Group 1 - Deutsche Bank analysts indicate that the recent surge in gold prices to historical highs suggests underlying panic in the stock market, as gold is typically viewed as a safe-haven asset during economic uncertainty [1] - The market is increasingly concerned about potential government shutdowns in the U.S. and slowing job growth, which are contributing to the fear reflected in rising gold prices [1] - Credit Suisse notes that comments from Fed Governor Milan regarding a potential 150 basis point rate cut have had minimal impact on market expectations, as evidenced by the continued rise in two-year Treasury yields [1] Group 2 - ING maintains a neutral stance on U.S. Treasuries in the short term, while looking for opportunities to short 10-year Treasuries, anticipating a rise in yields to 4.5% by 2026 [2] - Morgan Stanley suggests that the likelihood of the Bank of England cutting rates in December is low, despite potential economic weakness, with expected rate cuts in February and April [2] - CICC reports a continued trend of deposit migration, primarily driven by a shift towards equity markets, although the pace of this migration has slowed [2] Group 3 - Huatai Securities predicts an acceleration of the "East rises, West declines" trend in the semiconductor equipment market in China, with global equipment company revenues expected to grow by 24% year-on-year by Q2 2025 [3] - CITIC Securities highlights that the Democratic Republic of Congo's new cobalt export quotas may lead to a significant increase in cobalt prices due to supply constraints [4] - CITIC JianTou expresses optimism about the robotics sector, driven by advancements in Tesla's Optimus and other companies, indicating a return to technology growth as a key investment theme [5] Group 4 - CITIC Securities notes that solid-state battery trials are beginning, with a focus on improving interface and pressure conditions to address key challenges [6] - CITIC JianTou forecasts that global investment in power grids will exceed $400 billion by 2025, driven by rising electricity demand and increased capital expenditures from major companies [7] - Galaxy Securities reports that positive factors for banks are accumulating, suggesting a potential turning point for mid-term performance improvements [8] Group 5 - Galaxy Securities continues to favor sectors related to computing power, including PCB, domestic computing, IP licensing, and chip inductors, anticipating a recovery in the foldable screen market by 2026 [9] - Everbright Securities indicates that domestic engineering machinery sales are performing well despite seasonal trends, with significant growth in non-excavator categories [10]

【导读】中证全球算力主题指数、中证沪深港算力主题指数将于9月24日正式发布 9月23日，中证指数有限公司发布消息称，将于9月24日正式发布中证全球算力主题指数、中证沪深港算力主题指数，为市场提供多样化的业绩比较基准与 投资标的。 具体来看，中证全球算力主题指数，是从全球市场中选取业务涉及数据中心建设、运营及相关硬件设备制造等算力领域的上市公司作为指数样本公司，以 反映全球市场代表性算力领域上市公司证券的整体表现。 | | 中证全球算力主题指数样本名单 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 证券代码 | 证券中文简称 | 证券英文名称 | | Stock | Stock Name | Stock Nore (Eng.) | | Code | | | | 000063 | 中兴通讯 | ZTE Corporation | | 000938 | 紫米股份 | Unisplendour Corporation Limited | | 000977 | 浪潮信息 | leit Systems Co., Ltd. | | 000988 | 华工科技 | Huagang Tech Campany Limite ...

Market Overview - A total of 54 stocks reached the daily limit up in the A-share market, with 51 stocks after excluding 3 ST stocks, resulting in a limit-up rate of 72.97% [1] Trading Highlights - The highest limit-up order volume was for Dazhong Public Utilities with 504,100 hands, followed by Meike Home, Lianmei Holdings, and Guangdong Construction with 335,400 hands, 296,800 hands, and 278,000 hands respectively [2] - Tianpu Co. achieved a remarkable 15 consecutive limit-ups, while Hangzhou Electric and Fulongma had 6 and 4 consecutive limit-ups respectively [2] Company Insights - Heertai has strategically positioned itself in the smart product business since the early development of artificial intelligence technology, integrating various technologies to upgrade traditional hardware [2] - Longchuan Technology provides testing equipment for integrated circuit packaging and testing enterprises, wafer manufacturing enterprises, and chip design companies [5] - Demingli focuses on flash memory controller chip design and storage module solutions, with applications in data centers, consumer electronics, and automotive electronics [6] - Guiguang Network is a significant broadcasting network operator in Guizhou province, actively participating in data center operations [7] Investment Trends - The net buying amount for Shanghai Construction exceeded 200 million yuan, with significant net purchases also seen in Wolong Materials and Demingli [10] - Institutional investors showed strong interest in Demingli, Haibo Sichuang, and Zhongdian Xinlong, with net buying amounts of 362 million yuan, 178 million yuan, and 79.2 million yuan respectively [10]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Tianfeng Securities indicates a divergence in the market regarding the overseas computing power chain, with significant developments observed from April to August, coinciding with the disclosure of heavy holdings in fund quarterly reports [1][2]. Group 1: Market Trends - From August 25 onwards, the daily return volatility of actively managed equity funds heavily invested in overseas computing power has increased [2]. - The correlation between the daily returns of these funds and the fluctuations of the overseas computing power index has been rising since June, with September showing even greater consistency [2]. - The standard deviation of daily price changes for the components of the overseas computing power index has also increased in September, aligning with the return volatility of the funds [2]. Group 2: Fund Performance - The theoretical and actual returns of actively managed equity funds focused on overseas computing power showed a strong positive correlation during June, July, and August [2]. - In September, about one-third of the funds deviated significantly from their estimated theoretical returns, with actual returns exceeding theoretical ones, indicating notable portfolio adjustments [2]. - Funds with over 60% holdings in leading overseas computing power companies as of June 30, 2025, were primarily responsible for this deviation [2]. Group 3: Fund Holdings and Impact - As of September 18, 2025, the adjustment levels of actively managed equity funds focused on overseas computing power are not expected to significantly impact the leading companies in this sector [3]. - Funds with over 40% holdings in leading overseas computing power companies increased their allocations by more than 20% from the previous quarter, totaling approximately 7.931 billion yuan [3]. - Funds with 20-40% holdings that also increased their allocations by over 20% held approximately 11.448 billion yuan, together accounting for less than 1% of the market capitalization of the overseas computing power index components [3].

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a decline with all three major indices dropping over 1% by midday on September 23, 2023, with over 4900 stocks falling [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3781.61 points, down 1.23%, with a trading volume of 722.4 billion yuan; the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12916.41 points, down 1.84%, with a trading volume of 974.2 billion yuan; the ChiNext Index closed at 3053.48 points, down 1.75%, with a trading volume of 457 billion yuan [1] Sector Performance - Banking stocks collectively rose, with notable increases in Nanjing Bank, Xiamen Bank, China Construction Bank, and Agricultural Bank of China, each gaining over 3% [1] - The port and shipping sector showed resilience, with Nanjing Port and Ningbo Maritime both hitting the daily limit [1] - The semiconductor industry continued its strong performance, with stocks like Changchuan Technology and Lianang Micro reaching the daily limit, and Huasoft Technology achieving three consecutive trading limits [1] - Conversely, tourism stocks faced significant declines, with Yunnan Tourism hitting the daily limit down, and software stocks mostly fell, with Wangda Software also hitting the daily limit down [1][2] Institutional Insights - Huatai Securities recommends the e-commerce and express delivery sectors, noting that despite August being a traditional off-season, the industry is experiencing increased activity due to anti-involution trends, with expectations for continued price increases through the end of the year [3] - Everbright Securities highlights a recovery in the domestic excavator market, with significant policy support expected to sustain mid-term demand for construction machinery [3] - Galaxy Securities remains optimistic about the computing power sector, particularly in PCB, domestic computing power, IP licensing, and chip inductors, anticipating a recovery in the foldable screen market by 2026 [4] Policy Developments - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced plans to explore new sectors such as humanoid robots, brain-computer interfaces, the metaverse, and quantum information during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, aiming to establish a modern industrial system [5] Telecommunications Sector - The telecommunications industry reported a cumulative revenue of 118.21 billion yuan for the first eight months of 2023, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.8%, with a total business volume growth of 8.8% when adjusted for last year's prices [6] Investment Trends - The KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB) has seen inflows for six consecutive weeks, marking the longest streak since February, with a total inflow of $599 million over this period [7]

Market Overview - On September 22, the AI and robotics sectors showed strong performance, with the Moer Thread concept index leading the market. Key areas of activity included GPU, memory, and AI computing power. The Huaxia Sci-Tech AI ETF (589010) surged by 3.81%, breaking through the five-day moving average with strong growth momentum. The total trading volume reached 889,600 lots, a four-month high [1] - Among the holdings, the third-largest weighted stock, Chip Origin Technology, led with a 17.34% increase. Other notable performers included Amlogic, which rose by 9.45%, and Espressif Systems, which increased by 8.18%. The Robotics ETF (562500) closed up 1.69%, with significant fluctuations during the day [1] - The liquidity for the Robotics ETF saw a net inflow of 56.52 million yuan, with 9 out of the last 10 trading days recording net inflows, totaling 1.809 billion yuan [1] Key Developments - OpenAI and NVIDIA announced an intention to establish a partnership, with NVIDIA planning to invest up to $100 billion to support data center and related infrastructure development. This collaboration aims to deploy at least 10 gigawatts of NVIDIA systems for OpenAI's next-generation AI infrastructure, with the first systems expected to be deployed in the second half of 2026 [2] - Zhiyuan Robotics recently received the first CR certification for humanoid robot datasets in the industry, marking a significant step in the standardization and quality evaluation of humanoid robot datasets in China [2] - LG Chem announced the establishment of a robotics automation laboratory at its research institute in Daejeon, South Korea, aimed at enhancing the competitiveness of next-generation battery materials through automated analysis of raw materials [3] Institutional Insights - China Galaxy Securities expressed optimism about the computing power sector, indicating it remains in a performance realization phase with relatively moderate valuation levels. The firm continues to favor PCB, domestic computing power, and IP licensing related to computing power for the second half of the year [4] Popular ETFs - The Robotics ETF (562500) is noted as the only ETF in the market with a scale exceeding 20 billion yuan, offering the best liquidity and comprehensive coverage of the Chinese robotics industry [5] - The Huaxia Sci-Tech AI ETF (589010) is characterized as the "brain" of robotics, with a 20% fluctuation limit and small-cap elasticity, aimed at capturing pivotal moments in the AI industry [5]

Group 1 - The Congolese government has updated its cobalt export policy, extending the export ban to October 15, 2025, and limiting export quotas to 44% of annual production for 2026-2027, indicating a strong intention to control global cobalt prices [1] - The export quota policy is expected to lead to significant supply shortages in global cobalt supply, with shortfalls of 122,000 tons, 88,000 tons, and 97,000 tons for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, which may result in a strong increase in cobalt prices [1] - Companies involved in cobalt smelting in Indonesia and those owning mines in the Democratic Republic of Congo are expected to benefit significantly from the anticipated rise in cobalt prices [1] Group 2 - Global investment in power grids is projected to exceed $400 billion by 2025, indicating a sustained high demand for electrical equipment [2] - The demand for transformers is increasing, particularly in the U.S. and the Middle East, with Chinese companies securing large orders worth billions [2] - The first half of 2025 is expected to see rapid growth in export business for leading companies in the electrical equipment sector, contributing to increased profitability [2] Group 3 - The computing power sector remains in a performance realization phase with moderate valuation levels, continuing to show promise for the second half of the year, particularly in PCB, domestic computing power, IP licensing, and chip inductors [2] - 2026 is anticipated to be a pivotal year for the foldable screen market, with potential new products from Apple expected to stimulate market discussions and demand [2] - AR glasses manufacturers are pushing the technology from niche markets to mainstream consumer electronics, with advancements in AI and AR technology expected to position smart glasses as the next major computing platform after smartphones [2]

Group 1 - The report highlights a divergence in market sentiment regarding the main overseas computing power chain, with some investors believing valuations are not expensive while others are concerned about short-term price increases and performance realization [2][8] - An observation angle is proposed, indicating that overseas computing power began to emerge from April to June, accelerating in July and August, which coincides with the disclosure of heavy holdings in fund quarterly reports [2][8] - The overseas computing power index, composed of 18 leading companies with a market capitalization of over 20 billion, recorded a 187% increase from the end of May to September 1, with a maximum drawdown of approximately 14.3% before recovering to previous highs [8][9] Group 2 - The report identifies a sample of 21 actively managed equity funds that increased their holdings in overseas computing power leaders by over 20% compared to the previous quarter, with a holding ratio greater than 40% [9][28] - The daily return volatility of the actively managed equity fund pool with heavy overseas computing power holdings increased after August 25, indicating potential internal divergences or reduced consistency among the leading companies in the overseas computing power chain [11][16] - In September, about one-third of the funds in the pool showed significant deviations from estimated theoretical returns, with actual returns exceeding theoretical returns, suggesting notable rebalancing behavior among certain funds [16][20]

Market Overview - The market showed a recovery with the three major indices slightly up: Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.22%, Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.67%, and ChiNext Index gained 0.55% [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.12 trillion yuan, a decrease of 202.3 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Key Sectors Technology Sector - The technology sector remained strong, particularly in consumer electronics, with semiconductor supply chain segments like storage chips and advanced packaging leading the gains [1] - OpenAI has signed an agreement with Luxshare Precision, an Apple supplier, to develop a consumer-grade device that will collaborate with OpenAI's AI models, indicating potential growth in hardware demand [1][10] - The OCS (Optical Circuit Switch) concept gained traction, with stocks like Tengjing Technology and Guangku Technology seeing continuous increases, providing new investment opportunities in the computing power supply chain [1] Semiconductor Industry - The semiconductor industry is experiencing upward momentum, with stocks like Demingli and Chip Origin reaching their daily limits or increasing by over 10% [7] - Price increases in storage products have been announced, with SanDisk raising prices by over 10% and Micron notifying a 20%-30% increase, indicating a significant shift in the global storage industry [7] Precious Metals - Precious metal stocks saw a rise, with Hunan Silver hitting the daily limit and Zhongjin Gold and Xiaocheng Technology increasing by over 9% [4] - Goldman Sachs predicts that if the credibility of the Federal Reserve is compromised, gold prices could soar to nearly $5,000 per ounce [4] Cooling Solutions - The liquid cooling server and optical module sectors are gaining strength, with stocks like Hongfuhan and Zhongke Shuguang reaching their daily limits [5][6] - The trend towards liquid cooling data centers is being driven by the increasing demand for AI computing power and chip efficiency [6] Institutional Insights - Galaxy Securities suggests that the market may continue to experience a rotation of hot sectors, with a focus on policy-driven opportunities [8] - Shenyuan Hongyuan indicates that the current technology market may reach a historical peak before the Spring Festival of 2026, similar to previous market cycles [9] - Huatai Securities is optimistic about the next two years for Chinese hardware manufacturers, driven by AI infrastructure and robotics [10]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the strong performance of technology stocks, particularly in the consumer electronics sector, driven by major players like Luxshare Precision and Industrial Fulian, as well as the potential impact of OpenAI's collaboration with Luxshare on hardware development [3][10][11]. Group 1: Company Performance - Luxshare Precision's market capitalization exceeded 400 billion yuan, with a significant increase in stock price, reaching a limit up on the day [3][4]. - Industrial Fulian's stock price hit a historical high, with a total market value surpassing 1.42 trillion yuan, reflecting strong investor interest [3][4]. - Tianpu Co. experienced a remarkable 14 consecutive trading days of limit-up, indicating extreme volatility and investor speculation [12][13]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The consumer electronics sector, particularly related to Apple and AI technologies, saw a collective rise, with stocks like Luxshare, GoerTek, and Lens Technology benefiting from this trend [3][10]. - The semiconductor supply chain, including storage chips and advanced packaging, also showed strong performance, indicating a broader recovery in technology stocks [6][9]. - The upcoming launch of new hardware products from major companies like Apple and Meta is expected to sustain growth in the hardware market over the next three years [11]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The overall market showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.07% and the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.17%, while the ChiNext Index saw a slight decline of 0.09% [7]. - The rise of optical circuit switch (OCS) concepts has provided new investment opportunities within the computing power supply chain, with stocks like Tengjing Technology and Guangku Technology seeing significant gains [10].