Group 1 - The national production material market prices increased by 0.2% from the previous week [1] - Basic chemical raw material prices mainly rose, with sulfuric acid and soda ash increasing by 4.1% and 0.3% respectively, while polypropylene and methanol decreased by 2.1% and 1.3% [1] Group 2 - Rubber prices continued to rise, with natural rubber and synthetic rubber increasing by 0.9% and 0.8% respectively [2] - Coal prices showed slight fluctuations, with thermal coal and anthracite coal priced at 793 yuan and 1167 yuan per ton, increasing by 0.6% and 0.2% respectively, while coking coal decreased by 0.3% to 1073 yuan per ton [2] - Steel prices saw a slight increase, with rebar, hot-rolled strip steel, and high-speed wire rod priced at 3337 yuan, 3490 yuan, and 3523 yuan per ton, rising by 0.5%, 0.4%, and 0.2% respectively [2] Group 3 - Fertilizer prices remained stable with a slight increase, as urea prices were basically unchanged while compound fertilizer rose by 0.4% [3] Group 4 - Wholesale prices of finished oil remained stable, with 92 gasoline and 95 gasoline unchanged from the previous week, while 0 diesel increased by 0.1% [4] Group 5 - Non-ferrous metal prices experienced a slight decline, with aluminum, zinc, and copper decreasing by 0.9%, 0.9%, and 0.3% respectively [5]

Group 1: Agricultural Products Market - The national market price of edible agricultural products decreased by 0.1% from the previous week [1] - The average wholesale price of 30 types of vegetables was 5.62 yuan per kilogram, down 0.9%, with specific declines in lettuce, broccoli, and spinach of 8.0%, 7.7%, and 3.8% respectively [1] - Poultry product wholesale prices saw slight declines, with eggs and white-feathered chickens decreasing by 1.1% and 0.2% respectively [1] - The average wholesale price of six types of fruits increased slightly, with watermelon, grapes, pears, and bananas rising by 4.0%, 1.1%, and 0.6% respectively [1] Group 2: Production Materials Market - The prices of basic chemical raw materials generally increased, with sulfuric acid and soda ash rising by 4.1% and 0.3% respectively [2] - Rubber prices continued to rise, with natural rubber and synthetic rubber increasing by 0.9% and 0.8% respectively [2] - Coal prices showed slight fluctuations, with thermal coal and smokeless lump coal priced at 793 yuan and 1167 yuan per ton, increasing by 0.6% and 0.2% respectively [2] - Steel prices experienced slight increases, with rebar, hot-rolled strip steel, and high-speed wire rod rising by 0.5%, 0.4%, and 0.2% respectively [2] - Fertilizer prices remained stable with a slight increase, as compound fertilizer rose by 0.4% [2]

Core Insights - The new cold-rolling precision processing factory of Haimu Materials Technology (Jiangsu) Co., Ltd. was inaugurated on October 25, 2023, marking a significant step in the company's expansion in China [2][3] - The factory, covering an area of 12,500 square meters, utilizes "cold technology" to produce special alloy pipes that can withstand extreme conditions, reflecting the company's commitment to innovation in the Chinese market [3][4] - Haimu's revenue from the Chinese market is projected to reach 1.544 billion yuan (approximately 220 million USD) by 2024, demonstrating strong growth potential [3] Company Development - Haimu's journey in China began in 1985, evolving from a sales office to a manufacturing base and now an innovation hub, showcasing China's transformation from a "world factory" to an "innovation highland" [3][4] - The company has achieved over 20% compound annual growth rate in its pipe business in China over the past seven years, with expectations of double-digit profit growth following the new factory's launch [4] Strategic Expansion - The Jiangsu base not only serves the Chinese market but also exports products to South Korea, Japan, and Southeast Asia, indicating a strategic layout of "rooted in China, radiating to Asia" [4] - Haimu's production process incorporates over 80% recycled steel, maintaining low greenhouse gas emissions, and the new factory features solar panels, increasing the proportion of green electricity used in production [4] Market Perspective - China is recognized as the largest chemical market and a testing ground for green technology innovation, which is a key reason for Haimu's investment in the region [5]

Core Viewpoint - The Zhejiang Provincial Government has issued a plan to establish an integrated off-market trading platform for bulk commodities, aiming to enhance resource allocation and trading efficiency in the region [1] Group 1: Trading Platform Development - The plan includes the construction of a spot trading platform, which will be developed in phases based on the integration of existing platforms like the Zhejiang International Oil and Gas Trading Center [1] - The platform will operate under a unified leadership, structure, accounts, operations, standards, and team [1] Group 2: Trading Volume and Product Focus - There is an emphasis on increasing trading volume on the spot trading platform, particularly focusing on refined oil and chemical bulk commodities [1] - The platform will also expand its business scope to include steel, plastics, and rubber, which are identified as advantageous products [1] Group 3: Encouragement for Industry Leaders - Leading enterprises in the petrochemical sector are encouraged to establish sales zones on the spot trading platform [1] - The plan includes exploring cooperation on national reserve iron ore rotation business, subject to approval from relevant national authorities [1] Group 4: Integration with Futures Market - The initiative aims to explore integrated development between spot and futures markets [1] - The establishment of a basis quotation area on the spot trading platform is proposed, along with the introduction of real-time market data from futures exchanges [1] - There is a focus on expanding the coverage and scale of delivery warehouses for key trading varieties in collaboration with futures exchanges [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core Views of the Report - Overseas: On November 21st, the New York Fed President's speech hinted at a possible near - term interest rate cut, significantly boosting the December rate - cut expectation. The Fed's expectation management is turning, and it's advisable to follow key Fed voting members' speeches and potential new chair nominations around Thanksgiving [6]. - Domestic: Domestic endogenous momentum remains weak and stable. The issuance of 500 billion yuan of policy - based financial instruments in October, the accelerated issuance of special bonds in November, and the release of debt - resolution surplus quotas may bring marginal benefits to Q4 infrastructure investment. The loan prime rate has been stable since May's 10 - basis - point cut. New and second - hand housing sales and land supply have rebounded, but land transactions remain low, and real - estate physical work demand and capacity have declined [6]. - Asset Views: Due to differences among Fed policymakers on a December rate cut, the Fed's October meeting minutes being hawkish, and strong September non - farm payrolls data, the December rate - cut expectation was initially suppressed, and the US dollar index rose. After the New York Fed President's dovish speech, the market risk appetite may improve in the short term. It is recommended to consider bottom - fishing opportunities in stock indices, non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, tin), and precious metals [6]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Macro Highlights - **Overseas Macro**: The New York Fed President's speech on November 21st hinted at a near - term rate cut, boosting the December rate - cut expectation. The Fed's expectation management is shifting, and key figures may turn dovish in the next two weeks [6]. - **Domestic Macro**: Endogenous momentum is weak. Policy - based financial instruments, special bond issuance, and debt - resolution surplus quotas may benefit Q4 infrastructure. The loan prime rate has been stable. Housing sales and land supply have rebounded, but real - estate physical work has declined [6]. - **Asset Views**: Due to Fed policy uncertainties, asset prices were initially pressured. After the dovish speech, market risk appetite may improve. It is recommended to consider bottom - fishing in stock indices, non - ferrous metals, and precious metals [6]. 3.2 View Highlights 3.2.1 Financial Sector - **Stock Index Futures**: The decline of the Shanghai Composite Index has slowed, and hedging forces are taking profits. It is expected to fluctuate upwards, with attention on incremental funds [7]. - **Stock Index Options**: Market sentiment has improved, and it is expected to fluctuate, with attention on option market liquidity [7]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: Treasury bond futures closed higher. It is expected to fluctuate upwards, with attention on the implementation of monetary policies [7]. 3.2.2 Precious Metals - **Gold/Silver**: Geopolitical and trade tensions have eased, leading to a phased adjustment. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on the US fundamentals, Fed policies, and global equity market trends [7]. 3.2.3 Shipping - **Container Shipping to Europe**: The peak season in Q3 has ended, and there is no upward momentum. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on the rate of freight decline in September [7]. 3.2.4 Black Building Materials - **Steel Products**: The fundamentals are improving, and the market is expected to fluctuate, with attention on special bond issuance, steel exports, and iron - water production [7]. - **Iron Ore**: Iron - water production has slightly weakened, and the market is expected to fluctuate, with attention on overseas mine production, domestic iron - water production, weather, port inventory, and policies [7]. - **Coke**: Supply and demand have slightly declined, and the market is expected to fluctuate, with attention on steel production, coking costs, and macro sentiment [7]. - **Coking Coal**: Near - month delivery is under pressure, and the market is expected to fluctuate, with attention on steel production, coal mine safety inspections, and macro sentiment [7]. - **Silicon Iron**: The market has weakened with the sector, but cost support remains. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on raw material costs and steel procurement [7]. - **Manganese Silicon**: The price has declined with the sector, but cost support is strong. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on cost prices and overseas quotes [7]. - **Glass**: Spot losses are increasing, and cold - repair expectations are rising. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on spot sales [7]. - **Soda Ash**: Coal prices have fallen, weakening cost support. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on soda ash inventory [7]. 3.2.5 Non - Ferrous Metals and New Materials - **Copper**: Due to differences within the Fed, copper prices are consolidating at high levels. It is expected to fluctuate upwards, with attention on supply disruptions, domestic policies, Fed policies, and domestic demand [7]. - **Alumina**: The oversupply situation persists, and prices are under pressure. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on ore production and electrolytic aluminum复产 [7]. - **Aluminum**: Inventory is decreasing, and prices are fluctuating narrowly. It is expected to fluctuate upwards, with attention on macro risks, supply disruptions, and demand [7]. - **Zinc**: The export window is open, and prices are fluctuating at high levels. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on macro risks and zinc - ore supply [7]. - **Lead**: Social inventory has decreased, and prices are fluctuating. It is expected to fluctuate upwards, with attention on supply disruptions and battery exports [7]. - **Nickel**: Supply and demand are loose, and prices are expected to decline while fluctuating, with attention on macro, geopolitical, and Indonesian policy risks [7]. - **Stainless Steel**: Nickel - iron prices are weak, and stainless - steel prices are under pressure. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on Indonesian policies and demand [7]. - **Tin**: Raw - material supply is tight, and prices are strongly supported. It is expected to fluctuate upwards, with attention on Wa State's复产 and demand [7]. - **Industrial Silicon**: The oversupply pressure remains, and prices are expected to fluctuate, with attention on supply - side复产 and policies [7]. - **Polysilicon**: Policy expectations are volatile, and prices are fluctuating at high levels. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on supply - side复产 and domestic photovoltaic policies [7]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: Trading sentiment has cooled, and prices are fluctuating at high levels. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on demand, supply disruptions, and technological breakthroughs [7]. 3.2.6 Energy and Chemicals - **Crude Oil**: Geopolitical premiums are volatile, and supply pressure continues. It is expected to decline while fluctuating, with attention on OPEC+ production policies and Middle - East geopolitics [9]. - **LPG**: Refinery output has decreased, and import costs are under pressure. It is expected to decline while fluctuating, with attention on cost - side developments [9]. - **Asphalt**: The rise of rebar prices has driven up asphalt futures. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on sanctions and supply disruptions [9]. - **High - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: The expectation of a Russia - Ukraine agreement has weakened fuel prices. It is expected to decline while fluctuating, with attention on geopolitics and crude - oil prices [9]. - **Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: It has followed the weak crude - oil market. It is expected to decline while fluctuating, with attention on crude - oil prices [9]. - **Methanol**: Overseas disturbances are confirmed, and it is expected to be strong in the short term. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on macro - energy and overseas production stoppages [9]. - **Urea**: Centralized procurement has slowed, and prices are fluctuating narrowly. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on export quotas and Indian tenders [9]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: The supply - demand situation has improved, and some short - sellers have closed positions. It is expected to rise while fluctuating, with attention on coal and oil prices, port inventory, and Sino - US trade [9]. - **PX**: Market sentiment has cooled, and prices are adjusting. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on crude - oil fluctuations, macro events, and aromatics blending [9]. - **PTA**: Fundamentals have improved marginally, and profits are being repaired. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on crude - oil fluctuations and macro events [9]. - **Short - Fiber**: Downstream demand is stable, and it follows the upstream market. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on downstream purchasing and peak - season demand [9]. - **Bottle Chips**: Cost support has increased, and prices have rebounded slightly. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on production cuts and new - plant commissioning [9]. - **Propylene**: The spot market is strong, and prices are fluctuating. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on oil prices and the domestic macro - economy [9]. - **PP**: Fundamental pressure is priced in, and attention should be paid to maintenance. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on oil prices and the macro - economy [9]. - **Plastic**: Maintenance has increased slightly, and prices are fluctuating. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on oil prices and the macro - economy [9]. - **Styrene**: The narrative of blending for gasoline has faded, and prices are mainly fluctuating. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on oil prices, macro policies, and plant operations [9]. - **PVC**: High inventory is suppressing prices, and it may be tied to production cuts. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on expectations, costs, and supply [9]. - **Caustic Soda**: Low - valuation and weak supply - demand conditions lead to price fluctuations. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on market sentiment, production, and demand [9]. 3.2.7 Agriculture - **Oils and Fats**: Prices are diverging, with palm oil being weak. It is expected to decline while fluctuating, with attention on US soybean weather and Malaysian palm - oil supply - demand [9]. - **Protein Meal**: Rapeseed - meal prices have risen, and the soybean - rapeseed meal spread is expected to narrow. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on weather, domestic demand, and trade relations [9]. - **Corn/Starch**: Bullish drivers continue, and prices have risen again. It is expected to rise while fluctuating, with attention on demand, the macro - economy, and weather [9]. - **Hogs**: Supply is abundant, and prices are weak. It is expected to decline while fluctuating, with attention on farming sentiment, epidemics, and policies [9]. - **Natural Rubber**: Floods in production areas have boosted bullish sentiment, but the upside is limited. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on weather, raw - material prices, and the macro - economy [9]. - **Synthetic Rubber**: Raw - material transactions support prices. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on crude - oil fluctuations [9]. - **Cotton**: Cotton prices have rebounded, and the 1 - 5 spread has widened. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on demand and inventory [9]. - **Sugar**: Sugar prices have continued to rebound. It is expected to decline while fluctuating, with attention on imports and Brazilian production [9]. - **Pulp**: The balance of long and short factors remains, and prices are mainly fluctuating. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on the macro - economy and US dollar - based quotes [9]. - **Offset Paper**: It is following the raw - material market and fluctuating at low levels. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on sales, education policies, and paper - mill operations [9]. - **Logs**: Supply and demand are loose, and prices are fluctuating at low levels. It is expected to fluctuate, with attention on shipments and dispatches [9].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The A - share market is under pressure, with major stock indexes generally falling, and the market may experience an oversold rebound due to shrinking trading volume [19][20]. - The bond market shows a differentiated performance under the influence of various news, and is expected to continue to fluctuate in the short - term [23]. - In the agricultural products market, most varieties face supply - demand pressures and price fluctuations, such as protein meal under pressure and sugar prices showing a range - bound pattern [27][31]. - The black metal market has steel prices in a range - bound pattern, with potential for iron water reduction, and double - coking and iron ore prices showing weakness [54][57][60]. - The non - ferrous metal market has precious metals, copper, and other varieties in a state of shock, with different influencing factors for each [65][70]. - The energy and chemical market has products such as crude oil and asphalt in a state of shock, with different supply - demand situations for each [16]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Financial Derivatives 3.1.1 Stock Index Futures - The A - share market is under test, with major indexes and stock index futures falling. The market may have an oversold rebound, and trading strategies include going short first and then long, conducting IM\IC futures - spot arbitrage, and using a double - buy option strategy [19][20][21]. 3.1.2 Treasury Bond Futures - Treasury bond futures closed with mixed results. The bond market is affected by multiple factors and is expected to continue to fluctuate in the short - term. Trading strategies suggest waiting and trying to go long on the T - contract quarterly - next - quarter inter - period spread [22][23][24]. 3.2 Agricultural Products 3.2.1 Protein Meal - The international soybean market has a clear pattern of abundant production, and domestic bean meal has a large supply pressure. Strategies include short - selling far - month contracts of rapeseed meal and using a short - straddle option strategy [26][27]. 3.2.2 Sugar - International sugar prices are in a state of shock, and domestic sugar prices are expected to be range - bound. Strategies include going long on domestic sugar at low prices and selling put options at low levels [30][31]. 3.2.3 Oilseeds and Oils - The palm oil market is in a state of shock, with limited upside potential. Soybean oil follows the overall trend, and rapeseed oil is expected to continue to reduce inventory. Strategies include short - term long - short operations [34]. 3.2.4 Corn/Corn Starch - The external market of corn is expected to be strong in the short - term, and the domestic corn market has different trends in different regions. Strategies include short - term long - short operations and narrowing the spread between 01 corn and starch [37]. 3.2.5 Livestock (Pigs) - The supply pressure of pigs still exists, and strategies include waiting and selling a wide - straddle option strategy [39]. 3.2.6 Peanuts - Peanut prices are at the bottom and fluctuating. Strategies include short - selling 01 peanuts at high prices and conducting a 15 - peanut reverse spread [42]. 3.2.7 Eggs - Egg demand is average, and prices are stable with a slight decline. Strategies suggest waiting [47]. 3.2.8 Apples - Apple production has decreased, and the effective inventory is expected to be low. However, due to large price fluctuations, strategies suggest leaving the market and waiting [48][49]. 3.2.9 Cotton - Cotton Yarn - The cotton market has few fundamental contradictions and is in a state of shock. Strategies suggest waiting [52]. 3.3 Black Metals 3.3.1 Steel - Steel prices are in a range - bound pattern, and there is still room for reducing iron water. Strategies include maintaining a shock strategy and going long on the coil - screw spread [54][55]. 3.3.2 Double - Coking - The spot price of double - coking has回调, and the market is expected to be weak in the short - term. Strategies include gradually closing short positions and waiting to go long at low prices [57][58]. 3.3.3 Iron Ore - Iron ore is treated with a bearish mindset. Strategies include short - term short - selling and conducting a 1/5 inter - period reverse spread [60]. 3.3.4 Ferroalloys - Ferroalloys have weak supply and demand, with cost support. Strategies include bottom - bound shock operations and selling out - of - the - money straddle option combinations [61][62]. 3.4 Non - Ferrous Metals 3.4.1 Precious Metals - Precious metals continue to fluctuate due to mixed signals from the US non - farm data. Strategies include holding long positions cautiously near the support level [65][68]. 3.4.2 Copper - Copper prices are under pressure from the strong US dollar. Strategies include trying to go long at low prices and focusing on the support level [70]. 3.4.3 Alumina - Alumina has not seen substantial production cuts, and prices are expected to be weak in the short - term. Strategies suggest waiting [74][76]. 3.4.4 Electrolytic Aluminum - The Fed's interest - rate decision is uncertain, and aluminum prices follow the sector. Strategies include short - term waiting and focusing on the spread between East China and the Central Plains [77]. 3.4.5 Cast Aluminum Alloys - Cast aluminum alloys follow the aluminum price. Strategies include short - term waiting [81]. 3.4.6 Zinc - Zinc prices fluctuate widely. Strategies include setting stop - profit points for long positions and being vigilant about macro - factors [85]. 3.4.7 Lead - Lead prices are range - bound. Strategies suggest waiting [87]. 3.4.8 Nickel - Nickel prices are in a downward trend, approaching the cost. Strategies suggest waiting for a turnaround in the inventory situation [88]. 3.4.9 Stainless Steel - Stainless steel has weak supply and demand, and prices are weak. Strategies include short - selling on rebounds and selling out - of - the - money call options [92][94]. 3.4.10 Industrial Silicon - Industrial silicon may have a short - term correction, and strategies include buying at low prices after a full correction [95].

Group 1: Agricultural Products Market - The national market prices for edible agricultural products remained stable from November 10 to 16, with no change compared to the previous week [1] - Wholesale prices for grains and oils were mostly stable, with rice and rapeseed oil holding steady, while soybean oil and peanut oil decreased by 0.2% and 0.1% respectively, and flour increased by 0.2% [1] - Poultry product prices showed slight fluctuations, with eggs decreasing by 0.3% and white-cut chicken increasing by 0.2% [1] - Meat wholesale prices experienced minor changes, with pork priced at 18.42 yuan per kilogram, down by 1.0%, while beef remained stable and lamb increased by 0.3% [1] - The average wholesale price of 30 types of vegetables was 5.67 yuan per kilogram, down by 0.4%, with cauliflower, rapeseed, and broccoli decreasing by 7.8%, 7.6%, and 4.9% respectively [1] - Wholesale prices for aquatic products slightly declined, with crucian carp, silver carp, and grass carp decreasing by 1.4%, 0.5%, and 0.1% respectively [1] - The average wholesale price of six types of fruits saw a slight increase, with watermelon, grapes, and pears rising by 3.7%, 1.0%, and 0.2% respectively [1] Group 2: Production Materials Market - The prices of basic chemical raw materials predominantly increased, with sulfuric acid and soda ash rising by 4.1% and 0.2% respectively, while polypropylene and methanol decreased by 0.3% and 0.2% [2] - Wholesale prices for refined oil showed a slight recovery, with 0 diesel, 92 gasoline, and 95 gasoline increasing by 1.4%, 1.1%, and 0.9% respectively [2] - Prices of non-ferrous metals experienced slight increases, with aluminum, copper, and zinc rising by 2.0%, 0.9%, and 0.8% respectively [2] - Coal prices continued to rise, with coking coal, thermal coal, and anthracite priced at 1076 yuan, 788 yuan, and 1165 yuan per ton, increasing by 1.7%, 1.2%, and 0.1% respectively [2] - Rubber prices showed a slight rebound, with synthetic rubber and natural rubber increasing by 0.3% and 0.1% respectively [2] - Fertilizer prices saw a slight increase, with compound fertilizer and urea rising by 0.2% and 0.1% respectively [2] - Steel prices remained mostly stable, with rebar and high-speed wire priced at 3320 yuan and 3516 yuan per ton, increasing by 0.2% and 0.1% respectively, while channel steel remained stable and ordinary medium plate and hot-rolled strip decreased by 0.4% [2]

Report on the Steel Industry 1. Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View The steel market shows a weakening trend with falling prices and mixed production and inventory changes. The iron ore supply chain has a negative feedback basis, and it is not recommended to go long. For steel, with the decline in apparent demand and unsold inventory, a short - side attempt can be considered [1]. 3. Summary by Directory Steel Prices and Spreads - **Threaded Steel**: Spot prices in different regions (East, North, South) are between 3220 - 3300 yuan/ton, with a decline of 0 - 10 yuan/ton compared to the previous value. Futures contract prices also decreased, with the 05 contract down 23 yuan, the 10 contract down 18 yuan, and the 01 contract down 20 yuan [1]. - **Hot - Rolled Coil**: Spot prices in different regions are between 3220 - 3300 yuan/ton, with a change of - 10 - 10 yuan/ton. Futures contract prices decreased, with the 05 contract down 14 yuan, the 10 contract down 16 yuan, and the 01 contract down 9 yuan [1]. Cost and Profit - **Cost**: Steel billet price is 2970 yuan/ton (unchanged), and slab price is 3730 yuan/ton (unchanged). The cost of Jiangsu electric - furnace threaded steel is 3254 yuan/ton (unchanged), and the cost of Jiangsu converter threaded steel is 3189 yuan/ton, down 1 yuan [1]. - **Profit**: East China hot - rolled coil profit is - 77 yuan/ton, down 30 yuan; North China hot - rolled coil profit is - 147 yuan/ton (unchanged); East China threaded steel profit is - 127 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan; South China threaded steel profit is 43 yuan/ton (unchanged) [1]. Production - **Daily Average Hot - Metal Output**: It is 236.8 tons, up 2.6 tons or 1.1% [1]. - **Output of Five Major Steel Products**: It is 834.4 tons, down 22.4 tons or - 2.6%. Threaded steel output is 200.0 tons, down 8.5 tons or - 4.1%, including a 1.2 - ton or - 4.0% decrease in electric - furnace output and a 7.4 - ton or - 4.1% decrease in converter output. Hot - rolled coil output is 313.7 tons, down 4.5 tons or - 1.4% [1]. Inventory - **Inventory of Five Major Steel Products**: It is 1477.4 tons, down 26.2 tons or - 1.7%. Threaded steel inventory is 576.2 tons, down 16.4 tons or - 2.8%. Hot - rolled coil inventory is 410.5 tons, with a negligible change [1]. Transaction and Demand - **Building Materials Transaction Volume**: It is 9.2 tons, down 0.4 tons or - 4.1%. The apparent demand for five major steel products is 860.6 tons, down 6.3 tons or - 0.7%. The apparent demand for threaded steel is 216.4 tons, down 2.2 tons or - 1.0%. The apparent demand for hot - rolled coil is 313.6 tons, down 0.7 tons or - 0.2% [1]. Report on the Ore Industry 1. Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View The iron ore futures oscillated. Although the hot - metal output rebounded this week, there is limited room for further increase. With the current profit margin and inventory level of steel mills, it is not enough to trigger a negative feedback. It is expected that iron ore will show a high - level oscillation, and a wait - and - see approach is recommended for single - side trading [5]. 3. Summary by Directory Iron Ore - Related Prices and Spreads - **Warehouse Receipt Cost**: The warehouse receipt costs of various iron ore powders (Carol, PB, Brazilian Blend, Jinbuba) remained unchanged [5]. - **01 Contract Basis**: The basis of various iron ore powders increased slightly, with the basis of Carol powder up 0.5 yuan/ton or 2.4%, PB powder up 0.5 yuan/ton or 1.0%, Brazilian Blend powder up 0.5 yuan/ton or 0.8%, and Jinbuba powder up 0.5 yuan/ton or 1.0% [5]. - **Spread**: The 5 - 9 spread is 25.0 yuan/ton, up 1.5 yuan or 6.4%; the 9 - 1 spread is - 61.5 yuan/ton, down 3.5 yuan or - 6.0%; the 1 - 5 spread is 36.5 yuan/ton, up 2.0 yuan or 5.8% [5]. Spot Prices and Price Indexes - **Spot Prices at Rizhao Port**: The spot prices of various iron ore powders (Carol, PB, Brazilian Blend, Jinbuba) remained unchanged. The price of the Singapore Exchange 62% Fe swap is 104.5 dollars/ton, down 0.1 dollars or - 0.1%, and the Platts 62% Fe is 105.2 dollars/ton, down 0.1 dollars or - 0.1% [5]. Supply - **Arrival Volume at 45 Ports (Weekly)**: It is 2268.9 tons, down 472.3 tons or - 17.2%. - **Global Shipment Volume (Weekly)**: It is 3516.4 tons, up 447.4 tons or 14.6%. - **National Monthly Import Volume**: It is 11632.6 tons, up 1111.6 tons or 10.6% [5]. Demand - **Daily Average Hot - Metal of 247 Steel Mills (Weekly)**: It is 236.9 tons, up 2.7 tons or 1.1%. - **Daily Average Out - Port Volume at 45 Ports (Weekly)**: It is 327.0 tons, up 6.0 tons or 1.9%. - **National Monthly Pig Iron Output**: It is 6554.9 tons, down 49.7 tons or - 0.8%. - **National Monthly Crude Steel Output**: It is 7199.7 tons, down 149.3 tons or - 2.0% [5]. Inventory Change - **Inventory at 45 Ports (Weekly)**: It is 15114.45 tons, down 15.3 tons or - 0.1%. - **Imported Ore Inventory of 247 Steel Mills (Weekly)**: It is 9076.0 tons, up 66.1 tons or 0.7%. - **Inventory Availability Days of 64 Steel Mills (Weekly)**: It is 21.0 days, unchanged [5]. Report on the Coke and Coking Coal Industry 1. Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View Coke futures continued to decline, and the fourth round of price increases by mainstream coking enterprises has been fully implemented. Coking coal futures showed a weak downward trend. For both coke and coking coal, a short - side oscillation is expected, and a wait - and - see approach is recommended [8]. 3. Summary by Directory Coke - Related Prices and Spreads - **Coke Spot and Futures**: The prices of Shanxi and Rizhao Port quasi - first - grade wet - quenched coke (warehouse receipts) remained unchanged. The coke 01 contract is 1639 yuan/ton, down 11 yuan or - 0.6%, and the 05 contract is 1796 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan or 0.0% [8]. - **Basis and Spread**: The 01 basis is 7 yuan/ton, up 11 yuan; the 01 - 05 spread is - 157 yuan/ton, down 11 yuan [8]. - **Coking Profit**: The coking profit of the Steel Union (weekly) is - 54 yuan/ton, down 11 yuan [8]. Coking Coal - Related Prices and Spreads - **Coking Coal Spot and Futures**: The price of Shanxi medium - sulfur primary coking coal (warehouse receipt) remained unchanged, while the price of Mongolian 5 raw coal (warehouse receipt) is 1264 yuan/ton, down 27 yuan or - 2.1%. The coking coal 01 contract is 1140 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan or - 1.7%, and the 05 contract is 1211 yuan/ton, down 22 yuan or - 1.7% [8]. - **Basis and Spread**: The 01 basis is 125 yuan/ton, down 8 yuan; the 01 - 05 spread is - 71 yuan/ton, up 2 yuan [8]. - **Sample Coal Mine Profit**: The sample coal mine profit (weekly) is 569 yuan/ton, up 24 yuan or 4.2% [8]. Supply - **Coke Production (Weekly)**: The daily average output of all - sample coking plants is 63.0 tons, down 0.6 tons or - 0.9%, and the daily average output of 247 steel mills is 46.2 tons, up 0.1 tons or 0.2% [8]. - **Coking Coal Production (Weekly)**: The raw coal output of Fenwei sample coal mines is 853.8 tons, up 5.4 tons or 0.6%, and the clean coal output is 435.7 tons, up 2.7 tons or 0.6% [8]. Demand - **Hot - Metal Production (Weekly)**: The hot - metal output of 247 steel mills is 236.9 tons, up 2.7 tons or 1.1%. - **Coke Demand (Weekly)**: Reflected in the coke production requirements, with the change of coking plant and steel mill production [8]. Inventory Change - **Coke Inventory (Weekly)**: The total coke inventory is 879.4 tons, down 7.7 tons or - 0.9%. The inventory of all - sample coking plants, 247 steel mills, and ports all decreased [8]. - **Coking Coal Inventory (Weekly)**: The clean coal inventory of some coal mines is 87.6 tons, up 7.2 tons or 9.0%. The inventory of all - sample coking plants, 247 steel mills, and ports has different changes, with an overall median increase [8]. Supply - Demand Gap - **Coke Supply - Demand Gap (Weekly)**: It is - 5.5 tons, down 1.8 tons or - 32.5% [8].

Core Insights - Shaanxi's total import and export value reached 420.95 billion yuan in the first ten months, marking a year-on-year growth of 12.2%, ranking ninth in the country [1] - Exports amounted to 291.62 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 15.3%, while imports were 129.33 billion yuan, growing by 5.7%, resulting in a trade surplus of 162.29 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Trade Performance - Processing trade and general trade showed stable growth, with processing trade at 195.45 billion yuan (up 9.6%) and general trade at 158.21 billion yuan (up 11.1%) [1] - Bonded logistics trade reached 50.49 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 7.3% [1] Group 2: Regional Trade Growth - Trade with ASEAN, Taiwan, EU, Hong Kong, and the US all experienced growth, with exports to ASEAN at 67.68 billion yuan (up 16.6%), Taiwan at 57.93 billion yuan (up 76.8%), and the EU at 52.17 billion yuan (up 43.9%) [1] - Trade with Belt and Road countries totaled 227.02 billion yuan, growing by 2.1%, accounting for 53.9% of the province's total trade [1] Group 3: Foreign Investment and Sector Performance - Foreign-invested enterprises saw a significant increase in trade, with a total of 242.67 billion yuan (up 19.5%), while private enterprises reported 149.12 billion yuan (up 3.1%) [2] - Key export categories included integrated circuits at 111.82 billion yuan (up 21.6%), automobiles at 42.42 billion yuan (up 21.4%), and automatic data processing equipment at 26.61 billion yuan (up 28.2%) [2] Group 4: Import Dynamics - Imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment surged over twofold, reaching 7.13 billion yuan (up 205.7%), while total imports of mechanical and electrical products were 89.01 billion yuan (up 9.3%) [2] - Integrated circuit imports totaled 55 billion yuan, indicating a strong demand in the technology sector [2]

Group 1: Market Overview - The national production material market prices remained stable compared to the previous week [1] - Coal prices experienced slight increases, with thermal coal, coking coal, and anthracite priced at 779 yuan, 1058 yuan, and 1164 yuan per ton, reflecting increases of 1.4%, 0.5%, and 0.3% respectively [1] - Basic chemical raw material prices predominantly increased, with sulfuric acid and soda ash rising by 1.5% and 0.6%, while methanol and polypropylene decreased by 0.7% and 0.3% [1] Group 2: Metal and Fuel Prices - Non-ferrous metal prices showed minor fluctuations, with copper decreasing by 1.7%, while zinc and aluminum increased by 0.9% and 0.7% respectively [1] - Refined oil wholesale prices showed a slight decline, with 0 diesel remaining stable, while 95 and 92 gasoline decreased by 0.3% [1] Group 3: Fertilizer and Steel Prices - Fertilizer prices saw a slight decrease, with urea dropping by 0.4%, while ternary compound fertilizer remained stable compared to the previous week [2] - Steel prices experienced a minor decline, with hot-rolled strip steel, rebar, and high-speed wire priced at 3490 yuan, 3313 yuan, and 3513 yuan per ton, reflecting decreases of 0.8%, 0.7%, and 0.5% respectively [2] Group 4: Rubber Prices - Rubber prices experienced slight declines, with synthetic rubber and natural rubber decreasing by 2.5% and 1.5% respectively [3]