A股结构性行情

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沪指创年内新高后,A股下半年怎么走?
21世纪经济报道· 2025-06-25 14:59
Core Viewpoint - The approval of Guotai Junan International to provide cryptocurrency and virtual asset trading services has significantly boosted the A-share financial technology sector and market sentiment, leading to a notable increase in the Shanghai Composite Index and trading volume [2][4]. Market Performance - As of June 25, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.04% to close at 3455.97 points, marking a new high for the year, while the ChiNext Index increased by over 3% [2]. - The trading volume in the two markets reached 1.6 trillion yuan [2]. Sector Activity - Active sectors included stablecoins, military industry, AI applications, computing power, solid-state batteries, and autonomous driving, while oil and gas, as well as shipping sectors, faced adjustments due to external factors [3]. Future Market Outlook - Analysts predict a structural market trend with low-level rotation continuing, driven by policy timing and strength [4]. - Multiple brokerages forecast a potential upward trend in the A-share market for the second half of 2025, supported by resilient domestic economic performance and relatively low asset valuations [4][7]. Investment Directions - Brokerages suggest focusing on three main investment directions for the second half of the year: dividend assets, technology innovation themes, and large consumer sectors [5][21]. Dividend Assets - Dividend assets, including financial sectors like insurance and banking, as well as shipping, communication services, and electricity, are seen as attractive due to their low valuations and stable returns [22]. - The current low-interest-rate environment enhances the appeal of dividend assets, aligning well with the demand from long-term funds [22]. Technology Innovation - Key areas of focus include AI computing power, AI applications, and embodied intelligence, with expectations for significant growth in these sectors [23]. - The first phase of AI market activity is centered around infrastructure, while the second phase will focus on application layers, including AI agents and humanoid robots [23]. Large Consumer Sector - The domestic beauty, pet economy, and IP economy are highlighted as promising investment opportunities [25]. - Emerging consumer trends such as domestic beauty brands, pet products, and innovative pharmaceuticals are recommended for investment [25].
中期内市场延续震荡,A股轮动加速;战略金属或迎价值重估
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-12 01:04
|2025年5月12日星期一| NO.3中信证券:战略金属或迎价值重估 NO.1中信建投:中期内市场延续震荡,风格轮动加速 5月12日,中信证券研报指出,5月9日,国家出口管制工作协调机制办公室组织商务部等部门召开打击 战略矿产走私出口专项行动现场会,会议指出,加强战略矿产资源出口管制事关国家安全和发展利益, 打击战略矿产走私出口成为当前迫切且重要的工作任务。我们认为战略矿产在当前国际政治背景下具备 极强的战略属性,加强打击走私出口亦将加强供给刚性,稀土、钨和锑等战略金属价格有望持续上涨, 战略金属板块或迎来价值重估,持续推荐战略金属产业链配置价值。 中信建投(601066)认为,中期内市场延续震荡,风格轮动加速。中期看市场下有支撑,上有压力。货 币政策"双降"将夯实信用扩张基础,资本市场工具优化巩固A股指数下沿。出口超预期强劲,抢转口成 效凸显,关税博弈占据短期优势。通过"抢转口"策略,中国成功将出口重心转向东盟、欧盟等市场,实 现了出口的稳定增长。不过基本面下行预期和资金估值约束将构成市场上沿。市场5月或将复现"避险- 消费-成长"轮动脉络。 NO.2华泰证券:A股轮动加速,中期把握内部确定性线索 华泰证 ...