【市场数据】 截至1月22日收盘，上证综指涨0.14%，报4122.58点；科创50指数涨0.41%，报1541.64点；深证成指涨 0.5%，报14327.05点；创业板指涨1.01%，报3328.65点。 纽约股市三大股指22日上涨。截至当天收盘，道琼斯工业平均指数比前一交易日上涨306.78点，收于 49384.01点，涨幅为0.63%；标准普尔500种股票指数上涨37.73点，收于6913.35点，涨幅为0.55%；纳斯 达克综合指数上涨211.20点，收于23436.02点，涨幅为0.91%。 国际油价22日下跌。截至当天收盘，纽约商品交易所3月交货的轻质原油期货价格下跌1.26美元，收于 每桶59.36美元，跌幅为2.08%；3月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格下跌1.18美元，收于每桶64.06美 元，跌幅为1.81%。 美国纽约商品交易所2月黄金期货价格22日突破每盎司4900美元，3月白银期货价格突破每盎司96美元， 均创历史新高。 【财经要闻】 1、1月22日，据人民日报客户端，为切实维护消费者合法权益，促进产业高质量发展，国务院食安办组 织国家卫生健康委、市场监管总局等部门起草了《食品安全国 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes that the first quarterly reports of equity funds from Tongtai Fund highlight a strong focus on new productive forces, particularly in technology sectors such as computing power, semiconductors, and controllable nuclear fusion [2][3][10]. - The quarterly report reveals that the Tongtai Digital Economy Stock Fund maintains a high stock position, with a stock value accounting for 93.42% of total fund assets, showing a nearly 20% increase in fund size due to net value growth [8][10]. - The fund manager expresses confidence in technology innovation and new productive forces as key investment opportunities, predicting that AI-driven industrial transformation will be the core structural opportunity in the market for 2026 [10][11]. Group 2 - The Tongtai Digital Economy Stock Fund's top ten holdings are concentrated in core technology areas, with significant adjustments made compared to the previous quarter, including new additions and reductions in holdings [4][6]. - The Tongtai New Energy Preferred One-Year Holding Period Stock Fund focuses on the controllable nuclear fusion sector, with notable changes in its top ten holdings, reflecting a strategic shift in investment focus [6][11]. - The fund manager highlights the potential of controllable nuclear fusion as a long-term energy solution, although it is still in the early stages with high uncertainty and risks associated with various technological routes [11].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the performance and investment strategies of two equity funds under Tongtai Fund, which have maintained high stock positions and focused on sectors related to new productive forces, such as computing power, semiconductors, and controllable nuclear fusion [2][4][11]. Group 1: Fund Performance - On January 9, Tongtai Fund's two equity funds released their Q4 2025 reports, marking them as the first public funds to disclose such information [2][4]. - Both funds experienced significant growth in scale due to net value increases, with the Tongtai Digital Economy Fund's stock value accounting for 93.42% of its total assets, remaining stable compared to the previous quarter [8][9]. - The Tongtai New Energy Preferred Fund's stock position was 88.39%, a decrease of nearly three percentage points from the previous quarter, but it saw a nearly 90% increase in scale due to net inflows and rising net value [9]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - The Tongtai Digital Economy Fund continues to focus on the big technology sector, with its top ten holdings concentrated in core technology areas such as optical devices, computing chips, and semiconductor equipment [4][11]. - The fund manager, Chen Zongchao, emphasizes that technology innovation and new productive forces are key investment opportunities, predicting that AI-driven industrial transformation will be the core structural opportunity in the market for 2026 [10][11]. - The Tongtai New Energy Preferred Fund is focused on the controllable nuclear fusion sector, which is seen as a potential ultimate energy solution due to its abundant fuel, low emissions, and high safety [12].

Group 1: Government Policies and Economic Measures - The State Council, led by Premier Li Qiang, has announced a package of fiscal and financial policies aimed at boosting domestic demand, emphasizing the importance of coordinating fiscal and monetary policies to enhance their effectiveness and encourage social capital participation in consumption and investment [1] - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration will cancel the VAT export tax rebate for photovoltaic products starting April 1, 2026, and will reduce the VAT export tax rebate rate for battery products from 9% to 6% during 2026, before completely eliminating it in 2027 [2] Group 2: Employment and Economic Indicators - In December, the U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 50,000, falling short of the expected 70,000, while the unemployment rate decreased to 4.4%, better than the anticipated 4.5% [3] - Traders are betting that the Federal Reserve will pause interest rate cuts, with expectations of a cumulative reduction of about 50 basis points by 2026 [3] Group 3: Industry Investigations and Developments - The State Council's Anti-Monopoly and Anti-Unfair Competition Committee is conducting an investigation into the competitive landscape of the food delivery platform industry, addressing issues such as excessive subsidies and price competition that are impacting the real economy [4] - Shanghai has launched a three-year action plan to support the transformation and upgrading of advanced manufacturing, focusing on emerging sectors like low-altitude economy and humanoid robots [5] Group 4: Market Trends and Investment Opportunities - The price of rare earth concentrates has been raised for the sixth consecutive quarter, with Baotou Steel and Northern Rare Earth announcing price adjustments for the first quarter of 2026 [6] - Elon Musk's xAI plans to invest over $20 billion in building a data center in Mississippi to meet the rising demand for computing power driven by generative AI [10] - The AI sector is seeing significant investment opportunities, particularly in chip design and manufacturing, with companies like Cambrian, Haiguang Information, and SMIC being highlighted for their potential [10] Group 5: Corporate Announcements and Financial Performance - China Merchants Bank announced a cash dividend distribution of approximately 25.55 billion yuan for the first half of 2025 [12] - Luzhou Laojiao plans to distribute around 2 billion yuan in dividends for the mid-2025 period [12] - Several companies, including Jian Kai Technology and Huati Technology, are facing shareholder reductions, while others like Zhongchuan Defense and Greenland Holdings are projecting significant losses for 2025 [17]

Market Overview - A-shares showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.09% to 4089.45 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.2% to 14003.09 points, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.52% to 3312.47 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.77 trillion yuan, with over 3700 stocks rising, including 80 stocks hitting the daily limit [1] Key Sectors Commercial Aerospace - The commercial aerospace sector remained strong, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit, including Galaxy Electronics with four consecutive limit-ups [3] - The sector is entering a new phase of rapid development, with significant catalysts expected in the near future [3] Controlled Nuclear Fusion - The controlled nuclear fusion sector continued its strong performance, with several stocks, including China Nuclear Engineering, hitting the daily limit [2] - The sector is gaining attention due to breakthroughs in high-temperature superconductors and artificial intelligence, with a focus on engineering and commercial viability [2] Computing Power Chips - The computing power chip sector saw gains, with Haiguang Information rising over 10% [4] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has issued guidelines to enhance AI computing power supply, supporting the development of key technologies [4] Electronic Chemicals - The electronic chemicals sector experienced an uptick, with stocks like Sanfu Co. and Heyuan Gas hitting the daily limit [5] - The Ministry of Commerce has initiated an anti-dumping investigation into imported dichlorodihydrosilane from Japan, which may impact the domestic industry [5] Institutional Insights Citic Securities - Citic Securities suggests a higher probability of market upward movement in 2026, driven by the balance between external and internal demand [6] - The firm recommends focusing on sectors with lower concentration but increasing attention and catalysts, such as chemicals and engineering machinery [7] Zhongtai Securities - Zhongtai Securities maintains a cautiously optimistic view on the technology sector, suggesting that funds may tighten temporarily but could lead to buying opportunities [8] - The firm emphasizes the importance of direction selection and rhythm control in investment strategies [8] Everbright Securities - Everbright Securities notes increasing divergence among market funds, indicating potential volatility risks [9] - The firm highlights the AI concept on the edge, with an upcoming AI hardware exhibition expected to stimulate related sectors [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that if the Shanghai Composite Index can close above 4000 points by the end of 2025, it will instill strong confidence in the market, encouraging more incremental capital to enter in the future. The market is expected to continue a slow bull trend in 2026, with a focus on technology growth, cyclical stocks, and resource stocks [2][3]. Economic Dimension - The economic landscape is characterized by accelerated structural transformation and the rise of new productive forces. Manufacturing PMI is stabilizing, and retail consumption is recovering. High-end manufacturing sectors like smart devices and new energy vehicles are growing significantly faster than the overall economy, becoming key drivers of new productive forces [5]. Financial Dimension - Valuations are aligning with performance, showing significant horizontal space. Non-financial sectors' net profit grew by 1.04% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with technology sectors like AI (up 19.24%) and semiconductors (up 32.41%) showing remarkable profitability. A-shares are undervalued compared to U.S. stocks, with financial and infrastructure sectors still having safety margins [5]. Policy Dimension - The policy environment is focused on stabilizing expectations and increasing incremental capital. Reforms in the capital market, such as raising the equity investment cap for insurance funds to 50%, and optimizing delisting and dividend mechanisms, are enhancing investment functionality. The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes support for new industries like AI and commercial aerospace [5]. Capital Dimension - Continuous inflow of capital is observed, with insurance funds increasing their equity investments to over 4.7 trillion yuan, adding more than 600 billion yuan in 2025. There is ample room for growth, as evidenced by a reduction of 1.11 trillion yuan in household deposits and a 2.14 trillion yuan increase in non-bank deposits, with funds entering the market through ETFs and mutual funds [6]. Industry Dimension - The dual focus on technology and cyclical sectors is evident. In technology growth, there is a surge in demand for AI computing power, storage, and commercial aerospace driven by policy support. In cyclical sectors, the supply-demand gap for industrial metals like copper and aluminum is widening, with expectations of a 150,000-ton shortfall in refined copper in 2026 [6]. Company Dimension - Overall profitability is improving, showcasing resilience. Leading companies in innovation-driven sectors, such as CATL, are achieving high capacity utilization rates close to 90%, with technological breakthroughs driving down costs [7]. Outlook for 2026 - Multiple brokerages express optimism for the A-share market in 2026, predicting a continuation of the slow bull market. The core driving logic is expected to shift from valuation recovery to profit support, with anticipated earnings growth of 5% to 12% [9][10]. The recovery of PPI is seen as a key factor that will drive nominal GDP growth and improve overall profitability in the market [11]. Key Investment Themes - Key investment themes include technology growth led by AI and hard technology, with a focus on areas like optical modules and computing chips. The cyclical and resource sectors are also expected to benefit from improved supply-demand dynamics, with industrial metals and energy sectors showing potential for cash flow improvement and high dividend yields [12].

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed results on December 29, with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving a nine-day consecutive rise, marking the longest streak since 2025, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell by 0.49% and 0.66% respectively [1] - Market sentiment remained high with a trading volume of 2.16 trillion yuan, surpassing 2 trillion yuan for two consecutive days [1] Sector Performance - The commercial aerospace sector continued to perform strongly, with stocks like China Satellite, Aerospace Electronics, and Aerospace Development consistently ranking among the top ten in trading volume [1] - The General Aviation ETF (159231) rose by 1.72%, reaching a historical high, while the Military Industry ETF (512810) increased by 1.69%, setting a new three-year high [1] - The digital currency concept saw fluctuations, with financial technology and banking sectors rebounding quickly. The Financial Technology ETF (159851) surged by 1.08%, marking its fourth consecutive rise, while the Bank ETF (512800) gained 0.98% [1] ETF Highlights - The Military Industry ETF (512810) recorded a net inflow of over 8.1 billion yuan, leading the industry [7] - The Financial Technology ETF (159851) showed a strong upward trend, with significant gains in stocks like Lakala, which surged over 12% [12] - The Science and Technology Innovation Artificial Intelligence ETF (589520) rose by 0.69%, driven by strong demand for AI-related chips, with a notable increase in trading volume [16] Key Stocks - China Satellite saw a four-day consecutive rise, with its market capitalization surpassing 100 billion yuan [9] - Lakala led the financial technology sector with a significant increase, while other stocks in the sector also performed well [12] - Chip manufacturer Chipone Technology reported a record high in new orders, contributing to the strength of the AI chip sector [16][18] Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the Hong Kong stock market may benefit from the recovery expectations in mainland China and potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, indicating a positive outlook for 2026 [4] - The digital yuan is set to launch a new framework and management system on January 1, 2026, which is expected to create new opportunities for the financial technology sector [14]

Market Overview - A total of 72 stocks hit the daily limit, while 26 stocks faced limit down, resulting in a sealing rate of 73% [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index slightly increased by 0.04%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.49% and 0.66% respectively [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.14 trillion yuan, a decrease of 20.9 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Stock Performance - Victory Energy achieved a 12-day limit up streak, while other notable stocks included Jia Mei Packaging with 10 limit ups in 12 days, and Shen Jian Co. with 8 consecutive limit ups [1][3] - The highest limit up stocks included Fenglong Co., Luxin Investment, China Satellite, and Daye Co., each with 4 consecutive limit ups [1] - The market saw over 3,300 stocks decline, indicating a broad market pullback despite some individual stock successes [1] Sector Analysis - The carbon fiber, brain-computer interface, and commercial aerospace sectors showed the highest gains, while the pharmaceutical commerce, energy metals, and lithium battery sectors experienced the largest declines [1] - The commercial aerospace sector was boosted by new regulations from the Shanghai Stock Exchange, leading to significant stock price increases for companies like China Satellite, which surpassed a market cap of 100 billion yuan [5] - The robotics sector also gained momentum following the establishment of a standardization committee for humanoid robots, with stocks like Fenglong Co. and Victory Energy seeing significant price increases [6] Investment Trends - The consecutive limit up rate for stocks decreased to 47.62%, indicating a cooling off in the market's enthusiasm for high-flying stocks [3] - The previous leading sectors, particularly lithium battery concepts, saw a substantial pullback, while the commercial aerospace sector began to show signs of internal differentiation [3][5] - The market is expected to face increased pressure as the last trading day before the New Year approaches, with potential for greater volatility [9]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced fluctuations in the afternoon, with all three major indices briefly turning negative. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.07%, the Shenzhen Component increased by 0.27%, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.41%. The total market turnover was approximately 1.92 trillion yuan, an increase of 39.2 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1]. Sector Performance - The sectors of photolithography machines, battery, and energy metals were active, while tourism and commercial aerospace sectors saw adjustments. Notably, the liquid cooling server concept remained vibrant, with several high-position stocks experiencing sharp declines [2]. Individual Stock Highlights - Victory Energy achieved an "8 consecutive limit-up" performance. Invech hit a limit-up and reached a historical high, with a total market value surpassing 100 billion yuan. Zhongji Xuchuang had a trading volume exceeding 14 billion yuan, ranking first in A-share individual stock trading volume [2][6]. - Invech, as a pioneer in the full-chain liquid cooling sector, offers a comprehensive range of products and services, ensuring the operational reliability of liquid cooling systems through self-research, production, delivery, and service [4]. Currency Exchange Rates - On December 23, the RMB exchange rate continued to strengthen, with both offshore and onshore RMB against the US dollar breaking through the 7.02 and 7.03 thresholds, respectively. The central parity rate of the RMB against the US dollar was adjusted up by 49 basis points to 7.0523, marking the highest level since October 2024. Year-to-date, the RMB has appreciated by 1.89% against the US dollar [2]. Future Market Projections - According to a report from Western Securities, the liquid cooling market for Google's TPU v7 and above is expected to reach a scale of 2.4 billion to 2.9 billion USD by 2026, driven by high growth in domestic chip shipments and the rapid adoption of AI supernode systems [5]. - Franklin Templeton Investments believes that technology stocks will outperform the market in 2026, supported by three factors: the evolution of AI, innovation pipelines, and valuation support through strong profit growth [8].

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced fluctuations in the afternoon, with all three major indices briefly turning negative. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.07%, the Shenzhen Component increased by 0.27%, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.41%. The total market turnover was approximately 1.92 trillion yuan, an increase of 39.2 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1]. Sector Performance - The sectors of photolithography machines, batteries, and energy metals were active, while tourism and commercial aerospace sectors saw adjustments. Notably, the liquid cooling server concept remained vibrant, with several high-position stocks experiencing significant declines [3][4]. Individual Stock Highlights - Victory Energy (001331) achieved an "8 consecutive limit-up" performance. Inveke (002837) hit its daily limit, reaching a historical high of 103.84 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization exceeding 100 billion yuan. Zhongji Xuchuang (300308) had a trading volume exceeding 14 billion yuan, ranking first in A-share individual stock turnover [3][4][10]. - Other stocks such as Yidong Electronics (301123), Zhongguang Lightning Protection (300414), and Tongfei Co. (300990) also reached their daily limit [5][6]. Currency Exchange Rate - On December 23, the RMB exchange rate continued to strengthen, with both offshore and onshore RMB against the US dollar breaking through the 7.02 and 7.03 thresholds, respectively. The central parity rate of the RMB against the US dollar was adjusted up by 49 basis points to 7.0523, marking the highest level since October 2024. Year-to-date, the RMB has appreciated by 1.89% against the US dollar [3]. Liquid Cooling Market Insights - Inveke is recognized as a pioneer in the full-chain liquid cooling sector, offering a comprehensive range of products and services from manufacturing to delivery. The company ensures the operational reliability of liquid cooling systems through self-research, production, delivery, and service [8]. - According to a report by Western Securities, it is projected that Google will ship approximately 2.2 to 2.3 million TPUs of version 7 and above by 2026, estimating the market size for Google’s cabinet liquid cooling to be between 2.4 billion and 2.9 billion USD. The domestic liquid cooling market is expected to experience significant growth due to the high increase in domestic chip shipments and the rapid adoption of AI supernode systems [9]. Technology Stock Trading Volume - Several technology stocks recorded trading volumes exceeding 10 billion yuan. Zhongji Xuchuang led with a turnover of 14.498 billion yuan, followed by Xinyi Sheng (300502) and Industrial Fulian (601138), both surpassing 13 billion yuan [10][11].