"这次到访中国，我再次感受到，全球投资者对中国的兴趣正迎来新一轮升温。与客户交流规划，同本 地投资者对话，并深入倾听学习，能让我在后续全球走访中，与国际投资者交流对中国经济状况的想 法。"高盛集团董事长兼首席执行官苏德巍（David Solomon）表示。 在回答中国证券报记者关于"高盛投资中国计划"的提问时，苏德巍表示，近期以港股市场尤为凸显， IPO发行节奏显著加快，企业财务顾问需求同步回暖。中国本土企业活力提升，叠加人工智能等领域的 技术创新，推动了一批创新科技企业快速成长，这为高盛在华投行业务带来更多机遇。通过高盛工银理 财，高盛也积极参与国内理财市场机遇。长期而言，高盛期待中国市场的持续开放，并将长期深耕中 国，稳步推进业务扩张。 看好中国各项业务长期发展 "高盛在华业务以各类投资银行业务更为突出。近期IPO发行加速，尤其是港股市场，以及市场对财务 顾问业务需求回暖，正为我们的相关业务创造新一轮增长机遇。"苏德巍对中国证券报记者表示。 他进一步表示，当前中国经济持续释放发展活力，本土企业尤其人工智能、数字经济等前沿领域的创新 科技公司迅速成长，优质市场主体不断涌现。这也为高盛进一步拓展在华投行业务提 ...

Core Viewpoint - Global investors are increasingly focused on the Chinese market as it shows signs of recovery and growth potential, despite ongoing global economic uncertainties [1][8]. Group 1: Economic Outlook - Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon stated that China achieved its 2025 growth target, indicating constructive economic progress [1]. - The Chinese economy is characterized as one of the most important and diverse globally, benefiting from technological innovation and a strong manufacturing and export base [8]. - The actual export growth rate in China is projected to reach approximately 8% in 2025 and 5% in 2026, with consumer spending expected to improve due to government subsidies [8][10]. Group 2: Capital Market Trends - The Chinese capital market is experiencing a revival, with a significant increase in international capital inflows, particularly in the Hong Kong IPO market, which saw a 67% increase in new stock listings and a 224% increase in fundraising in 2025 [9][12]. - Goldman Sachs has noted a resurgence in IPO activities and a heightened demand for financial advisory services, presenting new opportunities for investment banking [2][12]. - The firm has achieved a market share of over 10% in the Hong Kong stock capital market in 2025, positioning itself favorably amidst the market's recovery [12]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Solomon emphasized the importance of diversified investment strategies, recommending a balanced global portfolio that includes various asset classes across different markets [7]. - Long-term investment strategies are encouraged, particularly for younger investors who should focus more on equities for growth [7]. Group 4: Dollar and Gold Market Dynamics - The recent decline of the US dollar, which fell to a near four-year low, is seen as a temporary fluctuation, with expectations of stabilization in the medium term [5]. - Gold prices have surged, with forecasts predicting an increase to $5,400 per ounce by the end of 2026, reflecting ongoing demand from global central banks [6]. - Despite the current strength of gold, Solomon believes that equities may offer better long-term returns compared to gold [6]. Group 5: Foreign Investment and Market Openness - There is a consensus among foreign investors regarding the trend of capital returning to China, driven by the country's economic significance and recent openness initiatives [10][11]. - Solomon expressed optimism about further policy developments that would enhance foreign access to the Chinese market, which is crucial for attracting more capital [13].

国家知识产权局信息显示，高盛公司有限责任公司申请一项名为"经验地提供具有减少噪音的数据隐 私"的专利，公开号CN121412285A，申请日期为2020年8月。 作者：情报员 专利摘要显示，本申请的实施例涉及经验地提供具有减少噪音的数据隐私。提供差分隐私的经验方法包 括在具有和不具有任何特定实体的数据的情况下向一组数据库应用通用统计查询，以产生样本值。概率 密度是通过对样本值进行排序以生成经验累积分布函数而被经验估计。累积分布函数大约在样本点的数 目的平方根上被差分化，以获得经验密度函数。如果在具有和不具有任何特定个体的情况下的经验密度 相差不超过因子exp(ε)，则统计查询可以被视为经验地(ε，δ)-私人，但密度超过界限不大于总数δ的集合 除外。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 本文源自：市场资讯 ...

Core Viewpoint - The core growth opportunity for the Chinese economy in the long term lies in consumption, driven by the large population base and increasing household wealth [2][4][10] Group 1: Consumption as a Growth Driver - Consumption is expected to become the main driver of economic growth, with a shift from traditional manufacturing and exports to consumption and services over the next decade [4][10] - Despite the resilience of exports, their proportion in the economic structure needs further balancing [3][9] Group 2: Global Investor Interest - The activity level in the Chinese market has rebounded and is accelerating, leading to renewed interest from global investors [5][11] - The proportion of foreign investment in China has slightly increased, with potential to rise above 10% in the future [5][11] - The attractiveness of the Chinese stock market has drawn international investors back, and ongoing economic balance and capital market openness will attract more foreign capital [5][11] Group 3: Goldman Sachs Commitment - Goldman Sachs maintains a long-term and steadfast commitment to investing in the Chinese market, encouraged by the development of the capital market and various opening measures [2][5][11] - There is optimism about further opening measures that will solidify the development of China's capital market [5][11]

Group 1 - The meeting took place on January 28, 2026, between the Governor of the People's Bank of China, Pan Gongsheng, and the Chairman and CEO of Goldman Sachs, David Solomon [1][3] - Discussions focused on global economic and financial conditions, China's macroeconomic policies, and Sino-U.S. trade relations [1][3]

（文章来源：第一财经） 1月28日，中国人民银行行长潘功胜会见了来访的高盛集团董事长兼首席执行官苏德巍。双方就全球经 济金融形势、中国宏观经济政策、中美经贸关系等议题进行了交流。 ...

全球指数提供商MSCI对印尼市场透明度发出警告并威胁降级，叠加高盛下调评级，引发印尼股市两日暴跌超15%并多次触发熔断机制，成为该国 金融市场面临的最新打击。 29日，雅加达综合指数周四盘中一度暴跌10%，触发30分钟交易暂停。此前一天该指数已下跌超7%并同样触发熔断。自周二MSCI发布警告报告 以来，该指数累计跌幅已超15%。 MSCI在报告中指出，印尼证券交易所的公开交易股票数据源存在"根本性可投资性问题"，并表示将停止调整其指数中的印尼证券，包括停止纳入 新股票。该机构警告称，如果5月前问题未得到解决，印尼可能被从新兴市场降级为前沿市场。 如果降级为前沿市场，印尼将与孟加拉国、巴基斯坦、斯里兰卡和越南处于同一级别。不过，分析师目前认为这种情况发生的可能性不大。 高盛预警资金外流规模 据路透社报道，高盛在下调评级时表示，若MSCI降级，可能导致22亿至78亿美元的资金外流，尽管该行认为降级可能性较低。 高盛策略师指出： "我们预计市场将持续承压，目前不是入场时机。印尼正面临宏观挑战，包括私人消费疲软、信贷增长放缓，以及财政赤字接近法定上 限GDP的3%。" 纽约梅隆银行香港高级策略师Wee Khoon C ...

格隆汇1月29日｜MSCI此前对印尼市场可投资性发出警告，引发股指创出近30年来的最大两日跌幅，印 尼基准雅加达综合指数今日一度跌10%，此前触发暂停交易30分钟。如果跌势持续，基准股指可能进入 技术熊市。高盛、瑞银均因印尼市场不确定性下调评级，高盛表示，极端情境下可能会引发超过130亿 美元的资金外流。 ...

格隆汇1月29日｜高盛集团分析师将印尼股市评级下调至"减持"，并警告称，明晟公司（MSCI）对印尼 市场可投资性的担忧，可能导致该国市场被降级为前沿市场，从而引发逾130亿美元的资金外流。高盛 预测，在印尼被从新兴市场重新分类的极端情况下，跟踪MSCI指数的被动型基金可能抛售高达78亿美 元的资产。如果富时罗素公司重新评估其自由流通量方法和市场状态，可能还会进一步触发56亿美元的 资金外流。 高盛分析师表示："我们预计（未来）还会有更多被动抛售，并将这一事态发展视为一个将阻碍市场表 现的潜在压力。"此外，鉴于该地区的主动型基金经理对印尼市场配置过高，可能降级带来的潜在压 力，加上市场压力上升和流动性可能减少，很可能会促使纯多头投资者调整投资组合。这也可能引发对 冲基金的投机性资金流动。 ...

高盛将印尼股市评级下调至低配。 ...