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大麦娱乐(01060):首次覆盖:"演艺+IP"双引擎,重构线下娱乐新基建
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-07-02 07:47
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [4]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading all-industry chain reality entertainment platform in China, engaging in content production, promotion, distribution, IP derivative licensing, and ticket management for entertainment activities [6][11]. - The IP industry is identified as a rapidly growing market with significant potential, with the Chinese IP market projected to grow from 91 billion yuan in 2020 to 126.2 billion yuan by 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 8.5% [30][35]. - The company is expected to achieve substantial revenue growth, with projected revenues of 78.91 billion yuan, 95.34 billion yuan, and 116.83 billion yuan for FY26, FY27, and FY28 respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 18%, 21%, and 23% [6][19]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates through three main segments: content production, ticketing and technology platforms, and IP derivatives, leveraging resources from the Alibaba ecosystem [11][12]. - It has participated in the production and promotion of over 300 films, with significant contributions to the Chinese box office [11][12]. Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of 3.5 billion yuan, 5.04 billion yuan, and 6.7 billion yuan for FY23, FY24, and FY25, with year-on-year growth rates of 44% and 33% for FY24 and FY25 respectively [21]. - Adjusted EBITA for the same periods is projected at 310 million yuan, 500 million yuan, and 810 million yuan, with a consistent growth rate of 61% for FY24 and FY25 [21]. IP Market Insights - The IP industry is characterized by a dual-sided extension model, with significant growth opportunities in both upstream and downstream operations [27][30]. - The report highlights that the average unit licensing fee can leverage over 25 times the gross merchandise value (GMV) of licensed products, indicating a lucrative market potential [33]. Competitive Advantages - The company benefits from a robust integration of Alibaba's resources, enhancing its market position in ticketing and live entertainment [6][11]. - The report emphasizes the company's strong market share in ticketing, with nearly 100% coverage of major concert projects [6][11].
鹿晗演唱会售票现BUG无法购票,大麦致歉:退票退款!
第一财经· 2025-06-30 12:16
Core Viewpoint - The ticket sales for Lu Han's concert in Xi'an faced significant issues due to a system bug, affecting many users' ability to purchase tickets and leading to a large number of refunds [1][3][4]. Group 1: Ticket Sales Issues - On June 29, the ticket sales for Lu Han's Xi'an concert were scheduled, but the ordinary ticket sales did not open as planned, only allowing priority users to purchase tickets [1]. - Many users reported that they were unable to buy tickets due to a system error that displayed "no ticket purchase privilege" for ordinary users [1]. - A total of 6,731 orders (8,128 tickets) made after the scheduled time for ordinary sales will be fully refunded due to the issues encountered [4]. Group 2: Company Background - Beijing Damai Culture Media Development Co., Ltd. was established in November 2003, with a registered capital of 30 million RMB, and is involved in organizing cultural and artistic exchange activities, sports agent services, and performance brokerage [4]. - The company is wholly owned by Hujing Culture Entertainment (Beijing) Co., Ltd. and has faced numerous legal disputes, including service contract disputes and product liability disputes [4]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Despite the ticketing issues, Damai reported strong financial performance, with a revenue of 2.057 billion RMB for the fiscal year 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 236% [5].
一票难求,多少人为一场演唱会赴一座城?
3 6 Ke· 2025-06-25 10:57
Core Insights - The concert market in China is experiencing a significant resurgence post-pandemic, with increasing audience enthusiasm and ticket demand [3][4][5] - Major artists are seeing sold-out shows, indicating a shift in audience demographics where non-fans are also attending concerts for the experience [5][11] - The ticketing platform, Damai, has seen substantial revenue growth, reflecting the booming live entertainment sector [15][16] Group 1: Market Trends - In May 2023, the total number of concerts reached 330, a year-on-year increase of 20.9%, with 4.484 million attendees, up 23.2% from the previous year [4][12] - The audience demographic is expanding, with 21.6% of attendees aged 35 and above, a 2% increase from the previous year [14] - Concerts are attracting a diverse audience, including older generations, as seen with artists like Dao Lang and other veteran performers [14][22] Group 2: Economic Impact - The concert industry is not only benefiting artists but also boosting the revenue of related businesses, including ticketing platforms and local economies [15][22] - Damai's revenue for the fiscal year 2025 is projected to be approximately 2.057 billion RMB, a 236% increase, making it the second-largest revenue source for Alibaba Pictures [15][16] - Concerts are driving tourism, with significant percentages of attendees coming from outside the host city, leading to increased local spending [22][23] Group 3: Ticketing and Consumer Experience - The implementation of a strict real-name ticketing system has reduced ticket scalping but has also led to consumer complaints regarding refund policies [17][19] - The ticketing revenue distribution shows that artists and promoters take the majority of the income, with ticketing platforms receiving only 3%-20% [19][21] - The concert market's growth has prompted ticketing platforms to explore new business models, integrating travel and entertainment services [25][30]
阿里影业(01060):现场演出+IP衍生高景气,打造现实娱乐平台
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-06-09 08:27
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Alibaba Pictures [4][10]. Core Views - Alibaba Pictures is transitioning to become "Damai Entertainment Holdings Limited," focusing on a "real-life entertainment" strategy, shifting from traditional film to live performances and IP derivatives [7][20]. - The company expects significant revenue growth driven by its live entertainment ticketing and IP derivative businesses, with projections indicating a revenue increase from 5,036 million HKD in FY2024 to 6,702 million HKD in FY2025, representing a 33% year-on-year growth [8][20]. - The report highlights the strong market position of Damai in the ticketing sector, with over 50% market share in the overall ticketing market and over 70% in concert ticketing [9][37]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Alibaba Pictures is a subsidiary of Alibaba Group, holding a 53.85% stake, and is rebranding to focus on live entertainment and IP derivatives [7][19]. 2. Live Entertainment and Ticketing - Damai is a leading player in the offline ticketing market, with a projected ticket revenue of 57.95 billion CNY in 2024, showing a year-on-year growth of 15.37% [9][30]. - The company has a competitive edge due to its technological capabilities, extensive user base, and strong partnerships with content providers [9][40]. 3. IP Derivatives - The IP derivatives market is experiencing rapid growth, with Alibaba's IP derivative revenue expected to increase significantly, driven by collaborations with major IP brands [9][50]. - The report notes that Alibaba's IP derivative business has seen a 73% year-on-year growth, benefiting from its extensive entertainment and e-commerce ecosystem [9][50]. 4. Financial Analysis and Forecast - The financial forecast indicates a substantial increase in both revenue and net profit, with net profit projected to rise from 285 million HKD in FY2024 to 364 million HKD in FY2025, reflecting a 28% year-on-year growth [8][20]. - The report employs a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation method, estimating the company's overall valuation at 31.9 billion CNY, corresponding to a target price of 1.17 HKD per share, indicating a potential upside of 22.9% [10][11].
阿里影业20250526
2025-05-26 15:17
Summary of Alibaba Pictures Conference Call Company and Industry Overview - **Company**: Alibaba Pictures - **Industry**: Entertainment and Ticketing, specifically focusing on live performances and film production Key Points and Arguments 1. **Overall Market Performance**: The performance of the live performance market was robust, with total box office revenue reaching 58 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15%. Large concerts contributed over 26 billion yuan, growing by 78% [2][3] 2. **Damai Entertainment Growth**: Damai Entertainment reported revenues of 2.057 billion yuan and operating profits of 1.23 billion yuan, both showing significant growth [2][3] 3. **IP Development**: Alibaba Fish saw revenue growth exceeding 90%, with a core IP matrix that includes brands like Sanrio and Pokémon [2][3] 4. **Technological Advancements**: Damai Entertainment demonstrated significant technological advantages, with over 100,000 concurrent ticket buyers for thousands of events, a 60% increase year-on-year [2][5] 5. **Focus on Live Events and IP**: Alibaba Pictures is concentrating on live performances and IP development while maintaining a stable film business [2][6] 6. **Cautious Film Investment Strategy**: Due to market volatility, Alibaba Pictures is adopting a conservative approach to film investments, optimizing its portfolio and focusing on AI technology to reduce production costs [2][7][9] 7. **Future Market Outlook**: The offline performance market is expected to remain strong in 2025, although concert growth may slow down. The overall industry is projected to stabilize with new categories like tourism and sports events being explored [2][10] 8. **Diverse Revenue Streams**: Damai is expanding into new areas such as tourism and sports events, and its overseas business is thriving, with a focus on Southeast Asia [2][12] 9. **Ticketing Market Dynamics**: The ticketing market is complex, with Damai holding a significant share of large concert projects, having managed over 710 large concerts in 2024 [2][13][14] 10. **Sustainable Growth Focus**: Damai is prioritizing actual revenue and profit over mere market share, ensuring sustainable growth despite competitive pressures [2][15][16] 11. **Content Production Investments**: The company is investing in content production beyond ticket sales, including theater and musical projects, which have shown promising growth [2][11][28] 12. **Risk Management in Live Events**: The risk associated with live event investments is lower compared to film, with a stable revenue model based on ticket sales [2][29] Additional Important Insights - **Integration of Services**: The merger of Damai and Taopiaopiao into a super app aims to enhance user engagement and experience [2][19][20] - **Market Competition**: The company does not view overseas firms as direct competitors but rather as potential collaborators in content production [2][24] - **Regulatory Environment**: The Chinese government has mandated that a minimum of 85% of tickets must be sold in the primary market, impacting ticket distribution strategies [2][25][26] - **Future Project Pipeline**: Damai has over 120 projects in production or preparation, indicating a strong project pipeline for future growth [2][28]
阿里影业20250522
2025-05-22 15:23
Summary of Alibaba Pictures Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Alibaba Pictures, recently rebranded as Tiger Whale Entertainment - **Focus**: Shift from film business to offline entertainment and performance business, with a significant contribution from Damai (大麦网) Key Points and Arguments 1. **Strategic Transformation**: Alibaba Pictures has transitioned to Tiger Whale Entertainment, emphasizing offline entertainment and performance business, with Damai contributing 70% of net profit [2][4] 2. **Financial Performance**: In 2024, the company faced an investment loss of approximately 500 million HKD due to asset handling, but if adjusted, the net profit could reach 880 million HKD, with Damai contributing 630 million HKD and IP licensing contributing 200 million HKD, together accounting for 95% of net profit [2][8] 3. **Growth in Offline Performance Market**: The offline performance market has shown continuous high growth post-pandemic, with music ticket sales doubling compared to 2019. In April 2025 and during the May Day holiday, ticket sales increased by 42% and over 70% respectively [2][11] 4. **Market Potential**: The company anticipates a sustained growth rate of over 30% in the offline performance market over the next three years, with a significant unmet demand of at least 150 billion HKD for large concerts [2][13] 5. **Market Share**: Damai holds approximately 80% market share in the music performance market, directly connecting with artist management teams and venues, providing a strong resource advantage [2][19] 6. **Valuation**: As of the latest closing, Alibaba Pictures' market capitalization is around 21.2 billion HKD (approximately 19.5 billion RMB), with a valuation close to 20 times earnings, which is considered attractive given the company's transformation and growth potential [2][6] 7. **Future Direction**: The company will focus on offline performances and IP licensing, both of which are in high growth phases and cater to younger consumer demands [2][7] 8. **IP Business Growth**: The IP licensing business through Alibaba Fish (阿里鱼) has shown significant growth, with a 40% increase in the first half of 2025 and over 90% growth in the second half [4][23] 9. **Investment Recommendation**: Given the successful transformation and high growth potential of its core businesses, the current valuation presents a good buying opportunity for investors [2][9] Additional Important Insights 1. **Government Support**: Local governments are providing support for the offline performance market, including funding to increase concert density and encourage tourism [2][17] 2. **Supply and Demand Dynamics**: The demand for offline performances remains strong, with over 60% of audiences showing interest in cross-city performances, indicating a robust consumer appetite [2][15][14] 3. **Operational Strategy**: Damai's operational model includes ticketing agency and concert hosting, allowing it to benefit from industry growth while maintaining a stable revenue stream [2][22] 4. **Future Earnings Projections**: The company expects net profit to reach 1.2 billion HKD in 2025, driven by the growth of its core businesses [2][25] 5. **Film Business Strategy**: The film segment is currently under pressure, with a conservative approach to cost control and gradual release of existing projects, while maintaining a stable market share in ticketing platforms [2][28] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call, highlighting the strategic shift, financial performance, market dynamics, and future outlook for Alibaba Pictures.
两天,暴涨近60%
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-05-21 08:54
Group 1 - Alibaba Pictures Group is rebranding to "Damai Entertainment Holdings Limited" and aims to enhance its brand recognition in the entertainment ecosystem, particularly in the offline entertainment market [3] - The company reported a revenue of 6.702 billion RMB for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, representing a 33% year-over-year increase, with a net profit of 364 million RMB, up 28% [3] - Adjusted EBITA reached 809 million RMB, marking a 61% increase and achieving profitability for five consecutive years [3] Group 2 - Damai, as a leading ticketing platform, has established a strong brand presence in the live entertainment market, offering diverse products to meet the growing demand for live experiences [4] - The company is expanding internationally with a ticketing system capable of handling nearly one million concurrent users, maintaining its leading position in the ticketing market [4] - Revenue from the Damai segment surged to approximately 2.057 billion RMB, a 236% increase compared to the previous fiscal year [4]
大麦上线“中国旅游日”专题页 可一站式购齐演出和景点门票
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-05-19 06:11
Core Insights - The event "Traveling China, Singing the Mountains and Rivers" launched by Damai on China's Tourism Day aims to provide a one-stop platform for users to purchase concert and nearby tourist attraction tickets [1][2] - The large-scale performance market is expected to see significant growth in 2024, with box office revenue projected to reach 29.636 billion yuan, a 66% increase compared to 2023 [1] - The trend of "traveling with performances" has emerged, with over 60% of concertgoers traveling across cities to attend events [1][2] Group 1 - The "Traveling China, Singing the Mountains and Rivers" event page features information on concerts, music festivals, theatrical performances, and tourist attractions across over 300 cities [1] - Users can easily find and purchase tickets for both performances and local attractions through the Damai app, enhancing convenience for travelers [1] - The concert and music festival audience is increasingly contributing to the "ticket root economy," leading to increased spending on local tourism-related services [2] Group 2 - The cross-city audience for performances is driving economic growth in various sectors, including transportation, accommodation, dining, and cultural creativity [2] - In April 2024, the cross-province attendance rate for Hua Chenyu's concert in Yantai reached 88.1%, resulting in 302,000 visitors to the Yangma Island scenic area, a 26.8% increase year-on-year [2] - Damai plans to pilot a scenic ticket business starting in December 2024 in eight cities, with a nationwide rollout expected in 2025 [2]
年轻人,爱上「拼好假」
36氪· 2025-05-15 23:48
Core Insights - The article highlights the evolving travel preferences of young people, emphasizing a shift from quantity to quality in vacation experiences, particularly during the May Day holiday [5][22]. Group 1: Travel Trends - During the May Day holiday, domestic travel reached 314 million trips, a 6.4% increase year-on-year, with a notable rise in travel to less popular destinations [5][22]. - Young travelers are increasingly avoiding crowded tourist spots, opting for lesser-known locations, with booking volumes for destinations like Xinjiang and Tibet seeing over 100% growth compared to last year [5][6]. - The trend of "拼好假" (strategically planning vacations) is gaining traction, allowing young people to maximize their travel time and experiences [22]. Group 2: Accommodation Preferences - Budget-friendly accommodations are becoming popular, with 50% of hotel bookings during the holiday being under 200 yuan, while higher-end options are also being sought at competitive prices [6][10]. - The average rental car consumption during the holiday increased by 24%, with a significant portion of travelers opting for self-driving experiences [8]. Group 3: Outdoor and Experiential Travel - Young travelers are engaging in outdoor activities, with a surge in interest in beach cities and adventure sports, reflecting a desire for unique and immersive experiences [12][13]. - The popularity of "micro extreme sports" and activities like diving and hiking is on the rise, indicating a shift towards more active and engaging travel experiences [16]. Group 4: Cultural and Entertainment Travel - The demand for cultural experiences is evident, with a notable increase in family travel to historical sites, as parents seek educational opportunities for their children [10][20]. - Concerts and large-scale events are becoming integral to travel plans, with significant ticket sales and audience turnout during the holiday, particularly in major cities [18][20]. Group 5: Redefining Travel Meaning - Young people are redefining travel as a means of breaking away from routine, seeking deeper connections and experiences rather than mere sightseeing [22][23]. - The article suggests that travel is evolving into a "spiritual ritual" against mundane life, emphasizing the importance of meaningful experiences over traditional tourism [23].
第三届“爱在5月”南京文旅消费促进活动启幕 我市推出“跟着演出(赛事)游南京”三重优惠大礼
Nan Jing Ri Bao· 2025-05-12 02:41
Core Viewpoint - Nanjing is promoting tourism and cultural consumption through a series of discounts and events aimed at attracting both local and out-of-town audiences to performances and sports events, enhancing the integration of culture, tourism, and commerce in the city [1][2][3] Group 1: Event Overview - The "Follow the Performance (Event) to Tour Nanjing Enjoy '1+3' Discount Activity" was launched on May 9, 2024, with the aim of boosting cultural tourism in Nanjing [1] - The event includes discounts for audiences attending large performances and major sports events, allowing them to enjoy benefits at local attractions, dining, and shopping [2][3] - Nanjing is expected to host 12,890 performances in 2024, attracting 1.44 million attendees and generating approximately 1.9 billion yuan in ticket sales [1] Group 2: Discount Details - The "1" in the discount scheme refers to large performances or sports events with over 5,000 attendees, while the "3" indicates three types of discounts available for ticket holders [2] - The first round of discounts is valid from May 9 to June 9, 2024, featuring five major performances, including concerts by well-known artists [2][3] Group 3: Participating Entities - A list of 30 scenic spots and cultural venues, 80 dining establishments, 20 shopping centers, and 70 hotels has been established to provide discounts during the event [3] - The discounts are available to both local and out-of-town audiences on the day of the event and for one week before and after, with details accessible through the "Mochou Tourism" WeChat account [3] Group 4: Additional Initiatives - Eight themed routes for exploring Nanjing have been introduced to enhance the visitor experience, promoting deeper engagement with the city [4] - Collaborations with local universities have resulted in cultural events aimed at attracting younger audiences, alongside a schedule of over 100 diverse cultural projects planned for May and June [4]