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泰信基金张海涛:流动性提升等因素推动量化策略取得超额收益
Zhong Zheng Wang· 2025-08-07 14:28
中证报中证网讯(记者王鹤静)8月7日晚间,泰信双息双利债券基金经理张海涛在"中证点金汇"直播间表 示,在今年以来的结构性行情下,量化策略取得了显著的超额收益,一方面得益于市场流动性提升;另 一方面,今年A股市场呈现典型的结构性行情特征,医药、科技、新消费等板块在政策驱动和资金博弈 下表现强势,叠加流动性边际改善,量化策略通过高换手率和快速响应能力,得以在热点轮动中捕捉超 额收益。 ...
明星基金经理业绩出现显著两极分化
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-07 13:46
Core Viewpoint - After three years of underperforming the market, actively managed equity funds have finally experienced a significant rebound this year [1][4]. Performance Analysis - The "Wande Equity Mixed Fund Index," representing actively managed equity funds, showed a performance of -21.03% in 2022, -13.52% in 2023, and 3.45% in 2024, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 5.9, 9.82, and 9.22 percentage points respectively [2]. - As of August 6, 2023, the Wande Equity Mixed Fund Index has increased by 16.67%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 8.42%, and the CSI 300 Index, which increased by 4.54% [3][4]. Star Fund Managers' Performance - Among 242 actively managed equity funds with over 10 billion in management scale, only 35% outperformed the Wande Equity Mixed Fund Index, while 68% outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, and 85% outperformed the CSI 300 Index [4]. - Despite some star fund managers performing well, over 60% of their funds underperformed the average of actively managed equity funds this year [4]. Sector Performance - The underperformance of some star fund managers is attributed to significant declines in core stocks they heavily invested in, particularly in the food and beverage sector, which fell by 6.06%, and the liquor index, which dropped by 8.41% [5]. - The renewable energy sector, including photovoltaic equipment, also saw a decline of 4.86% [6]. Notable Fund Managers - Top-performing fund managers this year include those focusing on the pharmaceutical sector, such as Ge Lan and Zhao Bei, with returns of 68.97% and 89.92% respectively, largely due to heavy investments in innovative drugs and Hong Kong stocks [7][9]. - Other successful fund managers include those with a growth-oriented strategy, such as Xie Zhiyu and Fu Pengbo, whose funds achieved returns of 34.48% and 22.63% respectively [11]. Market Trends - The current market is characterized by structural trends, with sectors like AI, innovative drugs, and new consumption experiencing significant growth, while traditional sectors like consumer goods and finance lag behind [14]. - The ability of fund managers to adapt to these structural changes and adjust their portfolios accordingly has become crucial for performance [14].
大盘再创新高,高手5天盈利超60%!游资量化凶猛,普通股民如何抓住机会?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-07 09:37
Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced fluctuations, with sectors such as rare earth permanent magnets, express delivery, and liquid cooling showing significant gains, closing up 0.16% at 3639.67 points [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 182.55 billion yuan, an increase of 91.4 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - In the ongoing simulated stock trading competition, the top performer, "Niu Ge," achieved a return of 62.73%, capitalizing on stocks like Dongjie Intelligent, Lideman, and Beifang Changlong [1][3] Group 2 - The competition allows participants to use a simulated capital of 500,000 yuan, with rewards for positive returns and various prizes distributed weekly and monthly [3][4] - Participants have reported that using the Daily Economic News App's customized "Fire Line Quick Review" has provided valuable insights into investment opportunities in sectors such as the Nvidia supply chain, innovative pharmaceuticals, and rare earths [3][4] - The competition offers additional benefits, including free access to the "Fire Line Quick Review" for five days upon registration, and a chance to join a discussion group for sharing market insights and investment strategies [4][8] Group 3 - Participants noted that the current A-share market is characterized by structural trends, with some high-priced stocks experiencing significant declines, indicating the need for careful trading strategies [4][5] - There are two main profit models identified in the A-share market: one driven by trading sentiment, often involving high P/E ratio stocks, and another based on solid fundamentals supported by institutional investment [5] - The competition's scoring system rewards participants based on their performance, with specific points allocated for different rankings, encouraging active participation [6][7]
三年回撤小于20%的基金经理,只有这么几位了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-07 07:18
Market Overview - Recent market performance has been strong, with US stocks experiencing a significant drop last Friday due to "data revision," yet continuing to rise this week, reaching new highs for the year [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index also hit a new closing high for the year, indicating a vibrant market environment [1] - Key indicators of market activity include a trading volume of 1.73 trillion and margin financing data surpassing 2 trillion for the first time in ten years [1] Investment Trends - The market is currently favoring sectors such as technology (AI, robotics, innovative pharmaceuticals) and banking, leading to profitable opportunities [1] - There is a notable structural market trend this year, with actively managed equity funds outperforming passive funds [2][3] - The average return of equity mixed funds has increased by 15.81%, while the CSI 300 Index has only risen by 4.28% [1] Fund Performance - A review of actively managed equity funds shows that only 16 funds met the criteria of having over 500 million in size, a three-year return exceeding 30%, and a maximum drawdown within 20% [6] - The selected funds are primarily managed by experienced fund managers, most of whom have over ten years of experience [7] Notable Fund Managers - Yang Chonghan from Huatai-PB focuses on financial sectors, achieving a return of 20.93% this year, outperforming the banking index which rose by 13.59% [8] - Jiang Cheng, known for value investing, has two funds that focus on dividend stocks, particularly in the banking sector, showing strong performance in both volatile and rising markets [8] - Xu Yan from Dacheng has three funds listed, maintaining a consistent performance with a stock holding ratio around 60% [9] Fund Selection Criteria - The selection criteria for the funds included a minimum size of 500 million, a three-year return of over 30%, and a maximum drawdown of 20% [5] - The analysis suggests that the defensive capabilities of these funds are strong, with a focus on minimizing drawdowns while still achieving reasonable returns [13]
上证指数三连阳,船舶、液冷、机器人大涨!高位股尾盘杀跌是何信号?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-06 08:55
每经编辑|吴永久 周三,上证指数延续升势,走出三连阳,3300多只股票上涨。截至收盘,沪指涨0.45%,收报3633.99点。沪深两市成交额达到17341亿元,较昨日放量 1380亿元。 盘面上,船舶、PEEK材料、人形机器人、军贸、云游戏、液冷服务器等板块表现强劲。 在每日经济新闻App举办的掘金大赛第68期比赛中,今日是开赛第四天,比赛正在火热进行中,多位选手跑步入场。 从选手表现来看,第一名选手"牛哥"大幅领先,其收益率已经达到56.66%,他抓住了东杰智能、利德曼、北方长龙的行情。 大赛为模拟炒股,模拟资金50万元。第68期比赛的报名时间为8月1日到8月8日,比赛时间为8月1日到8月8日。正收益就获奖,报名就拿福利!周周发奖 金,月月有大奖。 目前A股处于结构性行情中,在游资量化鼎盛时代和网络信息大爆炸的当下,股民如何扭转颓势?破解办法来了!在掘金大赛中,有多位选手表示,最近 两三个月里,运用每日经济新闻APP私人订制的火线快评,对投资有较好的启发,如英伟达产业链、创新药、电子布、稀土、海南自贸、减肥药等多个板 块表现较好,抓住了其中的一些机会。 参赛福利来了,为便于参赛选手提高投资胜率,只要报名参加 ...
长城基金投资札记:结构性行情有望延续,AI、军工等或有超预期
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-08-06 08:28
国内经济二季度展现较强韧性,叠加"反内卷"政策持续推进,A股在7月延续反弹势头,稳步上涨。 进入8月,海外关税扰动或存变数,美联储降息预期升温,与此同时,国内政策有望持续巩固资本 市场回稳向好势头,A股中报也将进入密集披露期,业绩交易的重要性可能进一步提升。多重因素交织 下,当前哪些投资机会或更具潜力?一起来看看长城基金权益基金经理们的最新观点~ 杨建华:市场震荡消化压力加大 国内方面,宏观经济面临边际放缓压力,7月官方制造业采购经理人指数PMI超季节性回落到49.3, 非制造业PMI也有所回落,7月末政治局会议对当前经济形势评价正面,显示后续新的总量政策或引而 不发。国际方面,美国在与其他国家的对等关税谈判中占据上风,外部不确定性增加。 AI医疗相关板块在2月至3月初经历一段快速上涨后,表现较为乏力。一方面,国内AI应用在 DeepSeek 之后再未出现明显驱动因素;另一方面,AI医疗的市场认可度和关注度暂时不及创新药。 针对上述第一个原因,海外AI在硬件及应用端自4月起的走势持续超预期。当前国内AI的发展态势 与去年之前的阶段存在差异,并非处于大幅落后状态,因此海外AI的发展情形,大概率会滞后体现在A 股 ...
专项债发行创年内新高,A股7月新开户增长70.5% | 财经日日评
吴晓波频道· 2025-08-06 00:30
Group 1: Special Bonds and Infrastructure Investment - In July, the issuance of new special bonds reached a record high of 616.936 billion yuan, increasing by 89.842 billion yuan from the previous month [2] - The cumulative issuance progress of new special bonds as of the end of June was 49%, significantly lower than the average level of 63.2% for the same period from 2022 to 2024 [2] - The main direction of special bond funding is expected to shift towards infrastructure and real estate, with a notable project being the 1.2 trillion yuan Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project [2] Group 2: Real Estate Market Trends - Shenzhen's second-hand housing market showed signs of recovery, with a 5.2% increase in recorded transactions and a 17% rise in store signing volume [3] - The average listing price for second-hand homes in Shenzhen rose by 0.2% to 62,706 yuan per square meter in July [3] - The overall real estate market remains in a state of fluctuation, with a need for more policy stimulus to stabilize prices [4] Group 3: Hema's Business Adjustments - Hema X membership stores will cease operations, with the last store closing on August 31, indicating a strategic shift to focus on Hema Fresh and Hema NB [5][6] - Hema's overall GMV is projected to exceed 75 billion yuan in the 2025 fiscal year, with plans to open nearly 100 new stores [5] - The membership store model faced challenges due to lack of differentiation and competition with established brands like Sam's Club [6] Group 4: Mergers and Acquisitions in the Shipbuilding Industry - China Shipbuilding intends to absorb and merge with China Shipbuilding Heavy Industry, marking the largest merger in A-share history [7] - Post-merger, China Shipbuilding's total assets are expected to exceed 400 billion yuan, with revenues surpassing 130 billion yuan [7] - The merger is part of a broader trend of state-owned enterprise consolidation in sectors with overlapping businesses [8] Group 5: Nio's Restructuring Efforts - Nio is seeking restructuring investors, with 56 potential investors showing interest after filing for bankruptcy [9] - The company has reported significant losses over the past few years, highlighting its reliance on low-price competition [9] - Despite challenges, Nio's production base and core personnel remain valuable assets for potential investors [10] Group 6: A-share Market Developments - In July, A-share new accounts increased by 70.5% year-on-year, with a total of 1.9636 million new accounts opened [13] - The A-share market experienced significant gains, with major indices showing upward trends, including a 3.74% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index [13] - The current market environment is characterized by a lack of substantial participation from external funds, leading to a different dynamic compared to previous bull markets [14]
近八成投顾看涨三季度 结构性行情成主流共识——上海证券报·2025年第三季度券商营业部投资顾问调查报告
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-08-01 18:50
Group 1 - The majority of investment advisors maintain a neutral to optimistic outlook on the macroeconomic situation for Q3 2025, with over 70% holding this view [22][23][24] - Nearly 80% of advisors are bullish on the A-share market for Q3, with a structural market trend expected, favoring sectors like technology, new consumption, real estate, and finance [22][28][29] - The anticipated upper limit for the Shanghai Composite Index is projected to be around 3500 points, with 42% of advisors expecting it to be near this level [4][18][29] Group 2 - Advisors suggest that the highest value for asset allocation in Q3 2025 lies in equities, with 59% favoring this category, marking a significant increase [10][35][36] - A flexible thematic investment strategy is preferred by 44% of advisors, indicating a shift towards more dynamic investment approaches [6][37] - The expectation for liquidity in Q3 is leaning towards a relaxed environment, with 57% of advisors predicting a loose or neutral liquidity stance [26][27] Group 3 - High-net-worth clients have shown a strong inclination to increase their equity positions, with 70% reporting profits in Q2 2025 and a rising willingness to add to their investments [40][41][43] - The preference for high-dividend stocks remains strong, with 36% of advisors believing these stocks have reached reasonable valuations [32][39] - The innovative pharmaceutical sector is gaining attention, with 38% of advisors viewing it positively, driven by policy optimization and valuation recovery [34]
股市天天震荡分化搞得心累了,可融资余额涨到快2万亿,说明什么?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-01 10:02
最近股市的表现确实让人感到焦虑,每日开盘都仿佛一场未知的冒险,市场呈现出一种令人困惑的分化状态。一些股票如同火箭般蹿升,而另 一些则像断线的风筝般坠落,整个市场似乎陷入了一种精神分裂的状态。 此外,国家发改委同一天发布了关于政府投资基金的新规定,明确要求这些"国家队"资金重点投资于科技创新和产业升级。这些基金的规模非 常庞大,动辄数千亿,如此巨量的资金涌向特定方向,势必对市场产生深远的影响。 上纬新材的案例也颇具代表性。这只股票在16个交易日内暴涨十余倍,虽然因为涨幅过大而被停牌,但其背后的原因是智元机器人计划收购该 公司。这充分体现了市场对新兴科技产业的追捧。 当前市场最显著的特征是分化严重,但这实际上是资金理性选择的结果。资金更倾向于投资于政策支持的科技创新、新质生产力以及消费升级 等领域,而对于传统、产能过剩且缺乏想象空间的行业,资金则选择抛弃。这种分化虽然增加了选股的难度,但也意味着市场正变得更加成熟 和理性。市场不再是鸡犬升天的全面牛市,而是优胜劣汰的结构性行情。 从技术面来看,虽然市场每天都在震荡,但均线依然呈现多头排列,整体趋势向上。K线基本在均线上方运行,表明下方存在较强的支撑。 然而,在这看 ...
融资余额逼近2万亿关口 资金端暖意绵绵
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-07-30 14:46
沪指3600点拉锯战正酣,杠杆资金加速进场。 Wind数据显示,截至7月29日,A股融资余额达到1.97万亿元,续创2015年7月3日以来新高。同时,自7 月21日以来,A股单日融资买入额占A股成交额的比例连续7个交易日突破10%。 事实上,不只是杠杆资金,机构资金也释放出积极信号。 受访人士向21世纪经济报道记者指出,近期A股资金面呈现多元积极变化。 一方面,6—7月以来市场成 交量持续走高、被动产品新发不断发力、主动权益类基金发行量也在增长;同时,产业资本层面,减持 规模较上月大幅下降约四成,市场面临的减持压力明显减轻。另一方面,财政部针对保险资金推出一系 列长周期考核举措,有望强化险资权益资产配置的稳定性,并进一步加速险资入市的进度。 展望后市,有机构人士指出,核心指数有望挑战年内高点,但过程可能并非一帆风顺,短期需密切关注 政策细节的落地速度、经济数据的实际验证情况以及外部环境变化。 多路资金入市 另一方面,7月初,财政部发布《关于引导保险资金长期稳健投资进一步加强国有商业保险公司长周期 考核的通知》,提出的一系列长周期考核举措有望强化保险资金权益资产配置的稳定性,并进一步加速 险资入市的进度,有望为 ...