2、《 多地支持房贷"商转公"！各地申请门槛不一，京沪暂未跟进》摘要 1.《 北方稀土上半年业绩暴增"引爆"稀土永磁概念股》摘要 ■ 根据北方稀土发布的2025年上半年业绩预增公告，预计公司归母净利润将在9亿到9.6亿元之间，同 比增长高达1882.54%到2014.71%，扣非净利润预计为8.8亿到9.4亿元，同比增幅为5538.33%到 5922.76%。 ■ 受此消息刺激，稀土永磁概念股在7月10日显著上涨，稀土永磁指数上涨2.92%，个股方面如北方 稀土和京运通涨停，九菱科技也上涨了9.67%。 ■ 此番业绩爆发推动了市场对稀土行业前景的乐观预期，尤其是在稀土价格高位稳定的情况下，更多 投资者看好稀土相关企业的未来表现。 ■ 稀土现货市场同样展现出强势表现，虽然氧化镨钕价格在7月10日出现小幅回调，但整体价格维持 在较高水平。 ■ 今年上半年，氧化镨钕价格同比上涨了11.68%，尽管市场上曾经历短期回落，但随着下游磁材企业 需求回升，稀土价格在4月末开始得到提振，进入5月和6月后价格持续稳定。 ■ 近期，部分稀土出口管制政策逐步放松，出口许可证的审批加速，也为稀土企业带来了利好，进一 步推高了市场预期 ...

A股稀土概念股爆发，中国稀土、北方稀土、包钢股份、华宏科技等多股涨停。包钢股份与北方稀土双 双宣布上调2025年第三季度稀土精矿关联交易价格。 ...

Group 1 - The A-share rare earth permanent magnet concept continues to rise, with Benlang New Materials hitting a 30% limit up, and both Sanchuan Wisdom and Jiuwu High-Tech reaching a 20% limit up [1] - Several stocks including Northern Rare Earth, China Northern Rare Earth Group, Huahong Technology, and Baotou Steel also hit the limit up, while Jiuling Technology rose over 17% [1] - Recently, Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel announced a price increase for rare earths, which is expected to further narrow the price gap between domestic and international rare earths, boosting revenue [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating - The report suggests going long on industrial products on dips [5] Core Viewpoints - The "anti-involution" trading in the industrial product sector is heating up, with prices of some commodities rebounding due to policy expectations. The market is awaiting the July Politburo meeting for potential further pro - growth policies. The US is implementing new tariff policies on multiple countries, and there are signs of inflation trading both overseas and domestically, but it faces challenges [2][3] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - In May, domestic investment data weakened, especially in the real - estate sector, which may drag down fiscal revenue and the entire real - estate chain. Exports were under pressure, while consumption showed resilience. The June manufacturing PMI rebounded, but the economic stabilization foundation needs to be strengthened. "Anti - involution" policy expectations in industries like photovoltaic, lithium - battery, and others are rising [2] - On July 10, the A - share market rose in the afternoon, with the Shanghai Composite Index standing firm at 3500 points, hitting a 9 - month high. Real - estate stocks had a涨停潮, and large - financial stocks strengthened [2] - The US will impose tariffs ranging from 25% to 40% on imports from 14 countries starting August 1, and a second batch of tariffs on 8 countries will also take effect on the same day. The US Commerce Secretary plans to talk with China in early August [2][7] - Trump issued an executive order on clean energy and announced a 50% tariff on copper starting August 1, 2025, and investigations in the pharmaceutical and semiconductor sectors will be completed by the end of the month [2] Macro - inflation - Trump signed the "Great Beautiful" tax and spending bill, which may increase US government debt by $3.4 trillion in the next decade, shifting the US from a "tight fiscal expectation + neutral monetary" phase to a "loose - prone" policy phase [3] - Overseas, the core is the currency - led inflation expectation. The US one - year inflation expectation in June dropped from 3.2% to 3.0%, a five - month low. In China, the Central Financial and Economic Commission's meeting has reignited inflation trading, but it faces challenges both overseas and domestically [3] Commodity Sector - Domestically, the black and new - energy metal sectors are most sensitive to the supply - side. Overseas, the energy and non - ferrous sectors benefit significantly from inflation expectations [4] - The black sector is still dragged down by downstream demand expectations. The supply shortage in the non - ferrous sector persists. In the energy sector, the short - term geopolitical premium is over, and the medium - term supply is expected to be relatively loose. OPEC + will increase production by 548,000 barrels per day in August, and OPEC has lowered its global oil demand forecast for the next four years [4] - The EIA expects the 2025 Brent crude oil price to be $69 per barrel. The ninth OPEC International Seminar was held from July 9 - 10 [4] - There are no short - term weather disturbances in the agricultural product sector, so the price fluctuation range is relatively limited [4] Strategy - For commodities and stock index futures, it is recommended to go long on industrial products on dips [5]

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth permanent magnet concept stocks have seen a significant rise, with nearly 10 stocks hitting the daily limit up, indicating strong market interest and potential investment opportunities in this sector [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Benlang New Materials reached the daily limit up with a 30% increase [1] - Other notable stocks that hit the daily limit up include Shenghe Resources, Northern Rare Earth, Huahong Technology, Jiuwu High-Tech, China Nonferrous Metal Mining, and Baotou Steel, among others [1] - JiuLing Technology, West Magnetic Technology, and Zhongke Magnetic Industry saw increases of over 10% [1]

7月11日，稀土永磁板块表现抢眼，截至发稿，三川智慧20%涨停，北方稀土、京运通二连板，包钢 股份、卧龙新能等涨停，奔朗新材涨超20%，九菱科技、中科磁业、西磁科技涨超10%，中国稀 土、金力永磁等跟涨。 消息面上，包钢股份与北方稀土双双宣布上调2025年第三季度稀土精矿关联交易价格。 2025.07. 11 本文字数：544，阅读时长大约1分钟 作者 | 一财资讯 国投证券指出，伴随出口逐步恢复，国内外中重稀土价差有望收敛，看好国内氧化镝、氧化铽价格上 涨。 湘财证券表示，建议关注上游稀土资源企业的供需边际好转，一方面是供给收缩预期的强化，另一方 面是出口管制放松带来的需求边际增量，相关稀土资源企业有望受益稀土资源价格上涨带来的机会。 中长期角度，随着稀土价格稳步回升，下游磁材企业盈利有望持续修复。 微信编辑 | 七三 "黄金平替"，单日大跌6%！ 推荐阅读 7月10日晚间，北方稀土、包钢股份发布公告，两家公司拟将2025年第三季度稀土精矿关联交易价 格调整为不含税19109元/吨（干量，REO=50%），REO每增减1%、不含税价格增减382.18元/ 吨。 值得注意的是，在此次稀土精矿价格公布之前，北方 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth industry is experiencing significant growth, with key stocks and ETFs showing strong performance and positive forecasts for future profitability [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The China Rare Earth Industry Index rose by 3.81% as of July 11, 2025, with notable increases in stocks such as Benlang New Materials (up 23.63%) and Northern Rare Earth (up 9.77%) [1][6]. - The rare earth ETF, Jiashi (516150), increased by 3.70%, indicating strong investor interest [1]. Group 2: Liquidity and Trading Volume - The Jiashi rare earth ETF had a turnover rate of 4.78% and a trading volume of 1.25 billion yuan, leading comparable funds in both metrics [3]. - Over the past week, the Jiashi ETF saw an average daily trading volume of 1.89 billion yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [3]. Group 3: Fund Growth and Performance - The Jiashi rare earth ETF experienced a significant increase in scale, growing by 50.39 million yuan over the past week, the highest among comparable funds [3]. - The fund's net asset value increased by 46.26% over the past year, placing it in the top 11.31% of index equity funds [3]. Group 4: Price Adjustments and Forecasts - Northern Rare Earth and Baogang Co. announced a 1.5% increase in the trading price of rare earth concentrates for Q3 2025, setting the price at 19,109 yuan/ton [3]. - Analysts predict that 14 rare earth permanent magnet stocks will achieve over 10% profit growth or turn profitable in 2025, with seven stocks expected to double their earnings [4]. Group 5: Key Stocks and Weightings - The top ten stocks in the China Rare Earth Industry Index account for 55.58% of the index, with Northern Rare Earth, China Rare Earth, and China Aluminum being the most significant contributors [4][6]. - The performance of key stocks includes Northern Rare Earth (up 9.77%), China Rare Earth (up 4.78%), and Baogang Co. (up 10.00%) [6].

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.24%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.12%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.01% as of 9:44 AM on July 11 [1] Sector Performance - The brokerage sector was strong, with Zhongyin Securities achieving two consecutive trading limits. The rare earth permanent magnet concept continued to rise, with Jingyuntong hitting the daily limit. The stablecoin concept remained active, with multiple stocks like Guoao Technology reaching the daily limit. The shipbuilding sector rebounded, with China Shipbuilding rising over 4%. The real estate sector remained active, with Shibei Gaoxin hitting the daily limit. The photovoltaic sector showed repeated activity, with Guosheng Technology achieving three consecutive trading limits. The innovative drug sector also strengthened, with Kangchen Pharmaceutical achieving two consecutive trading limits. Other sectors such as precious metals, aquaculture, and engineering machinery also saw gains. In contrast, sectors like diversified finance, gaming, consumer electronics, and education experienced notable declines [2] Real Estate Sector - The real estate stocks saw renewed strength, with Shibei Gaoxin, Tianbao Infrastructure, and Greenland Holdings hitting the daily limit, while companies like Yudai Development and Huaxia Happiness also saw gains. This was supported by the State Council's issuance of an opinion to enhance the mechanism for efficiently handling key matters, encouraging local governments to focus on high-frequency issues and expand application scenarios in various fields [4] Rare Earth Sector - The rare earth sector saw multiple stocks perform well, with Zhongke Magnetic Materials rising over 10% and Jingyuntong hitting the daily limit. The price of rare earth concentrate was raised by Baogang Group and Northern Rare Earth, increasing by 1.51% compared to the previous quarter. This marks the fourth consecutive quarter of price increases since Q4 of last year. Additionally, overnight gains in U.S. rare earth stocks, such as MP Materials rising by 50.62%, were noted [6] Institutional Insights - Dongguan Securities expressed a cautious bullish outlook for the market, noting that the domestic economy continues to operate steadily, with the central bank's second-quarter monetary policy meeting indicating an improving economic outlook. However, external factors such as U.S. tariffs on specific industries may impact market sentiment [8] - Guoxin Securities highlighted that while market risk appetite has increased, the profit-making effect remains relatively dispersed. They expect the market center to remain optimistic as fundamental expectations improve [9] - Ping An Fund maintained a long-term bullish perspective, anticipating strong performance in sectors like military and new energy as the semi-annual report disclosure period approaches. They noted potential tactical adjustments in the short term but emphasized ongoing structural opportunities in technology and resource sectors [10]

展望2025下半年，国投证券看好黄金、铜、稀土的投资机会，认为黄金有望受益于美元信用走弱和美国 降息预期增强，看好金价续创新高。铜冶炼原料供给受限，需求具备长期韧性，看好铜价中枢上移。预 计出口逐步放开、需求持续增长、供给刚性下，稀土价格有望迎来上涨。 从估值水平来看，截至6月底，中证有色金属指数市净率为2．24，位于上市以来34.45%分位点的历史 较低位置，低于中证有色金属指数上市以来周频市净率数据的中位数2.52，估值较低，配置性价比较 高。 今日（7月11日）稀土龙头领衔大涨，北方稀土涨超8%，盛和资源涨逾6%，中国稀土涨超4%，揽尽有 色金属行业龙头的有色龙头ETF（159876）场内价格盘中涨超1%。 拉长时间来看，有色龙头ETF（159876）自本轮低点（4月8日）以来，截至7月10日，累计上涨 19.14%，大幅跑赢沪指（13.34%）、沪深300（11．72%）等宽基指数。 数据来源： Wind ，统计区间： 2025.4.8-2025 ． 7 ． 10 。注：中证有色金属指数近 5 个完整年度的涨跌幅 为： 2020 年， 35.84% ； 2021 年， 35.89% ； 2022 年， ...

Focus Events - In 2025, the basic pension for retirees will be increased by 2% starting from January 1, 2025, for those who retired before the end of 2024 [1] Industry Dynamics - Two major rare earth companies, Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel, announced an increase in the price of rare earth concentrate for the third quarter of 2025 to 19,109 yuan/ton (excluding tax) [3] - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce has initiated a special action to combat the smuggling and illegal export of strategic minerals, including antimony and gallium [5][6] Company Focus - Sijia Photon plans to acquire 82.3810% equity of Fokexima through a combination of share issuance and cash payment, with stock resuming trading on July 11, 2025 [10] - Liangpin Shop announced a potential change in control due to significant matters being negotiated by its controlling shareholder, leading to a temporary suspension of trading [12] - Sailyus expects a net profit increase of 66.20% to 96.98% for the first half of 2025, projecting a profit of 2.7 billion to 3.2 billion yuan [17] - WuXi AppTec anticipates a 44.43% year-on-year increase in adjusted net profit for the first half of 2025, estimating around 6.315 billion yuan [18] - China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation forecasts a net profit growth of over 180% for the first half of 2025, estimating a profit of 1.5 billion to 1.8 billion yuan [19] - Tianbao Infrastructure expects a staggering increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, projecting a profit of 90 million to 130 million yuan, representing an increase of 1581.80% to 2329.27% [20][21] - Yaoshi Technology's employee stock ownership platform plans to reduce its holdings by 5.4047 million shares [22] - Qin'an Co. plans to acquire 99% equity of Yigao Optoelectronics, with stock resuming trading on July 11, 2025 [23] - Forest Packaging Group's stock surged 77.30% over six consecutive trading days, with the company clarifying that it does not operate in the food-grade paper sector [24]