美联储12月降息预期骤降，日韩股市跟随隔夜美股科技股下跌。A股开盘，三大指数集体低开，沪指低 开0.87%报3896.66点， 深证成指低开1.76%， 创业板指低开2.07%。盘面上， 锂矿、电池、 存储芯片等 板块调整。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，赣锋锂业(01772)低开逾6%，截至发稿，跌6.1%，报54.6港元，成交额2098.88万港 元。 消息面上，11月以来，碳酸锂期货主力合约持续发力上涨。11月20日，广期所发布公告，调整碳酸锂期 货相关合约交易手续费标准及交易限额。11月21日早盘，碳酸锂期货主力合约跌超7%，报92960元/ 吨。华泰期货认为，前期行情主要由碳酸锂供需基本面推动，伴随资金逐步入场，近期更多体现为资金 面对价格的驱动，推动涨势加速。 大和近日发布研报称，对明年锂价上行空间仍抱保守看法。该行预测明年锂价将维持于每吨7.5万至9万 元人民币区间，较当前的每吨8.5万元水平上行空间有限，相信中国锂价于今年第四季至明年第一季仍 然偏软，主要由于农历新年需求疲弱及全球电动车迎来淡季。 ...

Report Summary Investment Rating The report does not mention the industry investment rating. Core Viewpoints In Q3 2025, the supply of mainstream mines in Australia was stable, and the lithium shipments in South America increased quarter-on-quarter. In Q4, it is the peak production season for downstream industries, and the overseas lithium mine production capacity is ramping up. It is expected that the production and sales will maintain an upward trend [1][3][11]. Summary by Company Australia - **Overall in Australia**: In Q3 2025, the supply of mainstream mines was stable. The lithium concentrate production increased by about 1.8% year-on-year and 9.1% quarter-on-quarter, while the sales volume decreased slightly by 0.7% year-on-year and was nearly flat quarter-on-quarter. In Q4, with the commissioning of the CGP3 project at Greenbushes and the production capacity ramping up at Pilbara, it is expected that the production and sales will maintain an upward trend [3]. - **Greenbushes**: In Q3 2025, it produced 320,000 tons of lithium concentrate, a 6% quarter-on-quarter and 21% year-on-year decrease. The sales volume was 301,000 tons, a 27% quarter-on-quarter and 23% year-on-year decrease. The average selling price was $730/ton (FOB), a 1% quarter-on-quarter increase. The cash production cost increased by 6% quarter-on-quarter to A$388/ton, a 40% year-on-year increase. The Kwinana lithium hydroxide plant produced 2,775 tons of lithium hydroxide in Q3 2025, a 31% quarter-on-quarter and 85% year-on-year increase, and the sales volume was 2,921 tons, a 68% quarter-on-quarter increase. The CGP3 is expected to start commissioning at the end of 2025, increasing the annual production capacity by 520,000 tons to 2.14 million tons of lithium concentrate per year [4]. - **Pilbara**: In Q3 2025, it produced 225,000 tons of lithium concentrate (SC5.3), a 2% year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter increase. The sales volume was 214,000 tons, a 1% quarter-on-quarter decrease and almost flat year-on-year. The average selling price was $742/ton (SC5.3, CIF China), a 24% quarter-on-quarter increase. The unit operating cost was $422/ton, a 9% quarter-on-quarter and 12% year-on-year decrease. The Ngungaju factory is under maintenance and can be quickly restarted when the market recovers. The feasibility study of the P2000 expansion is in progress, and the results are expected to be announced in FY2027. The midstream demonstration plant in Australia is under construction as planned and is expected to be completed in Q4. In Q3, the two production lines of the joint-venture lithium salt plant in South Korea produced 2,773 and 2,040 tons of lithium hydroxide respectively, and the sales volumes were 3,245 and 1,593 tons [5]. - **Mt Marion**: In Q3 2025, the total production of lithium concentrate was 146,000 tons, a 18% quarter-on-quarter and 7% year-on-year increase. The shipment volume of spodumene concentrate was 142,000 tons (SC4.6), a 4% quarter-on-quarter increase and a 36% year-on-year decrease (110,000 tons in terms of SC6, a 2% quarter-on-quarter increase and a 27% year-on-year decrease). The selling price in Q3 was $797/ton (SC6), a 31% quarter-on-quarter increase and a 2% year-on-year decrease. The cost in this quarter was A$796/ton (SC6, FOB), a 11% quarter-on-quarter increase and a 22% year-on-year decrease [6]. - **Wodgina**: In Q3 2025, it produced 176,000 tons of lithium concentrate, a 6% quarter-on-quarter and 73% year-on-year increase. The sales volume was 194,000 tons, a 45% quarter-on-quarter and 111% year-on-year increase (176,000 tons in terms of SC6, a 44% quarter-on-quarter and 110% year-on-year increase). The unit selling price was $881/ton (SC6), a 31% quarter-on-quarter and 5% year-on-year increase. The corresponding unit cost was A$733/ton, a 14% quarter-on-quarter increase and a 40% year-on-year decrease [7]. - **Kathleen Valley**: In Q3 2025, the production of lithium concentrate was 87,172 tons, a 1% quarter-on-quarter increase. The sales volume was 77,474 tons, a 20% quarter-on-quarter decrease. The inventory increased by 89% quarter-on-quarter to 20,912 tons. The average selling price was $700/ton (SC6), a 5% quarter-on-quarter decrease. The corresponding unit operating cost was $715/ton (FOB, SC6), a 24% quarter-on-quarter increase. The all-in sustaining cost (AISC) was $886/ton, a 13% quarter-on-quarter increase [8]. - **Mt Holland**: SQM updated the full-year sales guidance for Holland in 2025 to about 20,000 tons of LCE (50% equity). The lithium salt sales volume in Q3 was 10,000 tons, a significant increase from 1,300 tons in the previous quarter [9]. South America - **Overall in South America**: In Q3 2025, the shipments of major lithium resources increased by 14% quarter-on-quarter. It is expected that in Q4, as the salt lakes emerge from the production off-season, combined with production capacity ramping up and the downstream peak season, the lithium salt shipments in South America are expected to show an upward trend. The 3Q lithium salt lake project of Zijin Mining was officially put into production in September [11]. - **SQM**: In Q3 2025, the lithium salt sales volume of the Chilean division was 62,900 tons, a 22.85% year-on-year and 18.45% quarter-on-quarter increase. The average selling price was $8,281/ton, a 15% year-on-year and 1% quarter-on-quarter decrease. The average cost was $6,050/ton, a 24% year-on-year and 15% quarter-on-quarter decrease [12]. - **Arcadium Lithium Salt Lake Project**: The total quarterly production of the group's lithium resources was about 13,000 tons of LCE, a 3% quarter-on-quarter increase. The annual maintenance plan of the Fenix factory was adjusted from June to August, affecting the lithium carbonate production in this quarter, and the maintenance has been completed [13]. - **Caucharí-Olaroz**: In Q3 2025, the production was 8,300 tons, a 2% quarter-on-quarter decrease. The total production of lithium carbonate in the first three quarters of 2025 was about 24,000 tons, making the project likely to exceed the lower limit of the 2025 production guidance (30,000 - 35,000 tons). The total shipment volume of lithium carbonate in Q3 2025 was about 7,775 tons, a 10% quarter-on-quarter decrease, and the selling price was $7,522/ton. The second-phase expansion project with a production capacity of 45,000 tons/year of lithium carbonate is in progress, and the design of the 5,000-ton demonstration plant is being carried out in China [14]. - **Centenario-Ratones**: The production in Q3 was about 2,080 tons of LCE, a significant increase from 440 tons and 270 tons in the previous two quarters. The lithium sales volume in the quarter was 1,000 tons of LCE, compared with 480 tons in the previous quarter. In September, the capacity utilization rate of the factory reached 50% of the铭牌 capacity, in line with the production ramping-up expectations. Eramet expects the production of this salt lake in 2025 to be 4,000 - 7,000 tons [15]. - **Zijin 3Q**: On September 12, the commissioning ceremony of the 20,000-ton/year lithium carbonate project of Zijin Mining's Lithium Technology 3Q lithium salt lake was held. The pre - work such as the permit approval for the second-phase project is progressing in an orderly manner, with a planned lithium carbonate production capacity of 40,000 tons/year. After the full operation of the two phases, the annual production capacity is expected to reach 60,000 - 80,000 tons [16][17]. Others - **Grota do Cirilo**: In Q3 2025, affected by the change of equipment suppliers, the lithium concentrate production was 44,000 tons, a 27% year-on-year and 36% quarter-on-quarter decrease. The mine operation is expected to resume at the end of November, and the production capacity will be fully increased to 300,000 tons/year in Q1 2026. The sales volume was 49,000 tons, a 15% year-on-year decrease and a 21% quarter-on-quarter increase. The average selling price was $586/ton, a 61% year-on-year and 40% quarter-on-quarter increase. The cash operating cost (CIF China, including royalties) was $543/ton, a 6% year-on-year and 23% quarter-on-quarter increase. The second-phase expansion project is continuing, and the earthwork and terrace construction were completed this quarter. The second-phase project will add an annual capacity of 250,000 tons of lithium concentrate, and the total annual capacity of the mine will reach 520,000 tons. The commissioning of the second-phase project is postponed to before the end of 2026 [17]. - **AMG**: In Q3 2025, it sold 15,409 tons of lithium concentrate, a 16% quarter-on-quarter increase and a 32% year-on-year decrease. The unit selling price was $530/ton (CIF, China), a 15% quarter-on-quarter and 39% year-on-year decrease. The corresponding cost was $420/ton, a 14% quarter-on-quarter and 7% year-on-year decrease. One of the company's expansion project equipment has been malfunctioning since Q2, and the current operating capacity is 110,000 tons/year [18]. - **Africa**: The new projects are ramping up production smoothly. The first batch of ores from Ganfeng Lithium's Goulamina spodumene project in Mali arrived at domestic ports in early August. Hainan Mining's Bougouni lithium mine project in Mali obtained an export license from the Malian government and is expected to depart from Africa in Q4. The projects in Zimbabwe and Nigeria have benefited from the recovery of lithium prices and the increase in domestic imports. The main future supply increment in Africa is the northeastern project of Zijin Mining's Manono, with the first-phase project planning an annual production of 95,170 tons of crude lithium sulfate (about 50,000 tons of LCE), and it is planned to be put into production in the first half of 2026 [19].

Core Viewpoint - The announcement details that the controlling shareholder, Shenzhen Shengtun Group Co., Ltd., has pledged 3.1 million shares of Shengxin Lithium Energy Co., Ltd. to Guangdong Huaxing Bank Co., Ltd. [1] Group 1: Share Pledge Details - On November 20, 2025, Shengtun Group pledged 3.1 million shares of the company [1] - The pledged shares do not involve any significant asset restructuring or performance compensation obligations [1] Group 2: Shareholder Pledge Status - As of the announcement date, the total pledged shares by the shareholder and its concerted parties are summarized [2] Group 3: Reference Documents - The announcement includes a reference to the share pledge certification documents [3]

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in lithium carbonate prices is driven by a combination of strong demand, declining inventory, supportive policies, and increased funding in the industry [5][26]. Group 1: Price Movement - On November 17, lithium carbonate futures hit a limit up, reaching 95,200 yuan/ton, marking a three-month high with a weekly increase of 6.15% and a volatility of 9.16% [7]. - The surge in futures prices led to significant increases in stock prices of leading lithium companies, with Tianhua New Energy rising by 16.7% and other major stocks hitting their daily limits [7][3]. Group 2: Demand Dynamics - In October, domestic power battery installations reached 84.1 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 42.1%, with new energy vehicle production and sales also on the rise [9]. - The demand for lithium is further bolstered by the new energy storage sector, with the National Development and Reform Commission projecting that new energy storage installations will reach 180 million kilowatts by 2027 [9]. Group 3: Inventory Trends - Lithium carbonate social inventory has been declining for 12 consecutive weeks, with total inventory across the industry chain at 84,234 tons in October [11]. - The reduction in inventory levels across smelters, cathode manufacturers, and battery producers indicates a significant shift in supply-demand dynamics [11]. Group 4: Policy and Funding Support - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments issued a plan to stabilize growth in the non-ferrous metals industry, aiming to rationally layout lithium carbonate projects and prevent low-level redundant construction [14]. - Starting January, the purchase tax for new energy vehicles will shift from full exemption to a 50% reduction, stimulating short-term demand as manufacturers and consumers rush to make purchases before the year-end [14]. Group 5: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Institutional investors have been actively positioning themselves in the lithium sector, with the top ten stocks in the China Rare Metals Theme Index, including Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium, accounting for 60% of the index [15]. - Ganfeng Lithium's chairman predicts global lithium carbonate demand could reach 1.55 million tons by 2025, with a potential 30% increase to 1.9 million tons in 2026, suggesting that prices could exceed 200,000 yuan/ton if demand growth surpasses 40% [19]. Group 6: Current Market Status - As of November 19, lithium carbonate futures continued to rise slightly by 0.8%, settling at 95,960 yuan/ton, while spot prices also showed a modest recovery [20][22]. - The domestic lithium carbonate operating rate remains low at around 45%, primarily due to cost issues faced by smaller producers [22]. - In October, lithium carbonate imports are expected to decrease by approximately 5% month-on-month, indicating a tight supply situation [24].

Core Viewpoint - The company announced that its controlling shareholder, Shenzhen Shengtun Group Co., Ltd., has pledged 3.1 million shares of the company's unrestricted circulating stock [2] Group 1 - The company, Shengxin Lithium Energy, received notification from its controlling shareholder regarding the share pledge [2] - The pledged shares amount to 3.1 million, indicating a significant financial maneuver by the controlling shareholder [2]

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯中矿资源11月20日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，2025年7月份，公司对年产2.5万吨 锂盐生产线进行综合技术升级改造，投资建设年产3万吨高纯锂盐技改项目，停产检修及技改时间约为6 个月。 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened high but experienced a decline, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 25,835.57 points, up 0.02% or 4.92 points, and a total turnover of HKD 245.136 billion [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell by 0.08% to 9,143.34 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 0.58% to 5,574.59 points [1] Sector Performance - Citic Securities predicts a rebound in the Hong Kong stock market by 2026, driven by a recovery in fundamentals and significant valuation discounts. They recommend focusing on five long-term sectors: technology, healthcare, resource products benefiting from inflation and de-dollarization, essential consumer goods, and sectors benefiting from RMB appreciation [1] - Blue-chip stocks showed mixed results, with Link REIT leading the decline, down 6.42% to HKD 38.8, while Techtronic Industries rose 5.36% to HKD 88.5 [2] Real Estate Sector - The real estate sector is highlighted as crucial for household asset allocation in China, with policies aimed at stabilizing housing prices to support economic circulation. High-quality residential properties are expected to see growth due to favorable policy changes [4] - Major real estate stocks like Sunac China and Vanke saw significant gains, with Sunac up 6.02% to HKD 1.41 [3] Technology Sector - Nvidia reported strong Q3 earnings, with revenue of USD 57 billion, a 62% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of USD 31.9 billion, up 65%. The data center business reached a record revenue of USD 51.2 billion, reflecting the ongoing AI trend [5] - Nvidia-related stocks were active, with companies like GigaDevice and Hongteng Precision seeing gains [4] Lithium Sector - Lithium stocks experienced volatility, with Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium both closing down nearly 2%. Despite a strong demand outlook, market sentiment remains cautious due to high prices and supply concerns [6] Gold Sector - Gold stocks faced declines, with companies like Jinhai Resources and Lingbao Gold dropping over 2% [6] Notable Company Performances - Kingsoft saw a significant drop of 7.03% after reporting a 17% decline in revenue for Q3 [8] - CATL faced pressure, down 5.66%, as a large portion of its H-share IPO lock-up period ended [9] - WanGuo Data reported a 10.2% increase in net revenue for Q3, leading to a rise of 6.21% in its stock price [10] - Kingsoft Cloud's stock rose by 4.87% after reporting a 31.4% increase in total revenue for Q3 [11]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened higher but experienced a decline in the afternoon, with the Hang Seng Index closing up 0.02% at 25,835.57 points and a total turnover of HKD 245.136 billion [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell 0.08% to 9,143.34 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 0.58% to 5,574.59 points [1] Sector Performance - Citic Securities predicts a rebound in the Hong Kong stock market by 2026, driven by a recovery in fundamentals and significant valuation discounts. They recommend focusing on five long-term sectors: technology, healthcare, resource products benefiting from inflation and de-dollarization, essential consumer goods, and sectors benefiting from RMB appreciation [1] - Blue-chip stocks showed mixed results, with Link REIT leading the decline, down 6.42% to HKD 38.8, while Techtronic Industries rose 5.36% to HKD 88.5 [2] Real Estate Sector - Chinese property stocks saw a rally, with Sunac China rising 6.02% to HKD 1.41 and Vanke Enterprises up 3.69% to HKD 4.21. Analysts suggest that stable housing prices are crucial for economic circulation, and high-quality housing may see a development wave due to recent policy directions [3] Technology Sector - Nvidia's strong quarterly results, with revenue of USD 57 billion and a 62% year-on-year increase, have positively impacted related stocks. Nvidia's data center revenue reached a record USD 51.2 billion, up 66% year-on-year [4] - Kingsoft Corporation fell 7.03% after reporting a 17% decline in revenue for Q3 2025, while its gaming segment saw a significant drop of 47% [8] Lithium Sector - Lithium stocks experienced a pullback, with Tianqi Lithium down 1.83% to HKD 53.55 and Ganfeng Lithium down 1.94% to HKD 58.15. The lithium carbonate contract price briefly exceeded CNY 100,000 per ton but faced selling pressure later in the day [6] Other Notable Stocks - Ningde Times fell 5.66% amid concerns over the unlocking of shares for its cornerstone investors, with Morgan Stanley lowering its target price from HKD 600 to HKD 575 [9] - Data center operator GDS Holdings reported a 10.2% increase in net revenue to CNY 2.887 billion, with a net profit of CNY 729 million, marking a return to profitability [10]

Core Viewpoint - The lithium market is experiencing significant price fluctuations, with lithium carbonate prices rising by 70% from their low point earlier this year, and a forecast of a "tight balance" in supply and demand for the next year [1][3]. Group 1: Price Trends - Lithium carbonate futures have shown an upward trend, reaching a peak of 102,500 RMB/ton, marking a new high for the year [1]. - The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate in the spot market is currently 99,250 RMB/ton, which is a 65% increase from the year's low of 59,900 RMB/ton [1][3]. Group 2: Supply Dynamics - Supply constraints are a key driver of the price increase, with domestic lithium carbonate social inventory decreasing for 13 consecutive weeks, totaling a reduction of 22,000 tons [3]. - The average monthly production of lithium carbonate from the Ningde Times Yichun mine, which was previously around 7,000-8,000 tons, has been affected by production disruptions, raising concerns about short-term supply [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Goldman Sachs anticipates that while demand remains positive and inventory continues to decline, an increase in elastic supply is expected if prices rise, leading to a likely price range of 80,000-100,000 RMB/ton (approximately 10,000-12,500 USD/ton) [3][4]. - The market is expected to remain in a price range until mid-2026, when domestic supply constraints and strong demand are projected to tighten the market, with an average price forecast of 8,900 USD/ton for lithium carbonate in 2026 [4]. Group 4: Analyst Perspectives - Analysts express cautious optimism regarding future price trends, noting that while the current price surge is driven by inventory depletion and storage demand, the pace of lithium mine restarts in Jiangxi should be monitored [5][6]. - Concerns have been raised about a potential seasonal decline in demand for energy storage cells, with production exceeding demand for two consecutive months [6].