极目新闻记者 袁超一 | 品名规格 | 品质比率 | | 最高批发价 | 最高零 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 送货 | 不送货 | 吨价 | | 89号汽油(VIB) | 100 | 8300 | 8240 | 8600 | | 92号汽油(VIB) | 106 | 8798 | 8734 | 9116 | | 95号汽油(VIB) | 112 | 9296 | 9229 | 9632 | | 0号柴油(VI) | 100 | 7305 | 7245 | 7605 | | -10号柴油(VI) | 106 | 7743 | 7680 | 8061 | | 5号柴油 (VI) | 98 | 7159 | 7100 | 7453 | | s | 120 M 80 - 100 FM 800 BRANCHER 200 - 30 -- 10 -- 10 -- 100 BER 100 -- 100 000 WA-500 000 | | Company and the comments | | 本轮是2025年的第五次下调。今年以来，国内油价已经历十轮调价窗口，分别为"三 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - High-sulfur fuel oil: The near-month crack and monthly spread increased week-on-week, but the spot premium was suppressed below zero. Short-term supply is affected by the unclear Russia-Ukraine situation and refinery maintenance, while demand is boosted by seasonal power generation needs. [3] - Low-sulfur fuel oil: The spot premium fluctuated, with supply rising and downstream demand remaining weak. The supply of raw materials from South Sudan is gradually recovering, and exports from some refineries are increasing. [3] - Trading strategies: Adopt a wait-and-see approach for unilateral trading. Take profit on the FU 9-1 calendar spread long position and enter a short position on the LU 7-8 calendar spread at high levels. No options strategy is recommended. [3] Summary by Directory Chapter 1: Comprehensive Analysis and Trading Strategies - **Comprehensive analysis**: High-sulfur fuel oil is affected by supply uncertainties and increasing demand. Low-sulfur fuel oil faces rising supply and weak demand. [3] - **Trading strategies**: Unilateral - wait and see; Arbitrage - FU 9-1 long take profit, LU 7-8 short entry; Options - none. [3] Chapter 2: Core Logic Analysis - **Supply factors**: - Russia: Sanctions and refinery maintenance limit high-sulfur exports. May exports from the Black Sea port are expected to decline. [5] - Mexico: Olmeca refinery's production has increased, and overall exports are expected to remain stable. [8] - Middle East: Sanctions on Iran continue, and power generation demand in Saudi Arabia and Iran may reduce exports. [11] - **Demand factors**: - High-sulfur: Power generation demand in Egypt, South Asia, and the Middle East is increasing. [16] - Low-sulfur: Ship fuel demand is stable, but the implementation of the European ECA policy may reduce demand. [33] - **China's market**: The supply of low-sulfur fuel oil is stable, and the early issuance of quotas has little impact on the supply-demand balance. [36] Chapter 3: Weekly Data Tracking - **Price data**: Includes fuel oil spot prices, cross-regional and cross-period spreads, and natural gas-fuel oil price ratios. [38][44][53] - **Inventory data**: Inventories in Singapore, ARA, Fujeirah, the US, and Japan are presented, showing overall declines in recent weeks. [60] - **Terminal sales data**: Singapore's ship fuel sales in April showed a slight decline, with high-sulfur sales increasing and low-sulfur sales decreasing slightly. [68]

证券研究报告 行业研究——周报 [Tabl Table_StockAndRank] 石油加工行业 e_ReportType] 行业评级 ——看好 上次评级——看好 [Table_A 左前明 uthor 能源行业首席分析师 ] 执业编号：S1500518070001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮箱：zuoqianming@cindasc.com 胡晓艺 石化行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524070003 邮箱：huxiaoyi@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDASECURITIESCO.，LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅 大厦B座 邮编：100031 原油周报：中美关税谈判落地，油价震荡上行 [Table_Title] [Table_ReportDate0] 2025 年 5 月 18 日 本期内容提要： [Table_Summary] ➢ 【油价回顾】截至 2025年 5月 16 日当周，油价震荡上涨。本周，中 美经贸高层会谈取得实质性进展，双方大幅下调关税，贸易争端紧张 局势缓和，提振市场风险偏好。但美伊核谈判等地缘因素反复（特朗 普称美伊就核协议达成某种共 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" as the industry index is expected to outperform the benchmark [126]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the recent easing of trade disputes between the US and China, along with better-than-expected US inflation data, has improved market sentiment and supported oil prices. Brent crude oil prices increased to $65.41 per barrel, reflecting a week-on-week rise of $1.50 [15]. - The refining sector has seen a price increase in refined products due to the easing of tariffs and improved demand, particularly in petrochemical products like styrene and MMA, which have experienced significant price increases [51][84]. - The report indicates that the domestic price difference for key refining projects is 2422.43 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 89.11 CNY/ton (3.82%), while the international price difference is 1125.10 CNY/ton, up 63.39 CNY/ton (5.97%) [2]. Summary by Sections Refining Sector - The report notes that the Brent crude oil price averaged $65.36 per barrel, with a week-on-week increase of 6.23%. The EIA reported a decrease in US crude oil inventories, which contributed to the fluctuations in oil prices [15]. - The domestic market for diesel, gasoline, and jet fuel has seen average prices of 6852.00 CNY/ton, 7934.80 CNY/ton, and 6005.67 CNY/ton respectively, with varying changes in price differentials against crude oil [15]. Chemical Sector - The report indicates that the prices of petrochemical products have generally risen due to the easing of trade tensions. For instance, the price of pure benzene increased to 5907.14 CNY/ton, reflecting a rise of 242.86 CNY/ton [51]. - The report also highlights that the price of MMA has increased due to supply reductions from maintenance activities, with the average price reaching 10360.71 CNY/ton [67]. Polyester Sector - The report mentions that the prices of PX, PTA, and MEG have risen significantly due to supply constraints and increased demand from downstream industries. The average price of PX is reported at 6119.88 CNY/ton, up 676.46 CNY/ton [84][88]. - The report notes that the polyester filament market has seen a significant increase in sales volume, driven by improved demand from downstream weaving enterprises [92]. Market Performance of Major Refining Companies - The report tracks the stock performance of six major refining companies, with notable increases in stock prices for companies like Rongsheng Petrochemical (+0.82%) and Hengli Petrochemical (+2.04%) over the past week [113]. - Over the past month, the stock price of Dongfang Shenghong has increased by 15.34%, indicating strong market performance [113].

Core Viewpoint - The legal opinion letter from Guangdong Xinda Law Firm confirms the legality of the 2024 annual general meeting of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co., Ltd., including the procedures for convening, holding, and voting at the meeting [2][3][4]. Group 1: Meeting Procedures - The annual general meeting was convened based on a resolution from the company's sixth board of directors meeting held on April 24, 2025, and the notice was published on April 25, 2025 [3][4]. - The meeting was held on May 16, 2025, at the specified location and time, with both on-site voting and online voting conducted as planned [3][4]. Group 2: Attendance and Voting - A total of 13 shareholders attended the meeting, representing 7,287,350,285 shares, which is 76.1296% of the total voting rights [6]. - Online voting was conducted with 340 shareholders participating, representing 149,895,139 shares, or 1.5659% of the total voting rights [6]. Group 3: Voting Results - The voting results showed overwhelming support for the proposed resolutions, with the majority of votes in favor exceeding 99% for several resolutions [7][8][11]. - Specific resolutions received votes such as 7,434,178,069 shares in favor (99.9588%) and 2,357,442 shares against (0.0317%) [7]. - The voting process adhered to the relevant laws and regulations, ensuring the legitimacy of the results [18].

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 沥青期货早报 2025年5月16日 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证：Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 1 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议 。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 目 录 1 每日观点 2 基本面/持仓数据 每日观点 供给端来看，根据隆众，2025年5月份国内沥青总计划排产量为231.8万吨，环比增幅1.3%。本 周国内石油沥青样本产能利用率为29.2426%，环比增加0.419个百分点，全国样本企业出货 22.83万吨，环比减少21.57%,样本企业产量为48.8万吨，环比增加1.46%,样本企业装置检修量 预估为72.7万吨，环比减少4.21%,本周炼厂有所增产，提升供应压力。下周或将减少供给压力 需求端来看，重交沥青开工率为28.8%，环比增加0.02个百分点，低于历史平均水平；建筑沥青 开工率为18.2%，环比持平，低于历史平均水平；改性沥青开工率为8.6262% ...

Group 1: Company Performance and Financials - The company reported a revenue of over 200 million in Q1 2025, primarily for project preparation and operational expenses [2] - The significant increase in inventory in Q1 2025 was due to preparations for new projects [2][3] - Management expenses in 2024 decreased significantly as the losses from Shenzhen Yunfang were no longer included in the consolidated statements [3] Group 2: Business Strategy and Market Position - The company focuses on the research, production, and sales of road asphalt materials, with no plans to diversify into other main businesses [2][3] - Core competitive advantages include product and brand reliability, technological innovation, and service capabilities [4] - The company aims to leverage industry recovery and structural market growth opportunities for sustainable development [5] Group 3: Industry Outlook - The asphalt industry is expected to see growth due to increasing demand from infrastructure projects supported by government policies [4] - The company is positioned to meet market demands effectively through improved management and operational flexibility [5]

Group 1: CPI and PPI Analysis - In April 2025, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, remaining unchanged from the previous month[11] - The CPI increased by 0.1% month-on-month, reversing a previous decline of 0.4%[12] - Energy prices fell by 4.8% year-on-year, with gasoline prices dropping by 10.4%, contributing approximately 0.38 percentage points to the CPI decline[13] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.7% year-on-year, with the decline widening by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month[11] Group 2: Economic Implications and Policy Outlook - The low inflation environment provides room for policy adjustments, with both monetary and fiscal policies expected to be more proactive[4] - The decline in oil prices has led to a decrease in domestic prices across related industries, impacting overall economic stability[4] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.5%, indicating stable demand despite the overall CPI decline[14] - The report suggests that the current economic conditions allow for a more aggressive macroeconomic policy response to external uncertainties[30] Group 3: Risks and Market Considerations - Potential risks include worsening geopolitical events, changes in international financial conditions, and unexpected shifts in US-China policies[5] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring external factors that could impact domestic economic performance and inflation trends[30]

美国能源信息署（EIA）数据显示，最新一周美国成品油库存总量下降至2005年4月以来的最低水平。 ...

Group 1: Industry Performance - The chemical sector indices showed positive performance with the chemical raw materials index rising by 2.72%, chemical machinery index by 2.81%, pharmaceutical index by 0.65%, and pesticide and fertilizer index by 1.42% [1] - In the oil sector, the oil processing index increased by 0.86%, oil extraction index by 1.19%, while the oil trading index decreased by 4.56% [1] Group 2: Commodity Prices - International crude oil prices rebounded, with WTI settling at $61.02 per barrel, up 4.68% from May 2, and Brent at $63.91 per barrel, up 4.27% [1] - The top five rising petrochemical products included liquid chlorine up 134.15%, polymer MDI up 5.02%, sulfur up 3.90%, urea up 3.46%, and PTA up 3.40% [1] - The top five declining petrochemical products included aluminum fluoride down 7.37%, cyclohexanone down 6.92%, cracked carbon five down 6.12%, aniline down 5.64%, and paraffin down 5.14% [1] Group 3: Capital Market Performance - The top five performing listed chemical companies in the capital market included Runbei Hangke up 31.17%, Hengtian Hailong up 23.61%, Yuzhong Sanxia A up 23.18%, Asia-Pacific Industry up 21.26%, and Tongyi Zhong up 21.20% [2] - The top five declining listed chemical companies included Aiai Precision down 12.61%, Guangju Energy down 11.76%, Hongbaoli down 10.45%, Jiaao Environmental Protection down 9.11%, and Lafang Cosmetics down 7.75% [2]