来源：重庆发布 今天（22日），国务院新闻办公室举行"高质量完成'十四五'规划"系列主题新闻发布会，中国人民银行行长潘功胜，金融监管总局局长李云泽，中国证监 会主席吴清，中国人民银行副行长、国家外汇局局长朱鹤新介绍"十四五"时期金融业发展成就，并答记者问。 金融市场 潘功胜介绍，五年来，我国金融体制改革全面深化；种类齐全、竞争充分的金融机构、市场、产品体系更加健全，金融服务的质量、效率、普惠性大幅提 升；重点领域金融风险有序化解，我国金融业的国际竞争力和影响力显著增强—— 面对更趋复杂严峻的外部环境，我国涉外经济顶住压力、稳定发展。国际收支基本平衡，经常账户顺差与GDP之比保持在合理区间。 外汇服务环境更加优化。支持银行根据企业信用状况，采用相应的便利化措施，业务办理时间大幅缩短。 外汇领域制度型开放稳步扩大。直接投资项下已实现基本可兑换，跨境证券投资形成了以机构投资者制度、互联互通机制、境外投资者直接入市为 主的跨境投资制度安排。 化解中小金融机构风险 银行保险业 李云泽介绍，"十四五"以来，金融服务再上新台阶，融资主渠道作用有效发挥；金融监管开创新局面，监管体制深刻变革—— 资本市场 吴清介绍，过去五年， ...

Core Viewpoint - Recent legislative developments in the U.S. and Hong Kong regarding stablecoins have sparked significant market interest, prompting an analysis of their potential impacts on foreign exchange management in China and offering policy insights for improvement [1]. Group 1: Potential Impacts of Stablecoin Development on China's Foreign Exchange Management - Stablecoins, despite China's prohibition on virtual currency activities, are circulating through overseas platforms and OTC markets, posing a potential threat to existing foreign exchange management frameworks [2]. - The anonymity and decentralization of stablecoins allow them to evade traditional regulatory measures, undermining the effectiveness of cross-border capital flow supervision [3]. - Unregulated cross-border movement of stablecoins increases the risk of RMB exchange rate volatility, as investors can quickly convert RMB to foreign assets during market fluctuations [4]. - Transactions involving stablecoins fall outside the current international balance of payments statistics, leading to data inaccuracies and potential distortions in trade balance indicators [5]. - The bypassing of regulatory frameworks by stablecoins threatens the central bank's ability to monitor and manage cross-border currency flows, potentially undermining China's monetary sovereignty [6]. Group 2: Global Stablecoin Regulatory Framework Characteristics and Lessons - The U.S. employs a dual-track regulatory framework for stablecoins, combining federal and state oversight, with stringent reserve requirements for issuers [7]. - The EU's MiCA establishes a systematic regulatory framework for stablecoins, categorizing them based on their risk profiles and implementing differentiated governance [8]. - Hong Kong's Stablecoin Ordinance introduces a comprehensive regulatory framework for fiat-backed stablecoins, emphasizing open innovation while ensuring risk control [9][10]. - Hong Kong's approach allows for multi-currency stablecoin issuance and aims to break the dominance of the U.S. dollar in the global reserve currency landscape [11]. Group 3: Implications for China's Foreign Exchange Management - Strengthening regulatory oversight to prevent capital outflows through stablecoins is essential, with a focus on integrating stablecoin activities into existing capital project management frameworks [14]. - Developing a smart monitoring system based on the digital RMB infrastructure can enhance the precision of regulatory measures against stablecoin transactions [15]. - Establishing international cooperation mechanisms to combat illegal capital transfers via stablecoins is crucial for maintaining financial security [16]. - Regulatory frameworks should be updated to clearly define stablecoins' legal status and ensure compliance with foreign exchange management regulations [17]. - Exploring the use of stablecoins in international trade can enhance the efficiency of transactions and promote the internationalization of the RMB [18].

Core Insights - Standard Chartered Bank and Ant International have announced a new collaboration to launch an AI-driven treasury and foreign exchange management solution [1][2] - The solution integrates Ant International's Falcon foreign exchange forecasting model and Standard Chartered's SCALE liquidity engine, aimed at reducing cross-border transaction costs and foreign exchange volatility risks for enterprises [1][2] Group 1 - The collaboration is part of Standard Chartered's foreign exchange automation program, designed to support real-time, multi-currency booking and international supplier settlement needs for businesses [1] - The integration allows seamless data exchange between the two platforms, providing real-time AI foreign exchange forecasting capabilities [1] - Standard Chartered can predict Ant International's foreign exchange risk exposure with over 90% accuracy, enabling real-time risk management and reducing clients' foreign exchange hedging costs [1] Group 2 - Ant International's technology general manager stated that this collaboration marks a significant step in developing next-generation cross-border payment solutions using AI [2] - The Falcon model, based on a Transformer architecture with nearly 2 billion parameters, utilizes advanced time series forecasting algorithms to learn complex patterns from vast historical data [2] - The Falcon model currently processes over 60% of Ant International's foreign exchange transactions, effectively reducing foreign exchange costs for the company and its clients by up to 60% and liquidity management costs by 50% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The National Foreign Exchange Administration emphasizes the modernization of foreign exchange governance and the establishment of a more convenient, open, secure, and intelligent foreign exchange management system to support high-quality economic development and the construction of Chinese-style modernization [1]. Group 1: Key Work Deployment for H2 2025 - Strengthening Party Construction: The meeting highlights the importance of implementing the spirit of the financial system's Party construction work meeting and enhancing the quality and effectiveness of Party building within the system [1]. - Deepening Reform and Opening Up in Foreign Exchange: The meeting proposes a comprehensive policy package to support foreign trade stability, including optimizing foreign exchange fund settlement for new foreign trade entities and facilitating overseas fund management for contracting enterprises [1][2]. - Promoting Cross-Border Investment and Financing Facilitation: The meeting calls for the removal of registration for reinvestment by foreign-invested enterprises and the facilitation of cross-border financing for technology enterprises, along with the implementation of multinational corporate cash pool management policies [1][2]. Group 2: Risk Management and Regulatory Enhancements - Preventing External Shock Risks: The meeting emphasizes the need for enhanced monitoring and analysis of foreign exchange conditions, macro-prudential management of cross-border capital flows, and timely counter-cyclical adjustments to maintain market stability [2]. - Improving Regulatory Capacity: The meeting stresses the importance of strengthening the legal framework for foreign exchange management, enhancing real-time supervision, and utilizing technology to improve regulatory efficiency while combating illegal cross-border financial activities [2]. Group 3: Enhancements in Foreign Exchange Management - Improving Foreign Exchange Reserve Management: The meeting outlines the need to ensure the safety, liquidity, and value preservation of foreign exchange reserve assets [3]. - Advancing International Balance of Payments Statistics: The meeting discusses the development of an implementation plan for the seventh edition of the "Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual" [4]. - Elevating Foreign Exchange Management Standards: The meeting calls for improved evaluation and tracking of policies before and after implementation, as well as the exploration of "smart foreign exchange management" [4].

Core Points - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) held a video conference to discuss foreign exchange management work for the second half of 2025, focusing on reform, risk prevention, and regulatory enhancement [5][7]. Group 1: Reform and Development - Deepening reforms in the foreign exchange sector to support stable foreign trade and promote cross-border investment and financing facilitation [2][11]. - Enhancing the convenience of foreign exchange settlement for quality enterprises and expanding pilot programs for cross-border trade [8][11]. - Implementing a series of policies to optimize foreign exchange management for new trade entities and support regional development initiatives [11]. Group 2: Risk Management - Strengthening monitoring and analysis of foreign exchange conditions to mitigate external shocks and maintain market stability [2][11]. - Conducting counter-cyclical adjustments as necessary to safeguard economic and financial security [11]. Group 3: Regulatory Enhancement - Improving regulatory capabilities under open conditions, including legal construction and the use of technology to enhance regulatory efficiency [2][11]. - Strengthening the legal framework for foreign exchange management and combating illegal cross-border financial activities [8][11]. Group 4: International Balance of Payments - Advancing the construction of the international balance of payments statistical system [3][11]. - Developing the implementation plan for the seventh edition of the "Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual" [11]. Group 5: Overall Management Improvement - Aiming to enhance the overall level of foreign exchange management through better policy evaluation and tracking [4][11]. - Promoting the development of digital and intelligent foreign exchange management systems [11].

Core Points - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) of China held a video conference to discuss foreign exchange management work for the second half of 2025, emphasizing the need to promote cross-border investment and financing facilitation [1] - A series of measures were proposed, including the cancellation of registration for reinvestment by foreign-invested enterprises and facilitating cross-border financing for technology enterprises [1] - The meeting highlighted the importance of supporting stable foreign trade development and implementing a package of policies for trade foreign exchange management [1] Group 1 - The meeting outlined key foreign exchange management tasks, such as deepening reform and opening up in the foreign exchange sector, preventing external shock risks, and enhancing regulatory capabilities under open conditions [1] - It was mentioned that there will be support for regional open development, particularly in free trade pilot zones and areas like Hainan Free Trade Port and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [1] - The conference also stressed the need for enhanced monitoring and analysis of foreign exchange conditions, macro-prudential management of cross-border capital flows, and timely counter-cyclical adjustments to maintain market stability [1] Group 2 - The meeting called for the improvement of the management of foreign exchange reserves to ensure asset safety, liquidity, and value preservation [2] - There is a focus on enriching the application scenarios of cross-border financial service platforms [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) does not target any specific exchange rate levels or ranges, focusing instead on managing excessive volatility in the currency market [1] Group 1 - The RBI's approach emphasizes stability in the foreign exchange market rather than fixing rates [1] - The central bank aims to mitigate extreme fluctuations in the currency value to ensure a stable economic environment [1]

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