A股市场板块涨跌幅排行 | (责任编辑：马欣) | | --- | 中国经济网北京12月22日讯 A股三大指数今日早盘集体上涨，截至午间收盘，上证综指报3915.20点，涨 幅0.64%；深证成指报13318.80点，涨幅1.36%；创业板指报3178.51点，涨幅1.80%。 板块方面，贵金属、小金属、元件等板块涨幅居前，医药商业、教育、影视院线等板块跌幅居前。 ...

◎记者 王彭 对于全球铜矿供给紧张等问题，黄道立表示，在足够短的时间周期内，无论是资本开支不足还是政策约 束带来的供给限制，都具备刚性。然而从长期看，若供给刚性导致价格持续上涨，将引发市场自我调 节。 当前，市场普遍将"全球流动性宽松预期"视为本轮行情的核心引擎。对此，黄道立认为，美联储降息周 期对有色商品的影响并非一成不变。在宽松周期前期，全球经济复苏情况尚不明朗，降息可能更利好黄 金，而工业金属或仍承压。随着宽松政策持续、全球经济复苏确认，持续的降息将对工业金属价格形成 更强支撑。 黄道立表示，从长期维度来看，商品价格的周期趋势主要由经济增长核心驱动力的演变所主导。以近一 个5年周期为例，随着传统行业在经济结构中的占比逐步下降，而新能源相关产业的地位不断提升，以 传统经济需求为主的黑色系商品的价格表现，整体弱于与新能源等新经济关联更紧密的非黑色金属。 "我们始终认为，绿色能源革命与科技创新浪潮是当前全球经济增长转型的两大核心动力。与这两大趋 势紧密相关的上游原材料品种，在未来有望获得更坚实、更可持续的供需结构支撑。"黄道立称。 "本轮美联储货币政策受到美国经济强弱反复、债务高压、通胀中枢上移等多重制约，态 ...

[Table_Page] 投资策略周报|有色金属 证券研究报告 | [Table_Title] 金属及金属新材料行业周报 | | [Table_Gr ade] 行业评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 黄金开始交易 | 年降息节奏 26 | 报告日期 | 2025-12-21 | [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [相对市场表现 Table_PicQuote] -10% 8% 26% 44% 62% 80% 12/24 03/25 05/25 07/25 10/25 12/25 有色金属 沪深300 | [分析师： Table_Author]宫帅 | | --- | | SAC 执证号：S0260518070003 | | SFC CE No. BOB672 | | 010-59136660 | | gongshuai@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： 王乐 | | SAC 执证号：S0260523050004 | | 021-38003617 | | wangle@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： 陈琪玮 | | S ...

以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成投资建议。 证券之星消息，12月19日小金属板块较上一交易日上涨2.22%，西部材料领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3890.45，上涨0.36%。深证成指报收于13140.22，上涨0.66%。小金属板块个股涨跌见下表： 从资金流向上来看，当日小金属板块主力资金净流入2.32亿元，游资资金净流出3.7亿元，散户资金净流 入1.38亿元。小金属板块个股资金流向见下表： ...

Core Viewpoint - Jinmoly Co., Ltd. has shown a significant stock price increase of 52.17% year-to-date, indicating strong market performance and investor interest [2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On December 19, Jinmoly's stock price rose by 2.01%, reaching 14.70 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.42 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 0.30% [1]. - The stock has increased by 3.74% over the last five trading days and 8.25% over the last twenty days, while experiencing a slight decline of 0.54% over the past sixty days [2]. Group 2: Company Overview - Jinmoly Co., Ltd. was established on May 16, 2007, and listed on April 17, 2008. The company primarily engages in molybdenum mining, production, and sales of molybdenum-related products [2]. - The revenue composition of Jinmoly includes 90.14% from molybdenum mining and processing, 8.73% from commodity trading, and 1.14% from other sources [2]. - The company is classified under the non-ferrous metals sector, specifically in the small metals category focusing on molybdenum [2]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Jinmoly reported a revenue of 10.885 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.80%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.286 billion CNY, which is a 4.17% increase compared to the previous year [2]. - Since its A-share listing, Jinmoly has distributed a total of 10.336 billion CNY in dividends, with 3.549 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3]. Group 4: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders in Jinmoly increased by 10.65% to 82,400, while the average number of circulating shares per shareholder decreased by 9.63% to 39,134 shares [2]. - The second-largest shareholder, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holds 76.3054 million shares, a decrease of 12.6515 million shares from the previous period [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Zhongtung High-tech has shown significant stock performance, with a year-to-date increase of 206.74% and a recent surge in trading volume and net inflow of funds [1][2]. Group 2 - Zhongtung High-tech is located in Zhuzhou, Hunan Province, and was established on March 18, 1993. It was listed on December 5, 1996. The company specializes in the research, development, production, sales, and trade of hard alloys and rare metals such as tungsten, molybdenum, tantalum, and niobium [2]. - The main business revenue composition includes: 34.74% from ore and powder products, 23.13% from other hard alloys, 21.68% from cutting tools and tools, 16.23% from refractory metals, and 4.22% from trade and equipment [2]. - As of September 30, the number of shareholders of Zhongtung High-tech reached 103,100, an increase of 120.14% compared to the previous period, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 54.28% to 12,170 shares [2]. - For the period from January to September 2025, Zhongtung High-tech achieved operating revenue of 12.755 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.70%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 846 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 310.28% [2]. Group 3 - Zhongtung High-tech has distributed a total of 880 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 714 million yuan distributed in the last three years [3]. - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten circulating shareholders include significant institutional investors, with notable changes in holdings among them [3].

12月19日，章源钨业盘中上涨2.08%，截至11:08，报14.26元/股，成交4.47亿元，换手率2.68%，总市值 171.32亿元。 今年以来章源钨业已经3次登上龙虎榜，最近一次登上龙虎榜为11月10日，当日龙虎榜净买入-9497.47 万元；买入总计5080.90万元 ，占总成交额比6.26%；卖出总计1.46亿元 ，占总成交额比17.97%。 资料显示，崇义章源钨业股份有限公司位于江西省赣州市崇义县城塔下，成立日期2000年2月28日，上 市日期2010年3月31日，公司主营业务涉及钨产业链上相关产品(包括APT、氧化钨、钨粉、碳化钨粉、 钨材、硬质合金及其工具等)的冶炼、加工、研发和销售。主营业务收入构成为：碳化钨粉34.10%，钨 粉31.47%，硬质合金21.28%，其他(补充)8.49%，其他产品4.00%，仲钨酸铵0.65%，氧化钨0.01%。 章源钨业所属申万行业为：有色金属-小金属-钨。所属概念板块包括：航天军工、专精特新、稀缺资 源、小金属、基金重仓等。 分红方面，章源钨业A股上市后累计派现8.62亿元。近三年，累计派现2.69亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，章源钨 ...

Group 1: Metal Industry Overview - The metal industry is experiencing a significant optimization in supply-demand structure, with a weak supply cycle expected to continue until 2028, characterized by rigid supply and vertical expansion in the industry chain [2] - The transition to a liquidity cycle is anticipated to enhance the elasticity of metal prices, with a shift from a tightening to a loosening monetary policy expected to normalize by 2026, potentially driving liquidity premiums for small metal varieties [2] - The report predicts that small metals such as rare earths, lithium, and others will see improved fundamentals and price elasticity due to ongoing supply-demand optimization and liquidity effects [2] Group 2: Lithium Industry Insights - The lithium supply is projected to increase from 123.1 thousand tons LCE in 2024 to 186 thousand tons LCE by 2027, with a CAGR of 15% [1][7] - The production of lithium from salt lakes is expected to rise significantly, with output increasing from 47.5 thousand tons LCE in 2024 to 84 thousand tons LCE in 2027, representing a CAGR of 21% [1][7] - Demand for lithium is driven by the growth of electric vehicles and energy storage systems, with total lithium battery shipments expected to rise from 1,545 GWh in 2024 to 2,778 GWh by 2027, leading to a demand increase from 103 thousand tons to 184 thousand tons of lithium [7] Group 3: Rare Earth Industry Developments - The rare earth industry is undergoing a structural optimization, with supply growth slowing down due to regulatory changes and industry consolidation, while demand is increasing from sectors like electric vehicles and robotics [3] - The export control of rare earths has become a strategic tool in the US-China trade conflict, enhancing China's pricing power in the global market [3] - The supply growth rate for rare earth mining is expected to decrease significantly in 2024, indicating a tightening supply situation [3] Group 4: Rubidium and Cesium Market Expansion - The global rubidium and cesium market is entering a rapid expansion phase, with supply expected to grow significantly due to increased production capacity from key players [5] - Demand for rubidium and cesium is projected to rise sharply, driven by upgrades in existing consumption structures and emerging applications in solar energy [5] - The combined demand for rubidium and cesium is forecasted to increase from 2,466 tons in 2025 to 4,600 tons by 2027, with a CAGR of 36.6% [5] Group 5: Antimony Market Dynamics - The antimony industry is entering a strong growth cycle due to supply constraints from mine closures and environmental regulations, while demand is increasing from the photovoltaic sector [8] - The global antimony supply gap is expected to widen significantly from 2024 to 2027, indicating a bullish outlook for antimony prices [8] - The demand growth rate for antimony is projected to reach a CAGR of 11% during the forecast period [8] Group 6: Molybdenum Supply and Demand - The global supply of molybdenum is expected to grow slowly, with an increase from 273 thousand tons to 292 thousand tons from 2020 to 2024, reflecting a CAGR of only 1.6% [9] - Demand for molybdenum is anticipated to rise due to the high-end and green transformation of the steel industry, with a projected CAGR of 3.8% from 2024 to 2027 [9] - The tight supply-demand balance in the molybdenum market is likely to push prices upward, benefiting related companies [9] Group 7: Magnesium Industry Outlook - The magnesium industry is expected to enter a state of sustained tight balance, with global production projected to increase from 1.12 million tons to 2 million tons from 2024 to 2027 [11] - Demand for magnesium is anticipated to grow significantly due to trends in automotive lightweighting and other emerging applications [11] - The supply-demand gap for magnesium is expected to remain tight, indicating a potential recovery in pricing and profitability for magnesium producers [11]

Group 1 - The core focus of the 2026 Annual Conference is on the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) from technological breakthroughs to societal reconstruction, exploring how embodied intelligence drives industrial transformation and seeks paths for AI to align with low-carbon goals during the critical period of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [2][3] - The conference features prominent guests including Terrence Sejnowski, a member of the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, and Xue Lan, Director of the National New Generation Artificial Intelligence Governance Professional Committee [3] Group 2 - Insights from the industry highlight how breakthroughs in AI models in 2026 will reshape investment logic in computing power, applications, and aerospace computing, with models like DeepSeek driving advancements in China [5][6] - The long-term improvement in the A-share market environment is expected to stem from a decline in interest rates and increased liquidity, with the CSI A500 index providing balanced industry allocation and core asset selection [8] Group 3 - The 2026 Annual Strategy Conference will focus on the restructuring and opportunities in cyclical industries under the "anti-involution" policy, discussing how construction materials can accelerate clearing at the bottom, and how new chemical materials can benefit from supply-demand improvements [10] - The investment outlook for 2026 emphasizes resilience and rebalancing, with global investment patterns influenced by geopolitical uncertainties and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, alongside China's fiscal policies potentially boosting economic growth [13][14]

Economic News - In November, Shanghai's import and export value reached 387.49 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.6%, with exports at 186.6 billion yuan, up 18.2%, marking a monthly historical high [1] - The Ministry of Commerce reported that China and Europe are negotiating on electric vehicle issues, with China willing to resolve differences through dialogue [1] - The National Bureau of Statistics released unemployment rates for November, showing a youth unemployment rate of 16.9% for ages 16-24 and 7.2% for ages 25-29 [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasized the need to optimize investment structure and maintain stable growth in traditional sectors while fostering new investment growth [1] - Yantai, Shandong, announced the discovery of Asia's largest underwater gold mine with proven reserves of over 39,000 tons, accounting for 26% of the national total [1] - The China Meteorological Administration aims to establish an advanced earth system forecasting system by 2035 [1] - The Sichuan Provincial Government plans to form a diversified R&D investment pattern by 2027, targeting a R&D investment intensity of 2.5% [1] - The People's Bank of China completed three financial preparations for Hainan Free Trade Port, enhancing cross-border financial risk prevention capabilities [1] - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association reported a total export value of photovoltaic products at $24.42 billion from January to October 2025, a decrease of 13.2% year-on-year, but a significant improvement from the previous year's decline [1] - The Hubei Provincial Government is advancing the asset reform of state-owned water resources [1] Important Company News - China National Airlines' subsidiary Shenzhen Airlines plans to raise 16 billion yuan through equity financing [2] Metal Industry Outlook - The metal industry is experiencing an optimization in supply-demand structure, with a weak supply cycle expected to continue until 2028, while demand is anticipated to rise due to green energy transitions and new productivity developments [5] - The liquidity cycle shift is expected to enhance metal price elasticity, with small metals projected to see significant price and valuation increases due to supply-demand improvements and liquidity premiums [5] - Small metals like rare earths, rubidium, cesium, lithium, antimony, molybdenum, and magnesium are highlighted for their potential in terms of supply-demand dynamics and future trends [5] Rare Earth Industry - The rare earth industry is undergoing a supply-demand optimization, with supply growth slowing and demand increasing due to sectors like electric vehicles and robotics [6] - The introduction of export controls has redefined the value of the rare earth industry, enhancing China's global pricing power [6] - Related companies include China Rare Earth, Northern Rare Earth, and others [7] Rubidium and Cesium Market - The global rubidium and cesium market is entering a rapid expansion phase, with significant supply growth expected from companies like Zhongmin Resources and Jinyin Galaxy [8] - Demand is projected to grow significantly due to upgrades in consumption structures and emerging applications [8] - Related companies include Zhongmin Resources and Jinyin Galaxy [9] Lithium Industry - The lithium supply-demand relationship is expected to improve, with supply growth driven by low-cost production in South America and increasing demand from the electric vehicle sector [10] - Global lithium supply is projected to grow from 1.231 million tons LCE in 2024 to 1.86 million tons LCE by 2027, with a CAGR of 15% [10] - Related companies include Zhongmin Resources, Jinyin Galaxy, Tianqi Lithium, and others [11] Antimony Industry - The antimony industry is entering a strong growth cycle due to supply constraints and increasing demand from the photovoltaic sector [11] - The global antimony supply-demand gap is expected to widen, leading to price increases and enhanced profitability for related companies [11] - Related companies include Huayu Mining, Huaxi Nonferrous, and Hunan Gold [12] Molybdenum Industry - The molybdenum market is expected to maintain a tight balance, with prices projected to rise due to increased demand from high-end steel and aerospace sectors [12] - Global molybdenum supply is expected to grow slowly, with demand projected to increase at a CAGR of 3.8% [12] - Related companies include Luoyang Molybdenum, Jintong Molybdenum, and Western Mining [13] Magnesium Industry - The magnesium industry is entering a state of sustained balance, with significant demand growth expected from sectors like automotive lightweighting and renewable energy [14] - Global magnesium demand is projected to grow from 1.12 million tons in 2024 to 2 million tons by 2027, with a CAGR of 21% [14] - Related companies include Baowu Magnesium, Xingyuan Zhuomai, and Wanfu Aoxian [15]