习近平总书记强调，实体经济是金融的根基，金融是实体经济的血脉，为实体经济服务是金融的天职。 《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》提出，"稳步发展期货、衍生品和 资产证券化""建设安全高效的金融基础设施"。行业人士认为，这为期货和衍生品市场高水平发展带来 了新机遇，也为期货风险管理公司业务发展打开了新空间。 近日，由郑商所、中期协联合举办的期货风险管理公司高管培训在杭州举办。据了解，本次培训为期两 天，聚焦期货公司合规风控、公司治理能力和服务实体经济专业能力两大核心内容，旨在通过典型案例 分析与风险揭示，帮助参会人员将合规理念融入公司战略决策与业务发展，坚守风险防控底线。同时， 通过服务实体经济各种业务模式的分享交流，夯实期货风险管理公司功底，助力其更好地为实体企业提 供风险管理服务，践行期货行业服务实体经济的根本宗旨。 基于现货企业发展现状及其风险管理需求的持续升级，中国金属材料流通协会风险管理专业委员会会长 劳洪波在培训中表示，期货风险管理公司提供的服务内容需迭代升级，根据不同的服务对象提供针对性 的服务。比如，服务投资公司时，需要发现与现货相关的市场套利机会，捕捉错误定价带来的绝对 ...

2024年，国泰君安风险管理有限公司（下称国泰君安风险管理）凭借"无形搬运"策略——仓单串换方 案，成功为深圳市唯特偶新材料股份有限公司（下称唯特偶新材料）破解跨区供应链难题，不仅保障了 企业的生产连续性，也实现了双方的互利共赢。 国泰君安风险管理期现事业部业务经理王雅清向期货日报记者介绍，唯特偶新材料是深圳市电子化学品 行业的领军企业，专注于微电子焊接材料的研发、生产与销售。"去年6月份，我们了解到企业需要处置 其位于华东交割库的22吨仓单这一相关业务需求，便迅速组建了专业的业务小组，最终根据唯特偶新材 料具备仓单操作能力，同时又亟须原料用于生产的特点，为企业设计了通过仓单置换满足其需求的方 案。"王雅清说。 据悉，仓单置换是期货市场中一种通过交换仓单实现资源优化配置的机制，旨在提升供应链效率、降低 企业成本及管理风险。在本次服务中，持有某一交割地仓单的企业通过置换协议换取另一交割地不同品 牌、同规格的仓单，实现跨区域仓单置换。 通过此次仓单置换，唯特偶新材料低成本、高效率地实现了库存优化，保障了生产的连续性。同时，国 泰君安风险管理也将库存由升水300元/吨的"云亨"牌锡锭以一定价差置换成了升水800元/ ...

热点推荐：协会 → 11月17日，广东省不锈钢材料与制品协会秘书长黄耿燕和会长助理陈嘉泳走访了会员单位广州期货股份有限公司佛山分公司，受到林希总经理的热情接 待。 黄秘书长表示，广州期货为本协会相关会员企业提供的专业、资深的不锈钢期现应用指导及业务服务得到了高度认可，并希望再接再厉。黄秘书长还就不 锈钢原材料价格行情、不锈钢实体工厂、不锈钢贸易企业经营现状等与林总进行了交流。 广州期货股份有限公司佛山分公司是广东省不锈钢材料与制品协会会员单位，公司设立于2011年11月1日，住址位于佛山市禅城区祖庙街道季华五路57号2 座3006室，设立以来荣获多项奖项；广州期货佛山分公司坚持以客户需求为导向，坚持"产业为本，创新为魂"的理念，一如既往地以"奉献、恒久、坚 守"的态度，竭诚为客户提供优质的服务。 林希总经理结合今年的不锈钢行情对生产型、贸易型企业运用期货进行风险管理的方式提出了建议，不锈钢实体工厂、不锈钢贸易企业需要根据自身实际 情况（经营需要、发展规划）来选择更合适的风险管理方式。林总表示，公司会从企业实际经营出发，为企业量身定制个性化服务，解决实际问题，帮助 企业稳定经营。 ...

南华豆一产业风险管理日报 2025/10/29 边舒扬（投资咨询证号：Z0012647） 研究助理：康全贵（从业资格证号：F03148699） 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1290号 豆一11合约价格区间预测 | 价格区间预测（月度） | 当前波动率（20日滚动） | 当前波动率历史百分位 | | --- | --- | --- | | 3900-4100 | 11.02% | 25.1% | source： 南华研究,wind,同花顺 豆一风险策略 现货市场收购意愿较足，抢收优质豆源为主，大豆市场规模有限，一致性行为促使基本面发生转向； 【利多解读】 1、大豆卖压逐步减小，中下游收购优质豆源意愿较强 ； 2、往年的国储收购尚未启动，成为限制价格下行的一大因素，如启动并顺价收购，或将进一步巩固价格偏强 特征；（政策安排不确定较大，上述仅为推演） 【利空解读】 豆一现货价格及主力基差 | 行为导向 | 情景分析 | 现货敞口 | 策略推荐 | 套保工具 | 买卖方向 | 套保比例 | 建议入场区间 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...

Report Overview - The report is the "South China Nickel & Stainless Steel Industry Risk Management Daily" dated September 24, 2025, by the South China New Energy & Precious Metals Research Team [1] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The nickel and stainless steel markets are currently in a state of internal oscillation, with no significant changes in the fundamentals. Concerns about the stability of ore supply are increasing, while the cobalt price has upward potential, driving up the prices of MHP and nickel salts. Nickel iron prices remain firm, and the stainless steel market shows a wait - and - see attitude before the holiday [3] Key Points by Category Price and Volatility Forecast - The price range forecast for Shanghai nickel is 118,000 - 126,000 yuan/ton, with a current 20 - day rolling volatility of 15.17% and a historical percentile of 3.2%. The price range forecast for stainless steel is 12,500 - 13,100 yuan/ton, with a current 20 - day rolling volatility of 6.88% and a historical percentile of 0.1% [2] Risk Management Strategies Nickel - **Inventory Management**: When facing the risk of product price decline and inventory devaluation, sell Shanghai nickel futures (NI main contract) at a 60% hedging ratio and sell call options at a 50% hedging ratio [2] - **Procurement Management**: For future production procurement needs, buy Shanghai nickel forward contracts (far - month NI contracts) according to the production plan, sell put options, and buy out - of - the - money call options, with the hedging ratio based on the procurement plan [2] Stainless Steel - **Inventory Management**: When facing the risk of product price decline and inventory devaluation, sell stainless steel futures (SS main contract) at a 60% hedging ratio and sell call options at a 50% hedging ratio [3] - **Procurement Management**: For future production procurement needs, buy stainless steel forward contracts (far - month SS contracts) according to the production plan, sell put options, and buy out - of - the - money call options, with the hedging ratio based on the procurement plan [3] Market Situation Analysis Core Contradictions - In the nickel market, the Indonesian energy department's sanctions on mining companies have increased concerns about the stability of ore supply. In the new energy sector, the expected extension of the cobalt export ban in Congo may drive up the prices of MHP and nickel salts. Nickel iron prices are firm, and the stainless steel market shows a wait - and - see attitude [3] Positive Factors - Indonesia's APNI plans to revise the HPM formula, shorten the nickel ore quota license period, and the stainless steel has been destocking for several weeks. Also, the Indonesian forestry working group has taken over part of the nickel mining area [5] Negative Factors - High pure nickel inventory, Sino - US tariff disturbances, uncertainties in EU stainless steel import tariffs, the implementation of South Korea's anti - dumping duty on Chinese stainless steel plates, weak stainless steel spot transactions [5] Market Data Nickel Disk - The latest price of Shanghai nickel main contract is 121,450 yuan/ton, up 1% from the previous day. The trading volume increased by 103.70% to 107,755 lots, and the open interest increased by 125.11% to 85,526 lots [5] Stainless Steel Disk - The latest price of the stainless steel main contract is 12,895 yuan/ton, with little change. The trading volume decreased by 12.00% to 122,330 lots, and the open interest decreased by 5.80% to 116,704 lots [5] Inventory Data - Domestic nickel social inventory is 41,484 tons, an increase of 429 tons; LME nickel inventory is 230,586 tons, an increase of 132 tons; stainless steel social inventory is 897,200 tons, a decrease of 5,400 tons; nickel pig iron inventory is 28,652 tons, a decrease of 614.5 tons [6] Industry News - CATL and Antam are promoting the construction of a nickel integrated smelter [7]

Core Viewpoint - A profound transformation is occurring in Henan, focusing on the construction of a modern industrial system, where companies like Tongda Cable Co., Ltd. are leveraging the futures market to manage risks and seize opportunities amid commodity price fluctuations [2][3]. Company Overview - Tongda Cable, founded in 1987 and listed in 2011, has been a leader in the cable industry for nearly 40 years, specializing in the production and sales of cables, precision processing of aircraft components, and aluminum-based composite materials [3]. - The company has an annual production capacity of over 100,000 tons for ultra-high voltage cables and 50,000 kilometers for power and high-end cables, contributing to major projects like the 1000kV transmission line [3]. Challenges Faced - The company faces significant challenges due to raw material costs, with electrolytic aluminum and cathode copper accounting for over 70% of production costs [4]. - Price volatility of these metals, influenced by supply-demand dynamics and macroeconomic factors, has led to substantial risks, particularly when contracts are won based on current prices but delivered months later [4]. Risk Management Strategy - Since 2007, Tongda Cable has utilized futures tools, starting with aluminum and later expanding to copper, to hedge against price fluctuations [6]. - The company has developed a comprehensive risk management framework, including a specialized internal control system, a professional team, and strict risk management protocols [8]. Recent Developments - In response to rising aluminum prices in late 2024, the company quickly implemented a hedging strategy by purchasing call options, resulting in a profit of 44,440 yuan, effectively mitigating the impact of rising raw material costs [7]. - Tongda Cable has been recognized as a best practice case for risk management in futures by the China Listed Companies Association and has been approved as a service base for integrating finance and industry [6][11]. Industry Collaboration - The company emphasizes collaboration within the supply chain, moving from a focus on price to technology and service, enhancing customer engagement from the design phase of projects [10]. - Tongda Cable is also establishing a strategic supplier evaluation system to strengthen partnerships and improve communication regarding hedging tools and market analysis [11]. Conclusion - Tongda Cable's experience exemplifies how companies in Henan are effectively utilizing futures and derivative tools to manage price risks, stabilize operations, and achieve high-quality development in line with national industrial goals [11].

Group 1 - The training session aims to enhance risk management capabilities of agricultural enterprises in Yinchuan through the use of futures and derivatives [1][2] - The agricultural industry in Yinchuan is a key pillar for local economic development, facing increased operational pressures due to international commodity price fluctuations and extreme weather [2][3] - Futures markets serve as a crucial tool for price discovery, risk management, and resource allocation, helping agricultural producers stabilize costs and revenues [2][3] Group 2 - The Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) has been actively collaborating with local governments and financial institutions, serving over 1.8 million farmers through various risk management programs [3][5] - The training focused on core agricultural products like soybean meal and corn, providing practical applications of risk management tools [3][4] - Experts emphasized the importance of avoiding misconceptions about hedging and encouraged businesses to develop strategies based on industry needs [4][5] Group 3 - The training included both theoretical knowledge and practical case studies, fostering interaction between participants and instructors [5] - Companies expressed intentions to explore new models combining futures pricing with contract farming to enhance collaboration across the supply chain [5][6] - Future initiatives will focus on deepening services for local enterprises to leverage futures tools for risk management and competitiveness [5]

Core Viewpoint - The training session aims to enhance the risk management capabilities of agricultural enterprises in Yinchuan through the use of futures and derivatives, thereby promoting the high-quality development of the agricultural and livestock industry in the region [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Context - Yinchuan is a significant agricultural production base in Northwest China, with the agricultural and livestock industry being a key pillar for economic growth [2]. - Recent fluctuations in international commodity prices and extreme weather have increased the price volatility of agricultural products, putting pressure on agricultural enterprises [2]. Group 2: Importance of Futures Market - The futures market serves as a crucial tool for price discovery, risk management, and resource allocation, which is essential for stabilizing production expectations and enhancing industry resilience [2][3]. - Over 70% of soybean meal and palm oil, and 40% of soybean oil spot trades use DCE futures prices as the pricing benchmark [3]. Group 3: Training Content and Objectives - The training focused on core agricultural products such as soybean meal and corn, providing insights into futures contract rules and practical case studies to help enterprises apply risk management tools effectively [3][4]. - The course design emphasized practical effectiveness, combining foundational knowledge of the futures market with numerous real-world case studies [5]. Group 4: Practical Applications and Strategies - Experts highlighted the need for enterprises to move away from traditional speculative trading methods and adopt refined risk management strategies using basis pricing and options [4]. - The current supply-demand balance for corn is tight, with a projected production of 295 million tons in 2024, necessitating the use of futures tools for stable operations [4]. Group 5: Future Initiatives - The DCE plans to deepen cooperation with local governments and financial institutions to enhance risk management capabilities among Ningxia enterprises [5]. - Future activities will focus on building cross-regional cooperation platforms to promote Ningxia's agricultural products in national and international markets [5].

Report Title - Nickel & Stainless Steel: Short-term may continue to fluctuate. August 7 Risk Management Daily Report [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - The intraday trend of Shanghai nickel was volatile with no obvious logical changes in the fundamentals. The bottom support of nickel ore is limited, the production and shipment of nickel ore in the Philippines are still at a high level, and there is no obvious adjustment in the short-term premium in Indonesia. The price of ferronickel continued to strongly correct during the day, with a strong willingness to support the price on the supply side and a generally bullish sentiment among traders recently, but the actual acceptance of steel mills remains to be seen. The salt plants in the new energy chain have had some support recently, with an increase in the demand of some downstream precursor plants and a certain increase in transactions. Stainless steel once again reached the 13,000 mark during the day, but the spot market followed the increase limitedly, and downstream buyers still hold a wait-and-see attitude towards high-priced resources. The expectation of strong supply and weak demand in August continues. Macroscopically, the subsequent trend of the US dollar index can be monitored [5]. Content Summary by Related Catalogs Price and Volatility Forecast - Shanghai nickel price range forecast: 118,000 - 126,000 yuan/ton, current volatility (20-day rolling) is 15.17%, and the historical percentile of current volatility is 3.2% [3] - Stainless steel price range forecast: 12,500 - 13,100 yuan/ton, current volatility (20-day rolling) is 9.27%, and the historical percentile of current volatility is 1.8% [3] Risk Management Strategies Shanghai Nickel - **Inventory management**: When the product sales price falls and there is a risk of inventory impairment, sell Shanghai nickel futures according to the inventory level to lock in profits and hedge against the risk of spot price decline (sell 60% of the NI main contract); sell call options (sell 50% of over - the - counter/on - exchange options) [3] - **Procurement management**: When the company has future production and procurement needs and is worried about the rise in raw material prices, buy Shanghai nickel forward contracts according to the production plan to lock in production costs on the futures market; sell put options and buy out - of - the - money call options according to the procurement plan [3] Stainless Steel - **Inventory management**: Similar to Shanghai nickel, sell stainless steel futures according to the inventory level to lock in profits and hedge against the risk of spot price decline (sell 60% of the SS main contract); sell call options (sell 50% of over - the - counter/on - exchange options) [4] - **Procurement management**: Buy stainless steel forward contracts according to the production plan to lock in production costs on the futures market; sell put options and buy out - of - the money call options according to the procurement plan [4] Core Contradictions - The intraday trend of Shanghai nickel was volatile with no obvious logical changes in the fundamentals. The bottom support of nickel ore is limited, the production and shipment of nickel ore in the Philippines are still at a high level, and there is no obvious adjustment in the short - term premium in Indonesia. The price of ferronickel continued to strongly correct during the day, with a strong willingness to support the price on the supply side and a generally bullish sentiment among traders recently, but the actual acceptance of steel mills remains to be seen. The salt plants in the new energy chain have had some support recently, with an increase in the demand of some downstream precursor plants and a certain increase in transactions. Stainless steel once again reached the 13,000 mark during the day, but the spot market followed the increase limitedly, and downstream buyers still hold a wait - and - see attitude towards high - priced resources. The expectation of strong supply and weak demand in August continues. Macroscopically, the subsequent trend of the US dollar index can be monitored [5] 利多 and利空 Factors 利多 Factors - Indonesia's APNI plans to revise the HPM formula and add elements such as iron and cobalt - Indonesia shortens the nickel ore quota permit period from three years to one year - The construction of the Yarlung Zangbo River Hydropower Station may increase the demand for stainless steel - Ferronickel transactions are constantly warming up [7] 利空 Factors - Stainless steel enters the traditional off - season of demand, and inventory reduction is slow - The inventory of pure nickel is high - The seasonal inventory of nickel ore increases, and the bottom support is loosened - Sino - US tariff disturbances still exist [7] Market Data Nickel - **Futures prices**: The latest price of Shanghai nickel main contract is 121,850 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month increase of 780 yuan (1%); the latest price of LME nickel 3M is 15,130 US dollars/ton, with a month - on - month increase of 75 US dollars (0.08%) [7] - **Trading volume and open interest**: The trading volume is 96,611 lots, with a month - on - month increase of 8,771 lots (9.99%); the open interest is 81,103 lots, with a month - on - month decrease of 4,949 lots (- 5.75%) [7] - **Warehouse receipts**: The number of warehouse receipts is 20,687 tons, with a month - on - month decrease of 102 tons (- 0.49%) [7] - **Basis of main contract**: The basis of the main contract is - 1,040 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month increase of 170 yuan (19.5%) [7] Stainless Steel - **Futures prices**: The latest price of the stainless steel main contract is 13,000 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month increase of 65 yuan (1%) [8] - **Trading volume and open interest**: The trading volume is 85,499 lots, with a month - on - month increase of 3,480 lots (4.24%); the open interest is 81,584 lots, with a month - on - month decrease of 2,462 lots (- 2.93%) [8] - **Warehouse receipts**: The number of warehouse receipts is 103,226 tons, with a month - on - month increase of 423 tons (0.41%) [8] - **Basis of main contract**: The basis of the main contract is 335 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month increase of 25 yuan (8.06%) [8] Inventory Data - **Domestic social inventory of nickel**: 39,486 tons, a decrease of 795 tons compared with the previous period [9] - **LME nickel inventory**: 211,212 tons, a decrease of 240 tons compared with the previous period [9] - **Stainless steel social inventory**: 966.2 tons, a decrease of 1.2 tons compared with the previous period [9] - **Nickel pig iron inventory**: 33,415 tons, an increase of 182 tons compared with the previous period [9]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Views of the Report Industrial Silicon - In the second half of the year, the industrial silicon industry will be in a cycle of accelerating the clearance of backward production capacity and entering the de - stocking process. The supply pressure will be released with the implementation of production plans in Southwest China during the wet season. The downstream demand is expected to strengthen, with the photovoltaic industry potentially boosting demand, while organic silicon and aluminum alloy enterprises maintaining stable demand. The price will show a wide - range fluctuation. Suggestions include looking for opportunities to go long on industrial silicon at low prices, SI2509 - SI2511 positive spread trading, and going long on industrial silicon while shorting polysilicon [4]. - Positive factors are the "anti - involution" policy, limited downward space for costs, and better - than - expected demand. Negative factors are the release of production capacity in Southwest China during the wet season and potential weakening of demand due to industrial integration in the polysilicon industry [5][6]. Polysilicon - In the second half of the year, the polysilicon market is in a stage where fundamental and "anti - involution" logics alternate. Fundamentally, lower electricity prices and higher profits may increase production capacity. However, demand growth is limited, and high inventory persists. If industry integration is effective, it may drive prices up. The suggestion is to focus on PS2508 - PS2511 positive spread trading [8]. - Positive factors are potential industry integration and increased external demand from the US. Negative factors are inventory accumulation if integration fails [9][10]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Industrial Silicon Futures Data - The industrial silicon main contract shows wide - range fluctuations, with a 20 - day rolling volatility of 34.7%, a daily increase of 1.09%, and the current volatility at the 96.4% historical percentile in 3 years. The main contract closing price is 8695 yuan/ton, up 3.33% from the previous period; the trading volume is 1473993 lots, up 54.58%; the open interest is 402890 lots, up 9.54%. SI09 - 11 spread is 90 yuan/ton, up 28.57% [2][13][15]. Spot Data - The prices of 553 and 421 industrial silicon in different regions have increased to varying degrees. For example, the price of East China 553 is 8850 yuan/ton, up 1.14%. The East China 553 basis is 435 yuan/ton, up 55.36%, and the East China 421 - 553 spread is 350 yuan/ton, unchanged [17]. Basis and Warehouse Receipts - The total warehouse receipts are 50090 lots, down 139 lots or 3.58% from the previous period. The warehouse receipt inventories in different delivery warehouses have different changes [24]. Polysilicon Futures Data - The polysilicon main contract also shows wide - range fluctuations, with a 20 - day rolling volatility of 44.99%, a daily increase of 0.01%, and the current volatility at the 84.73% historical percentile in 3 years. The main contract closing price is 41765 yuan/ton, up 1.05%. The trading volume and open interest of different contracts have different changes. PS08 - 09 spread is 320 yuan/ton, down 3.03% [2][27][29]. Spot Data - The prices of different types of polysilicon, such as P - type and N - type, have different daily changes. For example, the N - type polysilicon price index is 43.45 yuan/kg, down 3.01% [34]. Basis and Warehouse Receipts - The polysilicon main contract basis is 1685 yuan/ton, down 51.44% from the previous period. The warehouse receipts in different regions remain unchanged [41][43]. Risk Management Strategies - For inventory management of industrial silicon and polysilicon, when product inventory is high, strategies include shorting futures, selling call options, and buying out - of - the - money put options. For procurement management, when there is a risk of rising raw material prices, strategies include buying forward futures contracts, selling put options, and buying out - of - the - money call options [2]