Core Viewpoint - The 2025 11th Qidian Lithium Battery Industry Annual Conference aims to address technological advancements and challenges in the lithium battery sector, providing a platform for industry professionals to discuss and collaborate on future developments [2][3]. Industry Developments - In early 2025, BMW announced the upcoming installation of large cylindrical batteries in 2026, prompting a surge in the industry to develop 46-series large cylindrical batteries [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released new safety standards for electric vehicle batteries, sparking widespread discussions on battery performance [1] - Several companies have begun mass production of full-tab cylindrical batteries, which are expected to find applications in electric vehicles, tools, and smart home devices due to their high rate and long lifespan advantages [1] - Solid-state batteries continue to gain attention for their high safety and energy density, maintaining high interest levels throughout 2025 [1] Storage Sector Insights - The cancellation of mandatory storage policies by the government has raised concerns about future demand for storage batteries [1] - The 314Ah battery is gradually replacing the 280Ah as the mainstream cell, with companies like CATL and EVE Energy introducing cells with capacities exceeding 500Ah, indicating a trend towards larger capacity storage batteries [1] - The U.S. tariff policy has impacted the global storage industry, creating challenges for market players [1] Emerging Applications - The debut of humanoid robots at the Spring Festival Gala in early 2025 has led to increased interest in batteries for humanoid robots, becoming a new focus for battery companies [1] - Various local policies promoting low-altitude economies are accelerating the development of the eVTOL industry [1] Material Innovations - The 9-series ultra-high nickel ternary cathodes are being widely adopted, while lithium manganese iron phosphate cathodes are being tested in commercial vehicles and two-wheeled vehicles [1] - The application of silicon-based anodes in conjunction with full-tab technology is increasing [1] Event Highlights - The conference will feature over 1500 attendees and 30000 online viewers, making it the largest event of the year [3] - It will include a combination of forums and exhibitions, facilitating precise resource matching [3] - The 11th Qidian Golden Ding Award will be presented, establishing benchmarks for the new energy industry [3] Agenda Overview - The event will cover various specialized topics, including fast-charging ecosystems for cylindrical batteries, advancements in square battery technology, and innovations in soft-pack batteries [5][6] - Specific sessions will focus on battery materials, equipment, and safety technologies, addressing critical industry challenges [6][7] Award Details - The Qidian Golden Ding Award aims to recognize outstanding brands in the new energy battery industry, encouraging innovation and sustainable development [7] - The award selection process includes online voting and expert reviews, culminating in the announcement of winners during the conference [8] Participating Companies - Notable companies in attendance will include CATL, BYD, LG Energy, and EVE Energy, among others, representing various sectors of the lithium battery industry [10][11]

Core Viewpoint - Shanshan Co., Ltd. has significantly improved its performance in the first half of 2025, with a projected net profit increase of 810.41% to 1265.61% year-on-year, driven by its core businesses in negative materials and polarizers [2][4]. Financial Performance - The expected net profit for the first half of 2025 is between 160 million to 240 million yuan, while the non-recurring net profit is projected to be between 130 million to 195 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 443.79% to 715.68% [2]. - The company's financial expenses and losses from equity investments in subsidiaries are expected to impact profits by 150 million to 170 million yuan, indicating that the core business performance would be even stronger without these factors [2][3]. Business Segments - The negative materials and polarizer segments are expected to contribute a combined net profit of 350 million to 450 million yuan, highlighting their importance to overall profitability [4]. - Shanshan is a pioneer in the lithium battery materials sector, focusing on artificial graphite technology, and has maintained a leading position in the industry through cost control and customer structure advantages [4]. Market Trends - The recovery of the new energy vehicle supply chain since 2024, along with increased demand in the energy storage sector, has led to a rebound in both prices and shipments of negative materials [5]. - The company has seen a significant increase in orders from major manufacturers, with a more than 40% quarter-on-quarter increase in shipments in Q2 [5]. Production Capacity - Shanshan has a total planned production capacity of 600,000 tons across its bases in Inner Mongolia, Sichuan, and Yunnan, with the Yunnan facility being the largest integrated negative material base globally [5][6]. - The company is also developing a 100,000-ton negative material base in Finland to cater to European customers and is collaborating with Moroccan firms to develop natural graphite projects [6]. Cost Management - The graphite processing stage accounts for approximately 36% of production costs, and Shanshan has achieved significant cost reductions through technological innovations [7]. - The company has developed a new fixed crucible furnace process to enhance efficiency and reduce costs, with the actual production capacity of the crucible furnace in Sichuan reaching 150,000 tons [8][9]. Product Development - Shanshan is expanding its product offerings with high-energy density 6C ultra-fast charging negative materials and 6C+ extreme fast charging materials, which have been supplied to leading domestic clients [10]. - The company has also developed silicon-based negative materials, with production capabilities established and products certified by major clients [11][12]. Additional Business Insights - The polarizer business, bolstered by the acquisition of LG Chem's assets, has positioned Shanshan among the top four globally in market share, with a focus on high-end product development [12]. - Despite the bankruptcy restructuring of its controlling shareholder, Shanshan emphasizes that its business operations remain unaffected, and future performance will depend on its ability to innovate and expand its customer base [12].

摘要 围堵升级。 美国 针对全球贸易的 " 大网 " 正在 逐渐收拢 。 上周 ，特朗普政府向包括日、韩及东盟在内的 14 国发出信函，宣布自 8 月 1 日起大幅提升关 税，并明确警告将打击 " 为逃避高额关税而转运的货物 " 。这一行动，让曾被视为规避关税 " 安 全港 " 的东南亚，瞬间成为风暴眼。 从华盛顿的视角来看，其行动的理据清晰地呈现在贸易数据中。自 2018 年以来，越南对美出口 额激增的同时，其从中国的进口额也几乎同步增长。 另有数据显示在 2017 年至 2024 年间，中国在美国总进口中的份额下降了 8.1 个百分点，而越 南和墨西哥的份额则显著上升。这被美方解读为贸易 " 重新路由 " 的确凿证据，也正是此次精准 打击的靶心。 更进一步， 如果电芯本身在越南生产，采用了越南当地的正极、隔膜和电解液，但其关键的负极 材料和集流体依然从中国进口，那么这个产品的原产地究竟是哪里？ 越南与美国达成的初步协议极具代表性：经由越南转运的商品将面临 40% 的高额关税，其中锂电 池赫然在列。 印尼则同意对本国对美出口商品征收 19% 关税，但也附加了针对转运的惩罚性条款。 其他东盟国家面临的潜在税率 ...

Core Viewpoint - The UK government announced a £650 million electric vehicle subsidy plan to stimulate demand and support the transition to zero-emission vehicles (ZEV) in response to regulatory requirements and current market conditions [1][2]. Summary by Sections Subsidy Background - The subsidy targets the ZEV regulations set for 2024-2035, which require increasing ZEV penetration rates from 22% in 2024 to 100% by 2035. As of 2024, the actual penetration rate for battery electric vehicles (BEV) in the UK is 19.6%, with 225,000 BEVs sold in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 34.6% [1][2]. Penalties and Compliance - Manufacturers failing to meet ZEV targets will incur fines of £15,000 per vehicle. However, the new policy introduces a three-year grace period allowing manufacturers to "borrow" up to 25% of their future quotas if they cannot meet current year requirements from 2024 to 2026, with repayment required between 2027 and 2030 [2]. Subsidy Comparison - The current subsidy is more substantial than previous cycles, with discounts per vehicle reaching up to £3,750, compared to £1,500-£3,000 during the 2020-2022 period [2]. Impact Assessment - The £650 million subsidy is expected to support the sale of approximately 173,000 electric vehicles over the next 2.5 years, averaging about 69,000 vehicles per year. Assuming the total number of passenger cars remains stable, the BEV penetration rate could reach 28.1% in 2025 with the subsidy, compared to a projected 26.3% without it [2].

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Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - China's economic semi - annual "report card" shows that the H1 GDP reached 66.05 trillion yuan, with a year - on - year growth of 5.3%. The fixed - asset investment grew by 2.8%, while real estate development investment decreased by 11.2%. In June, the industrial added value of large - scale industries increased by 6.8% year - on - year, and the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 4.8% [1]. - For A - shares, from a long - term perspective, the investment value is relatively high. CSI 500 and CSI 1000 may bring higher returns due to more science and innovation policy support, while SSE 50 and SSE 300 have more defensive value in the current macro - environment [2][11]. - The central bank will maintain a supportive monetary policy, which supports the price of treasury bond futures. However, the "anti - involution" policy drives up the prices of some commodities, and the price volatility of treasury bond futures may increase in the short term [3][12]. - The lithium carbonate market is in a state of short - term price rebound but may still fluctuate due to hedging pressure and no signs of production cuts at the mine end [4][5][20]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs a. International News - On July 15, data from the US Department of Labor showed that the US unadjusted CPI in June increased by 2.7% year - on - year, the highest since February. The seasonally adjusted CPI increased by 0.3% month - on - month [6]. b. Domestic News - The Central Urban Work Conference was held in Beijing from July 14 - 15, emphasizing achievements in urban development since the 18th National Congress of the CPC [7]. c. Industry News - On July 15, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that in June, the total retail sales of consumer goods were 422.87 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 4.8%. From January to June, the total retail sales of consumer goods were 24.5458 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 5.0% [8]. d. Key Varieties Analysis - **Equity Index**: The US three major indexes mainly declined. The previous trading day's equity index fluctuated and declined. The communication sector led the rise, and the coal sector led the fall. The market turnover was 1.64 trillion yuan. The proportion of medium - and long - term funds in the capital market is expected to gradually increase [2][11]. - **Treasury Bonds**: Treasury bonds generally rose, and the yield of the 10 - year active treasury bond fell to 1.6575%. The central bank's net investment in the open - market operation was 173.5 billion yuan [3][12]. - **Carbonate Lithium**: The weekly production of carbonate lithium decreased by 644 tons to 18,123 tons. The demand is expected to increase, while the inventory increased by 1,510 tons to 138,347 tons [4][20]. e. Morning Comments on Major Varieties - **Financial**: - **Equity Index**: The investment value of A - shares is high in the long - term. The banking sector with high interest and low volatility has performed well since 2025 [2][11]. - **Treasury Bonds**: The external environment is more complex, and the central bank will maintain a supportive monetary policy, but the price volatility of treasury bond futures may increase in the short term [3][12]. - **Energy and Chemicals**: - **Polyolefins**: Polyolefins declined. The consumption is in a relative off - season, and the cost support has weakened [13]. - **Glass and Soda Ash**: Glass futures declined. The supply is shrinking, and the market expects better results. Soda ash futures also declined, and the inventory is under pressure [14]. - **Rubber**: The supply of new rubber in domestic production areas is affected by rainfall, but the overall supply pressure is increasing, and the upward space is limited [16]. - **Metals**: - **Precious Metals**: After the release of inflation data, gold and silver weakened. The short - term expectation of interest rate cuts has cooled, but the long - term driving force for gold still exists [17]. - **Copper**: The copper price may fluctuate within a range due to the low processing fee of concentrates and stable downstream demand [18]. - **Zinc**: The zinc price may fluctuate widely. The supply of concentrates is expected to improve, and downstream demand is mixed [19]. - **Black Metals**: - **Iron Ore**: The short - term macro - expectation is strong, and the iron ore price is expected to be strong with fluctuations [22]. - **Steel**: The supply and demand contradiction in the steel market is not significant, and the steel price is expected to be strong with fluctuations in the short term [23]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: The supply pressure still exists, and the market focuses on the "anti - involution" policy expectation [24]. - **Agricultural Products**: - **Soybean and Rapeseed Meal**: The July USDA report is neutral to bearish, but the demand for US soybeans in biodiesel may support the price, and the domestic market is expected to fluctuate [25]. - **Oils and Fats**: The MPOB report is neutral to bearish, but the strong demand in India may support the palm oil price, and the overall market is expected to fluctuate [26][27]. - **Shipping Index**: - **Container Shipping to Europe**: The EC index rose strongly. The market is still speculating on the freight rate space in August, and the focus is on the 10 - contract [28].

盘面上，机器人、医药、短剧游戏板块涨幅居前，能源金属、保险板块走弱。 | 板块名称 | 涨幅量 | 主力净量 | 主力金额 | 板块名称 | 涨幅晶 | 主力净量 | 主力金额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 动物疫苗 | +2.91% | 1.54 | +2.797. | 能源金属 | -1.80% | -2.87 | -3.97 亿 | | 仿制药一致性 ... | +2.67% | 1.40 | +20.68 7. | 保险 | -1.57% | -0.21 | -4.13 7 | | 青蒿素 | +2.65% | 2.02 | +3.71 Z | 钢铁 | -1.43% | -0.80 | -5.96 Z | | 萬流感 | +2.33% | 1.14 | +3.08 7. | 元件 | -1.41% | -1.85 | -25.95 Z | | 海南 | +2.31% | 1.19 | +4.22 7 | ヂ属铝 | -1.27% | -0.35 | -3.70亿 | | 阿尔茨海默概念 | +2.28% | 1.47 | ...

感谢大家参加本次会议会议即将开始请稍后感谢大家参加本次会议会议即将开始 感谢大家参加本次会议会议即将开始请稍后 这个终端的需求包括从电池的这个需求吧就是可能你在下游现在看起来需求都还挺好的因为从这个贸易战过后这个整体大家还是一个可能从这个里沿的这个采购方的话大概是相对偏冷静但是呢也没想到说这个里呢有这么大一个跌幅所以其实这个需求应该来说并不是这一次这个领价下跌的一个主要因素 我感觉因为一般来说的话二季度特别是大概是在五月份左右这个也是全年的这个需求的相对比较低的一个点但是我刚才也说就是可能需求现在还不能完全解释这个问题可能还有一部分的话只能从这个供给方面去找原因那么从这个进入到四月份过后陆续的也会有一些这个澳洲的矿商他们开始发一些这个公告吧 应该看得出来现在大致还是一个成本下降现在大概还看得出来现在是一个因为澳洲的矿山它是有一个成本下降的情况所以在今年一季度我感觉成本下降的话应该是在期货市场特别是在当时的时间点就是在关税的 他们比较紧张的情况下那个时候被很多的解读成了一种成本的坍塌所以明显感觉到可能从矿的成本的角度我感觉可能4月份陆续有他们的财报发了过后就会发现有些矿山的成本下降比较明显包括像我们的马里昂山包 ...

Summary of Conference Call Records Company Overview - The company, originally known as Jixiang Co., was established in 2003 and focuses on the production, processing, and sales of wood blocks and wood fuel materials. In January 2022, the company fully acquired Hunan Yongshan, expanding its business to include lithium salt products, thus forming a dual business model in the wood and lithium industries [1] Industry Insights - Hunan Yongshan specializes in the production, research, and sales of high-quality lithium salts, which are widely used in the new energy electric vehicle market, consumer electronics, industrial applications, and energy storage sectors. The company aims to become a global leader in high-quality lithium supply [1] - The lithium salt business has seen significant growth, with the first phase of production capacity reaching 25,000 tons in June 2022, coinciding with an industry upcycle. The second phase is expected to be operational by Q1 2025, bringing total capacity to 45,000 tons [2] Financial Performance - In 2022, the company achieved its highest annual revenue and net profit since its inception, providing shareholders with the largest cash dividend since its IPO. However, in the first half of 2023, the company faced a dramatic decline in prices for lithium and wood products, with prices dropping by over 80% for lithium products, leading to a net profit loss of 337 million [3][4] - Despite the challenges, the company maintained a gross margin of 13% and reported a revenue of 7.5 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6% [3][4] Strategic Adjustments - The management is adjusting its operational strategies in response to the ongoing downturn in the lithium industry, focusing on risk management and preparing for potential recovery phases [5] - The company is committed to enhancing its lithium salt business as its core focus, addressing supply chain issues, and improving capacity utilization [6] Research and Development - The company is actively optimizing its production lines and product structures to adapt to market demand fluctuations, particularly in the context of rapid advancements in battery technology, including solid-state batteries [7] Supply Chain Strategy - The company is pursuing a global and diversified procurement strategy for raw materials to ensure a stable supply chain, which includes long-term contracts for lithium ore procurement [8] Customer Engagement - The company emphasizes a customer-centric approach, focusing on deep partnerships with major clients in the lithium battery sector, including companies like Tsinghua Tongfang and others [9] Financial Strategy - The company plans to raise 500 million RMB through a specific stock issuance to enhance liquidity and support ongoing operations, particularly in light of the upcoming production phases [10][12] Market Outlook - The company remains optimistic about the long-term prospects of the lithium industry, driven by the growth of the new energy vehicle and energy storage markets, despite current price pressures [11] Shareholder Confidence - The controlling shareholder, Yongrong Group, continues to support the company's development, which is expected to stabilize the company's control and enhance market confidence [13] Future Plans - The company aims to maintain strategic definitions and long-term goals, focusing on resource optimization and operational efficiency to navigate through industry challenges and prepare for future growth [14]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Company Overview - The company discussed is **克拉利 (Kedali)**, which operates in the lithium battery structural components industry and has a significant presence in the robotics sector, particularly in the development of new types of torque sensors [1][15]. Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - The company maintains a leading position in profitability within the industry, with a current valuation around **16 times** earnings, indicating a high margin of safety [1]. - Projected earnings for the year are approximately **900 million**, with a target valuation of **25 times** earnings, reflecting strong growth potential [1]. - In **2024**, the company achieved revenues of **12 billion**, with a year-on-year growth of **14%** [3]. - The company expects revenue growth to recover to over **20%** in **2025** [4]. Market Position - The company holds over **50%** market share domestically and around **30%** globally in the lithium battery structural components sector [2]. - The management team has extensive experience, with key figures having over **25 years** in the industry [2]. - The company has a strong customer base, including major battery manufacturers, which provides stability and growth opportunities [11]. Industry Dynamics - The lithium battery structural components account for about **8%** of battery costs, significantly impacting safety and performance [4]. - The market for cylindrical and prismatic batteries is projected to reach approximately **1,200 GWh** by **2025**, indicating substantial demand growth [5]. - The industry is expected to see improved supply-demand dynamics, with reduced pricing pressure compared to **2024** [6]. Competitive Advantages - The company has a competitive edge due to its high automation rates and production efficiency, leading to lower costs compared to second-tier manufacturers [10]. - The company has maintained a gross margin advantage of over **10%** compared to competitors [7][8]. - The company invests heavily in R&D, maintaining a budget of around **50 million** annually, which supports innovation and product development [11]. Robotics Sector - The company is expanding into the robotics market, focusing on lightweight torque sensors that enhance efficiency and performance [16]. - The new products are designed to reduce weight by **66%** and increase torque-to-weight ratios by **71%** [16]. - The company anticipates significant revenue contributions from the robotics segment, projecting revenues of **1 billion** by **2030** [21]. Future Outlook - The company is expanding its overseas production capabilities, with facilities in Hungary, Germany, and Sweden expected to contribute significantly to revenue growth [13][14]. - The overall revenue forecast for **2025** is **14.7 billion**, with a projected net profit of **1.88 billion**, reflecting a **28%** year-on-year growth [22]. - The current valuation presents a high margin of safety, with potential for further growth in both the structural components and robotics sectors [22][23]. Additional Important Insights - The company’s strategic partnerships with leading battery manufacturers enhance its market position and growth prospects [11]. - The competitive landscape is characterized by a steep cost curve, making it difficult for new entrants to compete effectively [9]. - The company’s focus on high-end products and innovative materials positions it well for future growth in both existing and new markets [12][20].