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牧原股份拟登陆H股 生猪养殖龙头迈出出海战略重要一步
4月15日,国内生猪养殖行业龙头牧原股份(002714)发布系列公告,宣布拟发行H股股票并在香港联 合交易所上市。 公告显示,牧原股份本次发行的H股股数不超过本次发行后公司总股本的8%(超额配售权行使前),并授 予整体协调人不超过前述发行的H股股数15%的超额配售权。公司将选择适当的时机和发行窗口完成本 次H股上市,具体发行时间将由股东大会授权董事会及其授权人士根据国际资本市场状况和境内外监管 部门审批、备案进展情况及其他相关情况决定。 今年以来,牧原股份持续探索海外业务,拓宽公司发展空间,而本次发行H股即是其出海战略的重要一 步。15日晚间公告中牧原股份也表示,本次募集资金将用于(包括但不限于)进一步推进国际化战略、研 发创新及公司运营等用途。 据此前公开信息,早在2024年,牧原就与越南本土养殖公司BAF达成合作协议,为其提供养猪技术服务 方案、硬件支持、人员培训等,致力于提升越南当地生猪养殖企业的养殖水平和管理能力。 近期牧原股份也曾披露,为推进公司国际化进程,支撑海外业务布局,子公司瑞谷国际农产有限公司投 资设立境外全资子公司越南牧原有限公司,主要经营业务为提供生猪养殖方面的技术服务、智能化养殖 设备 ...
神农集团20250323
2025-04-15 14:30
Summary of Conference Call on Shennong Group Company and Industry Overview - The conference call focused on Shennong Group, a player in the pig farming sector within the broader agricultural industry [1][2] - The discussion highlighted the recent report released by Guohai Securities on Shennong Group, coinciding with a rise in the company's stock price [1] Key Points and Arguments Investment Recommendations - The investment recommendation for the pig farming sector is based on three perspectives: fundamentals, market conditions, and capital allocation [2] - The second half of the year is viewed as a favorable time for investment in the pig farming sector, particularly due to expected capacity reductions [2] - Key recommended companies include leading players like Muyuan and Wens, with Shennong and Juxing as secondary recommendations [2] Shennong Group's Competitive Advantages - Shennong Group's expansion strategy is characterized by low costs and low debt, which are seen as significant advantages [3] - The company’s pig output is projected to grow from 1.52 million heads in 2023 to approximately 3.3 million heads by 2025, indicating a growth rate of 51% from 2021 to 2024 [3][4] - The company's cost of production is among the lowest in the industry, with a complete cost of 12.4 RMB per kg expected by February 2025, down from 16 RMB in 2023 [4][10] Financial Health - Shennong Group's debt-to-asset ratio is below 30%, indicating strong financial health [5] - The concentration of output among the top 20 companies in the industry has reached 30%, suggesting a shift in market dynamics [5][16] Market Dynamics and Trends - The pig farming industry is experiencing a trend of weakening profitability, with a potential turning point for capacity reductions expected in the second half of the year [5][16] - The industry has seen a significant increase in concentration due to challenges posed by African swine fever, which has raised barriers to entry [15][16] Operational Insights - Shennong Group's slaughtering operations are profitable and less affected by market price fluctuations, maintaining a steady cash flow [6] - The company’s farming operations are concentrated in Yunnan, Guangxi, and Guangdong, with Yunnan being the core area [7][8] Future Outlook - The company aims to achieve an output of 320,000 to 350,000 heads by the end of 2025, with a focus on a model that increasingly relies on contract farming [8][9] - The cost structure indicates that feed costs, which account for nearly 60% of production costs, may rise in the latter half of the year, but the company is still expected to remain profitable [10] Conclusion - The overall sentiment is that the pig farming sector remains a viable investment opportunity, with Shennong Group positioned favorably due to its low-cost structure and strong financial health [17] - The call concluded with an invitation for further inquiries regarding the report and the company's performance [17]
农林牧渔行业2025年一季报前瞻:生猪扭亏肉鸡承压,宠物食品保持良好增长态势
Investment Rating - The report rates the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry as "Overweight" [2][8] Core Viewpoints - The agricultural sector is expected to see a significant recovery in Q1 2025, with a projected net profit of 99.30 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 705% [4][5] - Key sub-sectors expected to show strong growth include seed and planting (+320%), pig farming (+278%), and chicken farming (+117%) [3][4] - The report highlights the performance of specific companies, with notable profit increases for Muyuansheng (289%), Wen's (246%), and Shennong Group (6550%) [3][6] Summary by Relevant Sections Pig Farming - In Q1 2025, despite a slight decline in pig prices, the cost optimization has led to profitability, with an average profit of 85.89 yuan per head [3][4] - The average price of pigs was 15.06 yuan/kg, down 9.43% from the previous quarter [3] - Major pig farming companies are expected to report a combined net profit of 66.70 billion yuan, a significant turnaround from losses [3][4] Chicken Farming - The white feather chicken sector is facing price declines across the supply chain, with significant drops in chick and meat prices [3][4] - The average price for white feather chicken chicks was 2.36 yuan each, down 29.2% year-on-year [3] - Despite challenges, companies like Shennong Development are expected to achieve profitability due to cost management [3][4] Pet Food - The pet food sector is projected to grow rapidly, driven by both domestic and international markets [3][4] - Exports of pet food increased by 9.1% in early 2025, with domestic brands launching new products [3][4] - Companies like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong are expected to see net profit increases of 21% and 42%, respectively [3][4] Animal Health - The increase in livestock numbers is expected to boost sales of veterinary products, with a projected recovery in revenue and net profit for listed companies [3][4] - The number of vaccine approvals increased by 23% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in demand [3][4] Investment Analysis - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities across various agricultural sub-sectors, particularly in light of favorable tariff policies and the push for self-sufficiency [3][4] - Recommended companies for investment include Muyuansheng, Wen's, Haida Group, Guibao Pet, Shennong Development, and Longping High-Tech [3][4][9]
农林牧渔行业周报:关注贸易冲突背景下粮食安全-20250414
Guohai Securities· 2025-04-14 10:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [1] Core Views - The report highlights the weak fluctuation of pig prices, with expectations of a downward trend in the short term and a long-term weak operation in 2025 due to increased supply and weak demand [4][14] - The poultry sector may see price improvements due to the impact of tariffs and a shortage of quality breeding stock caused by avian influenza [5][28] - The animal health sector is expected to benefit from improved downstream demand and external expansion opportunities, with rising prices for key products like Tylosin [6][41] - The planting sector is experiencing price fluctuations for major grains, with a focus on the commercialization of genetically modified seeds [8][46] - The feed sector is seeing a decline in prices, with recommendations for companies like Haida Group [8][49] - The pet market continues to grow rapidly, with strong performance from domestic brands and recommendations for companies in the pet food and medical sectors [8][54][57] Summary by Sections Pig Industry - Pig prices are expected to adjust slightly, with a forecast of weak performance in 2025 due to increased supply [4][14] - As of April 10, 2025, the average price of live pigs is 14.6 CNY/kg, with no change from the previous week [14] Poultry Industry - The poultry sector may see price increases due to tariff impacts and a lack of quality breeding stock [5][28] - The average price of broiler chickens is 3.75 CNY/lb, reflecting a weekly increase [28] Animal Health - The animal health sector is experiencing improved profitability, with Tylosin prices rising significantly [6][41] - The report suggests focusing on companies with expected external expansion, such as Reap Bio [6] Planting Sector - Major grain prices are fluctuating, with corn priced at 2199 CNY/ton and wheat at 2422 CNY/ton [8][46] - The report recommends companies involved in genetically modified seed development [8] Feed Sector - Feed prices are declining, with pig feed at 3.35 CNY/kg [8][49] - The report suggests focusing on companies like Haida Group due to expected industry consolidation [8] Pet Industry - The pet market is projected to reach 300.2 billion CNY in 2024, with a growth rate of 7.5% [8][54] - Recommendations include companies like Guobao Pet and Zhongchong Co., which are experiencing significant growth [8][57]
招商证券:猪企盈利有所分化 后周期需求弱修复
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-04-14 06:49
招商证券发布研报称,猪价整体仍处下行期,但猪企成本方差仍较大,优质龙头猪企或可凭借成本优势 获取可观盈利,持续修复资产负债表。后周期需求维持弱修复趋势,龙头饲企市场份额有望持续提升。 生猪养殖方面,24年母猪产能增长缓慢,对应25年生猪供给增幅相对有限,行业不同养殖主体成本方差 仍较大,优质猪企有望凭借低成本优势获取可观利润、持续修复资产负债表。后周期方面,在下游养殖 端仍有盈利的背景下,行业存栏缓慢恢复,带动后周期的饲料、动保产品需求呈现弱修复趋势。同时, 中美互加关税或加剧玉米、豆粕等饲料原料价格波动,龙头饲企采购端优势或进一步凸显,有望取得市 占率的持续提升。 招商证券主要观点如下: 风险提示:畜禽及粮食价格波动超预期,突发大规模不可控疾病,重大食品安全事件,上市公司销量/ 成本不达预期等。 2)成本方面,受益于饲料原料价格的持续下行,以及猪企内部管理持续精进,25Q1,上市猪企成本改 善明显,但方差仍较大,我们估算,上市猪企养殖完全成本大都降至16.0元/公斤以内,优质猪企完全 成本已降至13.0元/公斤以内。 3)出栏量方面,上市猪企出栏明显放量,25Q1,15家上市猪企生猪出栏量4673万头,同比 ...
农林牧渔行业周报:受益第三批转基因初审通过,种植面积有望提升-20250413
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-04-13 14:41
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the potential for increased planting area due to the approval of the third batch of genetically modified crops, which includes 97 corn and 2 soybean varieties [5][15] - The report indicates that domestic companies focusing on high-yield genetically modified soybeans may benefit from reduced overseas supply due to trade tensions between China and the U.S. [6][17] - The report emphasizes the recovery potential in the pig farming sector, with rising prices supported by increased demand and reduced imports of meat [20][26] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The third batch of genetically modified crops has been approved, which is expected to increase the planting area significantly, with projections suggesting that the planting area for genetically modified corn may exceed 5 million acres by 2025 [5][15] - The approval of genetically modified crops aligns with national policies aimed at strengthening food security and promoting agricultural innovation [15][35] Weekly Viewpoint - The pig farming sector shows low valuation and recovery potential, with recommendations for companies such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [26] - The pet food market is expected to grow significantly, driven by rising consumer spending and domestic brands gaining market share [29] Market Performance - The agriculture index outperformed the market by 6.38 percentage points, with significant gains in the planting sector [30][33] - Key stocks such as Western Animal Husbandry and Shennong Technology saw substantial increases in their share prices [34] Price Tracking - As of April 11, the average price of live pigs was 14.66 yuan/kg, reflecting a slight increase from the previous week [37] - The average price of beef also saw an increase, reaching 67.21 yuan/kg [43]
【光大研究每日速递】20250414
光大证券研究· 2025-04-13 13:50
点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明: 【农林牧渔】3月猪企销售月报解读——光大证券农林牧渔行业周报(20250407-20250413) 根据博亚和讯,4月11日全国外三元生猪均价为14.66元/kg,周环比+0.41%,15公斤仔猪均价37.2元/公 斤,周环比上涨0.32%。根据涌益咨询数据,本周商品猪出栏均重为128.81kg,周环比下降0.08kg,全国冻 品库容率为14.94%,环比上升0.11pct。本周涌益出栏均重结束了2月初以来的持续上行,对应行业库存拐 点初步显现。 (李晓渊) 2025-04-13 您可点击今日推送内容的第1条查看 【海外TMT】关税驱动国产替代加速,模拟、射频、成熟制程代工等领域受益——中美关税互搏对半导 体行业的影响点评 中美持续性高关税推动半导体国产替代。1)关税政策为模拟、射频、存储、CPU等芯片厂商带来结构性机 会。中国关税反制将抬升美系IDM厂商成本,国产厂商将获得更多市场份额。2)晶圆代工厂国产替代加速, 成熟制程需求提升,利好①华虹半导体:中国客户竞争力增强、订单增长,有望承接美系IDM厂商成熟制程订 单;②中芯国际:供应链安全将驱动更多中国芯片厂商回流 ...
重视粮食安全,重视自主可控
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-13 09:20
Investment Rating - Maintain "Add" rating for the agricultural sector [5] Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of food security and self-sufficiency in agriculture, highlighting the recent issuance of the "Plan for Accelerating the Construction of an Agricultural Powerhouse (2024-2035)" by the Central Committee and the State Council [1][17] - The plan focuses on ensuring stable and safe supply of food and important agricultural products, with a commitment to protect 1.865 billion acres of arable land and 1.546 billion acres of permanent basic farmland [1][17] - The report notes the acceleration of genetically modified (GM) crop approvals, with 99 GM varieties recently passing initial review, indicating a potential increase in GM crop planting and market penetration [2][18] Summary by Sections Agricultural Data Tracking - The average price of lean pigs is 14.56 CNY/kg, down 0.3% from last week, while the average wholesale price of pork is 20.84 CNY/kg, also down 0.3% [21][22] - The average price of white feather chickens is 7.34 CNY/kg, down 0.3%, and the average price of chicken products remains stable at 8.9 CNY/kg [19][35] - The report highlights the potential for investment in companies involved in the commercialization of GM crops, as the approval process is expected to enhance growth prospects for industry players [19] Livestock and Poultry - In pig farming, the report suggests focusing on leading companies with favorable cost-performance ratios, such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [3][19] - In poultry farming, the report indicates a potential recovery in chicken prices and suggests monitoring seasonal price elasticity opportunities [19] Crop and Agricultural Products - The approval of GM varieties is expected to lead to commercial sales, with the report anticipating positive impacts on industry growth and profitability [19] - The report also notes that fluctuations in agricultural product prices are increasing, with leading feed companies likely to benefit from their scale and supply chain advantages [19]
幸福蓝海影视文化集团股份有限公司2024年年度报告摘要
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码:300528 证券简称:幸福蓝海 公告编号:2025-010 一、重要提示 本年度报告摘要来自年度报告全文,为全面了解本公司的经营成果、财务状况及未来发展规划,投资者 应当到证监会指定媒体仔细阅读年度报告全文。 所有董事均已出席了审议本报告的董事会会议。 天衡会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙)对本年度公司财务报告的审计意见为:标准的无保留意见。 本报告期会计师事务所变更情况:公司本年度会计师事务所未发生变更。 非标准审计意见提示 □适用 √不适用 公司上市时未盈利且目前未实现盈利 □适用 √不适用 董事会审议的报告期利润分配预案或公积金转增股本预案 □适用 √不适用 公司计划不派发现金红利,不送红股,不以公积金转增股本。 董事会决议通过的本报告期优先股利润分配预案 □适用 □不适用 二、公司基本情况 1、公司简介 ■ 2、报告期主要业务或产品简介 2024年,幸福蓝海以习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想为指导,在董事会的领导下,紧密围绕战略规 划,有序开展经营工作,科学部署,稳健经营,始终坚持把社会效益放在首位、实现社会效益和经济效 益相统一。在影视剧创作方 ...
生猪养殖|特朗普2.0关税对商品的影响
新财富· 2025-04-09 08:18
本文约 3 0 0 0 字,推荐阅读时长 1 5 分钟,欢迎关注新财富公众号。 1 关税漫谈 指针走过4月9日1 2点,对等关税正式生效。 3月底还是不一样的氛围,铜在交易关税溢价的"胀",原油还在7 0美元支撑位上方,纳斯达 克"跌到位"了,市场普遍认为美国经济状态对"关税力度"存在软约束,或者存在一定迂回空 间,对美联储提前降息抱有期待。 只针对大宗商品期货来讲,我们认为贸易摩擦带来的"滞"远大于"胀",贸易战继续升级的可 能性更大,在鲍威尔仍旧偏鹰派发言下,不能轻易言底。 4 月 2 日,美国总统特朗普在白宫签署两项关于所谓 " 对等关税 " 的 行政令 ,宣布美国对贸易 伙伴设立 1 0% 的 " 最低基准关税 " ,并对某些贸易伙伴征收更高关税。白宫发布的文件显示, 针对所有贸易伙伴加征的 1 0% 关税将于 5 日生效。 4 月 4 日,中国宣布对美国全部进口商品征收 3 4% 关税。截止发稿时间,除中国明确表示反制 政策,日本、韩国、越南等国具有明显谈判意向。 4 月 8 日,美国财政部长贝森特对记者 说: " 我们本周将有一名越南官员来访,日本人也非常渴望达成协议,我认为你们将很快看 到几个大 ...