（*数据来源：Wind-央行动态PBOC） 2. 资金面 存款类机构隔夜和七天质押式回购利率一降一升，前者下行近 2 个 bp ，后者因跨月原因上行超 3 个 bp 。 海外方面，最新美国隔夜融资担保利率为 4.29% 。 1. 公开市场操作 央行 4 月 28 日以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了 2790 亿元 7 天期逆回购操作，操作利率 1.50% ，投标量 2790 亿元，中标量 2790 亿元。 Wind 数据显示，当日 1760 亿元逆回购到期，据此计算，单日净投放 1030 亿元。 // 债市综述 // （IMM） 3. 同业存单 全国和主要股份制银行一年期同业存单二级市场上最新成交在 1.77% 附近，较上日变化不大。 （*数据来源：Wind-国际货币资金情绪指数、资金综合屏） （*数据来源：Wind-同业存单-发行结果） 4. 银行间主要利率债收益率 | | 1Y | | 2Y | | ЗУ | | SY | | 7Y | | 10Y | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...

然而，美国重建产业链的时间可能要以年为单位计算，但是产生的物价压力、衰退风险却是以月来计算 的，市场反应更是以日计算。特朗普在贸易政策上的倒行逆施，直接伤到了美元根基，美元失去了全球 化支撑的贸易之锚、信用之锚。这是美元资产近期极度动荡的根本原因。 布雷顿森林体系坍塌后，美国抛弃了以黄金作锚定的承诺。美元依靠在全球贸易中的绝对垄断，维持着 全球交易货币、储蓄手段的尊崇地位。美元交易在全球外汇交易中占比88%，全世界外债发行中70%是 美元债，各国外汇储备里美元占比59%，世界外贸中大约54%用美元报价，银行间同业拆借中美元占比 47%。 世界上暂时还没有一个可以取代美元的替代货币，所以美元的主导地位并非一时半会可以消失。但是美 元软实力毫无疑问被弱化，美元信用遭到质疑，这是本轮美元急跌的逻辑。笔者承认，今年以来对美元 走势看错了，最主要的原因是没有料到特朗普政府会那么打关税战，完全置美元信誉于不顾。 从长期和结构上看，"去全球化"势必带来"去美元化"。美元成为世界货币的一个重要原因，正是长期的 贸易逆差，使得巨额美元流向海外，海外美元再通过投资美债、美股回流到美国。IMF估计，海外投资 者总共持有大约22万亿 ...

Regulatory Changes - The Financial Regulatory Bureau has revised the "Management Measures for the Qualifications of Directors and Senior Management Personnel of Banking Financial Institutions," effective June 1, 2025, emphasizing proportional penalties and clarifying the impact of regulatory punishments on executives [1] - The revisions aim to enhance the responsibility of financial institutions, requiring them to improve the selection and appointment processes for senior executives [1] Housing Market Policies - The State Taxation Administration confirmed that individuals transitioning from a second home loan to a first home loan can enjoy special tax deductions on housing loan interest, as part of efforts to stabilize the housing market [2] - This policy is expected to reduce the financial burden on homebuyers and stimulate demand for existing home loan replacements, particularly benefiting developers focused on improving housing products in core cities [2] Corporate Developments - Ant Group's wholly-owned subsidiary, Shanghai Yunjin Information Technology Co., has made a tender offer to acquire 50.55% of the shares of Yau Tat Securities at HKD 3.28 per share, indicating a significant move by a tech giant into the brokerage sector [4] - This acquisition is anticipated to drive Yau Tat Securities' business growth and digital transformation, potentially reshaping its operational model and enhancing its service capabilities [4] Insurance Market Insights - The Hong Kong Insurance Authority reported that new premiums from mainland visitors reached HKD 62.8 billion in 2024, a 6.5% increase year-on-year, contributing to 28.6% of total new individual policy premiums [5] - The overall new policy premiums in Hong Kong's insurance industry reached a record high of HKD 219.8 billion, reflecting a 21.4% year-on-year growth, indicating a robust market environment [6]

Group 1: Economic Policy and Market Stability - The Central Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China emphasized the need for more proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies to support economic stability and growth [2][9] - The meeting highlighted the importance of a vibrant capital market, which is crucial for corporate financing, wealth growth, and macroeconomic stability [2][10] - The People's Bank of China is expected to implement a range of monetary policy tools, including potential interest rate cuts, to stimulate consumption and investment demand [3][9] Group 2: Economic Performance and Challenges - China's GDP growth rate for Q1 2025 was reported at 5.4% year-on-year, with a nominal growth rate of 4.6%, indicating a solid foundation for stable economic growth [4] - Despite external challenges, China's export performance remained robust in Q1 2025, with the impact of U.S. tariffs not yet significantly affecting trade [4][6] - The CF40 report indicated that while macroeconomic recovery is underway, challenges such as tariff impacts and declining fiscal revenues in Q2 2025 could pose risks [4][6] Group 3: Investment Opportunities and Risks - The investment landscape is characterized by both opportunities and risks, with the potential for market volatility due to ongoing global trade conflicts [7][10] - The real estate market's recovery is uncertain, with expectations for stabilization in 2024 and gradual improvement in 2025, influenced by policy effectiveness and market confidence [8][10] - The private equity market is showing resilience, but traditional investment strategies may need to adapt to the rapidly changing environment [12] Group 4: Strategic Investment Framework - The N.E.X.T matrix framework is proposed for restructuring investment strategies, focusing on necessary foundational research, evolutionary growth opportunities, cross-sector integration, and transformative societal impacts [13][14] - Key investment areas include life sciences, new materials, artificial intelligence applications, and innovative healthcare solutions, which are expected to drive long-term growth [13][14]

Group 1 - Xiaohongshu announced the cancellation of the "big-small week" work schedule, effective from May 1, which includes the release of existing cash and stock options for employees [2][7] - The company aims to establish long-term relationships with employees through trust-based mechanisms, as stated in the internal letter [2] - Employees will have the option to repurchase stock options upon leaving the company, effective from May 1 [2] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China will conduct a 600 billion yuan MLF operation on April 25 to maintain ample liquidity in the banking system, resulting in a net injection of 500 billion yuan after accounting for 100 billion yuan maturing [9][11] - This month's MLF net injection is significantly larger than the previous month's 630 billion yuan, indicating a stronger monetary policy stance to support economic growth [11] - The issuance of super long-term special government bonds began on April 24, with 500 billion yuan for 20-year bonds and 710 billion yuan for 30-year bonds, as part of a total planned issuance of 1.3 trillion yuan for the year [16]

昨天，发生了哪些财经大事？ 小红书将取消大小周 4月24日，小红书发布全员信，称公司基于信任设计机制，致力于建立与员工的长期关系。 小红书宣布将从5月1日起， 不新增现金或期权竞业，原有的现金和期权竞业全部释放 。全 员信还发布另外两项措施： 小红书员工在离职时期权可申请回购；取消隔周周六工作的安 排 。该两项措 施也均于5月1日起生效。 早些时候，话题#小红书将取消大小周#冲上微博热搜第一。针对小红书此次取消大小周， 网友纷纷发表看法。支持方表示，"休双休日本来就是每个劳动者应有的权利"、"早就应该 执行的事"；反对方则表示，"大小周有双倍工资拿"、"取消了大小周，对于员工来说，工 作量依旧那么多；另一个，加班费没了"。 中国人民银行将开展 6000亿元MLF操作 中国人民银行24日发布公告称，为保持银行体系流动性充裕，4月25日中国人民银行将开 展6000亿元中期借贷便利（MLF）操作，期限为1年。 由于当月有1000亿元MLF到期，这意味着MLF净投放量达到5000亿元，为连续第二个月 加量续做。 "和上个月630亿元净投放相比，本月MLF净投放量显著放大，释放货币政策在稳增长方向 显著加力的信号。"东 ...

Core Viewpoint - The latest auction results for U.S. Treasury bonds indicate a significant decline in overseas investor demand, marking a new low since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, which increases the pressure on U.S. Treasury sales and suggests a restructuring of the international safe-haven asset landscape [1][2]. Group 1: Auction Results - The recent auction of $69 billion two-year U.S. Treasury bonds had a bid rate of 3.795%, the lowest since September of the previous year, with a tail of 0.6 basis points and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.52, below recent averages [2]. - Domestic demand remains strong, with direct bidders accounting for 30.1%, while indirect bidders, representing overseas demand, fell to 56.2%, the lowest since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis [2][4]. Group 2: Market Implications - Analysts suggest that if overseas participation in Treasury auctions declines by another 10-20%, the Federal Reserve may have no choice but to restart quantitative easing and position itself as the "last buyer" of U.S. Treasuries [4]. - The recent sell-off of dollar assets is leading to a reconfiguration of traditional safe-haven assets, with gold and non-U.S. bonds gaining attention as investors shift away from U.S. Treasuries [5][8]. Group 3: Global Asset Allocation - The volatility in U.S. Treasury yields is expected to increase pricing pressure on global sovereign debt markets and reshape global asset allocation, enhancing the monetary and safe-haven attributes of gold [8]. - Emerging market bonds are also gaining popularity, with India's 10-year benchmark yield dropping to 6.2981%, the lowest since November 2021, and Australian 10-year yields remaining low since early April [8][9]. Group 4: Domestic Market Outlook - In the context of high international market volatility, the value of Chinese assets is becoming increasingly significant, with expectations of a stable A-share market and potential appreciation of the RMB due to domestic economic resilience [9].

智通财经记者 | 杨志锦 4月23日，上海市统计局发布2025年一季度上海市国民经济运行情况：根据地区生产总值统一核算结果，一季度上海市实现地区生产总值12735.06亿元，按 不变价格计算，同比增长5.1%。 统计数据显示，上海一季度金融业增加值2183.29亿元，增长9.4%，拉动GDP增长约1.7个百分点。对比来看，上海一季度金融业增加值增速高于全国平均水 平5.6个百分点，在全国处于领先水平。 上海金融与发展实验室首席专家、主任曾刚表示，一季度上海经济增长稳中有进，GDP同比增长5.1%，第三产业贡献突出，占经济总量超80%，凸显服务业 主导地位。其中，信息服务业（+13%）、交通运输业（+10.8%）、金融业（+9.4%）领跑，数字经济与现代服务业成为增长引擎。 据智通财经记者了解，金融业增加值核算对象包括货币金融服务（主要是银行业）、资本市场服务、保险业及其他金融业四大类。季度核算由于难以及时获 得相关基础财务报表数据，以普查年度金融业增加值数据作为基准数据，然后参照人民币存贷款余额增长速度、证券交易额增长速度、保费收入增长速度进 行推算。 2024年监管部门对货币金融服务业增加值的季度核算方式进 ...

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming political bureau meeting at the end of April is expected to adopt a more proactive and expansive policy stance, focusing on stabilizing expectations, growth, foreign trade, employment, stock market, and real estate, while also introducing new incremental policies [1][5][9]. Economic Outlook - The economic situation is anticipated to be acknowledged as stable with a good start in Q1, but challenges will be highlighted, particularly the complex external environment and insufficient domestic demand growth [3][5]. - The GDP growth rate for Q1 is reported at 5.4%, but indicators like CPI and PPI suggest weak demand characteristics remain unchanged, necessitating policy adjustments [5][9]. Policy Direction - The policy tone is expected to be more aggressive and expansive, with a focus on "real money" measures to stabilize various economic sectors [5][9]. - There is an emphasis on implementing existing policies while also introducing new measures to address external uncertainties [5][9]. Key Focus Areas - Specific areas of focus include central leverage, stabilizing foreign trade and employment, expanding domestic demand, promoting consumption, stabilizing the stock market and real estate, and enhancing industrial reform [9][10]. - Potential measures may include interest rate cuts, increased fiscal stimulus, and adjustments to the use of funds for existing policies [9][12]. Trade and Employment - The government is expected to emphasize support for foreign trade enterprises and employment, with significant backing for transitioning exports to domestic sales [11][15]. - The stock market may see increased support, with actions from central financial institutions to stabilize market confidence [11][15]. Infrastructure and Reform - More infrastructure projects are likely to be launched, focusing on urban renewal and water conservancy [12]. - Long-term reform efforts will continue, with attention to national market unification and state-owned enterprise reforms [12][13]. Recent Developments - Recent government actions include high-level visits to Southeast Asian countries to strengthen cooperation, and responses to increased tariffs from the U.S. [13][14]. - The government is actively supporting the transition of foreign trade enterprises to domestic markets through various platforms and initiatives [15][16].

文/李悦 2025年4月初，一场由美国单方面挑起的关税风暴席卷全球，且战争似才开场。政策制定者面临诸 多难题，内需能否抵御外需压力、关税战长期化有哪些储备工具等成关注焦点。 资本市场上，危机在全球蔓延。美股动荡、美债遭抛售、美元指数创新低，资金涌入致黄金价格屡创 新高，市场正在以脚投票的方式表达对美国的信任危机。而中国资本市场展现韧性，A股在4月7 日"黑色星期一"后持续反弹，期间上证指数累计涨幅超6%。 "关税战"走向不明，投资者决策困局重重。美股跌到底了吗？黄金的强劲走势是否还能持续？A股命 运又将如何？哪些资产可能成为新一代"硬通货"？ 围绕上述问题，和讯网对话清华大学国家金融研究院院长、五道口金融学院副院长田轩。 田轩表示，特朗普的关税政策使美国经济不确定性增加，资金逃离美国资产是合理避险，开始寻求新 的避险港湾。若关税战持续，黄金、稀有金属、优质房地产、高信用评级债券和国债等将成为"硬通 货"。 谈及A股，他认为长期来看，A股处于估值低位，受科技创新和内需扩大的双重驱动将稳健向上，科 技、新能源等新兴产业板块配置价值高。 01 关税博弈从贸易摩擦转向战略对抗 和讯网：您判断关税战会长期存在吗？若长期 ...