Core Viewpoint - 62 companies listed on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board have provided earnings forecasts for 2025, with 21 companies expecting losses, 20 expecting profit increases, 14 expecting reduced losses, 5 expecting profit declines, and 2 expecting profits [1]. Group 1: Earnings Forecasts - Among the 62 companies, 20 are expected to increase profits, and 2 are expected to be profitable, resulting in a total of 35.48% of companies reporting positive forecasts [1]. - The companies with the highest expected profit growth include Baiwei Storage with a median profit increase of 473.71%, followed by Zhongke Lanyun at 371.51% and Baiaosaitu at 303.57% [1][3]. - Industries with significant profit growth include electronics, machinery, and biomedicine, with 7, 4, and 3 companies respectively showing profit increases of over 50% [1]. Group 2: Stock Performance - Sci-Tech Innovation Board stocks with high earnings growth have averaged a 17.21% increase in stock price this year [1]. - Baiwei Storage has seen the largest stock price increase of 65.85%, followed by Qiangyi Co. and Oke Yi with increases of 45.25% and 30.53% respectively [1]. Group 3: Capital Flow - In terms of capital flow, stocks with significant earnings growth have seen net inflows, with Lankai Technology, Dingtong Technology, and Baiwei Storage receiving net inflows of 569 million, 342 million, and 199 million respectively over the past five days [2]. - Conversely, stocks like Qiangyi Co., Zhongke Lanyun, and Baiaosaitu have experienced net outflows of 185 million, 114 million, and 99.92 million respectively [2].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - In the past five trading days, a total of 207 companies were investigated by institutions, with notable interest in companies like Haitai Ruisheng, Naipu Mining, and Meihao Medical, indicating a trend of concentrated institutional research activity in specific sectors [1]. Group 1: Institutional Research Activity - 85.51% of the companies investigated had participation from securities firms, with 177 companies being researched by them [1]. - Fund companies conducted research on 160 companies, while private equity firms investigated 91 companies, showing a diverse range of institutional interest [1]. - Haitai Ruisheng received the highest attention with 204 institutions participating in its research, followed by Naipu Mining with 132 institutions [1]. Group 2: Research Frequency and Fund Flow - Tianlu Technology was the most frequently researched company, receiving four institutional investigations, while Suzhou Bank and Binglun Environment were each investigated three times [1]. - Among the stocks with over 20 institutions involved, 15 saw net capital inflows in the past five days, with Hangzhou Bank attracting the most significant net inflow of 508 million yuan [1]. Group 3: Market Performance - Out of the stocks investigated, 31 experienced price increases, with the highest gains seen in Aiko Optoelectronics (34.13%), Dike Co. (26.44%), and Tietuo Machinery (23.29%) [2]. - Conversely, 17 stocks saw declines, with the largest drops in Olin Biology (-13.20%), Aipeng Medical (-12.19%), and Meihao Medical (-11.89%) [2]. Group 4: Earnings Forecasts - Among the stocks investigated, seven companies released earnings forecasts, with four expecting profit increases. Runfeng Co. projected the highest net profit of 1.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 144.40% [2].

Core Insights - Since 2026, sectors such as brain-computer interfaces, commercial aerospace, and embodied intelligence have seen structural opportunities in the A-share market, attracting significant institutional interest [1][5] - Despite recent market fluctuations, the long-term investment value in these sectors remains noteworthy due to policy support, industry events, and ongoing technological breakthroughs [5][6] Group 1: Brain-Computer Interfaces - Xiangyu Medical, a leading company in the brain-computer interface sector, has received 208 institutional visits since the beginning of 2026, indicating strong interest [2] - The company is focused on the commercialization of its brain-computer interface products, which are expected to quickly enter rehabilitation scenarios, supported by collaborations with hospitals [2][3] - Analysts believe that 2026 marks a critical year for the commercialization of brain-computer interfaces, with expectations for non-invasive applications to see significant growth [6] Group 2: Commercial Aerospace - Chaojie Co., Ltd. has also garnered attention, receiving nearly 130 institutional visits in a short span, with a focus on its commercial aerospace rocket structure business [3][4] - The company plans to complete its riveting production line by mid-2024, with an annual capacity of 10 rockets, and is prepared to scale production based on demand [4] - The commercial aerospace sector is expected to benefit from policy support and advancements in technology, with a focus on the development of reusable rocket technology [6] Group 3: Embodied Intelligence - Haitan Ruisheng has received 207 institutional visits, showing strong interest in its embodied intelligence data business [3] - The company is optimistic about the growth potential in the embodied intelligence data field and has established a dedicated team to drive this initiative [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. Core Viewpoints - The secondary - market trends of industrial bond sub - industries show a divergence in the correlation between primary and secondary markets. This divergence may be due to differences in supply among industries and differences in bond liquidity and trading popularity within each industry. If an industry has many issuing entities with strong willingness and ability to issue bonds and is in a good development trend, the probability of a synchronous resonance relationship between primary - market supply and secondary - market demand is relatively high, which can improve the accuracy of judging trading signals of narrowing spreads from daily net financing [1][14]. - Most industries have trading signals transmitted from primary - market supply to secondary - market demand, including comprehensive, non - ferrous metals, and others. Some industries show a stronger negative correlation between primary - market supply and secondary - market demand, such as comprehensive and non - ferrous metals. Some industries have a weak correlation between daily net financing and daily spreads, including communication and food and beverage [2][4]. Summary by Directory 1. Industrial Bond Sub - industries Show Divergence in Primary - Secondary Market Trend Correlation - **Research Method**: Classify industrial bond issuers by Shenwan primary industries, calculate the daily net financing and daily credit spreads of each sub - industry from January 1, 2025, to December 19, 2025, to observe the correlation between primary - market supply and secondary - market demand [12]. - **Divergence Performance**: Most industries have trading signals transmitted from primary - market supply to secondary - market demand, while some do not show this feature significantly [13]. - **Reasons for Divergence**: Differences in supply among industries are related to the number, size, and life - cycle stage of issuing entities. Differences in bond liquidity and trading popularity within industries are related to the scale of outstanding bonds, valuation levels, and event catalysts [14]. 1.1. Industries with Obvious Correlation - **Comprehensive Industry**: From January to March 2025, daily net financing decreased and daily spreads increased; from March to June, daily net financing increased and daily spreads decreased; from June to December, both were in a low - level oscillation [21]. - **Non - ferrous Metals Industry**: From January to July 2025, daily net financing increased and daily spreads decreased; from July to September, daily net financing decreased and daily spreads increased; from October to December, both were in a low - level oscillation [25]. - **Other Industries**: Similar analysis is conducted for industries such as pharmaceutical biology, social services, and others, with different trends in different time intervals [27][30][32]. - **Common Features**: These industries generally have a large scale of outstanding bonds and high institutional investor attention, which is conducive to the transmission of primary - market supply changes to secondary - market spread changes [3][87]. 1.2. Industries with General Correlation - **Industries Included**: Communication, food and beverage, and other industries have a weak correlation between daily net financing and daily spreads, and the linkage and transmission between primary - and secondary - market indicators are relatively weak [4][13]. - **Reasons**: These industries have low participation in the bond market, and their secondary - market trading demand is more affected by overall bond - market trends, industry risk premiums, and liquidity premiums. Different types of industries have specific reasons for the weak correlation [4][90][91].

Core Insights - 56 companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board have issued performance forecasts for 2025, with 18 expecting losses, 18 expecting profit increases, 13 expecting reduced losses, 5 expecting profit declines, and 2 expecting profits [1] Group 1: Performance Forecasts - 35.71% of the companies forecast positive performance, with 18 companies expecting profit increases and 2 expecting profits [1] - Among the companies forecasting profit increases, 8 expect a net profit growth of over 100%, while 6 expect growth between 50% and 100% [1] - The company with the highest expected net profit growth is Baiwei Storage, with a median increase of 473.71% [3] Group 2: Industry Performance - Companies expecting net profit growth of over 50% are primarily in the electronics, pharmaceutical, and machinery sectors, with 7, 3, and 2 companies respectively [1] - The average increase in stock prices for high-growth companies this year is 17.77%, with Baiwei Storage leading at a 52.70% increase [1] Group 3: Capital Flow - In terms of capital flow, the stocks with significant net inflows over the past 5 days include Dingtong Technology, Oke Yi, and Kejie Intelligent, with net inflows of 277 million, 6.3 million, and 3.8 million respectively [2] - Conversely, stocks with high net outflows include Lankai Technology, Zhongke Lanyun, and Qiangyi Co., with net outflows of 217 million, 19 million, and 8.7 million respectively [2] Group 4: Individual Company Forecasts - The top companies by expected net profit growth include: - Baiwei Storage: 473.71% [3] - Zhongke Lanyun: 371.51% [3] - Baiaosaitu: 303.57% [3] - Companies expecting losses include: - Rongbai Technology: -157.45% [5] - Jinge Energy: -173.14% [5] - Tianhe Technology: -105.08% [5]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong capital market has seen a significant increase in refinancing activities at the beginning of 2026, with over HKD 27 billion raised by listed companies through various methods, marking a more than 20-fold increase compared to HKD 1.1 billion in the same period of 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Market Activity - As of January 18, 2026, Hong Kong listed companies have raised a total of HKD 27 billion through placements, rights issues, and other means, indicating a strong market confidence and financing demand [2][3]. - The robust start to refinancing in 2026 builds on a historical high in 2025, where the total refinancing scale reached HKD 325.32 billion, surpassing the IPO fundraising scale for the first time [2][3]. - Major companies like BYD, Xiaomi, and Geely have completed significant fundraising rounds in 2025, contributing to a trend of continuous capital replenishment [2][3]. Group 2: Structural Characteristics - The refinancing activities in early 2026 show a diverse industry distribution, including sectors such as oil and petrochemicals, construction, software services, and healthcare [4]. - Notably, five companies raised over HKD 1 billion each, with the majority of funds being allocated to support international expansion, enhance R&D capabilities, and optimize financial structures [4][5]. - Placement remains the dominant method for refinancing, with over 75% of the 36 cases in 2026 utilizing this approach, highlighting its efficiency and flexibility [4][5]. Group 3: Emerging Trends - A notable trend in 2026 is the strategic mutual holdings between companies through cost issuance, exemplified by the collaboration between SF Express and Jitu Express [5]. - The refinancing landscape is characterized by a higher proportion of traditional and consumer industries compared to emerging sectors, reflecting the complementary nature of Hong Kong and A-share markets [5][6]. - Future trends indicate that refinancing will maintain high levels but with a more stable growth rate, driven by ongoing demand in capital-intensive industries and an increasing focus on optimizing capital structures and enhancing R&D capabilities [6][7].

Market Performance - On January 20, the A-share market saw a collective decline in the three major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping by 0.35% [1] - The CSI 1000 ETF (159845.SZ) fell by 1.41%, while other broad indices such as the SSE 50 decreased by 0.12%, the CSI 300 by 0.52%, and the CSI 500 by 1.22% [1] ETF and Stock Performance - The CSI 1000 ETF's top 50 weighted stocks included notable gainers such as Ming Tai Aluminum Industry, which rose by 9.99%, and Shiyun Circuit, which increased by 2.27% [2] - Conversely, Cambridge Technology and Chunzhi Technology experienced significant declines of -7.96% and -7.45%, respectively [2] Industry Analysis - Key industries within the CSI 1000 ETF showed declines, with Electronics down by 1.58%, Power Equipment by 2.07%, Pharmaceuticals by 0.83%, Computers by 1.44%, and Machinery by 1.57% [3] - The CSI 1000 ETF experienced a net outflow of funds amounting to 9.032 billion yuan over the last five trading days and 8.315 billion yuan over the last ten days [3] Economic Insights - The State Council emphasized the importance of increasing consumer income as a means to boost domestic demand, focusing on the integration of livelihood improvement and consumption promotion [3] - Zheshang Securities projected that the A-share market will continue to strengthen through 2026, driven by liquidity, with a structural market characterized by low volatility dividends and technology growth [3] ETF Overview - The CSI 1000 ETF closely tracks the CSI 1000 Index, which consists of 1,000 small-cap stocks that are liquid and excluded from the CSI 800 Index, reflecting the price performance of a segment of small-cap companies in the A-share market [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the growing interest in the CSI 1000 Index Enhanced products, which aim to share Beta returns while striving for excess Alpha, particularly in a recovering market since 2025 [3] - The CSI 1000 Index features a small and mid-cap style, covering companies ranked approximately 801 to 1800 in A-share market capitalization, with a significant representation from high-growth sectors such as electronics, electrical equipment, pharmaceuticals, and computers [4] - The CSI 1000 Index typically exhibits higher elasticity and greater volatility compared to broader indices like the CSI 300 and CSI 500, making it more suitable for investors with a certain risk tolerance seeking potential excess returns through accepting short-term fluctuations [4] Group 2 - Since 2021, the Chinese government has introduced various policies to support the high-quality development of "specialized, refined, and innovative" small and medium-sized enterprises, with cumulative fiscal subsidies exceeding 10 billion by 2025 [7] - The combination of industrial upgrades and policy dividends provides a clear growth logic for the CSI 1000 Index in the medium to long term, particularly as high-tech enterprises constitute a significant portion of its constituent stocks [7] - The performance of private equity CSI 1000 Index Enhanced strategies has shown a clear "Beta + Alpha" advantage, with a strategy index return exceeding 36% over the past year, compared to less than 16% for the CSI 1000 Index [7] Group 3 - When selecting CSI 1000 Index Enhanced products, traditional metrics like return rate and volatility are important, but two new indicators are introduced: non-regular investment annualized return and regular investment annualized return [10] - Non-regular annualized return reflects the product's ability to generate returns from a single entry point, while regular annualized return measures the stability of performance over time with fixed frequency investments [12][13] - Products that perform well on both metrics are rare and indicate a more sustainable and evenly distributed source of Alpha, making them suitable for both one-time allocations and long-term regular investments [14] Group 4 - The article highlights the compounding effect of index enhancement, noting that in volatile market conditions, consistent outperformance against a benchmark can lead to significant excess returns over time [18] - The strategy of index enhancement focuses on closely tracking the benchmark while allocating more to quality stocks and less to underperforming ones, aiming to accumulate excess returns [19] - Long-term holding is suggested as the optimal approach for index enhancement, as short-term evaluations may not accurately reflect the strategy's true capabilities [19]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.73% as of 10:27 AM, with a trading volume of 783.95 million shares and a transaction value of 1,378.36 billion yuan, an increase of 0.13% compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - Real estate, oil and petrochemicals, and beauty care sectors showed the highest gains, with increases of 0.86%, 0.72%, and 0.70% respectively [1] - The defense and military, comprehensive, and communication sectors experienced the largest declines, with decreases of 3.41%, 3.19%, and 3.06% respectively [1][2] Leading Stocks - In the real estate sector, Chengdu Investment Holdings led with a gain of 10.11% [1] - In the oil and petrochemical sector, Blue Flame Holdings increased by 2.86% [1] - In the beauty care sector, Yanjiang Co. rose by 9.34% [1] Detailed Industry Data - Real Estate: 0.86% increase, transaction value of 189.40 billion yuan, up 20.93% from the previous day [1] - Oil and Petrochemicals: 0.72% increase, transaction value of 80.28 billion yuan, up 26.01% from the previous day [1] - Beauty Care: 0.70% increase, transaction value of 35.84 billion yuan, up 11.01% from the previous day [1] - Defense and Military: 3.41% decrease, transaction value of 883.06 million yuan, up 45.81% from the previous day [2] - Communication: 3.06% decrease, transaction value of 754.04 million yuan, up 0.40% from the previous day [2]

Market Overview - On January 19, Hong Kong stocks showed weak upward momentum, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 281 points (1.1%) to close at 26,563 points[1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 72 points (1.2%), closing at 5,749 points, with total trading volume at HKD 225.7 billion[1] - Xiaomi, OPPO, vivo, and Transsion lowered their annual shipment forecasts, impacting stock prices, with Xiaomi (1810 HK) down 1.7% and Sunny Optical (2382 HK) down 2.3%[1] Sector Performance - The aviation sector strengthened, with Eastern Airlines (670 HK) and Southern Airlines (1055 HK) rising by 6%-9% due to expected record-high passenger transport during the Spring Festival[1] - The power equipment sector benefited from a planned investment of HKD 4 trillion by the State Grid during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with stocks like Dongfang Electric (1072 HK) and Harbin Electric (1133 HK) increasing by 5%-6%[1] Macroeconomic Insights - The GDP growth for Q4 2025 is projected at 4.5%, with an annual growth rate of 5.0%, meeting expectations[2] - Exports for 2025 are expected to increase by 5.5%, despite a 20% decline in exports to the U.S., showing resilience with an annual trade surplus of USD 1.2 trillion, a historical high[2] Real Estate Sector - Real estate development investment fell by 36.9% year-on-year to RMB 419.7 billion, a larger decline than November's 31.4%[3] - New housing starts decreased by 19.3% to 53.13 million square meters, while the average price index for new residential properties in 70 cities dropped by 3.0% year-on-year[3] Industry Developments - The automotive sector saw Chery Automobile (9973 HK) rise by 4.5% after announcing its AI strategy, marking a shift towards smart vehicles[4] - The renewable energy sector is encouraged to adopt zero-carbon practices, with companies like CIMC Enric (3899 HK) expected to benefit from new policies[4] Pharmaceutical Sector - Most pharmaceutical stocks declined alongside the Hang Seng Index, but leading reproductive health company Jinxin Fertility (1951 HK) rose by 5.3%[5] - The number of newborns is projected to drop from 9.54 million in 2024 to 7.92 million in 2025, prompting government support for childbirth[5]