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金融行业周报:消费金融政策加码,货币政策例会召开-20250630
Ping An Securities· 2025-06-30 04:12
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Strongly Recommended" with an expectation that stock performance will exceed market performance by more than 20% within six months [52]. Core Insights - The report highlights the implementation of policies aimed at boosting consumer finance and enhancing the financial support for consumption, with a focus on structural monetary policy tools [6][14]. - A comprehensive plan for the high-quality development of inclusive finance has been announced, aiming to establish a robust inclusive financial system over the next five years [7][18]. - The second quarter monetary policy meeting indicated a more optimistic outlook for the domestic economy, while still acknowledging challenges such as insufficient domestic demand and low inflation [21][19]. Summary by Sections Consumer Finance Policy - On June 24, the People's Bank of China and six other departments issued guidelines to support and expand consumption, proposing 19 key measures to enhance consumer capacity and financial supply [6][14]. - The guidelines include a 500 billion yuan re-lending facility for service consumption and pension loans, aimed at 21 national financial institutions and five systemically important city commercial banks [6][16]. Inclusive Finance Development - The "High-Quality Development Implementation Plan for Inclusive Finance" was released on June 26, outlining four basic principles and three key tasks for the next five years [7][18]. - The plan emphasizes the establishment of a comprehensive inclusive financial system, enhancing the service capabilities of financial institutions, and improving credit support for small and micro enterprises [7][18]. Monetary Policy Meeting - The second quarter monetary policy meeting on June 23 noted an improved economic outlook, with a focus on maintaining an "appropriately loose" monetary policy while addressing challenges such as low domestic demand [21][19]. - The meeting emphasized the need for flexible policy implementation and support for key sectors through structural monetary policy tools [21][19]. Industry Data - As of the end of the first quarter of 2025, total assets of financial institutions grew by 7.5% year-on-year, with the banking sector's assets increasing by 6.8% [22][23]. - Weekly stock trading volume averaged 1.80 trillion yuan, reflecting an 18.1% increase compared to the previous week [41][40]. - The ten-year government bond yield rose by 0.78 basis points, indicating a slight increase in interest rates [47][46].
金融科技ETF(516860)震荡走强上涨1.49%,数字资产时代有望加速全面开启
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-06-30 03:06
费率方面,金融科技ETF管理费率为0.50%,托管费率为0.10%,费率在可比基金中最低。 跟踪精度方面,截至2025年6月27日,金融科技ETF近1月跟踪误差为0.039%,在可比基金中跟踪精度最 高。 金融科技ETF紧密跟踪中证金融科技主题指数,中证金融科技主题指数选取产品与服务涉及金融科技相 关领域的上市公司证券作为指数样本,以反映金融科技主题上市公司证券的整体表现。 截至2025年6月30日 10:44,中证金融科技主题指数(930986)强势上涨1.35%,成分股宇信科技(300674)上 涨11.26%,东信和平(002017)上涨10.03%,翠微股份(603123)上涨10.00%,四方精创(300468),新国都 (300130)等个股跟涨。金融科技ETF(516860)上涨1.49%,最新价报1.43元。拉长时间看,截至2025年6月 27日,金融科技ETF近1周累计上涨13.88%。 流动性方面,金融科技ETF盘中换手9.57%,成交8610.58万元。拉长时间看,截至6月27日,金融科技 ETF近1周日均成交2.30亿元。 中信建投证券表示,香港稳定币监管政策端持续突破,《香港数字资产 ...
AI人才缺口扩大,香港再出手面向内地“抢人才”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-06-30 02:53
智通财经记者 | 张熹珑 经济转型、科技发展和数字化趋势正在改变市场对人才的需求,要成为国际创新科技中心的香港加 速"抢人才"步伐。 "2025香港国际人才职业博览会"第二季于6月28日举办。该系列活动为今年首创,由香港特区政府劳工 及福利局、香港人才服务办公室提供指导和支持。其中,第二季聚焦"创新科技、工业制造与智慧城 市",涵盖人工智能、金融经济与智能制造等前沿领域,共吸引超过50家企业参展。活动当天有近5000 名人士现场求职。 人才招聘背后折射的是区域的产业布局。近年来,港府多次投入重金支持人工智能产业,希望在AI浪 潮中不缺席。香港创新科技及工业局局长孙东会上提及,随着大型创科基建陆续落成,香港产业生态将 更趋多元,对专业创科人才的需求亦日益殷切,数据分析、人工智能等方向尤为紧缺。 港府大力推动创科产业发展,但人才高度短缺、供不应求的情况加剧。据香港劳工及福利局于去年11月 发布的最新一轮人力推算报告,预计到2028年,香港整体人力短缺达18万人。其中,政府大力发展的创 新及科技产业的短缺较明显,每个产业缺口均超过5000人。预计到2028年,熟练技术人员缺口将达到6 万至6.5万。 该报告指出,创 ...
计算机行业“一周解码”:多因素催化下,网络安全景气度有望提升
Bank of China Securities· 2025-06-30 02:19
计算机 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2025 年 6 月 30 日 强于大市 多因素催化下,网络安全景 气度有望提升 计算机行业"一周解码" 本周(6.23-6.28)网络安全指数(884133.WI)和数据安全指数(8841651WI) 上涨较多。我们认为主要催化因素包括:跨境支付通正式上线;央行将制定 新阶段金融科技发展规划,并开展数据要素试点;国泰君安获虚拟资产交易 牌,虚拟资产交易有望扩容,催生加密安全技术需求。 支撑评级的要点 (1)科大讯飞:在 2025 全球元宇宙大会上,科大讯飞副总裁于亮介绍了公 司在人工智能领域的最新成果,并表示正探索利用 AI 技术提升元宇宙交 互体验,如通过语音合成等技术让虚拟人更智能。 (2)新北洋:公告拟使用自有资金 5000 万元设立全资子公司新疆北洋海丝 数字科技有限公司,以满足业务发展和提升运营效率。 投资建议 建议关注网络安全、跨境支付等相关企业,包括安恒信息、恒宝股份、 吉大正元、南天信息等。 评级面临的主要风险 技术创新不及预期;政策推行不到位;下游需求景气度不稳定的风险。 相关研究报告 《计算机行业"一周解码"》20250623 《计算机行业"一周解 ...
内蒙古进一步激活金融创新引擎
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-30 02:14
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the integration of blockchain technology in the regional equity market of Inner Mongolia, aimed at enhancing financial innovation and efficiency [1][2] - The Inner Mongolia regional equity market is leveraging blockchain to create a digital financial service system that covers the entire lifecycle of enterprises, improving the allocation of financial resources [1] - As of April this year, the Inner Mongolia equity trading center has completed 264 equity pledge registrations, involving a financing scale exceeding 5.3 billion yuan, which provides significant support for enterprise financing [1] Group 2 - The Inner Mongolia equity trading center is implementing the "Tianjun Plan" to support efficient listings of enterprises, providing professional listing guidance services to over 200 companies [2] - The regional equity market is focused on building a robust and reliable data space by integrating various data sources, which enhances financial security and asset verification for credit [2] - Future plans include the continuous guidance from the Inner Mongolia Finance Department to establish blockchain financial infrastructure, aiming to improve financial regulation and promote industrial upgrades [2]
稳定币的经济学分析
2025-06-30 01:02
Summary of Conference Call on Stablecoins Industry Overview - The discussion revolves around the **stablecoin** industry, particularly focusing on **USD stablecoins** and their implications in the global financial system [2][4][6]. Key Points and Arguments Definition and Characteristics of Stablecoins - Stablecoins are private currencies pegged to fiat currencies, primarily designed to maintain stable value [6]. - USD stablecoins, such as USDT and USDC, account for over **90%** of the total stablecoin market capitalization [6]. - The operational model of stablecoins resembles that of **narrow banking**, where they hold low-risk, high-liquidity assets to ensure redemption [12]. Demand and Supply Dynamics - The supply of stablecoins is highly elastic and primarily driven by demand, as they do not pay interest [22]. - The market capitalization of USD stablecoins surged from several billion in 2020 to over **$220 billion** by Q1 2025, representing **99.8%** of fiat-pegged stablecoins [23]. Economic Implications - Stablecoins offer lower transaction costs, particularly in **cross-border payments**, compared to traditional banking systems [17][20]. - The demand for stablecoins is influenced by factors such as the need for liquidity in high-inflation economies and the convenience they provide in crypto trading [26][29]. Regulatory Landscape - The U.S. government, under the Trump administration, has shown interest in promoting USD stablecoins while opposing central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) [4]. - The European Central Bank (ECB) is exploring the introduction of a digital euro to counter the rise of stablecoins [4]. - Hong Kong has passed regulations allowing licensed institutions to issue fiat-pegged stablecoins, indicating a growing regulatory framework [4]. Risks and Challenges - Stablecoins face inherent risks, including potential loss of peg and lack of regulatory oversight compared to traditional banking systems [36][37]. - The reliance on private institutions for issuing stablecoins raises concerns about their safety and stability, especially during market volatility [36][39]. Future Prospects - The growth potential of stablecoins is closely tied to the status of the USD as the world's primary reserve currency [31]. - Stablecoins may enhance the dollar's international role, but they also pose challenges to monetary policy and financial stability in other countries [35][49]. - The development of a robust regulatory framework is essential to balance innovation with the need for financial stability and consumer protection [47][48]. Strategic Recommendations - China should leverage its digital payment platforms like WeChat Pay and Alipay to enhance cross-border payment capabilities, utilizing the strengths of its large economy [49][50]. - Hong Kong could serve as a testing ground for RMB stablecoins, balancing innovation with regulatory oversight [50]. Other Important Insights - The discussion highlights the dual nature of stablecoins as both a technological innovation and a financial instrument, with implications for monetary policy and international finance [8][10]. - The potential for stablecoins to facilitate underground economic activities and regulatory arbitrage raises significant concerns for global financial stability [27][32]. This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the conference call regarding the evolving landscape of stablecoins and their implications for the global economy and regulatory frameworks.
中金:稳定币的经济学分析
中金· 2025-06-30 01:02
宏观视点 2025年6月26日 稳定币的经济学分析 稳定币是锚定法定货币的私人货币,美元稳定币的运营模式类似狭义银行的 概念,发行人的负债端(稳定币)零付息,作为兑换保障的安全资产则生息。稳定 币的供给弹性大,近几年美元利率大幅上升带来的利差使得发行机构有增加供给 的动力,但零付息意味其流通量主要由需求决定。需求方之所以愿意放弃利息收 入是因为稳定币带来其他方面的便利收益,比如用于加密资产交易,在跨境支付 上比传统银行支付体系的成本低,其中监管套利是一个重要方面,另一个可能是 作为替代币值不稳货币的工具。理论上讲这些也可以通过其他货币的稳定币进行, 但美元作为国际储备货币有在位优势,其已经形成的网络和规模效应,使得其他 货币稳定币在与美元稳定币的竞争中处于劣势。这可能是为什么欧央行主张通过 发行数字欧元(央行数字货币)而不是利用欧元稳定币来应对美元稳定币的挑战。 对中国来讲,首先是应该大力促进第三方支付工具在跨境支付中的使用,从经济 机制看,微信支付和支付宝类的平台数字货币类似人民币稳定币,在本土已经形 成强大的网络和规模经济,而且和美元稳定币比较,人民币平台稳定币的经济属 性较强、金融属性较弱,更能发挥中国 ...
早报 (06.30)| “大而美”法案参议院闯关成功!马斯克痛批;特朗普:已完全摧毁3处伊核设施;中方恢复日本部分地区水产品进口
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-30 00:08
当地时间6月28日,美国参议院以51票对49票通过一项程序性动议,这项动议旨在推进被美国总统特朗普称为"大而美"的大规模税收与支出法案。据悉, 这项程序性动议得到通过后,大规模税收与支出法案将经历朗读、辩论、修正案投票和最终表决,预计耗时数天,目标是7月4日前送交美国总统签署。美 国企业家埃隆·马斯克再次发文批评,最新法案草案"将摧毁美国数百万个就业岗位,并对我们国家造成巨大损害"。 当地时间6月29日,美国总统特朗普表示,美国对伊朗福尔多核设施的袭击完全摧毁了目标地点。"现在那个地方只有几千吨的岩石,整个地方被摧毁了, 伊朗另外两个核设施也被摧毁了"。特朗普称,以色列对伊朗核设施造成了破坏,但美国造成了最后的破坏。特朗普否认伊朗在美国发起袭击前将任何东 西进行了转移。此外,参与袭击的B-2轰炸机飞行员将去往白宫。 A股方面,沪指周涨1.91%,深证成指周涨3.73%,创业板指周涨5.69%。申万一级行业方面,计算机、国防军工、非银金融等板块领涨,石油石化、食品 饮料、交通运输等下跌。 港股方面,恒指周涨3.2%,恒生科技指数周涨4.06%,国指周涨2.76% 。半导体、电气设备、硬件设备、非银金融、有色金属 ...
陈茂波:推动发行人把稳定币应用推展至不同场景
智通财经网· 2025-06-30 00:03
Group 1 - Hong Kong's stablecoin legislation will take effect on August 1, aiming to create a favorable market environment and necessary regulatory measures to promote the application of stablecoins in various scenarios [1] - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority signed a strategic cooperation agreement with the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) to invest in risk investment funds focused on emerging markets in Asia, supporting green transformation and infrastructure development [1][2] - Hong Kong's exports increased by 15.5% year-on-year, marking 15 consecutive months of positive growth, with significant increases in exports to Vietnam (59%), Japan (20%), and mainland China (18%) [3] Group 2 - The global South, including Asia, is increasingly favoring the use of local currencies for trade settlements, with China being the world's largest trading nation since 2017, accounting for 12.5% of global trade last year [4] - Hong Kong is enhancing its role as the largest offshore RMB business hub by improving RMB liquidity and optimizing financial infrastructure to support financing, payment, investment, and fund allocation needs [4] - The potential of fintech in cross-border trade is significant, aiming to address long-standing issues of slow payment speeds and high costs, with stablecoins offering cost-effective alternatives for payment and capital market activities [4] Group 3 - The visit to Tianjin included representatives from over 20 startups in various fields such as AI, robotics, and fintech, aiming to explore collaboration and resource sharing with local enterprises [5] - The deepening integration of the Asian region is a crucial and irreversible economic development trend, presenting opportunities for Hong Kong to contribute to regional prosperity [6]
头部私募仓位高企 中期策略研判更趋积极
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-06-29 20:22
□本报记者王辉 头部私募仓位高企 顺时投资权益投资总监易小斌认为,近期,部分外部因素的积极变化为A股运行提供了有利环境,但起 决定性作用的仍然是内部因素。这些因素包括:市场自2024年10月高点以来的累计调整时间已超8个 月,技术面面临突破;国内政策密集出台,直接刺激了券商、金融科技等板块爆发;市场资金面充裕, 核聚变、稳定币、固态电池等热点不断涌现,有效维系了市场人气。易小斌判断,这些内外部积极因素 的中期延续性较强,有利因素不断积聚,预计将推动行情持续发展。 融智投资基金经理夏风光从宏观周期角度分析称,下半年全球主要经济体货币政策的"潜在共振"是关键 变量,美联储重启降息进程的可能性正在增大,这将为国内货币和财政政策打开空间。夏风光表 示:"流动性环境的进一步改善叠加经济回暖,有望进一步推升本轮A股的阶段性趋势行情。" 来自第三方机构私募排排网的最新监测数据显示,截至6月20日,全市场股票私募机构的平均仓位水平 为74.62%,较前一周小幅上升0.37个百分点,这一数值处于今年以来的中等偏高水平。在具体仓位上, 54.31%股票私募机构仓位处于重仓或满仓(仓位大于八成)水平,24.41%股票私募仓位处于中 ...