engagement - Companies that quickly adapt to market trends and consumer emotions can turn unexpected situations into successful sales opportunities, as demonstrated by the "crying horse" case [5] - The rise of the "crying horse" signifies a victory for authenticity and sincerity in marketing, suggesting that consumers prefer genuine experiences over standardized offerings [5][6] Group 3: Future Implications - The shift from functionalism to experiential and emotional consumption indicates that businesses must enhance their sensitivity to market feedback and consumer emotions to remain competitive [6] - As the Z generation becomes the primary consumer group, the focus on emotional value will necessitate a reevaluation of traditional production and marketing strategies [6]
吴福仲:“秒回师”走红暗藏隐忧
Huan Qiu Wang Zi Xun· 2026-01-14 23:07
Core Insights - The rise of "second response masters" represents a burgeoning sector within the "emotional economy," providing near-constant emotional support and feedback services to consumers [1][2] - This service model creates a low-pressure, high-privacy environment, allowing users to temporarily escape social roles and emotional responsibilities while receiving immediate emotional relief [1] - The human element in "second response masters" offers a level of empathy and understanding that artificial intelligence cannot replicate, highlighting the importance of emotional intelligence in this field [1] Industry Characteristics - "Second response masters" operate as a standardized emotional labor commodity, characterized by a low entry barrier and a gig economy structure, which facilitates efficient supply-demand matching [2] - The emotional labor involved poses risks of consumer dependency and self-function weakening, as users may become accustomed to outsourcing emotional regulation [2] - Practitioners face emotional exhaustion and lack of job security, as the demands of managing others' emotions can lead to burnout without adequate support systems [2] Ethical and Regulatory Concerns - The emotional service industry currently lacks clear regulatory and ethical guidelines, leading to significant safety and ethical risks, especially in cases of psychological crises [3] - There is a pressing need for platforms to establish clear boundaries and norms, ensuring that services are not misrepresented as therapeutic and that user expectations are managed appropriately [3] - A collaborative governance framework involving industry associations, academia, and professional bodies is essential to develop standards, ethical codes, and crisis response protocols [4]
人形机器人的下一个万亿市场:叫“情绪经济”
机器人大讲堂· 2026-01-14 04:03
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emergence of "Ai Qiao," the world's first emotional interaction humanoid robot, which aims to serve as an emotional companion rather than a labor replacement, highlighting a shift in focus within the humanoid robotics industry [1][4][20]. Group 1: Industry Context - The humanoid robotics industry is at a crossroads, with many companies focusing on labor replacement and industrial applications, while "Ai Qiao" chooses to address emotional needs [5][26]. - The industry is experiencing a technical "involution," where companies compete on physical capabilities rather than addressing real human needs, leading to a disconnect between technology and everyday life [6][12]. - The global AI companionship market is projected to grow significantly, from $30 million currently to between $70 billion and $150 billion by 2030, indicating a strong demand for emotional support solutions [12]. Group 2: Ai Qiao's Unique Approach - "Ai Qiao" is designed to recognize at least 14 human emotions with an accuracy of over 85%, utilizing a unique ELA model that focuses on emotional interaction rather than physical task execution [9][17]. - The robot features advanced hardware with 59 degrees of freedom in facial expressions and 32 degrees in its body, allowing for nuanced emotional responses and interactions [11][19]. - The design philosophy emphasizes emotional resonance over mere functionality, aiming to create a robot that can genuinely respond to human emotions and needs [20][26]. Group 3: Application Scenarios - "Ai Qiao" targets several high-emotional-value sectors, including cultural tourism, elder care, service environments, and family settings, positioning itself as a companion rather than a tool [20][23]. - In cultural tourism, it serves as an interactive storyteller, enhancing visitor experiences by providing local insights in a relatable manner [20]. - In elder care, it addresses the shortage of caregivers by offering continuous emotional support without requiring users to wear devices, thus preserving their privacy [23]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The development of "Ai Qiao" represents a long-term commitment to refining emotional interaction capabilities through continuous testing and feedback in real-world applications [33]. - The company aims to build trust with users by demonstrating the robot's effectiveness in complex environments, thereby validating its emotional interaction approach [24][25]. - The ultimate goal is to create a robot that enhances human life by providing companionship and emotional support, rather than merely replacing human labor [30][34].
“死了么”APP引关注,估值已超千万 创始人:开发仅花费1500元和1个月
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-14 02:28
Core Insights - The "Did You Die?" app has gained significant attention after topping the paid app charts in the Apple App Store, leading to a rapid increase in its valuation and investment interest [2][5] - The app aims to provide safety for young individuals living alone, particularly targeting young women in major cities [6][7] Group 1: App Development and Features - The app was developed by a team of three post-95s, costing only 1,500 yuan and taking one month to create [5][7] - It offers basic features such as setting emergency contacts and daily check-ins, with notifications sent if users fail to check in [7][8] - The app's name originated from social media discussions, reflecting a desire for a tool to ensure the safety of individuals living alone [7][8] Group 2: Market Response and User Demographics - The primary user demographic consists of young women aged 25-35 living in first and second-tier cities, with daily new user registrations increasing by 500 times since the app's rise in popularity [6][7] - The app addresses safety concerns for solitary individuals, particularly in urban settings where feelings of loneliness and insecurity are prevalent [7][8] Group 3: Future Plans and Brand Development - The company is currently in discussions with several listed companies for further investment, with initial equity offers rapidly increasing in value [5][6] - The app is set to undergo a rebranding to "Demumu" to facilitate global expansion and enhance its appeal [9][11] - Future enhancements will focus on improving features such as SMS reminders and community sharing functionalities [7][8]
2025年第53周:服装行业周度市场观察
艾瑞咨询· 2026-01-14 00:06
Industry Environment - The domestic mid-to-high-end women's clothing market is witnessing the emergence of new brands that attract high-net-worth customers through differentiated positioning and high-quality materials [2] - Brands like AWPROJECT and CHICJOC are expanding rapidly, with AWPROJECT focusing on urban women and CHICJOC implementing a "luxury alternative" strategy to achieve high repurchase rates [2] - International brands such as AnnAndelman are accelerating their presence in the Chinese market, leveraging unique designs and online-offline integration to drive market reshuffling [2] Outdoor Lifestyle Migration - Over 500 million participants are engaged in outdoor sports in China, with a shift in consumer logic towards multi-scenario adaptability, sustainability, and emotional value [3] - The outdoor apparel market is growing at an annual rate of 49%, with consumers prioritizing durability, environmental friendliness, and multifunctionality [3] - Future trends include the proliferation of smart equipment, community integration, and the "no-trace outdoor" concept, driving professional development in the industry [3] Fast Fashion Trends - The fast fashion industry is undergoing significant changes by 2025, characterized by three main trends: premiumization, acceleration, and technology-driven innovation [5] - International brands like Uniqlo and H&M are entering the high-end market through price increases and collaborations, while local brands are expanding overseas [5] - The integration of online and offline channels is deepening, with brands utilizing AI technology in design, warehousing, and marketing to enhance efficiency [5] Luxury Goods Market - The luxury goods sector is experiencing a "store opening wave," with brands like CHANEL and Louis Vuitton opening new stores in China, indicating signs of recovery [7] - The Asia-Pacific market, particularly China, is a key growth driver, while the Japanese market shows mixed performance due to currency and tourism impacts [7] - Brands are focusing on core markets and accelerating localization marketing to strengthen cultural resonance [7] Consumer Behavior Shifts - Consumers are increasingly prioritizing functionality and brand trust over mere trends, as evidenced by the popularity of high-value down jackets [4] - The success of Sam's Club's down jackets reflects a new rational consumption trend where consumers value core needs like warmth and cost-effectiveness [4] - The shift in women's shopping behavior towards men's and children's clothing highlights a growing demand for quality and practicality over traditional fashion norms [13] Jewelry Market Trends - The jewelry market is witnessing a resurgence of retro styles, with a focus on emotional resonance and personalized design appealing to younger consumers [14] - The global jewelry market is expected to grow, with the U.S. and U.K. projected annual growth rates of 1.78% and 3.35%, respectively [14] - The industry is transitioning from "material consumption" to "spiritual consumption," emphasizing the balance between craftsmanship and emotional needs [15] Brand Dynamics - The luxury e-commerce platform Mile has acquired the bankrupt fashion retailer Matches, aiming to reshape luxury retail with a new business model [24] - Scottish luxury cashmere brand Begg x Co is expanding into the Chinese market through a strategic partnership with Meizui, launching its official Tmall flagship store [25] - Sequoia China has acquired a controlling stake in the fashion brand Golden Goose, aiming to support its global expansion and strengthen its market position [26]
“哭哭马”背后的 “情绪消费”蓝海
Mei Ri Shang Bao· 2026-01-13 22:20
Group 1 - The "Crying Horse" toy from Yiwu has unexpectedly become a bestseller, with daily orders nearing 20,000 and production lines increased from 2 to 15 to meet demand [1][2] - The rise of "emotional consumption" is highlighted, with various products and trends reflecting consumers' willingness to pay for emotional value, such as the popularity of the "Crying Horse" and other emotional products [1][2] - The emotional economy in China is projected to reach a market size of 2.3 trillion yuan by 2024, with expectations to exceed 4.5 trillion yuan by 2029, indicating significant growth potential in this sector [3] Group 2 - The "Crying Horse" resonates with consumers, particularly in the workplace, as it reflects the pressures and emotional struggles faced by workers, thus becoming a favored item among them [2] - The shift in consumer behavior from material needs to emotional fulfillment is evident, with consumers increasingly valuing the emotional resonance and satisfaction derived from their purchases [2][3] - The emergence of the "Z Generation" as a key consumer group emphasizes the trend towards emotional spending, as they prioritize experiences and emotional value in their consumption choices [2][3]