Core Viewpoint - Hongxin Supermarket is undergoing a listing hearing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with Choyao Capital as its sole sponsor. The company operates primarily in the Jiangsu province, focusing on wholesale and retail of daily consumer goods under the "Hongxin Long" brand [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - Hongxin Supermarket is headquartered in Yangzhou and operates 51 supermarkets and 109 convenience stores in Jiangsu province as of March 11, 2025, with a significant concentration in Yangzhou [1]. - The company offers a variety of daily consumer products, including fresh food, grains, oils, and household items, catering to customer needs through 16 or 24-hour convenience store operations [1]. - Hongxin Supermarket employs standardized branding, centralized purchasing, inventory control, and unified management strategies to benefit from economies of scale and streamline operations [1]. Group 2: Market Position - According to industry reports, Hongxin Supermarket ranked second among supermarket operators in Yangzhou by sales in 2023, holding a market share of approximately 9.1% [1]. - In the Suzhong region, the company ranked fifth among supermarket operators by sales in 2023, with a market share of about 2.3% [1]. - The company is estimated to rank around 20th among supermarket operators in Jiangsu province by sales in 2023, with a market share of approximately 0.4% [1]. Group 3: Revenue Contribution - The retail business was the primary source of revenue for the company in the fiscal years 2021 and 2022, but the wholesale business caught up in the fiscal year 2023 and is expected to surpass retail in the first nine months of 2024 [2]. - Food products are the main category contributing to revenue for both wholesale and retail segments [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Leap Motor (09863.HK) with a target price of HKD 66, corresponding to a valuation of HKD 885 billion, which is 1.5x the estimated 2025 P/S ratio [4][7]. Core Views - Leap Motor achieved profitability in Q4 2024, with expectations for full-year profitability in 2025. Q4 2024 sales exceeded 120,000 units, leading to revenue of RMB 13.44 billion and a gross margin improvement of 6.6 percentage points year-on-year to 13.3% [1][4]. - The launch of the LEAP 3.5 technology architecture and the B10 model is expected to drive strong product cycles, with pre-sale orders for the B10 model reaching 31,688 units within 48 hours [2][4]. - A strategic partnership with FAW aims to enhance cost and scale advantages through joint development and component cooperation, potentially lowering production costs [3][4]. Financial Summary - The projected sales volume for Leap Motor is expected to exceed 500,000 units in 2025, with total revenue forecasted at RMB 54.94 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 71% [4][13]. - The company anticipates a net profit margin of 0.6% in 2025, improving to 6.2% by 2027, with net profit estimates of RMB 336 million in 2025 and RMB 6.036 billion in 2027 [4][12]. - Key financial metrics include a projected revenue of RMB 32.16 billion in 2024, increasing to RMB 54.94 billion in 2025, with a gross profit of RMB 5.968 billion and a gross margin of 10.9% [6][13].

Group 1 - The event is a series of dialogues organized by CICC Global Institute, focusing on significant global economic issues and inviting institutions with in-depth research for discussions [1] - The dialogue is co-hosted by CICC Global Institute and the International Labour Organization (ILO) [1] Group 2 - The agenda includes a welcome speech by Peng Wensheng, the president of CICC Global Institute, followed by a keynote speech by Ekkehard Ernst on the employment market [2] - A roundtable discussion features experts from various institutions, including Harvard University and the ILO, discussing labor market resilience and innovation [3] Group 3 - CICC Global Institute aims to serve as a new type of think tank for public policy research and decision-making in China, focusing on long-term development issues in the economy and capital markets [4] - The institute is led by Peng Wensheng as the chief economist and director, with Wu Huimin as the executive director [5]

Core Viewpoint - The emergence of DeepSeek challenges traditional beliefs about AI model development, demonstrating that a financial startup from China can innovate in AI, contrary to the notion that only large tech companies or research institutions can do so [1][4][5]. Group 1: AI Economics: Scaling Laws vs. Scale Effects - DeepSeek's success indicates a shift in understanding the barriers to AI model development, particularly reducing the constraints of computational power through algorithm optimization [8][9]. - Scaling laws suggest that increasing model parameters, training data, and computational resources leads to diminishing returns in AI performance, while scale effects highlight that larger scales can reduce unit costs and improve efficiency [10][11]. - The interplay between scaling laws and scale effects is crucial for understanding DeepSeek's breakthrough, as algorithmic advancements can enhance the marginal returns of computational investments [12][14]. Group 2: Latecomer Advantage vs. First-Mover Advantage - The distinction between scaling laws and scale effects provides insights into the competitive landscape of AI, where latecomers like China can potentially catch up due to higher marginal returns on resource investments [16][22]. - The AI development index shows that the U.S. and China dominate the global AI landscape, with both countries possessing significant scale advantages, albeit in different areas [18][22]. - The competition between the U.S. and China in AI is characterized by differing strengths, with the U.S. focusing on computational resources and China leveraging its talent pool and application scenarios [19][22]. Group 3: Open Source Promoting External Scale Economies - DeepSeek's open-source model reduces commercial barriers, facilitating broader adoption and innovation in AI applications, which can accelerate the "AI+" process [24][26]. - The open-source approach allows for greater external scale economies, benefiting a wider range of participants compared to closed-source models, which tend to concentrate profits among fewer entities [25][28]. - The potential market size for AI applications is estimated to be about twice that of the computational and model layers combined, indicating significant growth opportunities [27]. Group 4: Innovation Development: From Supply and Assets to Demand and Talent - The success of DeepSeek raises questions about the role of traditional research institutions in innovation, suggesting that market-driven demands may lead to more successful outcomes in technology development [30][31]. - The integration of technological and industrial innovation is essential for sustainable growth, emphasizing the need for a shift from a supply-side focus to a demand-side approach that values talent and market needs [32][33]. - The importance of talent incentives and a diverse innovation ecosystem is highlighted, as smaller firms may be more agile in pursuing disruptive innovations compared to larger corporations [34][36]. Group 5: From Fintech to Tech Finance - The relationship between finance and technology is re-evaluated, with the success of DeepSeek illustrating how financial firms can leverage technological advancements to enhance their competitive edge [36][39]. - The role of capital markets in fostering innovation ecosystems is emphasized, suggesting that a diverse range of participants is necessary for achieving external scale economies [38][39].