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方正证券:算力成为新基建核心驱动力 建议重点关注英维克等
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-05 09:01
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that intelligent computing power has become a new engine for infrastructure development, with the global computing power market reaching a scale of over 1 trillion yuan [2] - The global computing power scale has surpassed 910 EFLPOS, with a year-on-year growth of 40%, and intelligent computing power growing at a rate of 136%, accounting for 37% of the total computing power [2] - In China, the total computing power scale reached 237 EFLPOS, representing 26% of the global total, with the domestic computing infrastructure market estimated to be between 324.7 billion and 395 billion yuan in 2023 [2] Group 2 - The liquid cooling equipment market has exceeded 10 billion yuan, driven by high power consumption, energy efficiency improvements, and economic advantages [3][4] - Liquid cooling technology can be categorized into contact and non-contact methods, with single-phase cold plate liquid cooling currently dominating the market, accounting for over 90% of applications [3] - The necessity and advantages of liquid cooling are highlighted by the increasing power density of racks, with AI cluster computing density exceeding 50KW per rack, and liquid cooling showing a total utilization efficiency 15% higher than air cooling [4] Group 3 - The domestic data center cooling market is expected to reach 23.8 billion yuan by 2028, with the liquid cooling market projected to be 13.6 billion yuan [4] - The liquid cooling ecosystem includes upstream component suppliers, midstream liquid cooling server providers, and downstream computing power users, with companies like Invec and Feirongda being key players [5] - Invec is noted for its capability to provide a full-chain solution for liquid cooling [5]
【宏观专题】不只是当下,不急于当下——反内卷的定性定量理解
Huachuang Securities· 2025-08-05 08:57
Group 1: Overview of Anti-Involution - The report emphasizes that the current framework of "anti-involution" is still being refined and may require further input from industry associations and relevant departments, indicating a dynamic and evolving policy landscape[3] - The anti-involution policy aims to serve the unified market and high-quality development, addressing both competitive malpractices and promoting new products, technologies, and services[3] - The report outlines three phases for addressing "involutionary" competition, focusing initially on behavior norms and market capacity governance, with potential administrative interventions if necessary[3] Group 2: Key Strategies and Actions - The first phase targets traditional high-energy consumption industries and aims to enhance energy efficiency standards to accelerate development model transformation[3] - The second phase focuses on enhancing industrial competitiveness through innovation and appropriate competition, with measures including optimizing competitive order and breaking local protectionism[3] - Specific actions include promoting product quality improvement, ensuring fair competition, and initiating a new round of ten major industries for stable growth[3] Group 3: Industry Implications and Future Outlook - The anti-involution initiative may impact multiple sectors, including new energy vehicles, photovoltaic, lithium batteries, and e-commerce, among others[7] - The report suggests that the anti-involution process will not be rushed, contrasting it with the supply-side reform initiated in 2016, which had different objectives and employment constraints[6] - The report anticipates that if initial phases do not yield results, a third phase with more explicit administrative targets may be implemented to resolve supply-demand conflicts[6]
不只是当下,不急于当下:反内卷的定性定量理解
Huachuang Securities· 2025-08-05 07:45
Group 1: Overview of Anti-Overcompetition - The report emphasizes that the current "anti-overcompetition" framework is still being refined and may require further input from industry associations and relevant departments, indicating a dynamic and evolving policy landscape[1] - The anti-overcompetition initiative aims to serve the unified market and high-quality development, addressing both improper competitive practices and supporting new products, technologies, and services[1] - The report outlines a three-phase approach to address "overcompetition," focusing initially on behavior regulation and market capacity governance, with potential administrative interventions if necessary[1] Group 2: Historical Context and Future Outlook - The first positioning of anti-overcompetition is to enhance industrial competitiveness and align supply and demand, focusing on improving supply quality and efficiency to avoid waste of resources[2] - The second positioning is to facilitate a unified market, with past initiatives including the issuance of market access guidelines and the elimination of 4,218 regulations that hinder fair competition[3] - The report suggests that the anti-overcompetition initiative is not urgent compared to the supply-side reforms initiated in 2016, due to differences in objectives, employment constraints, and micro-profit pressures[4][21] Group 3: Industry Involvement and Phased Implementation - The initiative may impact various sectors, including new energy vehicles, photovoltaics, lithium batteries, and e-commerce, as identified by official statements and industry performance metrics[27] - The implementation is expected to occur in three stages: 1. Regulating enterprise and government behavior to maintain fair competition[32] 2. Market-driven capacity governance through mergers and restructuring[34] 3. Establishing clear "hard targets" to resolve supply-demand conflicts if previous phases are ineffective[37] Group 4: Key Measures and Risks - Key measures include enhancing legal frameworks, promoting product quality, and initiating a new round of growth actions in ten major industries, such as steel and automotive[40] - Risks highlighted include the potential for policy execution to exceed expectations, which could lead to unintended consequences in the market[8]
超级赛道再迎利好,融资客加仓叠加筹码集中
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-04 06:34
一、万亿产业背后的投资迷思 最近GWY审议通过《关于深入实施"人工智能+"行动的意见》,我国人工智能产业规模从2017年的180亿元跃升至2024年的6000亿元,预计2030年将突破1万 亿元。40家自主可控概念股年内平均涨幅超过8%,瑞芯微上半年净利润增幅高达190%,云从科技股价上涨34%。表面看,这确实是个令人振奋的行业。 | 代码 | 简称 | 今年以来 涨幅 | 涉及领域 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (%) | | | 002261 | 拓维信息 | 73.51 | 软件 | | 603893 | 瑞芯微 | 46.12 | 芯片 | | 688327 | 云从科技-UW | 34.21 | 软件 | | 688088 | 虹软科技 | 30.19 | 软件 | | 688343 | 云大励飞-U | 21.47 | 软件 | | 300229 | 拓尔思 | 20.11 | 软件 | | 688152 | 麒麟信安 | 15.80 | 软件 | | 000158 | 常山北明 | 13.31 | 软件 | | 603986 | 北易创新 | 10.15 | ...
光模块CPO回调,创业板人工智能ETF(159381)盘中跌超1%,天孚通信跌超5%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-04 02:47
Core Viewpoint - The A-share computing power industry chain, particularly the optical module sector, has experienced a decline, with the AI index on the ChiNext board dropping by 0.78% and key stocks like Tianfu Communication falling over 5% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The ChiNext AI index, which has a high concentration of optical components, has seen a decline, indicating a cooling trend in the market [1] - The recent two-day pullback in the computing power industry chain reflects a broader market adjustment, with significant declines in several key stocks [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The Huaxia ChiNext AI ETF (159381) has attracted over 33 million yuan in inflows over the past 10 trading days, indicating strong investor interest [1] - This ETF tracks the ChiNext AI index and focuses on AI-related companies listed on the ChiNext board, with over 33% of its weight in optical modules [1] Group 3: Key Holdings - The top three holdings in the ETF include leading optical module companies: Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyisheng, and Tianfu Communication, alongside other industry leaders such as Beijing Junzheng and Allwinner Technology [1] - The ETF has the lowest comprehensive fee rate among comparable funds, with a management fee of 0.15% and a custody fee of 0.05% [1]
三大指数集体低开 黄金概念逆势走强
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-08-04 02:01
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a collective decline in the three major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.36%, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 0.53%, and the ChiNext Index down by 0.66% [1] Group 1 - The gold concept and media sectors showed resilience, performing well against the overall market trend [1] - Most sectors, including CPO concept, computing power, and Zhipu AI, experienced a pullback [1]
报告丨2025年下半年策略展望:特朗普2.0与“十五五规划”下的市场将如何演绎?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-04 02:00
来源:AI芯天下 前言: 参考1930年代全球关税战经验,中美作为全球最大生产国消费国,中美贸易萎缩,出口"以价换量"各国 基于本国产业保护逻辑或将开启"关税螺旋"。 作者 | 方文三 图片来源 |网 络 4月以来,美国外交政策(含关税)不确定性降低,使国际资本回流美国:黄金价格下跌、美股强于欧 洲股市、美债收益率下行。国际资本对美债的购买,以及提高债务上限通过,将减少美债"黑天鹅"风 险,利好全球债市。 美股科技龙头业绩高景气,AI需求指数级增长,"大而美"减税等利好下,纳指或延续较高的年化收益 率。对A股而言利好光模块等海 外科技映射。 叠加十五五规划重心+耐心资本投科技,国内算力、服务器、半导体等订单高景气将贯穿全年,且机构 筹码出清。 与2019年相比,今年以来中美两轮谈判,均以中方而非美方主导:中方倾向于"自上而下",美方倾向 于"自下而上",提升风险偏好。 未来中期时间段,美国本身对华科技(如:光刻机、发动机)等"卡脖子"进一步升级概率较低:中国稀 土反制打击关键摇摆州汽车工业。 后续中美科技、产业博弈的重点: 1)海外市场争夺与"转口技术"限制:德国"以数据保护为由"限制DeepSeek;马来西 ...
中国银河证券:AI应用强赋能,算力硬件高成长可期
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-04 00:38
每经AI快讯,中国银河(601881)证券指出,人工智能推动通信行业相关企业再发展,看好硬件端发 展高增长。结合供给以及需求,我们认为当下时点,算力板块仍处于快速发展周期中,且各家对于大模 型的投入也将持续发展,在流量入口争夺以及广阔应用市场想象空间的驱动下,并不会因为一家流量入 口独大而有所下调,作为其最重要的算力底座需求端也将日趋旺盛。 ...
弘信电子拟128亿投建加码算力 扣非5年亏12亿资产负债率79%
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-08-03 23:33
长江商报消息 推进产业转型升级,弘信电子(300657.SZ)抛出大手笔。 8月1日晚间,弘信电子发布公告,公司拟通过控股子公司与庆阳市人民政府合作,共建燧弘庆阳绿色智 能数字基础设施项目。项目总投资预计128亿元,拟分期阶段性建设。 弘信电子表示,如果本次投资项目顺利实施,将推进公司在绿色算力领域全方位布局进程,对公司长远 发展产生积极影响。 弘信电子称,AI算力业务将成为公司新的增长点,但目前尚未释放。公司经营业绩承压。 经营业绩数据显示,2020年至2024年,弘信电子的扣非净利润连续五年亏损,五年合计亏损12.21亿 元。2025年一季度,公司实现的扣非净利润为512.72万元,同比下降66.39%。 弘信电子财务承压。截至2025年一季度末,公司资产负债率为78.85%,处于较高水平。 弘信电子试图借算力业务突围,需要警惕市场、财务等风险。 128亿加码算力寻增长点 在算力领域,弘信电子宣布进行一笔重磅投资。 根据公告,8月1日,弘信电子召开董事会会议,审议通过了拟对外投资的议案,但该事项尚需提交公司 股东大会审议。 弘信电子上述对外投资议案的主要内容为,公司通过控股子公司甘肃燧弘绿色算力有限公司( ...
融通基金李进:聚焦趋势向上的行业
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-08-03 13:34
融通基金李进: 聚焦趋势向上的行业 ◎记者 何漪 近年来,新生代基金经理逐渐崭露头角,融通基金李进就是一个例子。他拥有清华大学工学博士学位, 于2017年7月加入融通基金,从行业研究员起步,覆盖电子、计算机、新能源领域,积累了丰富的研究 经验。 2021年升任基金经理助理后,李进陆续管理融通产业趋势臻选、融通价值趋势、融通产业趋势等多只基 金,逐渐形成了系统的投资框架。以其代表作融通产业趋势臻选为例,截至7月17日,任职以来回报为 51.48%,远超同期业绩比较基准,任职年化回报率为19.15%。 保持均衡持仓 在组合管理上,李进表示,根据市场环境的风险偏好及产业趋势判断,调整价值类资产、成长类资产的 权重比例,控制组合风险;从看好的产业中挑选趋势方向更好的二级或三级子行业,均衡配置分散风 险。同时,持股相对集中,并适度采取逆向投资,在涨幅过高、估值透支时果断减仓。 在操作上,李进表示,基于行业比较时,选出景气度较高的资产,再评估资产的性价比。具体来看,通 过判断行业景气的周期位置、商业模式与壁垒、中长期空间、估值等四个维度进行综合考量,选择合适 的资产进入基金组合。 李进介绍,他的投资目标并非争夺第一,而是 ...