Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not provide an industry investment rating [1][2][3][5] Group 2: Core View of the Report - Due to the expected loose supply of domestic lithium carbonate in April and the weakening price trend, it is recommended that investors wait and see, paying attention to the support level around 30,000 - 60,000 and the resistance level around 73,000 - 75,000 [5] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Lithium Futures and Spot Price - On April 24, 2025, the closing prices of lithium carbonate futures contracts (near - month, continuous - one, continuous - two, continuous - three) all decreased compared to the previous day, with the near - month contract closing at 68,380 yuan/ton, down 680 yuan. The trading volume of the active contract was 104,384 lots, a decrease of 111,782 lots from the previous day, and the open interest increased by 6,068 lots. The inventory decreased by 180 tons [1] - The average prices of various lithium minerals (lithium spodumene concentrate, lithium mica, etc.) remained unchanged compared to the previous day, while the average prices of lithium carbonate (99.5% battery - grade/ domestic, 99.2% industrial - grade/ domestic) decreased by 50 yuan/ton [1] - The average prices of some lithium compounds (lithium hydroxide, lithium hexafluorophosphate) decreased, while the average prices of some ternary precursors and ternary materials increased slightly [1] Industry News and Company Dynamics - In April 2020, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology upgraded the "no fire, no explosion" requirement for electric vehicle power batteries from a recommended standard to a mandatory one [2] - The 20,000 - ton iron phosphate lithium hydroxide material project of Baiyin Times Ruitai New Material Technology Co., Ltd. was officially put into production in Baiyin City, Gansu Province. The total planned production capacity of the project is 100,000 tons, to be built in three phases [2] - Fangyuan Co., Ltd. decided to terminate the "Battery - grade Lithium Carbonate Production and Comprehensive Utilization of Waste Lithium - ion Batteries Project" with a planned investment of no more than 2 billion yuan, and has invested 97 million yuan in the project [2] - Linyi Bucha Weimang Environmental Protection New Material Co., Ltd. plans to invest 100 million yuan to build a project for recycling and reusing 10,000 tons of waste lithium - ion batteries annually [1] Supply and Demand Analysis - Supply side: Tianqi Lithium's 30,000 - ton wet - process project at Greenbushes may be put into production in October 2025, which may lead to a decline in the price of imported lithium ore. The monthly production of domestic lithium carbonate may increase, and the supply is expected to be loose. Some production lines will undergo maintenance, and new production capacity will be put into operation [3][5] - Demand side: The downstream demand for lithium products is gradually recovering. The production and inventory of some products (such as lithium iron phosphate) may increase, while the export volume of some products (such as lithium hydroxide) may decrease [3][5]

天齐锂业（002466）公告，预计第一季度归属于上市公司股东的净利润为8200万元–1.23亿元，上年同 期为亏损38.97亿元；扣除非经常性损益后的净利润为3200万元–4800万元，上年同期为亏损39.17亿元； 基本每股收益为0.05元/股–0.08元/股，上年同期为亏损2.38元/股。公司业绩变动主要原因是锂产品销售 价格下降、化学级锂精矿成本基本贴近最新采购价格、锂化合物及衍生品产销量同比增长以及联营公司 SQM投资收益较上年同期增长。 ...

Summary of Conference Call Industry Overview - The discussion primarily revolves around the current market conditions and trends in the mining and materials industry, particularly focusing on supply and demand dynamics since late February and early March [1][2]. Key Points - The market has been experiencing a weak oscillation, with a notable support level around 75,000, which has shown resistance to downward movement [1][4]. - Recent trading activity reflects a response to previous expectations, indicating a feedback loop between market sentiment and fundamental conditions [2][12]. - Current spot prices for materials, such as electric meal, are around 74,500, aligning with market trends [3]. - Supply and demand expectations have shifted, with indications of a potential oversupply beginning in March due to the resumption of production by major manufacturers [7][12]. - The demand side remains stable but lacks significant growth, with seasonal improvements noted in March [4][10]. - Inventory levels have been increasing, suggesting a potential weakening in demand despite stable order volumes [11][12]. Additional Insights - The cost structure for raw materials is undergoing adjustments, with integrated costs showing a downward trend, which may provide some relief to pricing pressures [5][6]. - The production capacity is expanding, with a notable increase in output and operational rates among major producers [8]. - The sentiment in the market is currently pessimistic, with expectations of further declines in prices, particularly if panic selling occurs [14][15]. - There is a suggestion for investors to consider options trading strategies to mitigate risks associated with current market volatility [15]. Conclusion - Overall, the market is characterized by a fragile balance between supply and demand, with increasing inventories and stable but uninspiring demand. The outlook remains cautious, with potential for further price declines if market conditions do not improve. Investors are advised to monitor developments closely and consider strategic trading options.

Summary of Ganfeng Lithium (1772.HK) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Ganfeng Lithium - **Ticker**: 1772.HK - **Market Cap**: HK$67,370 million (US$8,661 million) [4] Financial Performance - **4Q24 Net Loss**: Rmb1.4 billion, impacted by fair value loss from PLS stake (estimated at ~Rmb1.1 billion) and share of loss from associates (~Rmb300 million) [1] - **Core Business Performance**: Barely break-even in 4Q24, showing little change quarter-over-quarter [1] - **Balance Sheet Deterioration**: Interest-bearing debt increased by 30% YoY to Rmb32 billion (up from Rmb25 billion in 2024 and Rmb13 billion in 2023) [1] - **Free Cash Flow**: Free cash outflow of Rmb1,118 million in 4Q24, compared to Rmb2.3 billion in 3Q24 [3] - **Net Gearing Ratio**: Increased to 53% in 4Q24 from 44% in 3Q24 and 30% in 4Q23 [3] Segment Performance - **Lithium Compound vs. Battery Segment**: Lithium segment gross profit margin (GpM) was ~10% in FY24, down 3 percentage points YoY, while battery segment GpM averaged 12% in FY24, down from 18% in FY23 [2] Market Conditions - **Lithium Prices**: Significant decline in lithium benchmark prices, with battery-grade lithium carbonate prices down 65% YoY and lithium hydroxide prices down 70% YoY [8] - **Sales Performance**: Gross revenue decreased by 43% YoY to Rmb18.906 billion in 2024 [8] Valuation and Recommendations - **Target Price**: HK$26.00, representing a 19.8% expected return from the current price of HK$21.70 [4] - **Expected Total Return**: 20.0%, including a 0.1% expected dividend yield [4] Risks - **Key Risks**: 1. Increased supply of lithium compounds leading to lower prices for lithium carbonate and hydroxide [11] 2. Weaker-than-expected demand for electric vehicles (EVs) [11] 3. Spodumene concentrate prices declining less than anticipated [11] Additional Insights - **Investment Factors**: The increase in debt is attributed to overseas expansion and share repurchase activities, indicating potential financial cost pressures in the near future [1] - **Analyst Valuation**: Ganfeng-H shares are valued at a 30% discount to Ganfeng-A shares, consistent with historical averages since 2019 [10]

Core Insights - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the year 2024, marking its first annual loss since going public [1][2] - The drop in lithium prices was identified as the primary reason for the poor performance, with a notable decrease in the average price of lithium carbonate [1][2] Financial Performance - The company's total revenue for 2024 was 18.91 billion yuan, a decrease of 42.66% compared to the previous year [1] - The net loss attributable to shareholders was 2.07 billion yuan, a shift from a profit of 4.95 billion yuan in 2023, representing a decline of 141.93% [1] - The net profit after excluding non-recurring items was a loss of 887 million yuan, down 133.16% from a profit of 2.68 billion yuan in 2023 [1] - Basic and diluted earnings per share were both -1.03 yuan, compared to 2.46 yuan in the previous year, reflecting a decrease of 141.87% [1] Business Operations - The lithium series products contributed 12.02 billion yuan in revenue, a year-on-year decrease of 50.88% [1] - Revenue from lithium battery series was 5.90 billion yuan, down 23.49% year-on-year [1] - The overall gross margin fell to 10.82%, a decrease of 2.86% from the previous year, with the lithium salt business gross margin at only 10.47% [1] Strategic Developments - The company is advancing its global resource layout with multiple projects coming online, including the Cauchari-Olaroz salt lake project in Argentina and the Goulamina spodumene project in Mali [2] - Plans are in place to achieve an annual supply capacity of no less than 600,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) by 2030 through innovative extraction technologies [2] - The company achieved breakthroughs in solid-state battery research, enhancing the conductivity of sulfide solid electrolytes, which supports the commercialization of solid-state batteries [2] - The battery recycling business has reached an annual processing capacity of 200,000 tons, with a lithium recovery rate exceeding 90% [2] - The company reported significant growth in the energy storage sector, with production and sales of power storage batteries reaching 11,439.5 MWh and 8,195.4 MWh, respectively, marking a year-on-year increase of 98.73% [2]

天齐锂业 20250327 摘要 Q&A 天齐锂业在 2024 年度的经营业绩和未来发展规划有哪些主要内容？ • 天齐锂业 2024 年营收 130.63 亿元，同比下降 67.75%，主要因锂化合物及 衍生品和紫金矿业收入减少，其中锂化合物及衍生品收入同比减少 39.24%， 紫金矿业收入同比减少 81.7%，铝产品市场价格大幅下滑是主要原因。 • 2024 年公司综合毛利 60 亿元，同比下降 82%，主要受锂价下跌、泰利森定 价机制错配及 SQM 业绩下降和税务事项影响，同时终止澳洲奎纳纳二期项 目计提资产减值损失约 5 亿元人民币，以及文菲尔德汇兑损失。 • 公司锂盐产量连续五年增长，优化库存结构，降低国内生产基地库存成本， 制定市值管理制度并实施限制性股票激励计划，阿安居基地电池级碳酸锂 产能达 2.3 万吨/年，终止奎纳纳二期项目以避免资源浪费。 • 公司积极搭建国内外一体化供应链，通过控股塔迪森和雅江措拉矿，投资 SQM 和日喀则扎布耶股权，扩大境内外优质盐湖资源布局，实现锂精矿 100%自给自足，格林布什矿 2024 年开采量达 306.4 万吨。 • 截至 2024 年底，格林布什锂辉石矿总 ...

净亏损超79亿元，天齐锂业交出上市以来最差成绩 单 图片来源：界面图库 天齐锂业(002466.SZ)交出上市以来最差成绩单。 3月26日晚间，天齐锂业发布业绩报告称，去年该公司实现营业总收入130.63亿元，同比下降67.75%； 实现归属于上市公司股东的净亏损为79.05 亿元，同比下降208.32%。 天齐锂业曾表示，截至2024年12月31日，该公司二期氢氧化锂项目前期相关投入累计约14.12亿元，该 金额占公司上一年度经审计净资产的比例约为2.74%；本次项目终止预计减少公司2024年度归属于母公 司股东的净利润金额约5.01亿元，占公司最近一个会计年度经审计净利润的6.86%。 这是自天齐锂业上市以来，亏损最为严重的一年。天齐锂业于2010年8月31日上市，主营业务是锂精矿 及锂化工产品的生产、加工和销售。该公司的主要产品为锂矿、锂化合物及衍生品，主要应用于电动汽 车、三类电子产品和新型储能等终端市场。 进行了裁决，撤销了税务和海关法庭在 2022年11月7日对于该案件的裁决结论，导致其确认了约11亿美 元的所得税费用，并相应减少其净利润约11亿美元。 报告期内锂产品的市场价格大幅下滑，导致该公司 ...

Summary of Tianqi Lithium's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Tianqi Lithium - **Date**: February 26, 2025 Key Points Industry Challenges and Financial Performance - Tianqi Lithium faces multiple challenges including pricing mismatches in aluminum products, tax litigation with SQM, suspension of the Kwinana Phase II project, and foreign exchange losses, leading to a decline in investment income [2][3] - The company anticipates a loss of 7.1 to 8.2 billion yuan for the year 2024, primarily due to significant declines in aluminum product prices and increased asset impairment losses [3] Production Capacity and Developments - The Greenbush lithium mine's capacity is steadily increasing, with the CDP3 plant expected to commence production in Q4 2025, raising capacity to 2.14 million tons per year [2][4] - Current lithium hydroxide production capacity stands at 188,600 tons per year, with a new 30,000-ton project in Zhangjiagang expected to be completed within 18 to 24 months, increasing total capacity to 218,600 tons per year [2][6] Kwinana Project Status - The Kwinana Phase II project has been terminated, while Phase I is still ramping up and is projected to produce approximately 5,000 to 6,000 tons in 2024 [2][10] - The total impairment for the Kwinana Phase II project is about 400 million yuan, with an additional inventory impairment of approximately 770 million yuan, impacting net profit by around 770 million yuan [2][14] Cost Structure - The cash mining cost at the Greenbush mine is approximately 300 AUD, with total costs around 500 AUD, translating to about 18,000 to 20,000 USD per ton [4][12] - The average cost of lithium carbonate from the Adaparama salt lake is between 5,000 to 7,000 USD, with costs rising due to electricity and environmental factors [4][13] SQM Resource Allocation Impact - Starting in 2025, SQM will receive 33,500 tons of lithium resource revenue, which will affect Tianqi Lithium's investment income. After 2030, resource allocation will be based on equity ratios [2][11] Future Plans and Innovations - Tianqi Lithium is expanding its metal lithium production capacity in Chongqing, targeting an additional 1,000 tons per year [2][17] - The company is focusing on the development of next-generation battery materials, particularly sulfide solid electrolytes, and has received positive feedback from downstream customers on high-purity lithium sulfide products [2][17] Impairment Provisions - The company plans to recognize an impairment of 2.2 billion yuan, reflecting current market conditions and asset value adjustments [2][14] Market Conditions - The procurement cost for refined materials has decreased from high levels at the end of 2023 to around 1,300 USD, with December prices for lithium around 705 USD [2][7] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from Tianqi Lithium's conference call, highlighting the company's operational challenges, production developments, financial outlook, and strategic initiatives in the lithium industry.