Core Viewpoint - Shengtun Mining has shown significant stock performance with a year-to-date increase of 92.12%, indicating strong market interest and potential growth in the mining sector [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On September 29, Shengtun Mining's stock rose by 2.21%, reaching 9.26 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 8.25 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 2.91% [1]. - The company has experienced a net outflow of 38.47 million CNY in principal funds, with large orders accounting for 24.05% of purchases and 31.85% of sales [1]. - Over the past five trading days, the stock has increased by 13.20%, while it has risen by 36.58% over the last 60 days [1]. Group 2: Company Overview - Shengtun Mining, established on January 14, 1997, and listed on May 31, 1996, is located in Xiamen, Fujian Province, and specializes in non-ferrous metal mining and related services [2]. - The company's revenue composition includes 66.55% from energy metals, 27.88% from basic metals, and 5.56% from metal trading and other services [2]. - As of August 31, the number of shareholders increased to 130,300, with an average of 23,720 circulating shares per person [2]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Shengtun Mining reported a revenue of 13.804 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20.94%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 5.81% to 1.053 billion CNY [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 933 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 388 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including 山金国际, 赤峰黄金, 洛阳钼业, 中国宏桥, and 中钨高新 [3]. Core Insights - Precious metals, particularly gold and silver, are trading around interest rate cuts, with silver showing potential for a short squeeze due to low inventory levels and continued inflows into ETFs [1][33]. - Industrial metals like copper are supported by production cuts at the Grasberg mine and a reduction in global copper supply, while aluminum prices are expected to fluctuate as the market awaits demand recovery [1][33]. - Energy metals, particularly lithium, are experiencing active trading ahead of the holiday, with expectations of strong supply growth in the fourth quarter [1][33]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Gold and silver continue to trade based on interest rate expectations, with silver's strong performance linked to low inventory levels and ETF inflows [1][33]. - The U.S. core PCE price index for August recorded a year-on-year rate of 2.9%, aligning with expectations and reducing concerns about interest rate cuts [1][33]. Industrial Metals - Copper prices are supported by production cuts at the Grasberg mine, with a projected reduction of over 500,000 tons in global copper supply over the next 12 to 15 months [1][33]. - Aluminum supply is increasing as production capacity is restored, but prices are expected to remain stable in the short term [1][33]. Energy Metals - Lithium prices are stable, with active trading as companies prepare for the holiday season, and supply expectations remain strong for the fourth quarter [1][33]. - The report notes a slight increase in lithium carbonate production, with inventory levels decreasing [1][33]. Key Companies to Watch - The report highlights several companies to monitor, including 兴业银锡, 盛达资源, 万国黄金集团, 中金黄金, 紫金矿业, 山东黄金, 赤峰黄金, 银泰黄金, 招金矿业, 洛阳钼业, 明泰铝业, and others [1][3].

证券之星消息，9月26日能源金属板块较上一交易日上涨0.28%，盛屯矿业领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3828.11，下跌0.65%。深证成指报收于13209.0，下跌1.76%。能源金属板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600711 | 盛电矿业 | 9.06 | 5.35% | 281.80万 | | 25.49 Z | | 301219 | 腾远钻业 | 68.70 | 2.83% | 14.98万 | | 10.37亿 | | 603799 | 华友钻业 | 57.13 | 2.73% | 96.34万 | | 55.58亿 | | 300618 | 塞锐铝业 | 50.33 | 0.90% | 24.03万 | | 12.15亿 | | 000762 | 西藏矿业 | 22.72 | 0.62% | 27.67万 | | 6.41亿 | | 603399 | 永杉锂业 | 9.50 | 0.21% | 8.77万 | | 8378.64万 ...

9月26日，天齐锂业盘中上涨2.46%，截至10:28，报45.79元/股，成交12.61亿元，换手率1.92%，总市值 751.52亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出5929.36万元，特大单买入6448.05万元，占比5.11%，卖出9326.11万 元，占比7.40%；大单买入2.59亿元，占比20.54%，卖出2.89亿元，占比22.96%。 天齐锂业今年以来股价涨38.76%，近5个交易日涨1.73%，近20日涨4.16%，近60日涨41.46%。 今年以来天齐锂业已经2次登上龙虎榜，最近一次登上龙虎榜为8月11日，当日龙虎榜净买入3.81亿元； 买入总计6.63亿元 ，占总成交额比17.81%；卖出总计2.82亿元 ，占总成交额比7.57%。 天齐锂业所属申万行业为：有色金属-能源金属-锂。所属概念板块包括：化肥、盐湖提锂、固态电池、 锂电池、小金属等。 截至6月30日，天齐锂业股东户数27.08万，较上期减少6.08%；人均流通股5451股，较上期增加6.45%。 2025年1月-6月，天齐锂业实现营业收入48.33亿元，同比减少24.71%；归母净利润8441.06万元，同比增 长101.6 ...

Core Insights - The energy metals sector experienced a rise of 1.36% on September 25, with Shengtu Mining leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3853.3, down 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13445.9, up 0.67% [1] Energy Metals Sector Performance - Shengtu Mining (600711) closed at 8.60, up 3.37% with a trading volume of 1.5912 million shares and a transaction value of 1.377 billion [1] - Tianqi Lithium (002466) closed at 44.69, up 3.11% with a trading volume of 738,300 shares [1] - Yongxing Materials (002756) closed at 35.29, up 2.23% with a trading volume of 137,900 shares [1] - Other notable performers include: - Cangge Mining (000408) at 55.14, up 1.92% [1] - Shengxin Lithium Energy (002240) at 18.18, up 1.68% [1] - Ganfeng Lithium (002460) at 55.73, up 1.47% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The energy metals sector saw a net inflow of 147 million in main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 27.5759 million [2] - Major stocks in the sector showed varied capital flows, with Tianqi Lithium seeing a main fund inflow of 260 million [3] - Cangge Mining had a main fund inflow of 59.2092 million, while Shengtu Mining experienced a main fund inflow of 46.1362 million [3]

Group 1: Industrial Metals - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut leads to short-term fluctuations in commodity prices, but industrial metal prices are expected to rise due to improved demand expectations during the "golden September and silver October" season [1] - The SMM imported copper concentrate index increased week-on-week, while the suspension of operations at Indonesia's Grasberg copper mine exacerbates supply disruptions, tightening copper supply [1] - Domestic electrolytic aluminum production sees a slight increase due to capacity replacement, with downstream companies ramping up operations in anticipation of the consumption peak [1] Group 2: Energy Metals - The Democratic Republic of Congo is expected to extend its export ban, potentially leading to a significant rise in cobalt prices, while lithium demand is strong due to seasonal factors [1] - The lithium market experiences increased procurement demand, with spot transaction prices rising as supply and demand both grow, but demand growth is stronger [1] - Cobalt prices are expected to rise due to domestic raw material shortages and accelerated inventory depletion during the demand peak [1] Group 3: Precious Metals - Following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, geopolitical tensions have increased, leading to a bullish outlook for precious metals [2] - The SPDR gold holdings have significantly increased as overseas investors accelerate their allocation to gold, driven by heightened risk aversion [2] - Long-term trends indicate that central bank gold purchases and weakened dollar credibility will push gold prices higher, presenting opportunities for investment in the gold sector [2] Group 4: Investment Strategy - Investment strategies should focus on industrial metals like copper and aluminum, which are expected to rise due to supply disruptions and improved demand [3] - Energy metals such as cobalt and lithium should be targeted for potential price increases driven by supply tightening and seasonal demand [3] - Precious metals, particularly gold and silver, should be considered for investment due to rising geopolitical tensions and long-term bullish trends [3]

回顾:昨日收盘,沪深300上涨1.02%至4566.1;上证50上涨0.68%至 2939.5;中证500上涨1.99%至7323.7;中证1000上涨1.7%至7534.2。沪深 两市成交额达到23268亿,较昨日缩量1676亿。行业板块几乎全线上涨,电 子化学品、半导体、游戏、光伏设备、能源金属、房地产服务、电池板块 涨幅居前,仅旅游酒店板块逆市下跌。 | | 国贸期货研究院 宏观金融研究中心 郑雨婷 | | 期货执业证号:F3074875: 投资咨询证号: Z0017779 | | 2025/9/25 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前值变动(bp) | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前值变动 (bp) | | | DRO01 | 1.44 | 2.41 | DR007 | 1.59 | 11.09 | | हि | GC001 | 1.64 | 2.00 | GC007 | 1.92 | 12.50 | | B | SHBOR 3M | 1.57 | 0.40 | LPR 5年 | 3.50 | 0.00 | | ...

来源：上海证券报·中国证券网 上证报中国证券网讯（记者 徐蔚）9月24日，A股三大指数集体上涨，截至收盘，上证指数涨0.83%， 深证成指涨1.80%，创业板指涨2.28%，科创50指数涨3.49%，北证50指数涨2.03%。沪深北三市全天成 交23471亿元，较上日缩量1713亿元。全市场超4400只个股上涨，近90股涨停。行业板块几乎全线上 涨，电子化学品、半导体、游戏、光伏设备、能源金属、房地产服务、电池板块涨幅居前，旅游酒店板 块跌幅靠前。 MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ ...

A股主要指数今日集体走强，截止收盘，沪指涨0.83%，收报3853.64点；深证成指涨1.80%，收报13356.14点；创业板指涨 2.28%，收报3185.57点；科创50指数涨3.49%，收报1456.47点。沪深两市成交额达到23268亿，较昨日缩量1676亿。 行业板块几乎全线上涨，电子化学品、半导体、游戏、光伏设备、能源金属、房地产服务、电池板块涨幅居前，仅旅游酒店 板块逆市下跌。 净流出方面，电子元件、通信设备、汽车零部件等净流出排名靠前，其中电子元件净流出38.39亿元。 来源 市场信息 MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ 个股方面，上涨股票数量超过4400只，近90只股票涨停。半导体板块持续走强，神工股份、江丰电子、长川科技（维权） 20cm涨停，通富微电、北方华创、立昂微涨停。机器人概念股爆发，豪能股份（维权）、中创智领等10余股涨停，联美控 股3连板，迎丰股份2连板。阿里云概念股表现活跃，杭钢股份涨停。下跌方面，旅游板块表现疲软，云南旅游跌停。 行业资金方面，截至收盘，半导体、光伏设备、电池等净流入排名靠前，其中半导体净流入154.2亿。 ...

Market Overview - On September 24, the energy metals sector increased by 1.83% compared to the previous trading day, with Huayou Cobalt leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3853.64, up 0.83%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13356.14, up 1.8% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Huayou Cobalt (603799) closed at 55.52, with a rise of 5.79% and a trading volume of 1.32 million shares [1] - Xizang Mining (000762) closed at 22.37, up 4.39% with a trading volume of 200,100 shares [1] - Rongjie Co., Ltd. (002192) closed at 35.32, increasing by 3.97% with a trading volume of 79,200 shares [1] - Ganfeng Lithium (002460) closed at 54.92, up 3.35% with a trading volume of 1.21 million shares [1] - Yongxing Materials (002756) closed at 34.52, increasing by 2.89% with a trading volume of 93,900 shares [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The energy metals sector saw a net inflow of 299 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 352 million yuan [1] - Retail investors contributed a net inflow of 52.18 million yuan [1] Detailed Capital Flow for Selected Stocks - Huayou Cobalt had a main fund net inflow of 264 million yuan, but retail funds saw a net outflow of 191 million yuan [2] - Coldray Mining (300618) experienced a main fund net inflow of 35.46 million yuan, while retail funds had a net outflow of 45.88 million yuan [2] - Rongjie Co., Ltd. had a main fund net inflow of 12.06 million yuan, with retail funds showing a net outflow of 7.79 million yuan [2] - Ganfeng Lithium had a main fund net inflow of 4.36 million yuan, but retail funds experienced a net outflow of 16.13 million yuan [2]