四川黄金公告称，持股5%以上股东北京金阳矿业投资有限责任公司减持期届满。2025年9月30日，其计 划3个月内减持不超756万股（占总股本1.80%）。实际减持中，2025年11月7日至2026年1月28日，北京 金阳通过集中竞价、大宗交易合计减持531.232万股，占总股本1.2648%，减持均价33.24元/股。减持 后，其持股降至3903.518万股，占比9.2941%。本次减持符合相关法规和计划，未超计划数量。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The continuous rise in gold prices has led to significant profit increases for gold mining companies, with a collective net profit forecast of 602 billion to 625 billion yuan for six companies in 2025, reflecting an average growth rate of at least 84% [3][4]. Group 1: Company Performance - Zijin Mining, holding the largest gold reserves, expects a net profit of 510 billion to 520 billion yuan for 2025, accounting for about 80% of the total among the six companies, with a year-on-year growth of 59% to 62% [5]. - China National Gold anticipates a net profit of 48 billion to 54 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 41.76% to 59.48% [5]. - Chifeng Jilong Gold expects a net profit of 30 billion to 32 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 70% to 81% [6]. - Zhaojin Mining has the highest net profit growth rate at 242%, expecting a profit of 1.22 billion to 1.82 billion yuan, recovering from a loss of 1.27 billion yuan in the previous year [5][6]. Group 2: Market Trends - As of January 29, international gold prices have risen for nine consecutive trading days, reaching a historical high of 5598 USD per ounce [8]. - The macroeconomic environment, including statements from the Federal Reserve regarding inflation and central bank independence, has catalyzed the demand for gold as a safe haven [8]. - Analysts predict that the upward trend in gold prices is likely to continue, driven by geopolitical uncertainties and inflation expectations, with a systematic resonance in market behavior towards gold [8][10]. Group 3: Global Gold Demand - According to the World Gold Council, global gold investment demand reached 2175 tons in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 84%, with significant contributions from gold bars and coins [10]. - The demand for gold ETFs also saw a net increase of 801 tons for the year, indicating strong investor interest amid ongoing economic and geopolitical risks [10].

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Zijin Mining (601899) will continue to increase its gold and copper production, with current valuation levels being highly attractive. The target price for H-shares has been raised from HKD 46.1 to HKD 59, and for A-shares from RMB 56, maintaining an "overweight" rating for both H-shares and A-shares [1] Group 1: Gold Market Insights - Gold prices have surpassed Morgan Stanley's previous forecast of USD 4,750 per ounce for the second half of the year, with geopolitical risks, central bank signals, and ETF buying contributing to this trend. The bank emphasizes that under a bullish scenario, gold prices could reach USD 5,700 per ounce in the latter half of the year [1] Group 2: Copper Market Insights - Although Morgan Stanley had a positive outlook for metals, including copper, at the beginning of the year, prices have already exceeded the forecast of USD 12,200 per ton for the second quarter. The bank believes that supply tightness and a strong macroeconomic backdrop will continue to support copper prices, although short-term fluctuations may occur due to uncertainties in U.S. import trends and limited data from China before March [1] - The bank anticipates a supply deficit of approximately 600,000 tons in the copper market by 2026, with limited growth in mine supply being offset by new demand driven by data centers and energy storage systems [1]

编辑丨张桔 1月28日，现货黄金价格首次站上5200美元/盎司关口，黄金亦斩获近6年最佳单周表现。从过去12个月 的价格表现看，国际金价飙升85%，而金价持续上涨的背后是地缘政治风险与通胀预期的支撑。 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 文丨谢长艳 随着国际金价持续攀升，黄金板块迎来业绩与估值的双重驱动，尤其是黄金矿业股。以赛道龙头紫金矿 业为例，公司预告2025年归母净利润510亿元至520亿元，同比增幅近60%。此外，黄金零售企业与矿业 企业出现分化，但也凸显出黄金零售结构性的机会。以中国黄金为代表的零售企业因终端消费疲软业绩 预减，凸显出行业结构性机会。 1月27日，黄金板块再度走强，港股紫金矿业股价创出历史新高45.18港元。根据其最新公告显示，公司 控股子公司紫金黄金国际计划以44加元/股的现金价格，收购Allied Gold Corporation（"联合黄金"）全部 已发行的普通股，收购对价共计约55亿加元（约合人民币280亿元）。 美债遭减持 各国央行增持黄金 2026年以来，地缘事件纷至沓来，美国总统特朗普对于全球秩序的挑战加剧政治经济前景不确定性，国 ...

2026.01.29 按照现有规定，只有银行能向非金融机构借出黄金。在这个过程中，银行将金库中的黄金"借"给企业， 企业或将其投入生产，或通过金融工具组合，将其变为一种高效的融资手段。 据第一财经初步统计，2025年以来，包括潮宏基、迪阿股份、宝鼎科技、周大生、湖南黄金、山东黄金 等多家企业均在银行办理了黄金租赁业务。 在黄金租赁产业链中，谁在称霸江湖？用金企业如何通过租赁降低成本？又有哪些不为人知的风险与故 事？且看第一财经揭开黄金租赁产业的全貌。 租金需求大涨，产业链玩家多 根据厦门信达最新披露，该公司准备在2026年开展黄金租赁业务，计划通过银行办理黄金租赁，并配套 远期定向黄金购买合约，预计保证金占用不超过5000万元，任一交易日持有的最高合约价值不超过等值 5亿元。 金价接连猛涨，用金企业租赁需求大涨，手握大量黄金用于出租的"金主"，这回可能赚翻了。 近期，黄金价格再创新高。Wind数据显示，1月29日，国际金价再度刷新历史高位，突破5500美元/盎司 关口，年内累计涨幅已接近30%。随着金价持续上涨，下游用金企业的租赁需求，也在水涨船高。相较 前些年，一些黄金首饰企业去年的黄金租赁规模，已经以"吨 ...

1月29日凌晨，美联储召开2026年首次议息会议，宣布将基准利率维持在3.5%至3.75%的区间，符合市 场预期。此前，美联储已分别在去年9月、10月和12月连续三次降息25个基点。 决议公布后，国际金价强势上攻，一度逼近5600美元。截至发稿，现货黄金徘徊在5500美元的高位，日 内涨幅约2.3%，2026年开年以来已累计涨超28%，涨逾1200美元。白银价格同样大涨，现货白银突破 119美元/盎司，刷新历史纪录。 这一情绪也传导至A股市场。29日早盘，贵金属概念集体爆发，招金黄金9天6板，中国黄金5连板，湖 南黄金4连板，四川黄金、晓程科技、山金国际、兴业银锡等纷纷高开。 事实上，机构对黄金的看多预期早已提前释放。此前，已有多家机构相继上调黄金目标价。其中，摩根 士丹利将2026年下半年的黄金目标价提高至5700美元，当前金价距这一目标仅一步之遥。美银和法国兴 业均看高至6000美元，德意志银行则预测年内金价有望触及6000-6900美元。 中信证券在研报中指出，本轮金价走势多被地缘因素和市场情绪主导。此外，各国央行购金潮也是本轮 黄金大牛市的直接驱动力。如中国人民银行已连续14个月增持黄金，2025年全 ...

Core Viewpoint - The gold price is nearing $5,600 per ounce, but gold mining stocks are experiencing a pullback, indicating market skepticism about the sustainability of high gold prices [1][2] Group 1: Gold Price and Market Performance - On January 29, the London spot gold price approached $5,600 per ounce, while gold mining stocks in both A-shares and Hong Kong showed a trend of retreating after initial gains [1] - Specific stocks such as Zhaojin Mining (01818.HK) and Zijin Mining International (02259.HK) saw declines exceeding 2% [1] - In the A-share market, leading stocks like Shandong Gold (600547.SH) and Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (600988.SH) reported increases of 3.89% and 4.55%, respectively [1] Group 2: ETF and Investment Trends - The gold stock ETF (517520) experienced a high turnover of 2.618 billion yuan in half a day, surpassing the previous day's total of 2.019 billion yuan [1] - The tracked gold stock index (931238) has yielded nearly 172% over the past year as of January 28 [1] - The E Fund Gold ETF (159934) rose by 5.13% with a transaction volume of 2.838 billion yuan, approaching the previous day's turnover of 3.624 billion yuan [1] Group 3: Analyst Insights - Analysts suggest that despite the current high gold prices, gold mining stocks are not performing in tandem, reflecting market expectations of a lack of sustainability in high gold prices [2] - The volatility in external markets, particularly the decline in the US dollar index, has contributed to the rise in gold prices [2] - Given the significant short-term gains in both gold prices and mining stocks, some technical indicators are showing signs of being overbought, indicating a potential short-term pullback [2]

Group 1 - COMEX gold prices have surpassed $5,600, with spot gold exceeding $5,500, marking a historical high for nine consecutive days [1] - The launch of the only gold mining ETF in Hong Kong, E Fund Gold Mining (2824.HK), is set for January 30, providing investors with a tool to invest in leading global gold mining companies [1] - The Federal Reserve Chairman indicated that inflation is primarily driven by tariffs rather than demand factors, leading to a rapid increase in spot gold prices after the announcement [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities highlights that gold prices have been reaching historical highs since 2025, influenced by factors such as de-dollarization, Federal Reserve independence, central bank gold purchases, U.S. tariffs, geopolitical conflicts, and inflation expectations [2] - Looking ahead to 2026, the allocation of gold as an alternative currency is expected to rise due to the restructuring of the global financial order and ongoing volatility in financial markets [2] - E Fund Gold Mining (2824.HK) focuses on the four major gold production regions and selects 30 leading gold mining stocks, including significant holdings in Zijin Mining and Zhaojin Mining, while also covering major overseas companies like Newmont and Barrick Gold [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the divergence between rising gold prices and the performance of gold mining stocks, highlighting market expectations and funding conditions as key factors influencing this trend [2][3][4]. Group 1: Gold Price and Mining Stocks Performance - On January 29, gold prices approached $5,600 per ounce, while gold mining stocks in both A-shares and Hong Kong experienced a pullback, with some stocks declining over 2% [2]. - The gold stock ETF saw a half-day trading volume of 2.618 billion yuan, surpassing the previous day's total of 2.019 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 443 million yuan on January 28 [2]. - The gold ETF managed by E Fund rose by 5.13% on January 29, with a trading volume of 2.838 billion yuan, nearing the previous day's volume of 3.624 billion yuan, which had a net inflow of 1.083 billion yuan [2]. Group 2: Market Expectations and Funding Conditions - Analysts suggest that the lack of synchronization between gold prices and mining stocks is due to market expectations that current high gold prices may not be sustainable [3][4]. - Investors are currently more inclined to invest directly in physical gold or gold ETFs rather than mining stocks, as direct ownership avoids risks associated with operational costs and production efficiency [4]. - The divergence in performance among gold mining stocks is attributed to differing market expectations, with profit-taking and cautious attitudes from new investors leading to a pullback in high-priced stocks [4].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the divergence between rising gold prices and the performance of gold mining stocks, indicating that market expectations and funding conditions are influencing this trend [3][4][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - On January 29, gold prices approached $5,600 per ounce, while gold mining stocks in both A-shares and Hong Kong experienced a pullback, with some stocks like Zhaojin Mining and Zijin Mining International dropping over 2% [3]. - The gold stock ETF saw a half-day trading volume of 2.618 billion yuan, surpassing the previous day's total of 2.019 billion yuan, with a one-year return of nearly 172% as of January 28 [3]. - The E Fund gold ETF rose by 5.13% with a trading volume of 2.838 billion yuan, nearing the previous day's volume of 3.624 billion yuan, and had a one-year return of 83.14% as of January 28 [3]. Group 2: Market Analysis - Analysts suggest that the lack of synchronization between gold prices and mining stocks reflects market skepticism about the sustainability of high gold prices, especially given the volatility in external markets and the recent decline in the US dollar index [4][5]. - Investors are currently favoring direct investments in physical gold or gold ETFs over mining stocks due to the inherent risks associated with mining companies, such as rising operational costs and production inefficiencies [5][6]. - The article notes that the gold mining sector may be entering a phase of speculative trading, with potential risks of a market correction as profit-taking occurs and new capital flows remain cautious [6].