Macro and Strategy - The fiscal data for July 2025 shows a marginal recovery in general public revenue growth, with a year-on-year increase of 2.6% compared to a previous decline of 0.3% [11] - Tax revenue also improved, with a year-on-year growth of 5% in July, driven primarily by corporate income tax, which increased by 6.4% [11] - General public expenditure growth also rebounded, with a year-on-year increase of 3% in July, compared to a previous growth of 0.4% [11][12] - The overall fiscal expenditure growth rate slowed down to 12.1% in July, down from 17.6% previously, indicating a structural divergence in economic data [12] Industry and Company Pharmaceutical and Biotechnology - The pharmaceutical sector underperformed the overall market, with a 3.08% increase in the biopharmaceutical sector, while the chemical pharmaceutical sector led with a 3.80% increase [16] - The FDA approved semaglutide for treating metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASH), which is expected to increase drug usage and testing demand [17] - MASH has a prevalence rate of 1.5-6.5%, with over 250 million global patients, indicating significant market potential [17] Textile and Apparel - The textile and apparel sector's performance has been consistent with the overall market, with a 4.2% increase in textile manufacturing compared to a 3.4% increase in branded apparel [19] - Retail sales of clothing in July grew by 1.8% year-on-year, showing a slight slowdown compared to previous months [20] - E-commerce sales in July showed a significant rebound, particularly in the sports and outdoor segments, with growth rates of 11% and 26% respectively [20] Energy - Shenhua Co. reported a 17% decline in net profit for H1 2025, despite a 12.1% increase in revenue, primarily due to falling coal prices [24] - The company’s coal production cost decreased to 682 RMB/ton in H1 2025, down from 862 RMB/ton in 2024, but the selling price fell more significantly [24] - The electrolytic aluminum segment maintained stable profitability, with a production cost of 12,283 RMB/ton and a gross profit of 3,986 RMB/ton [25] New Energy - The new energy segment of the company saw a 4% increase in profit in H1 2025, with ongoing projects in the U.S. progressing as planned [28] - The company’s solar module production capacity in the U.S. is expected to reach 3GW, with ongoing construction of additional projects [28] Food and Beverage - The company "Little Garden" reported a 36% increase in net profit for H1 2025, driven by a 6.5% increase in revenue [29] - The company plans to accelerate store openings in the second half of the year, with a target of 130 new stores for the year [31] - The overall gross margin improved to 70.5% in H1 2025, attributed to enhanced supply chain efficiencies [30]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced narrow fluctuations on July 25, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.10%, the Shenzhen Component down 0.20%, and the ChiNext Index down 0.21% [1] - The market showed active sectors including photolithography materials, with stocks like ASMC hitting the daily limit, and a rebound in the banking sector led by Ningbo Bank [1] - Declining sectors included Hainan concept stocks, diversified finance, and engineering materials, with coal mining, steel, liquor, and electric grid showing significant declines [1] Sector Highlights - The photolithography sector was notably active, with ASMC hitting the daily limit and other companies like Kangpeng Technology and Shanghai Xinyang also rising [2] - A significant development in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) photolithography materials was reported by Tsinghua University, which could provide new design strategies for advanced semiconductor manufacturing [2] Institutional Insights - Shenwan Hongyuan indicated that the necessary conditions for a bull market are gradually accumulating, with a favorable outlook for Q4 2025 as the market transitions towards 2026 expectations [3] - The focus on low-valuation cyclical stocks is recommended in the short term, while mid-term strategies should target midstream manufacturing sectors that may benefit from improving economic conditions and supply-side reforms [3] - Industrial rotation is expected to continue, with a focus on structural main lines as macroeconomic conditions remain stable, according to Industrial Securities [4] - Dongguan Securities noted that since the end of June, the total market value of A-shares has remained above 100 trillion yuan, reflecting market expansion and confidence in China's capital market [5]

Group 1 - The A-share market showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 0.42% and the ChiNext Index rising by 1.73% on July 15 [1] - The Shanghai Composite ETF (510980) experienced a decline of 0.66%, marking a rare pullback after several days of gains [1] - The tracking error of the Shanghai Composite ETF (510980) over the past year was only 0.1%, indicating a strong performance relative to its benchmark [1] Group 2 - The core driving force behind the recent market strength is attributed to the collective performance of large-cap blue-chip stocks, particularly in the financial sector [2] - The real estate and photovoltaic sectors, which had been underperforming, have recently shown significant gains, suggesting a healthier market condition [2] - Policy expectations are rising, with recent developments in Hong Kong regarding virtual asset trading licenses and easing restrictions on tokenized custody and cross-border payments [3] Group 3 - The market's trading volume has shown marginal improvement, with a weekly turnover of 74,808 billion yuan, indicating a gradual recovery in trading activity [3] - For the upcoming months, July is viewed as a favorable window for investment, while August and September may present higher risks [4] - Recommended sectors for investment include electronics, power equipment, defense, computing, and non-bank financials, with a particular focus on TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) [4]