Market Overview - Recent market activity has been characterized by significant volatility, particularly in gold, which experienced a price swing of over $100 in one day. This was preceded by a sharp decline of over $30 during the afternoon session, likely triggered by profit-taking from institutional positions near previous highs [1] - The subsequent rise in gold prices was largely driven by geopolitical tensions, specifically an Israeli attack on Iran, which spurred safe-haven buying. This was reflected in a simultaneous 7% increase in oil prices, indicating a strong correlation between geopolitical events and market movements [1] Upcoming Economic Events - The upcoming week is expected to feature major economic announcements, including the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and the OPEC monthly report, which are critical for market participants [3][4] - The OPEC monthly report will provide insights into member countries' oil production, inventory, and export dynamics, serving as a key indicator for traders assessing future supply-demand balances in the oil market [4] Key Economic Indicators - On Tuesday, the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision will be closely monitored, as the central bank's stance on its ultra-loose monetary policy could significantly impact the yen and broader market sentiment [6] - The U.S. retail sales data, known as "the terror data," will be released on the same day, directly reflecting consumer spending strength, which is a crucial component of GDP. Stronger-than-expected results could bolster the dollar and suppress gold prices, while weaker results may heighten market concerns about economic prospects [7] Oil Market Dynamics - On Wednesday, the EIA will release its weekly oil inventory report, which will provide a clear picture of supply-demand dynamics in the U.S. energy market. A significant drop in inventory levels typically indicates rising demand or constrained supply, which is bullish for oil prices [8] - Current market focus is on Middle Eastern geopolitical developments, U.S. shale oil recovery, and the pace of global demand recovery, all of which could influence OPEC's outlook for oil prices in the second half of the year [5] Federal Reserve and Bank of England Decisions - Thursday will feature the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which is anticipated to be a major market event. The accompanying dot plot and economic projections will be critical for understanding the Fed's future policy direction [10] - The Bank of England will also announce its interest rate decision on the same day, with potential for significant volatility in the pound if unexpected policy shifts occur [12] Trading Considerations - Traders are advised to be cautious during the upcoming week due to the anticipated volatility from major economic data releases. Proper position sizing and risk management strategies are essential to navigate the expected market fluctuations [17]

Core Viewpoint - The article provides the mid-point exchange rates of the Renminbi (RMB) against various currencies in the interbank foreign exchange market as of June 16, 2025, highlighting fluctuations in the RMB's value against these currencies [1] Exchange Rate Summary - The USD/RMB rate is reported at 7.1789, indicating a depreciation of the RMB by 17 points [1] - The EUR/RMB rate stands at 8.2870, showing a decrease of 213 points [1] - The HKD/RMB rate is at 0.91457, with an increase of 1.3 points [1] - The GBP/RMB rate is recorded at 9.7364, reflecting a decline of 255 points [1] - The AUD/RMB rate is noted at 4.6629, down by 151 points [1] - The CAD/RMB rate is at 5.2885, up by 170 points [1] - The JPY/RMB rate is reported at 4.9732, down by 296 points [1] - The RMB/RUB rate is at 11.1341, decreasing by 99 points [1] - The NZD/RMB rate is at 4.3243, down by 198 points [1] - The RMB/MYR rate is reported at 0.59122, increasing by 25.2 points [1] - The CHF/RMB rate is at 8.8502, down by 58 points [1] - The SGD/RMB rate is at 5.6008, down by 82 points [1]

Group 1 - The yield on India's 10-year government bonds increased by 3 basis points to 6.37% [1] - The Indian Rupee depreciated by 0.7% against the US Dollar [1] - The rise in oil prices is cited as a contributing factor to these financial movements [1]

2025年6月13日银行间外汇市场人民币汇率中间价 美元/人民币报7.1772，下调（人民币升值）31点； 欧元/人民币报8.3083，上调505点； 港元/人民币报0.91444，下调3.7点； 英镑/人民币报9.7619，上调283点； 澳元/人民币报4.6780，上调105点； 加元/人民币报5.2715，上调218点； 100日元/人民币报5.0028，上调265点； 人民币/俄罗斯卢布报11.1440，上调823点； 新西兰元/人民币报4.3441，上调165点； 人民币/林吉特报0.5887，下调6.5点； 瑞士法郎/人民币报8.8560，上调920点； 新加坡元/人民币报5.6090，上调195点。 ...

研究中心宏观团队 2025/06/12 | | 全 球 资 产 市 场 表 现 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主要经济体10年期国债收益率 | | | | | | | | | | | 美国 | 英国 | 法国 | 德国 | 意大利 | 西班牙 | 瑞士 | 希腊 | | 2025/06/11 | 4.422 | 4.551 | 3.225 | 2.534 | 3.445 | 3.117 | 0.264 | 3.243 | | 最新变化 | -0.050 | 0.010 | 0.023 | 0.012 | 0.010 | 0.020 | -0.003 | 0.030 | | 一周变化 | 0.066 | -0.054 | 0.021 | 0.008 | -0.046 | 0.001 | 0.053 | -0.008 | | 一月变化 | -0.045 | -0.118 | -0.128 | -0.144 | -0.252 | -0.180 | -0.099 | -0.205 | | 一年变化 | ...

Group 1: Precious Metals - Spot platinum (XPTUSD) is priced at 1221.420, showing an increase of 5.890 or 0.48% [2] - Spot palladium (XPDUSD) is priced at 1065.840, reflecting a decrease of 2.970 or 0.28% [2] - Gold (COMEX) is trading at 3368.700, up by 22.000 or 0.66% [2] - Silver (COMEX) is priced at 36.800, down by 0.105 or 0.28% [2] Group 2: Foreign Exchange - Euro to US Dollar (EURUSD) is at 1.144, increasing by 0.22% [3] - British Pound to US Dollar (GBPUSD) is at 1.353, decreasing by 0.17% [3] - US Dollar to Japanese Yen (USDJPY) is at 144.513, down by 0.06% [3] - Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUDUSD) is at 0.653, up by 0.18% [3] - US Dollar to Swiss Franc (USDCHF) is at 0.821, down by 0.08% [3] Group 3: Cryptocurrencies - Bitcoin (BTC) is priced at 109015.700, down by 1247.320 or 1.13% [4] - Litecoin (LTC) is at 90.880, increasing by 0.150 or 0.17% [4] - Ethereum (ETH) is priced at 2720.590, up by 40.450 or 1.51% [4] - Ripple (XRP) is at 2.286, down by 0.035 or 1.51% [4] Group 4: Treasury Bonds - The yield on the 2-year US Treasury bond is 3.987, down by 0.016 or 0.40% [6] - The yield on the 5-year US Treasury bond is 4.054, decreasing by 0.033 or 0.81% [7] - The yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond is 4.446, down by 0.037 or 0.83% [7] - The yield on the 30-year US Treasury bond is 4.911, decreasing by 0.043 or 0.87% [7] - The yield on the 10-year UK Treasury bond is 4.535, down by 0.098 or 2.12% [7] - The yield on the 10-year German Treasury bond is 2.519, decreasing by 0.051 or 1.98% [7] - The yield on the 10-year French Treasury bond is 3.198, down by 0.043 or 1.33% [7] - The yield on the 10-year Italian Treasury bond is 3.448, decreasing by 0.043 or 1.23% [7] - The yield on the 10-year Japanese Treasury bond is 1.483, up by 0.020 or 1.37% [7]

周一亚洲交易时段，美元指数稳居99.17高位，延续上周五的强劲走势。美国非农就业数据超出预期，给期待美联储降息的投资者泼了一盆冷 水。 **美元指数上周五收涨0.53%至99.20**，创下两周来最大单日涨幅。 与此同时，美国洛杉矶的大规模骚乱已进入第三天，特朗普部署2000名国民警卫队进驻洛杉矶，美防长甚至表示海军陆战队正"高度戒备"。** 这场美国内乱意外成为避险资产的临时推手**，黄金在亚市早盘小幅上涨至3317美元附近。 一份超预期的就业报告，一场突如其来的美国骚乱，全球外汇市场在避险与预期的角力中开启关键一周。 01 市场概览：非农引爆美元，黄金承压 上周五外汇市场经历剧烈波动。美国劳工部数据显示，**5月非农就业岗位增加13.9万个**，虽低于4月的14.7万，但超过预期的13万。 这份"**恰到好处**"的就业报告既显示劳动力市场略有降温，又证明经济韧性犹存，直接打击了市场对美联储近期降息的预期。 数据公布后，金融市场迅速调整押注：**交易员削减了2025年第三次降息的预期**，将首次降息时间推迟至9月。美债收益率应声飙升，10年 期美债收益率暴涨超10个基点至4.512%，为2010年来罕见涨 ...

周一（6月9日）亚盘时段，现货黄金小幅延续跌势后低位震荡，目前交投于3312美元附近。刚刚过去的一周，金价冲高回落，受地缘局势担忧等因素影响， 现货黄金在上周一（6月2日）曾上涨近3%，至3380附近，随后的几个交易日震荡运行，因为美国经济数据表现不佳，在上周四（6月6日）一度涨至3402美 元/盎司，但随着国际贸易局势传来乐观消息，金价开始回吐涨幅，由于非农数据强于市场预期，现货黄金上周五下跌1.22%，收报3311.86美元/盎司，周线 涨幅约0.65%。 美元兑其他主要货币上周五上涨0.47%，收报99.20，因为数据显示美国5月份就业增长好于预期，尽管增速比上月有所放缓，这表明美联储可能会等待更长 时间再降息。该因素也是上周五金价下跌的原因之一。美元一直受到特朗普总统的关税政策和与包括中国在内的贸易伙伴谈判前景的不确定性、美国参议院 在众议院通过赤字支出和税收法案后正在审议的法案以及近期经济数据轨迹的拖累。在包括就业数据在内的经济数据强于预期之后，市场开始扭转对美元的 一些空头仓位。 美国劳工部的数据显示，5月份雇主增加了13.9万个工作岗位，少于4月份的14.7万个，但超过了对经济学家进行的调查所预 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report No clear core view is presented in the given content. The report mainly provides data on global asset market performance, including bond yields, exchange rates, stock indices, and futures trading data. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Global Asset Market Performance - **10 - Year Treasury Bond Yields**: Yields vary across different economies. For example, on 2025/06/06, the US was at 4.508, with a latest change of 0.115, a one - year change of - 0.043. Some yields have increased recently, while others have decreased [2]. - **2 - Year Treasury Bond Yields**: Similar to 10 - year yields, there are differences among economies. The US 2 - year yield on 2025/06/06 was 3.870, with a latest change of - 0.090 and a one - year change of - 1.060 [2]. - **Exchange Rates**: The US dollar's exchange rates against major emerging economies' currencies show different trends. For instance, against the Brazilian real, it was 5.560 on 2025/06/06, with a latest change of - 0.50% and a one - year change of 7.74% [2]. - **Stock Indices**: Stock indices also have diverse performances. The S&P 500 on 2025/06/06 was 6000.360, with a latest change of 1.03% and a one - year change of 13.09% [2]. - **Credit Bond Indices**: Different types of credit bond indices (investment - grade and high - yield) in different regions (US, eurozone, emerging economies) have various changes. For example, the US investment - grade credit bond index had a latest change of - 0.49% [2]. Stock Index Futures Trading Data - **Index Performance**: A - share closed at 3385.36 with a 0.04% change. Different indices like the CSI 300, SSE 50, etc., have different closing prices and percentage changes [3]. - **Valuation**: PE (TTM) values for different indices are provided, such as 12.56 for the CSI 300, with corresponding环比 changes [3]. - **Risk Premium**: Risk premium data (1/PE - 10 rate) and their环比 changes are given for multiple indices [3]. - **Fund Flows**: The latest values and 5 - day average values of fund flows for different segments of the A - share market are presented. For example, the latest value of A - share fund flow was - 518.24 [3]. - **Trading Volume**: The latest trading volumes of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets and different indices are provided, along with环比 changes [3]. - **Basis and Spread**: The basis and spread data for index futures like IF, IH, and IC are given [3]. Treasury Bond Futures Trading Data - **Closing Prices and Changes**: The closing prices and percentage changes of treasury bond futures (T00, TF00, T01, TF01) are shown. For example, T00 closed at 108.710 with a 0.03% change [4]. - **Funding Rates**: Funding rates (R001, R007, SHIBOR - 3M) and their daily changes are provided [4].

Core Insights - As of the end of May, China's foreign exchange reserves increased by $3.6 billion to $328.53 billion, marking the fifth consecutive month of growth, although the increase was significantly lower than the previous month's $41 billion rise [3] - The increase in foreign reserves is attributed to a combination of exchange rate adjustments and asset price changes, with non-USD currencies contributing positively while bond prices declined [3] - China's gold reserves reached 73.83 million ounces, marking a net increase for the seventh consecutive month, despite a slight decrease in the proportion of gold reserves relative to total foreign reserves [5][6] Foreign Exchange Reserves - The foreign exchange reserves stood at $328.53 billion as of May, reflecting a $3.6 billion increase from April [3] - The increase was primarily driven by the appreciation of non-USD currencies and fluctuations in global asset prices, with the dollar index showing a slight decline [3] - The average daily trading volume in the domestic foreign exchange market reached $47.8 billion, a 13% increase month-on-month, indicating heightened trading activity [4] Gold Reserves - China's gold reserves increased by 60,000 ounces to 73.83 million ounces, with a total value of approximately $241.99 billion, accounting for 7.37% of total foreign reserves [5] - The gold price experienced a decline of 0.7% in May, marking the first monthly drop in five months, influenced by macroeconomic factors [5][6] - Analysts suggest that the central bank's continued accumulation of gold is a strategic move to enhance the credibility of the national currency and support the internationalization of the renminbi [6]