证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·电力设备 电力设备行业跟踪周报 人形开始百台订单、光伏加强反内卷 2025 年 07 月 13 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券分析师 曾朵红 执业证书：S0600516080001 021-60199793 zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 阮巧燕 执业证书：S0600517120002 021-60199793 ruanqy@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 许钧赫 执业证书：S0600123070121 xujunhe@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -9% -4% 1% 6% 11% 16% 21% 26% 31% 36% 2024-7-12 2024-11-10 2025-3-11 2025-7-10 电力设备 沪深300 相关研究 《人形机器人轻量化：产业化前夕的 进修课，应用为重》 2025-07-12 《风电行业 2025 年度中期策略报告： 25 年陆海风需求共振，看好两海成长 空间》 2025-07-10 东吴证券研究所 1 / 45 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 电气设备 728 ...

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperforming the market (maintained rating) [6] Core Viewpoints - The overseas computing power industry chain remains highly prosperous and has not been impacted by DeepSeek and trade frictions, with stronger fundamental resonance in the related industry chain. The AI industry is viewed as a key investment theme for the year, with expectations for continued high prosperity in the AI sector and the AIDC industry chain [2][19] - The report suggests that 2025 may become a pivotal year for domestic AI infrastructure competition and application development, with ongoing advancements in AI in both China and the US [2][19] - The government work report has included "deep-sea technology" for the first time, indicating a positive trend for the offshore wind and submarine cable industry starting in 2025 [2] Summary by Sections Artificial Intelligence and Digital Economy - Key recommendations for optical modules and optical devices include: Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Tianfu Communication, and Yuanjie Technology. Suggested stocks include: Guangxun Technology, Suosi, Dingtong Technology, and others [4][22] - For switch server PCBs, key recommendations are: Hudian Co., ZTE, and Unisplendour. Suggested stocks include: Shengke Communication, Ruijie Networks, and others [4][22] - Low valuation and high dividend stocks in cloud and computing IDC resources include: China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom [4][22] - For AIDC and cooling solutions, key recommendations are: Yingweike, Runze Technology, and others. Suggested stocks include: Shenling Environment and others [4][22] - For AIGC applications and edge computing power, key recommendations are: Guanghe Communication, Meige Intelligent, and Yiyuan Communication. Suggested stocks include: Cai Xun Co., Mengwang Technology, and others [4][23] Offshore Wind and Submarine Cable - Key recommendations for offshore wind and submarine cable include: Hengtong Optic-Electric, Zhongtian Technology, and Dongfang Cable [5][24] - The report emphasizes the recovery of overseas markets and recommends focusing on leading companies in the submarine cable industry [3][20] Satellite Internet and Low-altitude Economy - The acceleration of national defense informatization and low-orbit satellite development is highlighted, with key recommendations including: Huace Navigation and Haige Communication. Suggested stocks include: Chengchang Technology, Zhenlei Technology, and others [6][25] Market Performance Review - The communication sector rose by 2.19% during the week of July 7-11, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.37 percentage points [26] - Notable individual stock performances include: Hengbao Co. and Changxin Bochuang, which saw significant increases [27][29]

随着近日"反内卷"进一步明确，包括光伏在内的多个产业出现"绝地反击"。 7月11日，多晶硅期货 突破4.1万元大关，主力合约盘中最高报42265元/吨，触及近三个月新高。与此同时，上周硅料企 业报价已提升至成本价以上，有望迅速带动硅片电池片价格上涨。 扩展阅读： 通威股份终止后，又有两家企业拟收购润阳股份 通威股份，终止收购润阳！ 继通威收购，润阳 13GW 产能复产！ 由 长三角船舶与海工装备技术创新中心、长三角海上风电智能运维创新联盟、江苏科技大学海洋资源 开发技术创新研究院 联合主办的2025（第五届）海洋清洁能源技术与装备高峰论坛（简称： MCES2025）将于 7月23-25日 在 南通 召开， 将针对" 融合发展需要哪些创新技术驱动？"、"如 何将示范工程的成功经验快速规模化？"、"深远海施工成本困局如何破解？ "等热点话题展开探讨。 论坛同期举办青年科学家10²论坛、产业发展与创新技术全体大会、四大专题论坛，以及产业需求对接、 创新产品与技术展览、项目地图发布等特色活动。 在此背景下， 【DT新材料】 获悉， 7月8日， 润阳新能源 通过官方公众号宣布云南基地复产， 从 停机状态到满负荷生产，仅 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent "anti-involution" policies in China aim to construct a unified national market, improve product quality, and promote high-quality economic development, with a focus on addressing low-price and disorderly competition [1] Market Performance - Since the announcement of "anti-involution" policies on July 1, the Shenyin Wanguo Glass Fiber sector has seen a cumulative increase of 14.2%, while the Shenyin Wanguo Steel and Photovoltaic Equipment sectors have risen by 11.36% and 9.73% respectively [1] Economic Implications - Comprehensive governance of "involution" is expected to enhance overall productivity by correcting low-price competition and overcapacity, thereby preventing "bad money from driving out good" [7] - The policies are anticipated to accelerate industry consolidation and improve corporate profit expectations, particularly in sectors like steel and cement [7][8] - The construction of a unified market is expected to reduce cross-regional transaction costs and stimulate domestic demand [7] Capital Market Impact - The governance of "involution" is likely to lead to the accelerated exit of outdated capacities, enhancing the market share and pricing power of leading companies, thus stabilizing profitability [8] - The "anti-involution" trend is seen as a long-term process that will create systematic investment opportunities as industry concentration increases [10] Sectoral Opportunities - Industries such as photovoltaic, new energy vehicles, steel, and cement are expected to benefit from the "anti-involution" policies [12] - In the photovoltaic supply chain, leading companies in silicon materials and glass are likely to benefit from price stabilization and capacity exit [12] - Traditional industries like steel and cement may see improved profitability through production limits and price stabilization [12][13] Investment Focus - Investors are advised to focus on sectors with real capacity exits and technological upgrades, avoiding speculative investments in companies without actual production cuts [13] - Key areas for investment include supply-demand optimization in steel and cement, technology barriers in photovoltaic and lithium battery sectors, and cost advantages in industries like pig farming [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significance of the "anti-involution" policy in promoting high-quality economic development and the construction of a unified national market in China, emphasizing the need to address low-price disorderly competition and improve product quality [2][10]. Market Performance - Since the announcement of the "anti-involution" policies on July 1, the Shenyin Wanguo Glass Fiber sector has seen a cumulative increase of 14.2%, while the Shenyin Wanguo Steel and Photovoltaic Equipment sectors have risen by 11.36% and 9.73%, respectively [2]. Economic and Market Implications - Comprehensive governance of "involution" is expected to enhance overall productivity by correcting low-price competition and overcapacity, thereby preventing "bad money from driving out good" [10]. - The policy is anticipated to accelerate industry consolidation and improve corporate profit expectations, particularly in sectors like steel and cement [10]. - The construction of a unified market is expected to reduce cross-regional transaction costs and stimulate domestic demand [10]. Industry Beneficiaries - Industries likely to benefit from the "anti-involution" policies include photovoltaic, new energy vehicles, steel, and cement [16][18]. - In the photovoltaic supply chain, leading companies in silicon materials and glass are expected to benefit from price stabilization and capacity clearance [16]. - In the new energy vehicle sector, leading manufacturers are likely to restore profitability through production control and price stabilization [16]. Market Dynamics and Sustainability - The sustainability of the "anti-involution" market rally is contingent on demand-side support, with short-term market reactions driven by policy-induced supply reductions [13][14]. - Traditional industries like steel and coal are expected to see basic support for their market performance due to clear capacity constraints [14]. - The performance of related sectors will exhibit differentiation, with traditional industries benefiting from actual capacity reductions, while technology-intensive sectors will need to focus on innovation and efficiency [14][17]. Long-term Opportunities - Key opportunities include supply-demand optimization in sectors like steel and cement, technology barriers in photovoltaic and lithium battery sectors, and cost advantages in industries like pig farming [17]. - Companies with the ability to set technical standards within their supply chains are expected to achieve excess returns, highlighting the importance of long-term structural changes in the industry [17].

子行业周度核心观点： 光伏&储能：新能源为代表的新兴制造业是本轮"反内卷"的核心聚焦领域，光伏则是核心领域中的标杆示范行业， 当前"依法依规"进行干预的价格端已初显成效，继续关注终端价格传导能力、产业链对涨价趋势一致预期的形成、 以及供给侧自上而下的潜在动作；此外，继续重申推荐受益于美国政策不确定性消除、国内新能源全面市场化+反内 卷驱动格局改善、Q2 业绩同环比展望乐观的大储龙头：阳光电源。 风电：大金重工披露半年报业绩预告，Q2 业绩超预期，看好公司中长期盈利提升，继续坚定重点推荐；海南省发布 "136 号文"细则征求意见稿，增量海风项目获明显政策倾斜；浙江海风、日月、东缆等成立母港装备公司，关注浙 江深远海示范项目推进带来的订单机会。 电网：1）思源电气发布 25 中报业绩快报，25Q2 实现营收 53 亿元，同比+50%；归母净利润 8.5 亿元，同比+62%，大 超预期，上调公司 25 年盈利预测至 27.5 亿元，yoy+34%，当前股价对应 PE 仅 20 倍，维持重点推荐；2）国网输变电 设备 3 批中标金额 211.9 亿元，同比+38%，再创单批次中标金额新高，前 3 批累计中标同比+25 ...

电力设备新能源 投资评级：优于大市（维持评级） 证券分析师：王蔚祺 010-88005313 wangweiqi2@guosen.com.cn S0980520080003 证券分析师：王晓声 010-88005231 wangxiaosheng@guosen.com.cn S0980523050002 2025年07月13日 证券研究报告 | 风电产业链周度跟踪（7月第2周） 行业研究 · 行业周报 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 【板块行情】 • 近两周风电板块普遍上涨，涨幅前三板块为叶片（+15.9%）、海缆（+2.6%）和整机（+0.7%）。个股方面，近两周涨幅前三分别为中材科技（+34.8%）、新强联（+11.7%）和大金重工 （+6.1%）。 【行业观点】 • 海风方面，25年上半年江苏、广东重大项目陆续迎来开工。二季度进入交付旺季；25年是国管海风开发元年，预计规划、竞配、招标、政策下半年有望落地。"十五五"期间年均海风装机 有望超20GW，远超"十四五"水平。陆风方面，25年行业装机有望达100GW创历史新高，年初以来零部件企业迎来量价齐增，全年业绩有望大幅增长；上半年主机企业国 ...

2025年7月13日 证券研究报告 | ESG热点周聚焦（7月第2期） 创业板综指引入ESG负向剔除机制 策略研究 · 策略专题 证券分析师：王开 证券分析师：陈凯畅 021-60933132 021-60375429 wangkai8@guosen.com.cn chenkaichang@guosen.com.cn S0980521030001 S0980523090002 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 核心观点 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 ◼ 海外ESG热点事件：在绿色金融、碳中和、企业治理与环境保护四条主线上，政策、市场、技术协同发力，助力全球能源结构转型与气候应对。绿色 金融方面，沃旭能源完成中国台湾大彰化海上风电27.5亿美元项目融资，获25家银行及5家出口信贷机构支持；加州社区选择融资局即将发行10亿美 元30年期绿色债券，用于圣地亚哥社区电力清洁能源供应；英国与日本住友商事达成75亿英镑（约100亿美元）清洁能源投资协议，重点投向海上风 电与氢能；欧盟委员会发布非正式指南，为港口电动集装箱设备联合采购提供竞争法合规路径，加速柴油设备替换。碳中和与减排方面，Mic ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the electric power equipment and new energy sectors are expected to see significant investment opportunities, particularly in the context of the growing demand for electric power driven by emerging industries like AI [2][3] - The report emphasizes the potential recovery in profitability for the lithium battery sector, driven by a decrease in lithium carbonate prices and advancements in fast-charging technologies [2][3] - The report identifies key companies to watch in the new energy vehicle sector, including CATL, BYD, and others, as well as in the electric power equipment sector, such as Sifang Electric and XJ Electric [2][3] Summary by Sections New Energy Vehicles - The lithium battery sector is expected to recover as the supply-demand imbalance improves, with lithium carbonate prices decreasing, which may lower battery costs and stimulate downstream demand [2][3] - The report notes a significant increase in new energy vehicle sales, with June 2025 sales reaching 1.329 million units, a year-on-year increase of 26.7% [11][12] Electric Power Equipment and Energy Storage - The report anticipates a major year for grid investment, with the electric power equipment sector poised for favorable investment opportunities due to the growing demand for electricity from new energy sources [2][3] - In energy storage, the report forecasts continued high growth, particularly in large-scale storage and commercial storage, driven by the development of virtual power plants and seasonal demand increases [3] Photovoltaics - The report indicates sustained high demand in Europe and robust domestic demand for ground-mounted power stations, with new technologies like TOPCon expected to drive further market growth [2][3] Industrial Control and Humanoid Robots - The report suggests a new industrial control cycle is approaching, with companies like Huichuan Technology and Xusheng Group recommended for investment [5] - The humanoid robot sector is maturing, with companies like Zhiyuan Robotics and Yushutech securing significant contracts, indicating a growing market for humanoid robots [5]

Group 1: Foreign Investment Trends in Baijiu Sector - Foreign investment in the baijiu sector has been decreasing, with Kweichow Moutai's foreign ownership dropping from 26% to nearly 13% over the past five years, representing a reduction of about 50% [1] - Other major baijiu companies have also seen significant reductions in foreign holdings, with Luzhou Laojiao decreasing from 8.1% to 4.5% (44% reduction), Yanghe from 27.4% to 3.5% (87% reduction), and Gujing Gong from 10.3% to 3.8% (63% reduction) [2] - Wuliangye has experienced a similar trend, with foreign ownership decreasing from 26% to approximately 7%, equating to a 73% reduction over the last five years [3] Group 2: Recent Performance and Forecasts - Recent quarterly data indicates that Kweichow Moutai had two quarters of net buying and two quarters of net selling, with total shares held decreasing from 87 million to 73 million, a 16% reduction over the past year [1] - Forecasts for the first half of 2025 suggest Kweichow Moutai will see a revenue growth of 9%, while Wuliangye is expected to grow by 1-2%, and Luzhou Laojiao is projected to decline by 6-10% [10] - Shanxi Fenjiu is an exception, with foreign holdings increasing from 36 million to 49 million shares over the past year, indicating a 36% increase in foreign investment [12] Group 3: Overall Industry Sentiment - The overall sentiment in the baijiu industry appears cautious, with many companies experiencing declines in foreign investment, suggesting that the industry's fundamentals may not have fully bottomed out [9] - The baijiu index has been one of the worst-performing indices this year, raising concerns about whether the actual earnings will meet broker expectations [10]