证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 陕西能源(001286.SZ) | | | 上次评级 买入 [Table_A 左前明 uthor 能源行业首席分析师 ] 执业编号：S1500518070001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮 箱：zuoqianming@cindasc.com 李春驰 电力公用联席首席分析师 执业编号：S1500522070001 联系电话：010-83326723 邮 箱：lichunchi@cindasc.com 邢秦浩 电力公用分析师 执业编号：S1500524080001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮 箱：xingqinhao@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 煤矿电厂投运助力业绩新高，产能持续扩张 未来可期 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 04 月 18 日 [Table_S 事件：202ummar 5 年y ...

证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 陕西能源(001286.SZ) | | | 上次评级 买入 [Table_A 左前明 uthor 能源行业首席分析师 ] 执业编号：S1500518070001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮 箱：zuoqianming@cindasc.com 李春驰 电力公用联席首席分析师 执业编号：S1500522070001 联系电话：010-83326723 邮 箱：lichunchi@cindasc.com 邢秦浩 电力公用分析师 执业编号：S1500524080001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮 箱：xingqinhao@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 煤矿电厂投运助力业绩新高，产能持续扩张 未来可期 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 04 月 18 日 [Table_S 事件：202ummar 5 年y ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implementation plan for the "New Generation Coal Power Upgrade Special Action" from 2025 to 2027, emphasizing the importance of coal power in supporting the new power system and addressing carbon emission challenges [2]. Group 1: Strategic Planning for Coal Power Development - Coal power has historically played a foundational role in China's power system, with significant installed capacity and generation volume [3]. - The new power system construction is accelerating, with renewable energy sources expected to surpass coal and gas power combined by 2024, and to dominate by the end of the 15th Five-Year Plan [3]. - The plan aims to enhance coal power's adaptability to the new power system, focusing on clean carbon reduction, safety, reliability, and efficient regulation [3]. Group 2: Construction of Coal Power Indicator System - The plan establishes a comprehensive technical indicator system for coal power, focusing on four dimensions: clean carbon reduction, safety, efficient regulation, and intelligent operation [4]. - New indicators include low-load coal consumption increase, load change rate, and frequency response, which are being introduced for the first time in industry policy [4][5]. - The plan sets specific coal consumption increase limits for existing and new coal power units, with current units typically showing a 25% to 35% increase [5]. Group 3: Carbon Reduction and Safety Measures - The plan encourages existing units to implement low-carbon modifications and requires new units to consider low-carbon design [7]. - Safety is prioritized, with specific indicators for supply guarantee performance and unplanned outages during critical periods [8]. - The plan emphasizes the need for intelligent operation, including automated load adjustment and enhanced operational safety monitoring [8]. Group 4: Managing the Upgrade Process - The upgrade of coal power is identified as a core strategy, with a focus on balancing system demand, technology maturity, cost-effectiveness, and project conditions [9]. - Local authorities are empowered to develop tailored action plans for coal power upgrades, reflecting regional differences in energy supply and demand [9][10]. - The plan categorizes existing, new, and demonstration units, with different strategies for each to encourage performance improvements [10]. Group 5: Industry Collaboration and Policy Support - The plan highlights the need for collaboration among power generation companies, equipment manufacturers, and research institutions to drive innovation in coal power technology [11]. - A comprehensive policy support system is proposed, including funding mechanisms and prioritization of new generation coal power projects within the national framework [12]. - The expected outcome is a significant enhancement of the coal power industry's value in the new power system, driving sustainable upgrades [12].

Core Viewpoint - The "New Generation Coal Power Upgrade Special Action Implementation Plan (2025-2027)" aims to support the dual carbon strategy and enhance the role of coal power in the new power system [1][2]. Group 1: Background and Importance - The plan is a response to the need for a profound transformation in the coal power sector, which is the main source of carbon emissions in China's energy sector [2]. - Coal power currently accounts for less than 40% of installed capacity but provides approximately 60% of electricity generation, 70% of peak capacity, and nearly 80% of regulation capacity [1]. Group 2: Key Objectives and Strategies - The plan emphasizes the need for coal power to reduce carbon emissions while enhancing its flexibility and support capabilities in the evolving power system [2]. - The upgrade focuses on "deep regulation, fast adjustment, strong support, wide load, high resilience, and low emissions" as the main line of development [2]. Group 3: Technical Standards and Requirements - Safety and reliability are fundamental, with existing and new units required to maintain a supply period output compliance rate of no less than 98% and a non-scheduled outage frequency of no more than 0.3 times per unit per year [3]. - High-efficiency regulation is a core goal, expanding traditional efficiency metrics to include six new indicators related to coal consumption and load adjustment [3]. - New units must reserve conditions for low-carbon transformation, with a target of reducing carbon emissions by 10%-20% compared to similar units in 2024 [3]. Group 4: Intelligent Operations - The plan highlights the importance of intelligent operations, focusing on automated load adjustment, intelligent maintenance, and decision-making capabilities to enhance operational efficiency [4]. Group 5: Implementation and Future Work - The next steps include promoting understanding of the plan within the industry, guiding provincial energy departments in developing local implementation plans, and continuously tracking progress to refine technical standards [4].

证券代码：001286 证券简称：陕西能源 公告编号：2025-030 陕西能源投资股份有限公司 关于2025年第一季度主要运营数据的 | 运营 | 单位 | 2025 | 年 | 2024 | 年 | | 同比变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指标 | | 一季度 | 累计 | 一季度 | 累计 | 一季度 | 累计 | | 发电量 | 亿千瓦时 | 121.85 | 121.85 | 132.72 | 132.72 | -8.19% | -8.19% | | 上网电量 | 亿千瓦时 | 114.02 | 114.02 | 124.66 | 124.66 | -8.54% | -8.54% | | 煤炭产量 | 万吨 | 434.65 | 434.65 | 485.68 | 485.68 | -10.51% | -10.51% | | 自产煤外销量 | 万吨 | 187.65 | 187.65 | 157.09 | 157.09 | 19.45% | 19.45% | 自愿性信息披露公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容 ...

涉及保障能源安全稳定供应的项目涵盖核电、煤电、电网、油气4个领域，总投资2181亿元，年度 计划投资282亿元。聚焦积极安全有序发展核电，加快徐大堡核电4台机组建设，积极推进庄河核电前期 工作。发挥煤电兜底保障作用，加快国电电力普兰店热电等项目建设，全力推动沈西热电厂扩建等项目 年内开工。全力加快电网建设，推进铁岭、辽西—辽中断面加强等500千伏输变电工程建设，为加快构 建新型电力系统奠定基础。完善油气基础设施，加快建设中石油渤海湾盆地油气稳产、中交营口LNG 接收站等项目，大力推动盘锦—赤峰联络线等项目前期工作。 省发展改革委（省能源局）相关负责人表示，下一步，将坚决扛牢维护国家能源安全政治责任，全 力以赴抓工作调度、投资强度、项目进度，力争更多项目早建成、早投产、早达效。紧跟国家政策取 向、支持方向和资金投向，按照"建设一批、开工一批、储备一批、谋划一批"模式，再谋划申报一批投 资体量大、质量效益高的重点能源项目。同时，科学把握项目开发时度效，合理安排建设节奏。坚持要 素跟着项目走，对重点项目，优先配置资金、土地、环境容量、能耗指标等要素资源，为项目建设提供 全过程服务。 能源项目是推动能源高质量发展的重 ...

风险提示：煤炭价格波动、资产注入进度不及预期、生产安全风险、地质条件变化影响公司煤质风险、 预测假设及模型误差超预期、分红比例不及预期、煤电利用小时数下降风险、煤电电价下降风险。 发布分红规划，2025-2027 年拟分红比例不低于75%：为保障股权收购及摘牌工作的顺利实施，同时兼 顾公司正常生产经营和可持续发展资金需求，公司2024 年度拟不进行现金分配和送股。但公司同步发 布《2025-2027 年现金分红回报规划》，拟在2025-2027年分配的现金分红总额不低于当年实现归属于上 市公司股东的净利润的75%，且每股派发现金红利不低于 0.19 元（含税）。该比例明显高于之前《未 来三年（2024-2026 年）股东回报规划》公告中提到的30%的分红承诺。 投资建议：公司在煤电一体化运营上具备丰富经验，煤窝办电以及集团保供的模式有力保证了旗下电厂 的盈利稳定性。短期来看，潘集电厂1 期正常投运叠加亏损电厂关停有望助力公司整体度电毛利向上提 升；长期来看，在避免同业竞争承诺下，集团内电力资产在远期不排除注入上市公司的可能性，预计带 来火电规模的再次扩张。我们预计公司2025-2027 年分别实现营业收入28 ...

[Table_MainInfo] 宏观研究 证券研究报告 宏观周报 2025 年 3 月 16 日 相关研究 [Table_ReportInfo] 《财政周期：序幕开启——财政部新闻发 布会解读》2024.10.12 《假期经济：恢复如何？——国内高频指 标跟踪（2024 年第 38 期）》2024.10.7 《"可感可及"的宏观转向周——国内高 频指标跟踪（2024年第 37期）》2024.9.29 出口或边际改善 ——国内高频指标跟踪（2025 年第 11 期） [Table_Summary] 投资要点： 经济改善的幅度或有小幅波动，如服务消费、新房销售等，仍有待政策继续 发力。消费方面，商品消费表现相对稳定，但服务消费有所回落，尤其是电 影消费热度回落至低于同期低位。投资方面，基建资金到位速度放缓，或对 后续形成工作量有一定影响，地产销售中一、二手房的分化仍在持续，基建 和地产建设进度均偏慢。进出口方面，韩国进出口和港口数据显示，3 月初 出口情况或边际改善。生产方面，钢铁行业持续改善，煤电和石化行业震荡 下行。库存方面，建材库存持续处于低位，或因为持续供应偏低。物价方面， CPI 中有分化，PPI 中 ...