2月26日，A股三大指数涨跌不一。截至收盘，上证指数跌0.01%，深证成指涨0.19%，创业板指跌0.29%，科创综指涨1.29%，北证50指数跌0.15%。全市 场成交额25566亿元，较上一交易日增加757亿元。 午后，算力芯片概念拉升，寒武纪大涨近10%，截至收盘涨7.96%；云天励飞、海光信息、芯原股份、摩尔线程等跟涨。 | 丛米赤门 | 39.59 +20.01% +36.56% | | --- | --- | | 科创 688530 融 | | | 领涨龙头2 首板 最终涨停14:22 | | | 聚飞光电 | 9.30 +20.00% +28.63% | | 创 300303 融 | | | 首板 最终涨停13:36 | | | 明阳电路 | 35.16 +20.00% +66.32% | | 创 300739 融 | | | 人气龙头２ 领涨龙头1 最终涨停14:55 | | | 春晖智控 | 38.64 +20.00% +16.42% | | 創 300943 融 | | | 首板 最终涨停 11:29 | | | 杰普特 | 242.46 +20.00% +12.45% | | 科创 68 ...

证券研究报告·行业深度报告·电子 电子行业深度报告 AI 基建，光板铜电—GTC 前瞻 Serdes，Rubin Ultra&CPO 交换机详解 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 ◼ 建议关注 M9 PCB 产业链：菲利华、东材科技、生益科技、胜宏科技、沪电股 份、深南电路、东山精密等 CPO 产业链：致尚科技、长光华芯、源杰科技、仕佳光子、太辰光、 炬光科技、罗博特科等 ◼ 风险提示：算力互联需求不及预期，客户拓展及份额提升不及预期，产 品研发及量产落地不及预期，行业竞争加剧 2026 年 02 月 25 日 证券分析师 陈海进 执业证书：S0600525020001 chenhj@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 解承堯 东吴证券研究所 1 / 21 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 执业证书：S0600125020001 xiechy@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -22% -15% -8% -1% 6% 13% 20% 27% 34% 41% 48% 2025/2/25 2025/6/26 2025/10/25 2026/2/23 电子 沪深300 相 ...

分析师 2: 好的，各位投资者，那个晚上好，欢迎大家参会。今天初八，启新程，祝各位投资者马年 开工大吉，万事马到成功，业绩定制长虹。今天光互联这个方向喜提开门红，我们认为是 这个产业逻辑和短期催化形成了一个共振。就关于这种技术路径的一个争议，也出区域， 一个平缓，所以各个细分方向的成长性这个之前相互压制的这样的一个恐慌，是有所放缓 了。同时，假期就春节假期，这个美股比如说像 AMD NVIDIA 还有 Coherent。A O I、 西雅娜等等这些光模块，或者说 CPO 相关的一些核心标的，也都大涨，都在 13%以上。 也给了这个今天 A 股光互联，就是普，这个普涨，也造，创造了一个比较好的一个条件。 下面我们主要来梳理一下，就是我们关于这个光互联这个板块，三个细分方向的一个划分 以及各自的这个逻辑观点和后后续这个走势的一个判断。首先我们先要介绍一下，就是我 们对于光互联，我们会按照这个不同的产品、不同的供应链和不同的逻辑，具体会划分成 三个细分的方向。分别是大光、小光和新光。那我们先来讲一下新光，新旧新旧的新。新 光其实主要是指这个 CPU、NPU、OCS 等等这些下一代光互联方案。 所涉及到的一些板块标的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is strategically positioning itself to capitalize on the rapid development of AI computing power by advancing its optical communication business through various technologies such as high-speed optical modules, CPO, and OCS [1] Group 1: Business Strategy - The company is focusing on two main application areas: OCS optical switches and high-speed optical modules, while also developing its own CPO optical connector products [1] - In the OCS sector, the company aims to increase production capacity of large-size pure YVO4 yttrium vanadate crystals to ensure timely delivery and mass production of key products like two-dimensional collimator arrays [1] - The company is steadily advancing the research, validation, and market introduction of other supporting precision optical components [1] Group 2: Market Positioning - In the high-speed optical module sector, the company plans to accelerate the expansion of production capacity for precision optical components that are compatible with 800G and 1.6T high-speed optical module products [1] - The company is committed to continuously enhancing product competitiveness and market share to align with industry evolution [1]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Company and Industry Involved - **Company**: Yuanjie Technology (源杰科技) - **Industry**: Optical Communication and Semiconductor Industry Key Points and Arguments 1. **Investment in Expansion**: Yuanjie Technology plans to invest approximately 1.25 billion RMB in the second phase of its optical communication semiconductor chip and device R&D production base, with a construction period of 18 months [1] 2. **Capacity Expansion Timeline**: The company expects to begin equipment installation and debugging by the end of 2026, with production capacity expected to be released around Q2-Q3 of 2027, and full capacity release anticipated by the end of 2027 to Q1 of 2028 [1][2] 3. **Current Asset Status**: As of Q3 2025, the company's fixed assets and construction in progress were 570 million RMB and 145 million RMB, respectively. The large-scale investment of 1.25 billion RMB aims to ensure capacity meets the strong demand expected in 2027 and demonstrates confidence in the industry demand and the company's market share for 2028 [1] 4. **Core Equipment and Production Growth**: The company is accelerating the arrival and process debugging of core equipment such as MOCVD and E-BEAM, with the U.S. factory expected to gradually start production in 2026. The company anticipates a multiple increase in production capacity in 2026, continuing to double in 2027, and maintaining high growth in 2028 [2] 5. **CPO Product Development**: The development of CW lasers for the CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) field has entered a critical productization stage. The value and technical difficulty of CPO CW laser products are several times higher than those of CW laser products used in optical modules [2] 6. **Market Opportunities**: As the CPO products ramp up, Yuanjie Technology is expected to benefit significantly from the full-scenario deployment of both external and internal optical interconnects. The production equipment for the 300mW CPO products is largely consistent with that for optical modules, allowing for a smooth transition in production capacity [2] 7. **Long-term Industry Outlook**: The company emphasizes strong demand for pluggable optical modules and Scale Up CPO/NPO over the next five years, positioning Yuanjie Technology as a leading domestic optical chip manufacturer with a commitment to large-scale expansion, reflecting confidence in the industry's development [2] 8. **Overall Industry Sentiment**: The overall sentiment in the domestic optical interconnect industry is positive, particularly under the trend of "optical interconnects within cabinets" [2]

Market Overview - The market experienced a strong upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 1% and surpassing 4100 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by over 2% and the ChiNext Index rose nearly 3% [1] - AI application stocks showed active performance, with companies like 360 and Zhongwen Online hitting the daily limit [1] - The computing power hardware sector saw explosive growth, with stocks like Jepu Tech and Changfei Fiber reaching new highs [1] - The photovoltaic sector continued its upward momentum, with stocks such as Jinjing Technology and TCL Zhonghuan also hitting the daily limit [1] - Overall, more than 4600 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets were in the green, with a total trading volume of 2.27 trillion [1] Key Sectors Optical Communication - The optical communication sector saw significant gains, with stocks like Jepu Tech and Tiantong Co. hitting the daily limit, and Tianfu Communication rising over 17% to reach a historical high [4] - Lumentum, a leader in optical communication, reported new multi-million dollar CPO orders, contributing to a 9.4% increase in its stock price [4] - The overall market for optical interconnection is expected to maintain rapid expansion, driven by various network connection scenarios [6] Photovoltaics - The photovoltaic sector experienced another surge, with companies like GCL-Poly, Yamaton, and TCL Zhonghuan hitting the daily limit [6] - Tesla is evaluating multiple sites in the U.S. to expand its solar cell manufacturing business, aiming for an annual production capacity of 100 gigawatts over the next three years [6] AI Applications - AI application stocks surged, with companies like Mingdiao Co., Rongxin Culture, and Haikan Co. hitting the daily limit [8] - ByteDance launched the Seedance 2.0 video generation model, which supports various input types and significantly enhances video generation capabilities [8] - The introduction of Seedance 2.0 is expected to reduce production costs dramatically, making AI video generation a viable industrial tool [8][10] Notable Stocks - Jepu Tech (688025) saw a 20% increase, driven by CPO developments [15] - GCL-Poly (002506) achieved a 10.04% rise, reflecting strong market interest in photovoltaic solutions [7] - Mingdiao Co. (002830) rose by 10.02%, benefiting from advancements in AI applications [9]

Core Insights - The future of optical interconnection is driven by diverse network connection scenarios such as Scale-out, Scale-up, and Scale-across, indicating a high-speed expansion of the overall market space [1] - Various technical solutions have independent market expansion foundations, presenting long-term and sustainable development opportunities [1] - The report suggests focusing on three core lines: large optics, small optics, and new optics, based on market cycles and industry evolution stages [1] Group 1: Demand for Optical Modules - Confidence in future demand for optical modules is increasing, with major cloud service providers (CSPs) like Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta disclosing a combined capital expenditure of $660 billion by 2026, a significant 60% year-on-year increase, primarily directed towards AI computing power [1] - The sustained increase in capital investment by major CSPs in AI-related infrastructure will prioritize network connectivity, crucial for computing clusters [1] - The demand for optical modules will remain strong due to the ongoing release of GPU/TPU/ASIC chips and the rapid iteration of next-generation chips, establishing a solid demand foundation for 2027 [1] Group 2: CPO Industry Progress - Lumentum has announced additional orders worth hundreds of millions of dollars for ultra-high power lasers in the CPO field, with substantial deliveries expected in the second half of 2026 and Scale-up CPO products anticipated by the end of 2027 [2] - NVIDIA has revealed that partners CoreWeave, Lambda, and TACC will deploy IBCPO systems in the first half of 2026, with Ethernet CPO products set to ship in the second half of 2026 [2] - The CPO industry is progressing faster than previously expected, with significant advancements anticipated throughout the year, suggesting a growing market space [2] Group 3: NPO's Unique Advantages - Tencent has released specifications for its NPO technology, which centralizes the optical engine deployment near device chips, enabling single-layer Scale-up networking and supporting DSP-free designs [3] - NPO offers greater flexibility and cost-effectiveness, making it a favored choice among CSP customers and potentially a long-term technical option [3] - The NPO technology can reduce costs and power consumption through high-density interconnections while maintaining higher decoupling in the supply chain, enhancing the growth potential and performance of related industry players [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the communication industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector over the next six months [1][8]. Core Insights - The demand for optical modules is expected to increase significantly, driven by major cloud service providers (CSPs) like Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta, which are projected to spend a total of $660 billion on capital expenditures in 2026, a 60% year-on-year increase, primarily focused on AI computing infrastructure [5]. - The CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) industry is accelerating its progress, with Lumentum announcing substantial orders for high-power lasers, and Nvidia's partners set to deploy CPO systems in 2026, indicating a robust market expansion [5]. - NPO (Near-Package Optics) technology is gaining traction due to its cost-effectiveness and flexibility, making it a preferred choice among CSP clients, which could enhance the long-term growth potential of related companies [5]. - The report emphasizes that multiple optical interconnection solutions will coexist in the long term, suggesting that investors should focus on different investment priorities based on market cycles and technological advancements [5]. Summary by Sections Optical Modules - The future demand for optical modules is expected to remain strong, with a competitive edge due to the ongoing evolution of products like 800G, 1.6T, and 3.2T modules, leading to quarterly revenue growth for related companies [5]. CPO Industry - The CPO sector is witnessing accelerated industrialization, with significant orders expected to materialize in 2026 and 2027, indicating a clear commercial value and expanding market space [5]. NPO Technology - NPO technology is recognized for its unique advantages, including cost and power efficiency, and is anticipated to become a long-term technical choice for CSPs, suggesting a strong growth trajectory for companies involved in this space [5]. Investment Focus - The report recommends focusing on three core investment themes: 1. Large-scale optical modules benefiting from high-speed interconnect demand, with key recommendations for companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and attention to new opportunities in the second-tier market [5]. 2. Smaller optical modules with increased customer demand, highlighting potential breakthroughs for companies like LianTe Technology and HuiLv Ecology [5]. 3. New optical technologies that are emerging, with a focus on companies like Tianfu Communication and potential opportunities in the technology upgrade cycle [5].

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The focus is on the optical communication industry, particularly the investment opportunities in the optical sector from 2023 to 2025, with expectations of a market reversal after short-term fluctuations [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Capital Expenditure Trends**: - Companies like Meta and Microsoft have reported higher-than-expected revenues driven by AI, indicating a positive outlook for capital expenditures [1]. - Upcoming earnings reports from Google and Amazon are anticipated to reflect optimistic capital expenditure guidance, further supporting the optical communication investment thesis [2]. 2. **Long-term Contracts and Demand**: - Meta has signed a significant five-year supply agreement worth approximately $6 billion with Corning, highlighting the growing demand for optical communication products [2]. - The demand for optical components, including MPO jumpers and related products, is expected to continue increasing due to the rapid growth in optical communication needs [2]. 3. **Company Performance**: - Companies such as Xuchuang, Xinyi, Tianfu, and Yuanjie have released optimistic earnings forecasts, with Xinyi exceeding market expectations [3]. - The overall performance of these companies is expected to improve in Q4 2023, driven by easing material costs and increasing demand [3]. 4. **Emerging Technologies and Market Dynamics**: - The CPU sector is experiencing significant growth, with strong performance noted in January 2023, indicating a robust demand for optical components [4]. - The optical communication market is expected to benefit from advancements in new technologies and applications, particularly in the context of AI and data centers [5]. 5. **Specific Company Updates**: - **Jieput**: Reported a net profit of approximately 80 million yuan for Q4, marking a 170% year-on-year increase, driven by growth in its new energy and optical communication businesses [6]. - **Zhongci Electronics**: Focused on expanding its 800G substrate business and is well-positioned to capture market share in the 1.6T market, with ongoing production ramp-up [10]. 6. **Market Opportunities**: - The optical communication sector is poised for growth, particularly with the anticipated demand for high-capacity optical modules and components as AI technologies advance [18][36]. - The transition from copper to optical solutions in data centers is expected to create substantial market opportunities for optical communication companies [18][36]. Additional Important Insights - The conference highlighted the importance of understanding the evolving landscape of AI and its implications for optical communication, particularly in terms of network architecture and data center efficiency [13][27]. - The potential for optical solutions to address the bandwidth and connectivity challenges posed by AI workloads was emphasized, suggesting a significant shift in market dynamics [18][36]. - The upcoming events, such as OFC and GTC, are expected to provide further insights and developments in the optical communication sector, reinforcing the positive outlook for the industry [38]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and developments discussed during the conference call, focusing on the optical communication industry and its growth potential.

Core Insights - The report from GF Securities highlights the significance of the Scale-Up architecture in addressing the challenges posed by training and inference of trillion-parameter models, particularly focusing on the advancements in AI computing power [1][2]. Group 1: Current Trends in AI Computing - The core characteristics of model inference, such as long context, high concurrency, and real-time interaction, are driving the upgrade of Scale-Up systems [2]. - The need for high-performance networks during the inference phase is emphasized, as the architecture allows all accelerators' memory to be presented as a single shared pool, addressing bandwidth and latency requirements [2]. Group 2: Domestic Developments in Scale-Up - Alibaba Cloud introduced the new generation of Panjiu AI Infra2.0 AL128 supernode server, which aims to optimize computing power and communication synergy, achieving a 50% improvement in inference performance compared to traditional architectures [3]. - Tencent's ETH-X supernode project is being developed in two phases, focusing on optimizing GPU and memory communication and exploring full optical interconnection for Scale-Up [3]. - Huawei announced a three-year computing power plan, with the Ascend 950 supernode expected to launch in Q4 2026, indicating a strong commitment to advancing Scale-Up technology [3]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities in Optical Interconnection - Current Scale-Up networks primarily use copper cabling, which has limitations in system design and transmission distance, making it less suitable for future expansions [4]. - The advantages of optical interconnection are highlighted, as it can cover much greater distances compared to copper, which is limited to around 7 meters for certain applications [4].