Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a strong upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing with a 10-day winning streak, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index rose by 0.49% and 0.63% respectively [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets exceeded 2 trillion yuan for the third consecutive trading day, increasing by 3.8 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2] Sector Performance - The robotics sector saw significant gains, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit, including Fenglong Co. with five consecutive limit-ups and Tianqi Co. with four consecutive limit-ups [3] - The AI glasses concept also showed strong performance, with stocks like New Xiang Micro rising nearly 10% and Yingpais rising over 7% [3] - AI-related stocks collectively surged, with over ten stocks in the AI, AI agents, and AIGC sectors hitting the daily limit, including Kute Intelligent and Baijia Qiancheng [3] Hong Kong Market - The Hong Kong stock market also showed strength, with the Hang Seng Index rising over 1% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by more than 2% [5] International Markets - The Japanese and South Korean stock markets closed early due to the New Year's holiday, with the Nikkei 225 Index down 0.37% but showing a strong annual performance, gaining over 10,000 points and up 26.18% for the year [7]

Core Viewpoint - ByteDance's decision to have Volcano Engine as the exclusive AI cloud partner for the 2026 CCTV Spring Festival Gala marks a strategic shift towards promoting its B2B services rather than its traditional consumer-facing products [1][6][12]. Group 1: Event and Market Positioning - The announcement of Volcano Engine as the partner for the Spring Festival Gala highlights its rapid growth, with daily token usage surpassing 63 trillion, maintaining its position as the leader in AI service usage in China [3][9]. - The event attracted significant attention, with over 5,000 attendees and many more unable to enter, indicating strong interest in AI applications and services [3][4]. - The collaboration signifies a departure from the norm where consumer apps like Douyin (TikTok) were typically featured, showcasing a new focus on B2B capabilities [4][6]. Group 2: Strategic Implications - ByteDance aims to position Volcano Engine as a foundational technology brand that can influence consumer perceptions, similar to how Intel and CATL have established themselves in their respective markets [16][17]. - The partnership is intended to communicate the advanced capabilities of Volcano Engine, emphasizing its role in supporting high traffic and AI applications during major events like the Spring Festival Gala [9][17]. - This strategic move reflects a broader trend in the AI industry where the competition is shifting towards the performance of underlying models and infrastructure rather than just consumer applications [8][10]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The collaboration is expected to enhance user trust in Volcano Engine as a reliable AI service provider, potentially influencing developers' choices for model infrastructure in the future [17]. - ByteDance's internal discussions indicate a recognition of the changing landscape in AI application competition, necessitating a focus on foundational technologies [13][14]. - The growth of Volcano Engine in the MaaS (Model as a Service) sector, with nearly 50% market share in China's public cloud large model market, positions it as a key revenue contributor for ByteDance moving forward [14][16].

Core Insights - The 2025 "Global Vision, Betting on China" top ten core ETFs recorded a 28.86% increase, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 index by 10.96 percentage points [1] - The semiconductor sector and Hong Kong internet stocks were key contributors to market performance, with the Sci-Tech Chip ETF (588200) and Hong Kong Internet ETF (159792) rising 64.32% and 21.73% respectively in 2025 [1] Semiconductor Sector - The domestic semiconductor sector's growth is driven by strong policy support and capital investment in "self-controllable" technologies, leading to accelerated industry consolidation [1] - Mergers and acquisitions in the semiconductor industry are becoming more active, with leading companies expanding through horizontal integration and supply chain strengthening [2] - The Sci-Tech Chip ETF (588200) focuses on leading chip companies in the Sci-Tech board, with a semiconductor purity of 94.21%, covering the entire semiconductor industry chain [2] - The latest scale of the Sci-Tech Chip ETF (588200) is 39.086 billion yuan, making it the largest product in the semiconductor theme, with a daily average trading volume of 2.612 billion yuan in 2025 [2] Hong Kong Internet Sector - The Hong Kong internet sector has shown strong performance due to a clearer regulatory environment, AI transformation of enterprises, and significant net inflows of southbound funds [3] - Major internet companies are increasing investments in AI infrastructure, with Alibaba's cloud and AI product revenues growing rapidly, and a significant investment of 380 billion yuan in AI and cloud infrastructure [3] - The Hong Kong Internet ETF (159792) has seen a net inflow of 56.997 billion yuan in 2025, leading the entire ETF market in capital attraction [3][4] - The ETF tracks the CSI Hong Kong Internet Index, focusing on 30 pure internet companies, with over 70% of its top ten holdings in major firms like Alibaba and Tencent [7] Future Outlook - The outlook for the Hong Kong internet sector remains positive, with attractive valuations despite macroeconomic pressures, suggesting a profit valuation midpoint of 15-20 times for leading companies in 2026 [7]

12月30日 午后 ，港股走高，恒生科技指数涨近2%，恒生指数涨近1%。 科网股集体拉升，百度大涨近8%，地平线机器人涨超5%，中芯国际涨超4%，蔚来、商汤、小米集团、 网易等跟涨。 | 百度集团-SW | 128.600 | 7.98% | | --- | --- | --- | | 9888.HK | | | | 地平线机器人-W | 8.940 | 5.55% | | 9660.HK | | | | 中芯国际 | 72.500 | 4.24% | | 0981.HK | | | | 蔚来-SW | 41.760 | 3.57% | | 9866.HK | | | | 商汤-W | 2.200 | 3.29% | | 0020.HK | | | | 舜宇光学科技 | 65.150 | 2.76% | | 2382.HK | | | | 专题未后带 | 74.300 | 2.55% | | 1347.HK | | | | 小米集团-W | 39.520 | 2.44% | | 1810.HK | | | | 网易-S | 221.000 | 2.22% | | 9999.HK | | | | 小鹏汽车-W ...

石油股涨幅居前，截至发稿，中国海洋石油涨超4%，中国石油股份涨超3%。 | 甲国海峡圆叶 | 21.520 | 4.26% | | --- | --- | --- | | 0883.HK | | | | 中国石油股份 0857.HK | 8.530 | 3.27% | | 中国石油化工股份 | 4.720 | 2.83% | | 0386.HK | | | | 中海湘田服务 | 7.100 | 1.87% | | 2883.HK | | | | 昆仑能源 | 7.390 | 0.54% | | 0135.HK | | | | 年T | | | 编辑 ｜ 钉钉 科网股集体拉升，百度大涨近8%，地平线机器人涨超5%，中芯国际涨超4%，蔚来、商汤、小米集 团、网易等跟涨。 | 百度集团-SW | 128.600 | 7.98% | | --- | --- | --- | | 9888.HK | | | | 地平线机器人-W | 8.940 | 5.55% | | 9660.HK | | | | 中商国际 | 72.500 | 4.24% | | 0981.HK | | | | 厨来-SW | 41.760 | 3. ...

Group 1 - The article reflects on the significant events and transformations in China over the past 25 years, highlighting the optimism at the turn of the millennium and the subsequent challenges faced by society [2][4][5] - The emergence of new technologies and companies, such as the iPhone in 2007, marked a pivotal moment in the tech industry, influencing consumer behavior and market dynamics [3][6] - The financial crisis of 2008 had a profound impact on the labor market and economic policies, leading to significant government interventions like the "four trillion" stimulus plan [5][6] Group 2 - The rise of e-commerce platforms and new internet giants in 2016 indicated a shift in consumer behavior towards lower-tier markets, reflecting a broader trend of consumption downgrade [6][7] - The COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 reshaped societal perspectives on life and death, influencing the younger generation's views on family and future aspirations [8][9] - The nostalgia for the early 2000s and the contrasting fears surrounding technological advancements, such as artificial intelligence, highlight the generational divide in perceptions of progress and opportunity [9][10]

Core Insights - The report recommends key stocks across various industries for January 2026, highlighting potential investment opportunities based on market trends and company performance [2][3]. Industry Summaries Construction - Shenghui Integration (603163.SH) is a Taiwanese cleanroom engineering service provider and a core supplier for Google's TPU supply chain, poised to benefit from TSMC's expansion in the U.S. with potential orders from TSMC Arizona and multiple North American data centers [2]. Social Services - China Duty Free Group (601888.SH) is expected to benefit from a new cycle in domestic duty-free sales, with a boost from the upcoming consumption peak during the New Year and Spring Festival, leading to improved performance expectations [2]. Electronics - Lante Optics (688127.SH) is experiencing significant growth in its optical prism product line and is collaborating with multiple waveguide manufacturers for AR glasses, indicating strong profit elasticity and expansion potential [2]. Utilities and Environmental Protection - China General Nuclear Power (003816.SZ) is set to benefit from the normalization of nuclear power approvals and improvements in market pricing mechanisms, with expected production increases in Guangdong province [2]. Nonferrous Metals - Zijin Mining (601899.SH) is a leading player in the nonferrous sector, with high profit contributions from gold and copper, and is entering a rapid growth phase in lithium production, making it a highly valued investment opportunity for 2026 [2]. Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery - Youran Dairy (9858.HK), a global leader in dairy farming, is expected to benefit from rising milk prices and beef price increases, leading to significant performance recovery [2]. Internet - Tencent Holdings (0700.HK) is well-positioned for the AI era, leveraging its ecosystem advantages, with potential growth from e-commerce and AI agent capabilities not yet reflected in current profit forecasts [2]. Pharmaceuticals - WuXi AppTec (603259.SH) is supported by strong performance, order growth, and capital expenditure, with favorable regulatory changes expected to enhance the valuation of the CXO sector [2]. Light Industry - Sun Paper (002078.SZ) is entering a new capacity release phase with significant production increases expected, making it a compelling investment with reasonable valuation metrics [2]. Textiles and Apparel - Anta Sports (2020.HK) is anticipated to benefit from the performance of its premium sports brands, with a favorable valuation and upcoming catalysts from Q4 operational disclosures and the Spring Festival consumption peak [2].

12月25日，民生加银基金发布公告称，基金经理王亮因内部调整离任民生加银核心资产股票基金。王亮现任该公司权益研究部总监兼权益投资部副总监。 民生加银核心资产股票基金刚成立时的净认购金额约为2.22亿元，到了2025年三季度末，资产净值约为1.03亿元。 截至12月25日，民生加银核心资产股票A基金成立以来的单位净值下跌19.72%，近1年单位净值增长20.65%。 截至2025年三季度末，该基金持有股票占比为90.66%，前十大持仓个股分别为紫金矿业、中国海洋石油、腾讯控股、渣打集团、天地科技、中远海控、富 维股份、六福集团、长和、金界控股。 民生加银核心资产股票基金三季报显示，目前该基金的持仓结构主要是全球定价资源（铜、金、石油）、跨境银行和全球公用、各行业龙头（家电、互联 网、集运）、垄断央国企（运营商）、深度价值个股（比如机械、石化链等）。 | 离任基金经理姓名 | 王是 | | --- | --- | | 离任原因 | 内部调整 | | 离任日期 | 2025年12月25日 | | 转任本公司其他工作岗位的说明 | | | 是否己按规定在中国基金业协会办理变更手续 | 昌 | 民生加银核心资产股票基金 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the unusual phenomenon of the Chinese yuan strengthening while the Hong Kong stock market, particularly the Hang Seng Tech Index, is experiencing a decline, indicating a divergence between currency strength and stock performance [1][2] - The recent appreciation of the yuan is attributed to several factors including a weaker US dollar, resilient exports, increased attractiveness of yuan-denominated assets, and regulatory guidance [1] - Historical instances of similar currency and stock market divergence occurred in 2013 and 2021, with outcomes varying based on policy interventions and fundamental support [2] Group 2 - Analysts from China International Capital Corporation (CICC) suggest that the current divergence is due to record trade surpluses and a weakening dollar, which has bolstered demand for yuan settlement, while the stock market reflects pressures from a weakening credit cycle [1] - The potential for the Hong Kong stock market to align with the strengthening yuan depends on the duration of the short-term factors causing the divergence and the direction of fundamental economic indicators [1] - Investment strategies are recommended for the Hong Kong stock market, particularly focusing on technology ETFs that may benefit from low valuations and potential inflows from southbound capital as market conditions stabilize [2]

Core Insights - The report highlights a significant decline in the Hong Kong stock market, with the Hang Seng Index dropping by 0.71% and a notable outflow of southbound funds amounting to approximately 3.4 billion HKD on December 29 [2][3] - The precious metals market experienced a sharp sell-off, particularly in gold and silver, with spot gold falling below 4,480 USD per ounce and silver futures witnessing a maximum intraday drop of 15% [3][4] - The automotive sector emerged as a bright spot, driven by government initiatives to boost consumption, with notable gains in stocks such as NIO, XPeng, and BYD [3] Company Analysis - The report covers Atour Group (ATAT.US), a mid-to-high-end hotel chain that integrates lifestyle retail into the guest experience, reporting revenues of 7.25 billion CNY for 2024 and 7 billion CNY for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting year-on-year growth of 55% and 35.6% respectively [6][8] - Net profits for Atour were reported at 1.275 billion CNY and 1.14 billion CNY for the same periods, showing strong growth rates of 73% and 20.7% [6][8] - The company has a differentiated positioning in the mid-to-high-end market, targeting a price range of 400-800 CNY per night, with unique hotel designs and services that enhance guest experience [6][7] - Atour's membership program has seen explosive growth, increasing from 25 million members in 2020 to over 100 million by September 2025, which aids in customer retention and reduces acquisition costs [7] - The franchise model is the primary growth strategy for Atour, with 98.7% of its 1,948 hotels being franchise locations, enhancing profitability and capital efficiency [7] - Retail operations have become a significant growth driver, with revenue from retail increasing from 64 million CNY in 2019 to 2.2 billion CNY in 2024 [7][8] - The hotel industry is experiencing a strong rebound, with a 38% increase in revenue to 531.4 billion CNY in 2023, although growth is expected to slow to 5% in 2024 [8] - The report anticipates continued growth for Atour, projecting net profits of 1.62 billion CNY, 2.06 billion CNY, and 2.5 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.66, 2.12, and 2.57 USD [6][8]