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建信期货鸡蛋日报-20250428
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-04-27 23:53
Report Overview - Report Date: April 28, 2025 [2] - Reported Industry: Egg [1] - Research Team: Agricultural Products Research Team [4] - Researchers: Yu Lanlan, Lin Zhenlei, Wang Haifeng, Hong Chenliang, Liu Youran [4] 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The spot price of eggs has been weak this week. After two weeks of strength after the Tomb - Sweeping Festival, the market needs adjustment, and the decline in the production area exceeded expectations. Although there should be some support before May Day, the market is still weak. Attention should be paid to the demand digestion after May Day [8]. - In the futures market, affected by the weak spot, it fluctuated and declined this week. The main contract 06 fell from 3080 to around 3000. Due to the hard - to - falsify expectation of the rainy season, it may enter the delivery month with a high premium. If the spot cannot continue to rise, the futures may correct. Attention should be paid to the change of the basis. Currently, the basis of 06 is not much different from previous years, and the futures pricing is relatively reasonable [8]. - For the far - month contracts 08 and 09, their pricing is at a moderately low level in history, corresponding to the expectation of increasing egg production in the future. Attention should be paid to whether the spot can stabilize after May Day. If it continues to be weak, combined with the expectation of price decline during the rainy season, the near - month contracts are not optimistic [8]. 3. Summary by Section 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Review**: The prices of eggs in futures contracts 2505, 2506, and 2507 all rose, with increases of 1.54%, 0.37%, and 0.55% respectively. The trading volume of contract 2506 was 144,043, and the trading volume of contract 2507 was 26,337. The spot price of eggs nationwide declined, with the average price in the main production area at 3.33 yuan/jin, a decrease of 0.09 yuan/jin from the previous day, and the average price in the main sales area at 3.53 yuan/jin, a decrease of 0.11 yuan/jin from the previous day [7]. - **Analysis and Suggestions**: The spot price of eggs has been weak this week. The production area's decline exceeded expectations, and the market sentiment is low. Although there should be support before May Day, the market is still weak. In the futures market, affected by the weak spot, it fluctuated and declined this week. The main contract 06 fell. If the spot cannot rise, the futures may correct. Attention should be paid to the basis change. The far - month contracts 08 and 09 are priced at a moderately low level, and attention should be paid to the spot trend after May Day [8]. 3.2 Industry News - The inventory of laying hens in production is on the rise. As of the end of March, the monthly inventory of laying hens in production nationwide was about 1.318 billion, with a month - on - month increase of 0.9% and a year - on - year increase of 6.9% [9]. - The monthly output of day - old chicks in sample enterprises in March was about 46.33 million, showing an increase compared with February and continuing to grow compared with the same period in 2024, ranking at a medium level in the past seven years [9]. - The number of culled chickens has gradually recovered after the Spring Festival, with the absolute value slightly higher than in the previous two years. However, the culling volume has decreased in the past two weeks. As of April 24, the average age of culled chickens was 536 days, the same as last week and 2 days earlier than last month [9][10]. 3.3 Data Overview - The report provides multiple data charts, including the monthly inventory of laying hens in China, egg - chicken farming profit, the average price of eggs in the main production area, the seasonal trend of egg contract 05, the basis of egg contract 05, and the price difference between egg contracts 05 and 06 [12][15][18].
建信期货鸡蛋日报-20250425
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-04-24 23:30
行业 鸡蛋 日期 2025 年 4 月 25 日 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0301101 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.co m期货从业资格号:F3055047 021-60635727 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.c om期货从业资格号:F0230741 021-60635572 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures .com 期货从业资格号:F3076808 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 农产品研究团队 研究员:余兰兰 研究员:林贞磊 研究员:王海峰 研究员:洪辰亮 研究员:刘悠然 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 | 表1:行情回顾 | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...
广发早知道:汇总版-20250424
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-04-24 02:21
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report analyzes various financial derivatives and commodity futures, including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metals, shipping indices, non - ferrous metals, ferrous metals, agricultural products, etc. The overall market is affected by factors such as Trump's statement on tariff reduction, Fed's economic "Beige Book", and supply - demand fundamentals of different commodities. Suggestions for different products range from trading strategies like selling out - of - the - money put options, to long - short strategies and interval operations [2][3][5]. Summary according to the Table of Contents Financial Derivatives Financial Futures - **Stock Index Futures**: The export chain is picking up, and the trading sentiment of the index has risen. Although most of the four major stock index futures contracts fell, the A - share market may trade on the potential incremental stimulus policies from the Politburo meeting at the end of the month. It is recommended to sell out - of - the - money put options to earn premiums [2][3][4]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: Treasury bond futures closed down across the board. In the short term, it is necessary to pay attention to the issuance of ultra - long - term special treasury bonds and the MLF roll - over. The bond market is expected to fluctuate in the short term and may rise after the implementation of reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts. Suggested strategies include interval operations, positive spread arbitrage for TS contracts, and steepening the yield curve [5][6]. Precious Metals - **Gold and Silver**: Gold and silver prices showed a differentiated trend. Gold continued to correct, while silver strengthened due to its industrial properties. In the long - term, gold still has upward momentum, but in the short term, it may be volatile. Silver is expected to fluctuate in the range of $32 - 34. It is recommended to hold long positions in silver lightly [9][10][11]. Shipping Index (European Line) - **SCFIS**: The spot prices of some leading shipping companies have adjusted, and the shipping index has shown different trends. The market expects the supply - demand situation to improve in May, and the news of tariff reduction may boost the market. It is recommended to take a long position and consider widening the spread between August and June contracts [12][13]. Commodity Futures Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: The spot price of copper has increased, and the supply of copper mines is tight. The demand side is strong, and the inventory is decreasing. The copper price is expected to fluctuate strongly in the short term, with the main contract reference range of 76,000 - 79,000 yuan/ton [14][17][18]. - **Zinc**: The spot price of zinc has increased, and the supply of zinc mines is abundant. The demand side is weak after the peak season. The zinc price may fluctuate in the short term, with the main contract reference range of 21,500 - 23,500 yuan/ton. It is recommended to take a short - selling approach in the medium - long term [19][20][21]. - **Tin**: The supply side is gradually recovering, and the demand side is uncertain. It is recommended to hold short positions on rebounds, with the short - term view of high - level fluctuations [21][22][23]. - **Nickel**: The market sentiment is stable, and the nickel price is expected to fluctuate. The cost has a certain support, but the medium - term supply is abundant. The main contract is expected to operate in the range of 122,000 - 128,000 yuan/ton [24][25][26]. - **Stainless Steel**: The market sentiment has recovered, but the fundamentals still have pressure. The price is expected to fluctuate weakly, with the main contract reference range of 12,600 - 13,000 yuan/ton [27][28][29]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The supply pressure is obvious, and the demand is general. The inventory is high. The price is expected to fluctuate weakly, with the main contract reference range of 66,000 - 72,000 yuan/ton [30][31][33]. Ferrous Metals - **Steel**: The peak of apparent demand has passed, and the cold - hot spread is narrowing. The supply is high, and the demand is expected to weaken in the second quarter. The inventory has decreased. It is recommended to wait and see for single - side trading and pay attention to the support at the previous low for the long - steel short - ore strategy [34][35][36]. - **Iron Ore**: The iron ore price rebounded due to macro factors. The iron water output is high, and the supply is expected to increase. The inventory is decreasing. The price is expected to fluctuate widely [37][38]. - **Coke**: The first round of price increase has been implemented, and the second round may be proposed this week. The supply and demand situation has improved marginally. It is recommended to hold the long - coke short - coking coal strategy [39][40][41]. - **Coking Coal**: The market auction has weakened again, and the inventory is high. The price may still fall. It is recommended to use arbitrage strategies and continue to hold the long - coke short - coking coal strategy [42][43][44]. - **Silicon Ferrosilicon**: The price has decreased compared with the previous period. The supply has decreased, and the demand has increased slightly. The price is expected to fluctuate weakly [45][46][47]. - **Manganese Silico - manganese**: The steel procurement price has decreased. The supply has decreased, and the demand has also decreased slightly. The price is expected to fluctuate widely [48][50][51]. Agricultural Products - **Meal**: The domestic soybean meal basis is strong, while the US soybean lacks upward momentum. The Brazilian supply pressure is still being realized. It is recommended to close short positions and consider long - term long positions at low prices [52][53][54]. - **Pigs**: The consumption support is insufficient. The spot price fluctuates. It is necessary to pay attention to the performance of second - round fattening pigs' sales. The 09 contract is expected to fluctuate in the range of 14,000 - 14,800 yuan/ton [55][56][57]. - **Corn**: The spot price is stable and strong. The supply is tightening in the long - term, but the short - term increase is limited. The price is expected to fluctuate within a range [58]. - **Sugar**: The international raw sugar price fluctuates weakly, and the domestic sugar price maintains a high - level shock. The market expects an increase in production in the 25/26 season, which will suppress the price in the long - term [59]. - **Cotton**: The US cotton is bottom - oscillating, and the domestic demand has no obvious increase. It is necessary to pay attention to the weather and macro factors [61].
建信期货鸡蛋日报-20250424
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-04-23 23:40
1. Report Information - Report Date: April 24, 2025 [2] - Reported Industry: Eggs [1] 2. Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 3. Core Viewpoints - The spot price of eggs in the national market was stable today. The average price in the main producing areas was 3.52 yuan/jin, down 0.01 yuan/jin from yesterday, and the average price in the main selling areas was 3.73 yuan/jin, unchanged from yesterday. The 05 contract fell 1.23%. The spot price of eggs rebounded last week, but most producing areas stopped rising over the weekend, and some showed a downward trend. After the Tomb-Sweeping Festival, the strong spot market has lasted for two weeks, and it needs adjustment to digest downstream acceptance of high prices. With the upcoming May Day holiday, the adjustment space of the spot market may be limited, but after May Day, the market will gradually enter the off-season. Given the high pressure of newly-laid eggs, there is no reason to be overly optimistic during the upcoming rainy season. In the futures market, the previous rise in the spot price drove the futures to rebound, but after the spot price stopped rising over the weekend, the futures market also became cautious. The main contract has now switched to 06. Due to the unfalsifiable expectation of the rainy season, it will enter the delivery month with a very high premium. If the spot price cannot continue to rise in the short term, the futures may experience a certain correction. The main contract should be treated from a bearish perspective, and out-of-the-money call options can also be sold. The strength of the support below depends on the stocking intensity for May Day [8]. 4. Summary by Directory 4.1 Market Review and Operational Suggestions - **Market Review**: - Egg 2505 contract: The previous settlement price was 3176, the opening price was 3139, the highest price was 3146, the lowest price was 3122, the closing price was 3137, down 39 points or 1.23%. The trading volume was 9837, the open interest was 18105, a decrease of 3304 [7]. - Egg 2506 contract: The previous settlement price was 3030, the opening price was 3008, the highest price was 3043, the lowest price was 3003, the closing price was 3026, down 4 points or 0.13%. The trading volume was 129556, the open interest was 179267, a decrease of 324 [7]. - Egg 2507 contract: The previous settlement price was 3123, the opening price was 3115, the highest price was 3134, the lowest price was 3106, the closing price was 3118, down 5 points or 0.16%. The trading volume was 25381, the open interest was 98086, an increase of 1950 [7]. - **Operational Suggestions**: Treat the main contract from a bearish perspective and sell out-of-the-money call options. The strength of the support below depends on the stocking intensity for May Day [8]. 4.2 Industry News - As of the end of March, the monthly inventory of laying hens in the country was about 1.318 billion, up 0.9% month-on-month and 6.9% year-on-year, showing a continuous increase for three months [9]. - In March, the monthly output of laying hen chicks from sample enterprises was about 46.33 million, an increase from 45.64 million in February and also an increase compared with 45.04 million in the same period in 2024, ranking at a medium level in the past seven years [9]. - In the three weeks up to March 21, the national chicken culling volumes were 16.78 million, 15.85 million, and 16.23 million respectively. The culling volume gradually recovered after the Spring Festival, and the absolute value was slightly higher than that of the previous two years, mainly due to the continuous decline in breeding profits after the new year. As of March 20, the average age of culled chickens was 538 days, unchanged from last week and two days later than last month [9][10]. 4.3 Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts, including the monthly inventory of laying hens in China, egg chicken breeding profit, the average price of eggs in the main producing areas, the seasonal trend of the egg 05 contract, the basis of the egg 05 contract, and the spread between the egg 05 and 06 contracts [16][17][20].
建信期货鸡蛋日报-20250422
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-04-22 02:55
Report Overview - Report Date: April 22, 2025 [2] - Reported Industry: Egg [1] - Research Team: Agricultural Products Research Team [4] 1. Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The spot price of eggs stabilized and rebounded last week, but most production areas stopped rising over the weekend, with some showing a downward trend. After the Tomb - Sweeping Festival, the strong spot market has lasted for two weeks, and adjustment is needed to digest downstream acceptance of high prices. With the upcoming May Day holiday, the adjustment space of the spot market may be limited. However, after May Day, the market will gradually enter the off - season. Given the large pressure of newly - laid hens, there is no need to be overly optimistic about the upcoming rainy season. [8] - In the futures market, the previous rise in the spot price drove the futures to rebound. After the spot price stopped rising over the weekend, the futures also showed concerns. The main contract has switched to 06. Due to the unfalsifiable expectation of the rainy season, it will enter the delivery month with a very high premium. If the spot price cannot continue to rise in the short term, the futures may experience a certain correction. It is recommended to take a bearish view on the main contract and sell out - of - the - money call options. The lower support level needs to be determined based on the stocking intensity for May Day. [8] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Review**: - The egg futures contracts 2505, 2506, and 2507 all declined. The 2505 contract fell 0.31% to 3216, with a trading volume of 15,299 and an open interest of 27,020 (a decrease of 3,975). The 2506 contract dropped 0.55% to 3047, with a trading volume of 201,264 and an open interest of 177,689 (an increase of 5,070). The 2507 contract declined 1.23% to 3129, with a trading volume of 54,267 and an open interest of 93,933 (an increase of 8,154). [7] - The average price of eggs in the main production areas was 3.53 yuan/jin, and in the main sales areas was 3.70 yuan/jin, both unchanged from the previous day. [7] - **Operation Suggestions**: Take a bearish view on the main contract and sell out - of - the - money call options. Determine the lower support level based on the stocking intensity for May Day. [8] 3.2 Industry News - **In - production Laying Hens Inventory**: As of the end of March, the national monthly inventory of in - production laying hens was about 1.318 billion, an increase of 0.9% from the end of February (1.306 billion) and 6.9% from the same period last year (1.233 billion). It has increased for three consecutive months. [9] - **Chick Hatchlings**: In March, the monthly hatchling volume of sample enterprises was about 46.33 million, an increase from 45.64 million in February and also higher than the 45.04 million in the same period in 2024. It is at a medium - level monthly replenishment volume in the past seven years. [9] - **Chicken Culling**: In the three weeks leading up to March 21, the national chicken culling volumes were 16.78 million, 15.85 million, and 16.23 million respectively. The culling volume has gradually recovered after the Spring Festival, with an absolute value slightly higher than the previous two years. As of March 20, the average culling age was 538 days, unchanged from last week and two days later than last month. [9][10] 3.3 Data Overview - The report provides multiple data charts, including the monthly inventory of in - production laying hens in China, egg - chicken farming profit, the average price of eggs in the main production areas, the seasonal trend of the egg 05 contract, the basis of the egg 05 contract, and the spread between the egg 05 and 06 contracts. The data sources include Wind, Zhuochuang Information, and Trading Famen. [16][17][20]
五矿期货文字早评-20250421
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-04-21 01:45
Report Industry Investment Ratings - Not provided in the content Core Views - Trump's tariff policy has led to significant fluctuations in overseas stock markets, suppressing market risk appetite. However, domestic monetary policy tools have sufficient room for adjustment, and institutions such as Central Huijin have increased their holdings of ETFs to stabilize the market. Policy encourages long - term capital to enter the market. [2][4] - The economic growth in the first quarter was good, but there may be pressure in the second quarter due to tariffs. Interest rates are in a game stage, expected to remain volatile in the short - term. [6] - There are differences between the net long positions of foreign gold management funds and the holdings of gold ETFs, and there is a risk of a short - term pullback in gold prices. [7] - The prices of various metals and energy chemicals are affected by factors such as supply and demand, policies, and tariffs, showing different trends. [10][11][40] Summaries by Categories Macro - financial Stock Index - The previous trading day saw mixed performance of major indexes, with a decline in trading volume. Macro news includes national measures to stabilize the stock market and real estate, and Trump - related tariff and interest - rate remarks. The financing amount decreased, and the overnight Shibor rate increased. [2] - The P/E ratios, P/B ratios, and dividend yields of major indexes are provided, along with the basis ratios of stock index futures. [3] - Affected by Trump's tariff policy, overseas stock market fluctuations suppress risk appetite. It is recommended to go long on IH or IF futures related to the economy and IC or IM futures related to "new - quality productivity" after the tariff impact weakens. The strategy is to buy IM long - positions on dips. [4] Treasury Bonds - On Friday, the main contracts of TL and T rose, while TF and TS fell. Fiscal revenue data shows a decline in tax revenue and an increase in non - tax revenue. Trump called for the Fed to lower interest rates. The central bank conducted reverse repurchase operations, achieving a net injection. [5][6] - Economic growth in the first quarter was good, but there may be pressure in the second quarter. Interest rates are in a game stage, expected to remain volatile in the short - term. Attention should be paid to policy signals from the end - of - April meeting and economic data. [6] Precious Metals - The prices of Shanghai gold and COMEX gold rose, while Shanghai silver and COMEX silver fell. Trump expressed confidence in a tariff agreement, and the VIX index declined. The net long positions of foreign gold management funds decreased, while the holdings of global gold ETFs increased significantly. There is a risk of a short - term pullback in gold prices. [7] - It is expected that the Fed will maintain a hawkish stance in May. It is recommended to hold existing gold long - positions, and the cost - effectiveness of opening new long - positions is low. For silver, it is recommended to wait and see. [8] Non - ferrous Metals Copper - Last week, copper prices fluctuated slightly higher. Exchange inventories decreased, and the spot import was slightly in deficit. The LME market shifted from premium to discount. The scrap copper supply was tight, and the operating rate of recycled copper rod enterprises decreased. Trump's statement and the approaching Politburo meeting may bring positive sentiment. In the short - term, prices may fluctuate. [10] Aluminum - Last week, aluminum prices fluctuated weakly. Domestic and LME inventories decreased, and the spot premium increased. The demand for photovoltaic - related aluminum is strong. The impact of tariffs is limited, and domestic aluminum prices are expected to be supported by the decline in inventory, with the possibility of a wider spread between months. [11] Zinc - Last week, zinc prices continued to decline. Domestic and overseas inventories showed different trends, and the basis and spread changed. The supply is expected to be loose, and downstream procurement is expected to weaken. In the short - term, prices may fluctuate at a low level, and there is a risk of further decline in the medium - term. [12][13] Lead - Last week, lead prices rebounded after a decline. Domestic and overseas inventories decreased, and the basis and spread strengthened slightly. The supply is generally loose, and the demand is stable. In the short - term, prices may fluctuate strongly, and in the medium - term, they are expected to fluctuate in a range. [14] Nickel - Last week, nickel prices recovered due to the alleviation of tariff concerns. The supply is expected to increase, the demand for high - priced nickel is limited, and the cost support may weaken. It is recommended to short on rallies. [15] Tin - Last week, tin prices fluctuated. The supply may decrease in April, and the demand has improved but its sustainability is uncertain. The inventory has decreased. In the short - term, prices are expected to fluctuate at a high level. [16] Lithium Carbonate - The price of lithium carbonate decreased slightly. The impact of tariffs has faded, and the price has entered the bottom - cost area. Production has decreased, and inventory accumulation has slowed. The supply and demand may weaken, and the price is likely to fluctuate weakly. [18] Alumina - The alumina index fell. The spot price remained unchanged, the basis was positive, and the overseas price was stable. The supply is still in surplus, but there are more production cuts recently. It is recommended to wait and see. [19] Stainless Steel - The price of stainless steel decreased. The spot price was stable, and the basis increased. The raw material price was stable, and the inventory decreased. The sales were slow, and the price decline was limited by cost inversion. [20] Black Building Materials Steel - The prices of rebar and hot - rolled coil decreased. The registered warehouse receipts decreased, and the positions increased. The spot price also decreased. The "tariff issue" has a great impact on the overall commodity price, and the demand for steel is affected. The supply and demand of steel have different trends, and the inventory is decreasing. The market shows a pattern of "strong reality, weak expectation". [22][23] Iron Ore - The price of iron ore decreased. The overseas mine shipments were stable, the arrival volume increased, the demand may weaken, and the inventory decreased. In the short - term, it will wait for consolidation, and in the later stage, there is downward pressure on the price. [24] Glass and Soda Ash - The spot price of glass decreased, the sales were weak, and the inventory decline slowed. The spot price of soda ash was stable, the supply was at a high level, and the inventory decreased slightly. The demand for soda ash from photovoltaic glass provides some support, and it is expected to run weakly. [25][26] Manganese Silicon and Ferrosilicon - The price of manganese silicon continued to decline, and the price of ferrosilicon also decreased. The supply is relatively strong, and the demand is weak. The cost of manganese ore may continue to decline, and there is a risk of further price decline. For ferrosilicon, the production is decreasing, but the demand may also weaken. It is recommended to wait and see or follow the short - term trend. [27][28][29] Industrial Silicon - The price of industrial silicon accelerated its decline. The supply is in surplus, and the demand is insufficient. Downstream industries have over - supply, and the production of industrial silicon is still expanding. It is recommended to wait and see or follow the short - term trend. [32][33] Energy and Chemicals Rubber - The global financial market is volatile, and the decline in rubber prices has released most of the risks. The bulls expect price increases due to production - cut expectations, while the bears are bearish due to weak demand. The operating rate of tire enterprises decreased, and the inventory increased. It is expected to fluctuate, and short - term operations are recommended. [36][37][38] Crude Oil - The prices of WTI, Brent, and INE crude oil futures increased. European oil product inventories showed different trends, with an overall increase in refined oil inventories. It is believed that the oil price has bottomed out, and investors are advised to take profits on dips and wait for a turning point. [40][41][42] Methanol - The 09 - contract price of methanol increased, while the spot price decreased. The supply is expected to increase, and the demand may weaken. It is recommended to short on rallies, and pay attention to the 9 - 1 spread and the PP - 3MA spread. [43] Urea - The 09 - contract price of urea increased, while the spot price decreased. The supply will remain high, and the demand will be strong. The inventory is expected to decrease, and it is suitable to go long on dips, with a positive - spread strategy for the 9 - 1 spread. [44] Styrene - The price of the 06 - contract of styrene increased, while the spot price decreased. The cost is affected by the price of crude oil and pure benzene, and the downstream demand is weak. It is recommended to wait for opportunities to short on rallies. [45] PVC - The price of the PVC09 contract decreased slightly. The cost is stable, the supply and demand are weak, and the inventory is decreasing. In the short - term, it is expected to fluctuate weakly, and in the medium - term, the valuation center will continue to decline. [46][47] Ethylene Glycol - The price of the EG09 contract increased, while the spot price decreased. The supply decreased, and the demand increased. The inventory is decreasing, but there is a risk of negative feedback in the industry chain. It is expected to fluctuate weakly in the short - term. [48] PTA - The price of the PTA09 contract increased, and the spot price also increased. The supply is in the maintenance season, and the demand is affected by the downstream. The inventory is decreasing, and the processing fee is under pressure. It is recommended to wait and see. [49] p - Xylene - The price of the PX09 contract increased, and the CFR price also increased. The supply is in the maintenance season, and the demand is affected by the downstream. The inventory is decreasing, and the valuation is low. It is recommended to wait and see. [50][51] Polyethylene (PE) - The price of PE decreased. The supply will increase in the second quarter, the demand is weakening, and the price is expected to decline in the medium - and long - term. [52] Polypropylene (PP) - The price of PP increased slightly. The cost is supported, the supply will increase, and the demand will decline seasonally. It is expected to fluctuate weakly. [53] Agricultural Products Live Pigs - The domestic pig price mainly declined over the weekend. The terminal demand is limited, and the price may decline in the north and remain stable in the south. It is advisable to short on short - term rebounds. [55] Eggs - The domestic egg price was mainly stable over the weekend, with a slight decline in some areas. The supply is mostly sufficient, and the demand is average. The price may rise slightly and then stabilize, with a risk of decline later. It is recommended to wait for short - selling signals. [56] Soybean and Rapeseed Meal - The domestic soybean meal price increased locally over the weekend, with a trend of inventory accumulation in the future. The开机率 is expected to increase. The price of U.S. soybeans is affected by weather and tariffs. The cost of imported soybeans is expected to rise steadily, and domestic soybean meal is expected to fluctuate in a range. [57][58] Oils and Fats - The export of Malaysian palm oil increased in April, and the production also increased. The price of crude oil has an impact on the valuation of oils and fats. The supply of oils and fats is increasing seasonally, and there is a risk of price decline. If the macro - economy stabilizes, there may be support. [59][60] Sugar - The price of Zhengzhou sugar futures rebounded slightly. The domestic supply and demand are in a tight balance, and the price is relatively resistant to decline. In the short - term, the price may fluctuate, and in the long - term, it may decline if the weather improves. [61][62] Cotton - The price of Zhengzhou cotton futures fluctuated narrowly. The spot price increased slightly, and the basis was positive. The operating rate of spinning and weaving mills decreased, and the inventory increased. The domestic supply and demand are in a tight balance, and the price trend depends on downstream consumption. [63][64]