Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2) Core View of the Report - On September 23, the main contract of lithium carbonate futures fluctuated within a range, with an increase in trading volume and a decrease in open interest. In the spot market, low - price transactions were acceptable, and the basis premium decreased. The prices of spodumene concentrate and lepidolite remained flat on the cost side. On the supply side, lithium carbonate production increased last week, and the production of lithium carbonate from different raw materials also increased. In terms of downstream demand, the production of lithium iron phosphate, ternary materials, and lithium manganate increased, while the production of power batteries remained basically flat last week. In the terminal market, the year - on - year growth rate of new energy vehicle production slowed down, 3C shipments were average, and the production schedule of energy - storage batteries increased in September. In terms of inventory, registered warehouse receipts increased, and social inventory decreased. Overall, both supply and demand are strong, the inventory pressure of upstream is not large, and the expectation of lithium ore supply contraction is weakened. It is expected that the price of lithium carbonate will fluctuate at a low level. It is necessary to pay attention to the downstream restocking cycle and the deadline for Jiangxi's mining end to submit reserve reports. The recommended trading strategy is to wait and see [1]. 3) Summary by Related Content Market Data - **Futures Market**: On September 23, the closing prices of near - month, consecutive - one, consecutive - two, and consecutive - three contracts of lithium carbonate futures increased compared with the previous day. The trading volume of the active contract was 497,857 hands (+101,212), and the open interest was 255,907 hands (-15,717). The inventory was 39,449 tons (+540). The basis (SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate average price - lithium carbonate active contract closing price) decreased by 240 yuan/ton [1]. - **Spot Market**: The average prices of various lithium products such as spodumene concentrate, lepidolite, battery - grade lithium carbonate, industrial - grade lithium carbonate, and lithium hydroxide remained mostly unchanged, while the average price of hexafluorophosphate lithium increased by 500 yuan/ton to 57,500 yuan/ton. The average prices of some ternary precursors and cathode materials also increased [1]. - **Inventory**: The total SMM lithium carbonate inventory decreased by 981 tons to 137,531 tons last week. The inventory of smelters and others decreased, while the downstream inventory increased [1]. Industry News - **Chile**: Chile's economic development agency Corfo submitted a resolution to extend the contract of the Atacama Salt Lake project with SQM Salar SpA until 2030 and a new mineral lease contract with Codelco and Minera Tarapacá SoA from 2031 to 2060. SQM and Codelco are expected to finalize a partnership for the development of the Atacama Salt Flat in northern Chile this year, marking the first large - scale entry into lithium production in the region [1]. - **China**: On September 20, the first - phase lithium carbonate project of Luopu Tuhai New Energy Materials Co., Ltd. was put into operation in Xinjiang. The project has a total investment of 4.6 billion yuan, and after full - scale production, it can process 300,000 tons of lithium concentrate and produce 30,000 tons of battery - grade lithium carbonate annually [1].

Group 1 - Lithium Americas (LAC.US) shares surged 78.5% in after-hours trading, reaching $5.48, following reports that the Trump administration is seeking to invest in the company for a stake of up to 10% [1] - General Motors (GM) announced a $650 million investment in Lithium Americas in February to jointly develop the Thacker Pass lithium mine in northern Nevada, which is expected to start lithium production in 2028 [1] - The Thacker Pass mine is projected to become the largest lithium source in the Western Hemisphere, capable of supplying materials for up to 1 million electric vehicles annually [1] Group 2 - Lithium Americas is currently renegotiating the terms of a $2.26 billion loan related to its lithium mining project [1] - The company's stock performance includes a closing price of $3.07, with a trading volume of approximately 61.99 million shares and a market capitalization of $742 million [1] - The stock has seen a 52-week high of $5.20 and a low of $2.31, indicating significant volatility in its trading history [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Rongjie Co., Ltd. (002192.SZ), clarified that it primarily sells lithium concentrate products to its joint venture, Chengdu Rongjie Lithium Industry, and does not have information on the specific end-use of the products supplied to customers [1] Group 1 - The company is currently focused on selling lithium concentrate products [1] - The joint venture, Chengdu Rongjie Lithium Industry, mainly produces battery-grade lithium salt products [1] - The company does not know the specific end-use of the products supplied to its customers [1]

source： 南华研究,同花顺 锂电企业风险管理策略建议 | 行为导向 | 情景分析 | | 操作思路 | 套保工具 | 操作建议 | 套保比例 | 建议入场 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | | 区间 | | 采购管理 | 关性 | | | 期货 | 买入对应期货合约 | 60% | 67000-7 1000 | | | 产成品价格无相 | 未来有生产电池材料的计划， | 为防止成本上涨，企业根据生 | | | | | | | | 担心未来采购碳酸锂时价格上 | 产计划需买入对应生产计划的 | | | | | | | | 涨导致采购成本上涨的风险 | 期货合约锁定采购成本 | 场内/场外期权 | 卖出看跌期权 | 40% | LC2511- | | | | | | | | | P-68000 | | | | 产品价格有相关性：未来有生 | | 期货 | 依据采购进度卖出期 | 20% | 依据采购 | | | 产成品价格有相 | 产电池材料的计划，担心未来 | 为防止采到碳酸锂后库存减 | | 货主力合约 | ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 碳酸锂期货早报 2025年9月23日 大越期货投资咨询部 胡毓秀 从业资格证号：F03105325 投资咨询证：Z0021337 联系方式：0575-85226759 1 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议 。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 目 录 1 每日观点 2 基本面/持仓数据 每日观点 | | | 供给端来看 ， | 上周碳酸锂产量为20363吨 环比增长2 00% 高于历史同期平均水平 ， . | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 。 需求端来看 ， | 环比增加0 上周磷酸铁锂样本企业库存为96217吨 81% 上周三元材 ， . , | | | | 料样本企业库存为17545吨 | 环比增加0 09% 。 ， . | | | | | 中性 | | | | 得为 -8521元/吨 | 有所亏损 回收端生产成本接近矿石端成本 排产积极性一 | | | | 空间充足 ， | 排产动力十足 。 | | 2 | ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report The current short - term supply - demand pattern of the lithium carbonate market is favorable, with inventory continuously decreasing and the futures market having certain support. It is expected that the short - term futures market will fluctuate. However, after the resumption of production at the mining end and the weakening of consumption, the market may decline [3]. 3. Summary by Related Content Market Analysis - On September 22, 2025, the opening price of the lithium carbonate main contract 2511 was 74,580 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 73,420 yuan/ton, a change of - 0.05% compared to the previous day's settlement price. The trading volume was 396,645 lots, and the open interest was 271,624 lots, a decrease of 9,640 lots from the previous trading day. The current basis was 430 yuan/ton, and the number of lithium carbonate warehouse receipts was 38,909 lots, a decrease of 575 lots from the previous trading day [1]. - According to SMM data, the price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 73,200 - 74,500 yuan/ton, an increase of 350 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 71,000 - 72,200 yuan/ton, also an increase of 350 yuan/ton. The price of 6% lithium concentrate was 833 US dollars/ton, an increase of 3 US dollars/ton from the previous day. Downstream material factories were cautiously waiting and seeing, with the overall market trading activity remaining stable. As it was the peak demand season, downstream material factories had certain inventory - building needs before the National Day and were more willing to purchase at relatively low prices [1]. - In August, China imported 22,000 tons of lithium carbonate, a month - on - month increase of 58% and a year - on - year increase of 25%. Among them, 15,600 tons were imported from Chile, accounting for 71% of the total imports, and 4,000 tons were imported from Argentina, accounting for 19%. From January to August, China's cumulative imports of lithium carbonate were 153,000 tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 3.5% [1]. - In August, China's lithium spodumene imports were about 619,000 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 17.5%, equivalent to 56,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE). From Australia, Nigeria, and Zimbabwe, the combined import volume accounted for 70.2%, with some showing significant decreases: Australia's imports were 212,000 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 50.5%; Nigeria's imports were 105,000 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 9.6%; Zimbabwe's imports were 118,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 84%. Imports from Mali and Brazil increased significantly, with 73,000 tons and 18,000 tons respectively, due to concentrated shipments [2]. Strategy - Futures market: It is expected that the short - term market will fluctuate. After the resumption of production at the mining end and the weakening of consumption, the market may decline. For unilateral trading, short - term range operations can be carried out, and selling hedging can be done at high prices. There are no strategies for options, inter - delivery spread, cross - variety, and spot - futures operations [3][4].

Core Viewpoint - Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc. has announced a change in the purpose of part of its repurchased shares, shifting from an incentive plan to cancellation and reduction of registered capital [2][3]. Group 1: Share Repurchase and Capital Reduction - The company held meetings on August 29 and September 22, 2025, where it approved the change in the purpose of repurchased shares from "used for A-share restricted stock incentive plan" to "used for cancellation and reduction of registered capital" [2]. - The total share capital will decrease from 1,641,221,583 shares to 1,641,194,983 shares, and the registered capital will correspondingly reduce from 1,641,221,583 RMB to 1,641,194,983 RMB [3]. Group 2: Creditor Notification - The company has notified creditors that they have 45 days from the announcement date to claim debts or request guarantees, ensuring that the validity of their claims remains unaffected if not exercised within the timeframe [3]. Group 3: Shareholder Meeting Details - The second extraordinary general meeting of shareholders was held on September 22, 2025, with a total of 2,238 participants representing 540,652,703 shares, accounting for 32.9690% of the total voting shares [14]. - The proposal to change the purpose of repurchased shares was approved by more than two-thirds of the voting rights held by shareholders present at the meeting [15].

Core Viewpoint - The acquisition of a 21% stake in Qicheng Mining by Shengxin Lithium Energy demonstrates the company's confidence in the development of the Muroong lithium mine and aims to enhance its competitiveness in the new energy materials sector [1][2]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - Shengxin Lithium Energy plans to acquire a 21% stake in Qicheng Mining for 1.456 billion yuan, increasing its ownership to 70% [1][2]. - The transaction will allow Shengxin Lithium Energy to indirectly control Huirong Mining, which holds the mining rights to the Muroong lithium mine [2]. - Qicheng Mining currently has no substantial production activities, with its main asset being the mining rights to the Muroong lithium mine [2]. Group 2: Valuation Insights - Qicheng Mining's total asset book value is 1.951 billion yuan, with an assessed value of 7.466 billion yuan, resulting in an appreciation of 5.515 billion yuan and a growth rate of 282.62% [3]. - The Muroong lithium mine has confirmed Li2O resources of 989,600 tons, with an average grade of 1.62%, making it one of the highest-grade lithium mines in Sichuan [3]. - The assessed value of the mining rights for the Muroong lithium mine is estimated at 8.434 billion yuan as of August 31, 2025 [3]. Group 3: Strategic Importance - The acquisition aligns with the growing demand for lithium products driven by the rapid development of the global electric vehicle and energy storage industries [5]. - Shengxin Lithium Energy aims to secure a stable supply of high-quality lithium resources to support its expanding lithium salt production capacity [5][6]. - The company recognizes the strategic importance of domestic lithium resources, especially given the current reliance on imports for approximately 60% of raw materials [6].

证券日报网讯 9月22日晚间，赣锋锂业发布公告称，公司不存在逾期担保的情形。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...

Group 1: Background and Core Conclusions - The investigation covered all participants in the supply chain, focusing on "supply-side structural adjustment" and "industry supply-demand rebalancing" [2] - Goldman Sachs identified three core judgments: 1) Most commodity supply policies are in the planning stage but are positive for industry profit recovery; 2) If policy goals are achieved, the cement and steel industries will be most affected, with coal and cement potentially improving by 2026; 3) Short-term supply stability is uncertain due to supply-side "anti-involution" and new policy disturbances, while demand shows a "strong manufacturing, weak construction" pattern [2] Group 2: Supply-Side Core Line: "Anti-Involution" - The "anti-involution" policy focuses on capacity rebalancing through capacity exit, classified management, and limiting new additions to prevent long-term overcapacity issues [3] - Key industries prioritized include EV, photovoltaic, steel, cement, coal, pharmaceuticals, and electronics, with basic metals and chemicals following [3] Group 3: Key Policy Impacts - The new Mining Law effective July 2025 is a significant variable for supply, requiring "comprehensive development of associated minerals," leading to local supply disturbances [4] - Specific impacts include potential production halts in lithium and bauxite mining due to new regulations, with lithium production costs potentially increasing by 50,000 yuan per ton [4] Group 4: Commodity Supply and Demand Analysis - Steel and iron ore: Production cuts are uncertain, with local execution lacking; long-term capacity exit may reach 200 million tons, aiming to increase utilization from 71% to 83% by 2030 [5] - Coal: Operational capacity may decrease by 13 million tons by 2025 due to overcapacity and safety issues, while new capacity of 6 million tons is expected in 2026 [7] - Lithium: Cash costs for integrated lithium production have decreased to 70,000-80,000 yuan per ton, with potential further reductions [9] - Basic metals: Copper demand growth may slow to 4%-5% by 2025, while aluminum demand remains strong due to EV and electric bicycle needs [11][12] Group 5: Demand Side: Divergence with Growth Potential - Overall demand shows stable manufacturing-related demand while construction demand remains weak, with local government cash flow issues affecting new projects [14] - Key demand growth highlights include energy infrastructure projects boosting copper demand and new manufacturing trends driving aluminum demand [15]